j*******7 发帖数: 6300 | 1 Confirmation Bias
The Misconception: Your opinions are the result of years of rational,
objective analysis.
The Truth: Your opinions are the result of years of paying attention to
information which confirmed what you believed while ignoring information
which challenged your preconceived notions.
Have you ever had a conversation in which some old movie was mentioned,
something like “The Golden Child” or maybe even something more obscure?
You laughed about it, quoted lines from it, wondered what h... 阅读全帖 |
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C******9 发帖数: 122 | 2 前天到mortgage broker的办公室,当场做的lock,用的provident funding做lender。
签了lock agreement 还有整个application package,材料也全齐了,两个钟头后要走
的时候跟他们要confirmation number,说我们的case被GFE audit了,所以lock
pending。
回家后收到provident funding 的disclosure forms,上面是选的lock not
guaranteed .
第二天早上电话去问,说lock了没有问题。要求发confirmation number过来,说会发
,但一直没动静。
今天早上因为别的事再去他们办公室,顺便问助手要confirmation number,她就给了
一张confirmation printout,上面也没什么confirmation number,只看见request ID
和显示的advanced lock。找loan officer问什么是advanced lock,她很不高兴她助
手给我那张表,说那是他们的内部文件,就拿回去了,说... 阅读全帖 |
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u***n 发帖数: 21026 | 4 confirm个鸟头,sb印度人吧,你confirm和不confirm都没鸟用
就是说人家让你同意这个薪水,他好向client要面试机会。
其实什么都没说定呢,你confirm也没有什么法律后果
你confirm了,也未必拿到这个职位
纯属TMD的扯淡,凡事开始不是电话面试schedule的,都是扯淡,不用搭理他 |
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发帖数: 1 | 5 各位大侠,我在新泽西州,要买的房子under contract后进行inspection,有不少问题
,要求对方修理和给credit。结果卖方很牛地回复说什么都不修,因为之前卖给我们房
子的价格已经比listing价格低了5000。我们考虑后决定按合同里的inspection
contingency 条款cancel 合同,律师发了cancelation notice,要求卖方confirm
cancelation,release earnest money. 结果卖方又改口说请contractor来评估。我们
已经不想要这个房子,还是坚持要cancel。结果几天过去了,对方就是不confirm
cancelation。这样的话会影响我们继续给别的房子提offer和签contract。而卖方已经
把房子重新放回市场了,律师说有的卖家故意这样拖着直到有新买主才会confirm我们
的cancelation,那我们就会被拖住不能继续买别的房子。
现在的问题是,我们能有什么办法让卖方尽快confirm?因为按合同规定inspection没
达成agreement就可以退出,但没有约定一方提出... 阅读全帖 |
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z****l 发帖数: 5282 | 6 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
atuwh (atuwh) 于 (Sun May 22 00:08:05 2011, 美东) 提到:
今天中午收到的卡,和大家一样,term里只写了1yr annual fee waived。不管,先上
网激活卡,然后给csr发message。我提到了bonus id 5889,50k和2yr fee waived。强
调了有screenshot,问他要不要。
一个小时后收到消息确认了50k和2yr fee waived。
经验:
1. 强调收到的term和当时申请的不一样。
2. 报5889的bonus id。
3. 强调有screenshot,问他要不要。
关于75k的bonus id 5894,我觉得是专门针对AMEX新用户的。如果你是第一次申到AMEX
的卡,我觉得可以报这个id争取一下。
不过我已经有2张AMEX的卡了,所以还是用的5889,50k和2yr free已经满足了。呵呵。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
nimoooo (... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****0 发帖数: 34 | 7 8:00 填表 email confirmation page, 过了1 个小时都没有收到 confirmation page
10:00重新填表, email confirmation page. 过了0.5 个小时, 收到 10:00 am
confirmation page
.又过了10 分钟, 收到 8:00 am confirmation page. 我应该打印那个时间的?10:00
am one?
thanks! |
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w*p 发帖数: 16484 | 8 http://belizean.com/belize-confirms-patient-with-ebola-symptoms
Reports tonight are that two individuals possibly infected with the Ebola
virus are in Belizean waters. Local TV station Channel 7 monitored in the
capital City Of Belmopan tonight, reported having credible reports that a
couple from a Texas-based cruise ship presently anchored off Belize City, is
on a ship tender, unable to return to the cruise ship, while being refused
entry to Belize City to catch an air ambulance awaiting at the... 阅读全帖 |
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d*******o 发帖数: 62 | 9 Exam permit 上说 至少提前一周confirm exam. 请问这个confirm,就是订完日期的
email confirmation 吗?因为,再在网上点 confirm,他业不给发email了,不知道
confirm是否成功?
谁能来advice一下?多谢 |
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p********7 发帖数: 18007 | 10 Reports tonight are that two individuals possibly infected with the Ebola
virus are in Belizean waters. Local TV station Channel 7 monitored in the
capital City Of Belmopan tonight, reported having credible reports that a
couple from a Texas-based cruise ship presently anchored off Belize City, is
on a ship tender, unable to return to the cruise ship, while being refused
entry to Belize City to catch an air ambulance awaiting at the International
Airport to take them to the their country of orig... 阅读全帖 |
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v**e 发帖数: 8422 | 11 US Confirms Second Case of Coronavirus in Chicago
CDC confirms second US case of coronavirus and is monitoring 63 other
possible infections
Published Fri, Jan 24 202010:14 AM ESTUpdated Moments Ago
Berkeley Lovelace [email protected]
Key Points
U.S. health officials diagnosed a second patient with the China coronavirus
after a Chicago woman returned from Wuhan with the infection.
They are currently monitoring 63 other potential cases here.
watch now
VIDEO01:11
CDC confirms second US case of... 阅读全帖 |
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y********n 发帖数: 132 | 12 I redeemed an AirFrance reward ticket. It is a china domestic flight. So I
called China Southern to confirm it before flying. The rep said my ticket
started 057 and I should call AirFrance. I explained I was flying with China
Southern, not AirFrance, so I should call you to confirm my flight. She
still said I should contact AirFrance.
Then I called Airfrance.Everything is perferct and I was told that AirFrance
could only check if your ticket is issued or problems with your ticket and
I'd better ... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******e 发帖数: 1749 | 13 我怀疑我上了staples 黑名单。其实我真的没干啥,就是多买了几个软件,成了
premium member 。 现在我下一单,没有order confirmation 了。上次为了用掉
rewards, 就买了零食。因为是premium member, 可以free shipping, 觉得也就省了
跑一趟。结果被cancel . 写信去问,居然说cancel 后,他们哪里就没有记录了,查补
到。。。。 没有天理
今天刚下单,2个小时了,还是没有email confirmation. 我自己今天打印了order
confirmation. 以前是 instant email confirmation.
就我那么惨? 上个月ink rewards 也被偷。。。 感觉跟staples 没缘份。。。。 |
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y**********1 发帖数: 8 | 14 刚才给父母办延期, 网上填了I-539并发出去了, 屏幕上显示已成功, 并有
confirmation number, 另附有一pdf文件。 pdf 文件打开后是confirmation及I-539表
格。 正准备打印时,浏览器出现故障自动关闭了。急忙去查email, 但未收到任何有关
I-539 application 的confirmation email.
请问现在该怎么办? 会不会confirmation email要等一段时间才能收到?大家有没有
经验?
多谢了。 |
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i*********n 发帖数: 5465 | 15 Using data from a new field experiment in South Korea, we study how
information from virtual communities such as stock message boards influences
investors’ trading decisions and investment performance. Motivated by
recent studies in psychology, we conjecture that investors would use message
boards to seek information that confirms their prior beliefs. This
confirmation bias would make them more overconfident and adversely affect
their investment performance. An analysis of 502 investor responses... 阅读全帖 |
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A*******t 发帖数: 40 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 Reunion 讨论区 】
发信人: Architect (喝水喝到饱), 信区: Reunion
标 题: 中信代签 新预约系统问题 - Drop Off Confirmation如何生成?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 7 23:14:18 2013, 美东)
这个新系统实在是够烂啊。。。
好不容易拿到了那个CGI Confirmation Number,让老妈拿着去中信柜台把钱交了 - 大
约是两小时以前。
我现在登录进去,到Step 8,已经可以看到那个缴费收据号码。
可是可是,为啥我一点击“继续”,下一个页面总是告诉我“目前没有可选预约”???
请问大家都是怎么拿到“Drop Off Confirmation”的?
注意到Step 8上写着“注意:缴费以后可能需要一段处理时间,然后申请人才能开始预
约。请耐心等待,谢谢合作。 ” 难道是说我还不够耐心,需要多等一段时间???
那么大家从缴费到拿到Drop Off Confirmation,都花了多长时间呢?
请不吝赐教!谢谢! |
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n******d 发帖数: 159 | 17 official emmy nomination will be out next week. but some of the top 10 are
already confirmed. not many new names
DRAMA SERIES TOP 10 (10 OUT OF 10 CONFIRMED; ALL EPISODE TITLES CONFIRMED):
Boston Legal (Angel of Death)
Dexter (Born Free)
Friday Night Lights (Pilot)
Grey's Anatomy (From a Whisper to a Scream)
Heroes (Genesis)
House (Half-Wit)
Lost (Through the Looking Glass)
Rome (De Patre Vostro)
The Sopranos (Soprano Home Movies)
24 (Day 6: 6am-7am)
DRAMA LEAD ACTRESS (5 OUT OF 10 CONFIRMED):
P |
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k****t 发帖数: 12697 | 18 BODY 的问题吧. 这CONFIRM CHIP 本来就是贱C 缺德搞出来的, AF CONFIRM 本身不需
用到CHIP, CHIP 只是告诉BODY AF 系统有个LENS MOUNT了而已.
我的转接镜头LV 跟AF CONFIRM 比较过,都賊准.
倒是潘太师的AF CONFIRM 太不靠铺, 那绿灯在满大一个范围内都亮. |
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g********d 发帖数: 4174 | 19 Human Rights Campaign Congratulates Elena Kagan on Her Confirmation as
Associate Justice of the United States Supreme Court
"We commend the Senate for confirming Solicitor General Elena Kagan to the
Supreme Court. She has demonstrated a understanding of the need for
equality for all Americans and her record indicates she may be more familiar
with how laws and policies affect the LGBT community than any previously
confirmed Justice," said HRC President Joe Solmonese
8/5/2010
WASHINGTON – The Hum |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 20 By Megan Scully
Updated: June 21, 2011 | 5:15 p.m.
June 21, 2011 | 1:54 p.m.
In a rare moment of bipartisan agreement, the Senate on Tuesday voted
unanimously to confirm CIA chief Leon Panetta as the next Defense secretary.
Panetta, who sailed through his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed
Services Committee earlier this month, will succeed Robert Gates at the
Pentagon on July 1 during a particularly crucial time for the Defense
Department, both at home and overseas.
From his first day... 阅读全帖 |
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N****g 发帖数: 5172 | 21 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
chococat2007 (Jacob) 于 (Sun Jun 21 22:41:40 2009, 美东) 提到:
unconfirm是没有这个地址的意思么?
我又问笨问题,哎。。。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
gogopanda (您好) 于 (Sun Jun 21 23:51:30 2009, 美东) 提到:
PAYPAL有个名存实虚的SELLER PROTECTION,如果买家的地址是通过信用卡或是银行之类
的检证的,就会显示出来是CONFIRMED的.如果不是,就会显示是UNCONFIRMED.
你如果是卖东西,一定要寄到CONFIRMED的那个地址去,这样要是丢了,或是他不认帐,你
有一个微小的机会胜诉.
不过要小心的时,有时你会发现,同一个地址,你收到的邮件中会显示是CONFIRMED 可是
在PAYPAL里又显示是UNCONFIRMED的.
你要找找是不是有"OK TO SHIP"这句话,就有可以寄了
☆───────── |
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h********a 发帖数: 6364 | 22 是啊,dell confirm是最没用的confirm
dell confirm只能说明目前你没被bl
接下来是运出来还是cancel还是马上bl你,谁都不知道 |
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g********h 发帖数: 365 | 23 确实是改进了. 从7/28开始
- Delivery confirmation in now included with international shipments to 14
countries, in addition to Canada, for First Class International and select
Priority Mail International shipments.
**What are the 15 countries and international mail classes that now have
Delivery Confirmation included**
Delivery Confirmation is now included for First Class Package International
Service, and Priority Mail International Flat Rate Envelope and Small Flat
Rate Box shipments going to the follow... 阅读全帖 |
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d******i 发帖数: 7160 | 24 试着打印first class package,
想要Tracking和Signature Confirmation,
结果发现
与Certified Mail
三个中只能选一个。
那么是不是RT所说
Signature Confirmation(更贵)包括了Tracking呢?
或者Certified mail包含了Tracking和Signature Confirmation?
否则我的要求如何实现?
还有,即便是选一个也说"Online Price" not available?
是不是我必须去邮局一趟?
不带盒子,只让他们打印label行吗?
谢谢! |
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y*******4 发帖数: 3837 | 25 ordered some giftcards on july 1st, no order confirmation email and cc was
not charged either.... called to check and was told no order confirmation
means order failed even though i got the receipt#.... anyone had same
experience?
i tried again just now, still no confirmation email! |
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U**A 发帖数: 823 | 26 新手搭车问一下,一定要email收到confirmation吗,买完后不是有个confirmation
page吗,copy到email发给他们可以吗,好像不能发attachment,必须要copy到邮件中对
吗?
买gift card的confirmation就可以吗?这个email到底是怎么发的
另外精华区是不是好多年没更新了,现在的这几个网站信息都找不到啊
谢谢 |
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x*********w 发帖数: 533 | 27 You can expect at least 3 milestone emails from us:
a. Confirmation when H-1B petition has been filed.
b. Confirmation when H-1B petition has been received by the Immigration
Service's Premium Processing Unit.
c. Confirmation when H-1B petition has been approved by the
Immigration Service's Premium Processing Unit.
周二下午才file的 |
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A*****F 发帖数: 1859 | 28 再写,每次回答的人是不一样的。 我不小心发了两次,结果两个截然不同的答案。。
。 一个confirm 一个deny。 你只要有一次有人confirm你就行了,以后如果没拿到就
回复那个confirm的reply |
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i********d 发帖数: 385 | 29 UA和国航的系统连接有问题
这时候你要打UA的普通话客服电话, 1-800-551-3062
她们对这类问题(里程票改动后, UA已经confirm, 国航未confirm)比较清楚,也知道该
怎么办
不要再打UA的英文客服, 他们对这种问题一无所知,只能重复的告诉你UA已经confirm了,
但实际上这个问题应该找UA解决的,解决方法就是取消掉原来的里程票,重新订一张
大部分的UA中文客服都能帮你解决
如果还是不行,就打UA在中国北京或者上海的客服电话
切身体会(打电话和调研时间总共超过8小时!) |
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s***r 发帖数: 2604 | 30 两周前买的seasons52的gift card, AMEX offer $50反$10,今天一看还没到账,就
online chat,客服说开始说我卡里没有这个offer,我说这个offer一周前过期了,然
后他说再查查,然后说这个offer我从来没加到过卡里,说他那边看不到,问我自己能
不能看到。我说过期的我看不到,他说过期的你也能看到,如果没有,就i是没加过。
我查了查,发现当时收到了confirmation email,就说都受到email了,等了很久,他
说请示了manager,让我自己去网上填表,他们会invest on it.
一共买了12张卡,收到了12个confirmation email。一个一个申诉,觉得有点麻烦。觉
得这个客服不太专业,头一次收到了confirmation email还这样的,大家有类似经理吗
,怎么处理的,谢谢。 |
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g***t 发帖数: 444 | 31 选了next day pick up at walmart walgreens target....
order下了之后立刻收到email的order confirmation
也马上选了个pick up的walgreen address发到了给的customerservice email
order confirmation上说的是24小时内处理完毕,都过了时限了,也发了2封email
催,可一直都没有回信。
大家一般都是place order后多久收到pick up confirmation的? |
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i********m 发帖数: 341 | 32 我7月14号下的单,然后就给那个money什么的email转发了order confirmation。到现
在还没受到他们的确认,给refer number。 我的cs的转发当天就收到refer number了。
20多号的时候当我意识到我还没有收到这个refer number,我就天天给那个email发
order confirmation,到今天还没受到。
我想问问大家,是不是我一定要等到受到他们根据我转发的order confirm来分配一个
refer number,才表示我的10开始处理了。否则我不会突然惊喜地收到他们的check,
是吗?
另外,大家一般都等多久会受到这个确认信啊? |
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W***y 发帖数: 305 | 33 正准备寄辅助材料。存下来的confirmation receipt文件含I-539表(4页)。
confirmation receipt注明“DO NOT send a copy of your e-filed application”,
不知是否指这个I-539表。
诸位都只附上confirmation receipt的首页吗?多谢指点! |
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n*******0 发帖数: 13 | 34 我昨天在CGI系统里打印出了dropbox confirmation letter而且父母也已经把所有资料
交给了中信。 但是今天进入CGI网站开始还能看到dropbox confirmation letter,退
出登录后再进入就看不见了。 有类似的情况的吗? 给客服打电话,他们说只要dropbox
confirmation letter打印出来了就没有关系了,网站上看不看得见不重要,是这样吗
? 多谢。 |
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A*******t 发帖数: 40 | 35 这个新系统实在是够烂啊。。。
好不容易拿到了那个CGI Confirmation Number,让老妈拿着去中信柜台把钱交了 - 大
约是两小时以前。
我现在登录进去,到Step 8,已经可以看到那个缴费收据号码。
可是可是,为啥我一点击“继续”,下一个页面总是告诉我“目前没有可选预约”???
请问大家都是怎么拿到“Drop Off Confirmation”的?
注意到Step 8上写着“注意:缴费以后可能需要一段处理时间,然后申请人才能开始预
约。请耐心等待,谢谢合作。 ” 难道是说我还不够耐心,需要多等一段时间???
那么大家从缴费到拿到Drop Off Confirmation,都花了多长时间呢?
请不吝赐教!谢谢! |
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n**u 发帖数: 322 | 36 老妈去中信送材料,被中信的说我的dropbox confirmation letter有点问题。
老妈是Applicant,她下面有写Post: APPLICATION DROP-OFF SERVICE (免面谈代传递
服务)
老爸是在Step 6把DS160的信息加进去的。 Please click “ Add by Name” if you
have a group/family member (including a child) who needs to apply for a visa
with you.
这步没让选是不是代签。最后出来的dropbox confirmation letter里就没有以下这一
栏Post: APPLICATION DROP-OFF SERVICE (免面谈代传递服务)
中信的人说不对,这样是一个代签,一个面签。
能不能麻烦给老爸老妈两人申请代签的check下,你们的dropbox confirmation letter
上也是这种情况吗?
非常感谢。在线等。 |
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w*****6 发帖数: 203 | 37 请教一个问题:
两个申请人在一个Drop Box Confirmation Letter 上可以吗?老妈是申请人,老爸是
dependent, 他们的UID, 护照号码,和收据编号都在上面,申请费也交了两份。“申
请人签名”一栏两个人签在一起,可以吗?还是两个申请人需要两个Drop Box
Confirmation Letter呢?
现在需要签字好麻烦啊。本来想再查查,可是这个Drop Box Confirmation Letter打印
出来后,再登录后就找不到了。
多谢! |
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s*****l 发帖数: 2776 | 38 5个250GB也confirm了,2个7200转500G也confirm了,但是30个2块钱的就没confirm |
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b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 39 Wall Street: The First Hindenburg Omen Confirmed
The feared Hindenburg Omen was Thursday confirmed in the US stock market as
the number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69, according to The
Wall Street Journal‘s interactive Market Data Center.
“The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective,
not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy.”
The first omen was spotted on August 12th: “The indicator may suggest a
savage equity downturn is imminent,” |
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b*******e 发帖数: 24532 | 40 希望不要sell on high哦。三天之内,今天是第二天,如果今天能够暴涨,就是
confirmation,大盘后市无忧也。 finger crossed! :)
发信人: bigbigbee (大蜜蜂: Phase-Ot), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: aapl突破了??
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 6 13:05:02 2010, 美东)
da pan is waiting for confirmation, it has to happen within 3 days.
Seems like today it will not happen, so it will have 2 days left to do that.
We need a confirmation , otherwise mkt will got into side way or lower.
hehe cross finger, cunzhang.:) |
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i*u 发帖数: 299 | 41 如何confirmed?哪里confirmed?怎样confirmed?
能解释一下不 |
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c******n 发帖数: 911 | 42 email说
you MUST confirm your indication of interest through Fidelity.com
但没看到哪儿有link to confirm.
有已经Confirmed了的吗? |
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J****r 发帖数: 682 | 43 从3月1号开始,一直到3月6号,每天花上3个小时,每天存一点,终于在6号下午搞定。
由于自己用的是喷墨打印机,打印出来的confirmation barcode 有点模糊,就同时申
请了 email 的 confirmation。不知道能不能收到,请多祷告吧。
祝所有申请160的人早日成功 |
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J****r 发帖数: 682 | 44 当时犹豫了,因为怕突然 time out,也不知道下一页是什么,就没有save,结果
confirmation 后面就没有 save 这一个选项了,也不知道用喷墨打印的 confirmation
会不会被拒掉。 |
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ie 发帖数: 1350 | 45 怎么我岳母的最后一步,网页版有条形码,打出pdf来就没了
中信非要条形码的dropbox confirmation letter。
大家的pdf都有条形码么?怎么解决的呢?
她的pdf版本 文件提交信 (Drop Box Confirmation Letter)这样的:
申请人姓名: X Z
UID: XXXXX
护照号码: G4668XXXX
电话号码: +86-0XXXXX
签证类型: Nonimmigrant Visa
文件提交信 (Drop Box Confirmation Letter) |
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t****t 发帖数: 610 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 Reunion 讨论区 】
发信人: tataat (tataat), 信区: Reunion
标 题: 急!dropbox confirmation letter找不到了
关键字: HTYQ
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 3 12:32:57 2013, 美东)
我代替父母上http://www.ustraveldocs.com的帐户,填信息,交钱,然后有了dropbox confirmation letter.但是我无意中点了一下别的选项 “登记文件送达地址”,发现所有的东西都没了,再也回不到原来的页面的。所有的问题都要回答一边,重新输入缴费收据编号显示为invalid number.没有dropbox confirmation letter.
请问如何调出原来的信息?非常感谢! |
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c*******e 发帖数: 121 | 47 很奇怪的事情。
上周六把I-140材料寄到USCIS Dallas的po box,用的是priority box加上signature
confirmation。这样我有两个tracking number,一个是priority box一个是signature
confirmation。
奇怪的是,今天,现实已经寄到了,但是地址却不同。
priority mail的那个tracking 显示,
March 21, 2016 , 6:29 am
Delivered, PO Box
DALLAS, TX 75266
但是,signature confirmation显示的是,
March 21, 2016 , 3:35 pm
Delivered
TUCSON, AZ 85711
signed by H SHIRK
这个是不是表示usps出错了?有什么方法能够找到uscis确认是否收到我的材料了吗?
哪位大侠可以指点一下?
非常感谢 |
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s**********9 发帖数: 23 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 Dreamer 讨论区 】
发信人: smldickzult9 (my gf whips my ass with my sml d), 信区: Dreamer
标 题: confirmed,汉中南郑一幼儿园发生砍伤儿童事件 致7死20余伤 ( (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed May 12 19:19:21 2010, 美东)
发信人: smldickzult9 (my gf whips my ass with my sml d), 信区: NewYork
标 题: confirmed,汉中南郑一幼儿园发生砍伤儿童事件 致7死20余伤 (
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed May 12 19:18:31 2010, 美东)
what the fuck is up with all the people killing kids in china?!!!
发信人: wagmal (超级偶像,工藤静香), 信区: ChinaNews
标 题: confirmed,汉中南郑一幼儿园发生砍伤儿童事件 致7死20余伤 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未 |
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