b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 1 Wall Street: The First Hindenburg Omen Confirmed
The feared Hindenburg Omen was Thursday confirmed in the US stock market as
the number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69, according to The
Wall Street Journal‘s interactive Market Data Center.
“The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective,
not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy.”
The first omen was spotted on August 12th: “The indicator may suggest a
savage equity downturn is imminent,” | v****e 发帖数: 19471 | 2 this is not good.
as
,
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】 : Wall Street: The First Hindenburg Omen Confirmed : The feared Hindenburg Omen was Thursday confirmed in the US stock market as : the number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69, according to The : Wall Street Journal‘s interactive Market Data Center. : “The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective, : not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy.” : The first omen was spotted on August 12th: “The indicator may suggest a : savage equity downturn is imminent,”
| b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 3 打算反弹就烧~好汉不吃眼前亏。。
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】 : this is not good. : : as : ,
| K********g 发帖数: 9389 | 4 所谓的Hindenburg,全是马后炮。根本就没有任何人提前分析出来,况且那些分析的依
据全扯淡
现在就是华尔街来制造混乱而已。
as
,
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】 : Wall Street: The First Hindenburg Omen Confirmed : The feared Hindenburg Omen was Thursday confirmed in the US stock market as : the number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69, according to The : Wall Street Journal‘s interactive Market Data Center. : “The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective, : not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy.” : The first omen was spotted on August 12th: “The indicator may suggest a : savage equity downturn is imminent,”
| v****e 发帖数: 19471 | 5 好像并非如此。
【在 K********g 的大作中提到】 : 所谓的Hindenburg,全是马后炮。根本就没有任何人提前分析出来,况且那些分析的依 : 据全扯淡 : 现在就是华尔街来制造混乱而已。 : : as : ,
| n**2 发帖数: 630 | 6 Hindenburg Omen需要一些要素的,不是凭空的,的确是根据历史总结出来的。但有时
也不灵,只不过人们总会记住它灵的时候。
我对上文也持保留态度。其实股市本质就是混乱的集合。
【在 K********g 的大作中提到】 : 所谓的Hindenburg,全是马后炮。根本就没有任何人提前分析出来,况且那些分析的依 : 据全扯淡 : 现在就是华尔街来制造混乱而已。 : : as : ,
| b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 7 From wiki:
From historical data, the probability of a move greater than 5% to the
downside after a confirmed Hindenburg Omen was 77%, and usually takes place
within the next forty days. The probability of a panic sellout was 41% and
the probability of a major stock market crash was 24%. Though the Omen does
not have a 100% success rate, every NYSE crash since 1985 has been preceded
by a Hindenburg Omen. Of the previous 25 confirmed signals only two (8%)
have failed to predict at least mild (2.0% |
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