t****g
发帖数: 35582 | 1 我不是risk averse呀，我是想当神医的见习护士听了神医的故事想具体了解一下神医
到底是真么练成的。
要有600K+的机会给我归我就归了。大不了混不下去过一年我再跑回来。 |
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e****t
发帖数: 17914 | 3
这都能看出来？我觉得JO的字挺稳的，估计是和贪贪一样risk averse的？哈哈 |
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a**********t
发帖数: 9684 | 4 Well, I feel the difference is really not related to age, or gender, or
marriage status...just depending on one's personality. Of course, talking
about the same person, usually he is less risk-averse when he gets older,
has a family and kids, etc.
Many of my B-school peers were already married and even had kids before they
were enrolled. The two-year program was just a big risk for them to take (
and unfortunately, many didn't land well or could be even laid off due to
the economy these years). |
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G******7
发帖数: 1352 | 5 I just figured out the samples you always mentioned are from business school.
Do you think those guyz are more ambitious than people stick to technical
jobs.
With regards to the chinese people working in the states, I bet the majority
of them are technicians, sceintists, teachers, ....
They are pretty much less risk-averse , conservative , old style and most of
them have the traditional chinese habit: deposit...
they
understand |
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f***5
发帖数: 1569 | 6 life is not just about career.
如果你的点在一切为了工作，为了钱的话，其实最好是根本不要结婚，不要有小孩子，
因为这些都挺耽误精力的。
人生是多姿多彩的，你以为现在好的女孩子这么多这么好找么？你等的了女孩子等不了
。等你功成名就想结婚时你的爱早已经不再了。
哥们，你别总有个心理留在美国就是牛逼，留不住就是傻逼。
国内比美国好玩多了。
要我说，除了少部分有自己的职业目标，努力拼搏的，大部分留在美国的才是LOSER，
图美国竞争小，有个破房子破车就一辈子在这里耗着了。
“更奇怪的是, 大陆人除了"要走自己的路"之外, 还有一句名言 -- "这样活多累啊". 貌
似香港人没有类似的劝告格言, "阻人发达全家死光光" 之类的比较多. 大陆人还很鄙
视香港人的赌徒心态. ”
没什么可奇怪的，大家心态不同。有的人RISK AVERSE, 有的人RISK TAKER,没谁不对的
。不是你喜欢TAKE RISK 所有的人就都要TAKE RISK。
我跟你说，你们岘港人，永远不能理解北京天津的那种没有钱也可以遛鸟，听相声，逛
澡堂子很悠闲的生活的。我也不理解为什么一天到晚非... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 7 (1) I have an English friend--a man with a famous last name (never nosy, I
did not prod), who lived in Japan and US before moving back.
A couple of years ago he visited China on business, and was impressed by
futuristic buildings in Shanghai and Beijing, which he thought was
outlandish. And living standard of Chinese were beyond his imagination, he
confided.
So you do have points.
(2) My belief is China has missed great opportunities, time and again, to
catch up, in terms of living standard--sin... 阅读全帖 |
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c******o
发帖数: 1184 | 8 Will China stay on course?
By Fareed Zakaria, CNN
Events in the Middle East and North Africa are of historic importance, but
the even bigger, long-term story is the rise of China. What path will it
choose at home and abroad in the years ahead?
For decades there has been debate at the highest levels of the Chinese
government about how much to modernize politically to ensure growth and
stave off revolution.
It’s notoriously difficult to analyze the inner workings off the Chinese
Communist Party. ... 阅读全帖 |
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e****e
发帖数: 2740 | 9 He confuses risk aversion under uncertainty with a focus on short-term
profits. |
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b*******n
发帖数: 1267 | 10 中国“剩女”绝不屈服，拒不降低择偶标准
moonlight12321
于2011-10-22 12:15:09翻译 | 已有1922人浏览 | 有8人评论
在如今剩男、剩女数量不断加剧的情况下，剩女总是遭受社会舆论的“狂轰滥炸”。她
们能不能顶住社会压力，维持自己的择偶标准？
Tags:剩男 | 剩女
It's a truth universally acknowledged that a single woman in possession
of wallets and wardrobes must be in want of her wedding.
有一条真理举世皆知，钱包鼓鼓、衣柜满满的单身女性一定在寻觅一个如意郎君。
My friend Carrie Chou, a drop-dead gorgeous, 28-year-old marketing
executive, had her seven-day-vacation booked in advance for an
interchangeable line-up of well-shaved, well... 阅读全帖 |
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n***9
发帖数: 3 | 11 It's a tightrope the Chinese government would rather not walk, with the
sensitive 10th anniversary of Tiananmen Square just gone by. Falun Gong,
however, is pressing its own issues with communist leaders. The sect, a
popular quasi-religious movement gaining followers worldwide, desires
official recognition and respect. This has precipitated a power struggle
that has tensions rising.
After being caught off guard by the emerging movement's 25 April 1999 ten-
thousand-plus-member sit-in — a silent ... 阅读全帖 |
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x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 12
Chinese are more risk averse.
So for Chinese, even though the chance of it actually happens is extremely
small, the cost of a Tornado damaging the house still outweighs the cost of
prevention.
For Americans, the chance of a tornado hitting your house is so small that
the cost doesn't justify it. |
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c***z
发帖数: 6348 | 13 老中以为 上藤校就能出人头地
“In fact, this variety of mediocrity is not only socially acceptable but
drilled into children from a young age. It’s not “save lives and heal the
sick” that many hear growing up, but “become a doctor”.
This leads naturally to an entitlement mentality, for what is a title but a
privilege of being? Viscount isn’t something you do. It’s something you
are, either by birth or by favor. Upper-tier corporate titles are similar,
except with “by favor” being common because it must at leas... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 14 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: Military
标 题: 日本牛大发了:年轻人对sex没兴趣了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 28 12:42:37 2013, 美东)
Why have young people in Japan stopped having sex?
What happens to a country when its young people stop having sex? Japan is
finding out… Abigail Haworth investigates
Japanese man and woman lean away from each other
Arm’s length: 45% of Japanese women aged 16-24 are ‘not interested in or
despise sexual contact’. More than a quarter of men feel the same way.
Photogr... 阅读全帖 |
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H********g
发帖数: 43926 | 15 给熟睡中的小青年闻两种强味道，一种香一种臭，结果都没醒，但是声音可以很有效地
把她们弄醒：
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/05/040518075747.htm
Researchers studied the effects of two scents – the pleasurable peppermint
and offensive pyridine – on six participants in their early 20s.
Over two nights, participants wore an elastic chinstrap to encourage nose
breathing. Researchers presented odors through a tube attached to an air-
dilution device. The odors were tested during moderately deep Stage Two
sleep, deep Stage Four sleep and... 阅读全帖 |
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B****s
发帖数: 1509 | 16 异于常人的人就是outlier. 要么牛比要么煞笔极了。按风险管理的要求，risk averse
的人还是躲远点好吧。
[在 Bensis (Bensis) 的大作中提到：]
：口气很像孔夫子， 那这个老公一定符合那些标准了。离群索居脾气古怪固执眼高于天
：，真牛比人物也！
：........... |
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c**********r
发帖数: 891 | 17 黑暗森林就是把整个宇宙的所有文明都想成极端的risk averse。
现实世界里，一个森林里，一只鸟需要鸣叫求偶，明知叫声可能引来掠食者，伊也要叫
，不能因为有风险就放弃了好处。
同理，如果宇宙广播有一定概率联系到善意的文明（或者发展水平相近资源又互补的文
明），那么宇宙广播带来的贸易好处很可能大于遭到打击的坏处。认为全宇宙都在瑟瑟
发抖的躲着，太极端了。
更何况文明发展了星际航行就可以开分基地，拿一个分基地做宇宙广播台，隐藏主基地
的位置，也是完全可行的。
近。 |
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c**********r
发帖数: 891 | 18 西班牙探索美洲的时候，它知道自己不会在世界的尽头遇到吞食一切的海怪？——如果
一个高级文明资源紧缺，它又不极端risk averse，它当然有可能出发探索世界寻找新
的资源，等它把整个有限世界探明了，它就可以确切地知道自己是世界老大了，同时把
其他低级文明技术锁死统统扔到保留地去让他们开赌场为生。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 19 嘿嘿嘿嘿~
Freakonomics
Monkey Business
By STEPHEN J. DUBNER and STEVEN D. LEVITT
Published: June 5, 2005
Keith Chen's Monkey Research
Adam Smith, the founder of classical economics, was certain that humankind's
knack for monetary exchange belonged to humankind alone. ''Nobody ever saw
a dog make a fair and deliberate exchange of one bone for another with
another dog,'' he wrote. ''Nobody ever saw one animal by its gestures and
natural cries signify to another, this is mine, that yours; I am willing ... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 20 The Story of Art
author: E.H. Gombrich
http://www.amazon.com/The-Story-Art-16th-Edition/dp/071483355X/
这本书我其实买了已经很久了，但就象我的很多书一样，经常并不是买了以后就都马上
看完的。经常会因为各种各样的原因，我会从一本书跳到另一本书，然后会再跳回来接
着读之前没有读完的那本书，期间还有可能再穿插几本厕所读物。。
言归正传，这几天又把这本书拎出来翻了，写得实在是非常非常吸引人啊！一句话总结
，就是一本写给对艺术存有一点好奇心的门外汉们看的通俗读物。
作为一本六十多年前首次出版的经典读物，这本书以非常直白生动的语言讲述了从远古
艺术到现代艺术的发展史。其实，它远不只是讲述的艺术史，它还讲了很多各个时代的
社会文化背景，更有意思的是作者看待艺术的角度和眼光，充满了辩证的哲学的智慧。
摘录一段：
There really is no such thing as Art. There are only artists. Once these
were men who took colou... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 21 The Story of Art
author: E.H. Gombrich
http://www.amazon.com/The-Story-Art-16th-Edition/dp/071483355X/
这本书我其实买了已经很久了，但就象我的很多书一样，经常并不是买了以后就都马上
看完的。经常会因为各种各样的原因，我会从一本书跳到另一本书，然后会再跳回来接
着读之前没有读完的那本书，期间还有可能再穿插几本厕所读物。。
言归正传，这几天又把这本书拎出来翻了，写得实在是非常非常吸引人啊！一句话总结
，就是一本写给对艺术存有一点好奇心的门外汉们看的通俗读物。
作为一本六十多年前首次出版的经典读物，这本书以非常直白生动的语言讲述了从远古
艺术到现代艺术的发展史。其实，它远不只是讲述的艺术史，它还讲了很多各个时代的
社会文化背景，更有意思的是作者看待艺术的角度和眼光，充满了辩证的哲学的智慧。
摘录一段：
There really is no such thing as Art. There are only artists. Once these
were men who took colou... 阅读全帖 |
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k***n
发帖数: 11247 | 22 有些人是responsibility-averse 的 |
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f****n
发帖数: 3036 | 23 银行投资当然没有这么简单，有很多监管以及 capital requirement. 他们的
weighted risk都是有管制的，不像个人投资者可以简单追求sharpe ratio和
efficiency frontier。考虑到投资horizon，rolling 30 年balanced portfolio低于
名义3%的可能性太小了。
不过可以理解楼主比较risk averse，所以选择符合自己的risk profile都是可以理解
的。对于已经赢了这个游戏的投资者，继续玩的动力当然是增加margin of safety，股
票和某些bond，tips提供了很好的inflation hedge，楼主可以考虑。
：要那么肯定，银行自己干吗不干呢？自住房不需要租客，改善自己生活，但大小对不
同的人不一样，所以，能稳定5年住一个地方，贷款买一个和出租房相似（至少cost）的
：房子却是值得。。。超出自己能力的贷款就难说了。至于出租房，能稳定保证return
超出贷款的利息，还要有rainy day的计划和自己喜欢和房客打交道，当然可以。。。 |
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A*********R
发帖数: 11847 | 24 去年两猫3月十八号打得vaccine,一通下来林林种种加上给多多治ear mite，两娃要
fleas control 的药,花了老妈我四百大洋,刻骨铭心，决定再也不去这个vet 了。 更
心痛的是蜜咪对vaccine 有反应，回家后两天不吃不喝，老妈我给她灌baby milk
replacer,灌水，同时吓个半死，当时想着以后再也不打这鬼针了。
最终理智战胜感情，第一次的rabies只管一年，至少这个还是要打得。 早就瞄上了
petco超便宜的两星期一次的vaccine event, 还正好今天3月19号有，老妈我和着两娃
决定再视死如归一次。
两个carrier被LD放到garage最高的一个架子上,上面还压了不少杂物，好不容易搭梯子
取下来已出了一头汗，才刚刚开始就知此行不易了。清灰，放毯子吹吹和玩具进笼子，
还备了水和针头怕万一要灌水。两猫一番挣扎不用多说，12点上路了。 蜜咪一路小苗
苗叫，多多大多时间没声，肉尔奥一声，就是在笼子了闹出不少动静想出来，不理。
到了petco,一手一个carrier进去，找到长队排上，前面大概有7.8 个各色的狗随着主
人排着，没见一个带猫的，... 阅读全帖 |
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s****t
发帖数: 17096 | 25 首先俺养狗不是老手，只不过俗话说久病成医，针对某种类型的狗我也算见识过了。想
分享一下感受。参考对象是十岁的雪纳瑞和快两岁的柴犬。说之前先来个disclaimer：
以下说的都是个人观点，狗跟狗的情况不同，所以不同的狗有不同的最好的方法，另外
不知道会写多长，如果太长可以跳着看。
养狗的时候也看了不少的资料，多半是网上的，也看过各种视频，我觉得这是新狗主应
该做的事情，跟买车一样，买之前即便自己有了喜欢的车类型，最好也是把当年所有的
车款都阅览一遍，说不定会有新的发现。我想大家都应该同意的一段话是，没有一种训
练方法是最佳的适合你自己的狗的方法。每个狗都是不同的个体不同的性格，只有你最
了解。当然这还要插一句，到底什么算作training。我个人是反对training的，当然除
非狗将来是打算去参赛走秀或者做service dog或者有别的狗生的安排。如果是家庭宠
物，或者家庭伴侣的话，那么我支持minimum training。但是有些training是潜移默化
的，人和狗相处的时间长对狗就是一种training，因为我的狗会read我的语气和表情，
我也会read他的表情和姿态。所... 阅读全帖 |
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m**********g
发帖数: 342 | 26 姑娘，我以前给你提过建议的。你来这么久了，也知道这里好多就是闲得灌水的说话很
尖刻，但我是真的不能理解你为啥宁可忍受这些尖嘴薄舌，而不去自己实施一些努力？
现在这些大老爷们一个比一个现实着呢，不少都是risk averse,搬运风险比较高，所以
需要有更大的收益来弥补才行。与其邻渊羡鱼，不如退而结网。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 27 约炮的或者找casual relationship的请止步，我思想老旧慢热，做事极其谨慎risk-
averse，不适合你。而且我这人玩不起，你如果想要轻松的炮友关系，我肯定是相反的
例子。所以，请放过我，也放过你自己。
我33岁，164cm，athletic身材，长相不化妆时是普通人。离异，没孩子这辈子也不准
备要孩子（介意的请绕行，人世间三观很多种，我只需要找合适的，你也是）。
professional，职业还可以。
希望你：40岁以下，有professional工作，172cm以上，不胖（prefer fit的，我自己
很fit），相貌端正。你可以有孩子，但希望不超过一个，孩子归前妻。
如果觉得合适，请站内。我很慢热谨慎，如果你需要特别快的关系，我可能不适合。 |
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a*f
发帖数: 5682 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 PhotoForum 讨论区 】
发信人: alf (sometimes NNBB), 信区: PhotoForum
标 题: 摘录The Story of Art全书的前三段.
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Nov 14 02:36:42 2010, 美东)
这是E.H. Gombrich的The Story of Art的前三段(第三段的部分). 摘下来说不定能引
起一些版友的兴趣, 去找这本经典
来看看. 我自己辛苦码了这么多字就厚着脸皮m了
There really is no such thing as Art. There are only artists. Once these
were men who took coloured earth
and roughed out the forms of a bison on the wall of a cave; today some buy
their paints, and design posters
for hoardings; they did and do many other t... 阅读全帖 |
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n********n
发帖数: 8336 | 29 http://www.bhagavad-gita.us/summary-of-the-bhagavad-gita/
The Bhagavad-gita opens with blind King Dhritarashtra requesting his
secretary, Sanjaya, to narrate the battle between his sons, the Kauravas,
and their cousins, the Pandavas. Lord Krishna, the Supreme Personality of
Godhead, out of affection for His devotee, the Pandava prince Arjuna, has
agreed to drive his chariot. As Arjuna takes up his bow and prepares to
fight, he sees the sons of Dhritarashtra drawn in military array and
requests i... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****w
发帖数: 2065 | 30 呵呵，其实现代经济学理论也已经把心理学理性化，从而来解释这些现象了。这里的问
题在于两者的假设不同。
Becker假设的叫relative risk aversion，就是财富越多，人越不愿意承担风险。
而后者的假设则不同，高管比穷人更爱好风险。心理满足和刺激感只是风险偏好的来源
之一。在经济学上，只要把它们假设为外生变量（exogenous），就都能很轻松地解释了
。
them) |
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t*******n
发帖数: 4445 | 31 Re forgiveness, there seems to be 2 social attitudes:
1. "Hate the sin, love the sinner."
Corruption itself is not forgivable, but leniency should be shown to those
caught doing it, especially if nobody is directly hurt and the person reforms.
2. "Hate the sinner, love the sin"
On one hand people want to punish the sinners as severe as possible,
preferably with death penalty. On the other hand they don't have much moral
aversion of behaving in the same way, when given the chance.
Sorry |
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 32 November 12, 2010
For Catholics, Interest in Exorcism Is Revived
By LAURIE GOODSTEIN
The rite of exorcism, rendered gory by Hollywood and ridiculed by many
modern believers, has largely fallen out of favor in the Roman Catholic
Church in the United States.
There are only a handful of priests in the country trained as exorcists, but
they say they are overwhelmed with requests from people who fear they are
possessed by the Devil.
Now, American bishops are holding a conference on Friday and Saturda... 阅读全帖 |
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C****i
发帖数: 1776 | 33 CHAPTER 9
OF FREE WILL
1. God hath endued the will of man with that natural liberty, that it is nei
ther forced, nor, by any absolute necessity of nature, determined to good, o
r evil.
2. Man, in his state of innocency, had freedom, and power to will and to do
that which was good and well pleasing to God; but yet, mutably, so that he m
ight fall from it.
3. Man, by his fall into a state of sin, hath wholly lost all ability of wil
l to any spiritual good accompanying salvation: so as, a natural m... 阅读全帖 |
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C****i
发帖数: 1776 | 34 CHAPTER IX
Of Free Will
I. God hath endued the will of man with that natural liberty, that it is nei
ther forced, nor, by any absolute necessity of nature, determined to good, o
r evil.[205]
II. Man, in his state of innocency, had freedom, and power to will and to do
that which was good and well pleasing to God;[206] but yet, mutably, so tha
t he might fall from it.[207]
III. Man, by his fall into a state of sin, hath wholly lost all ability of w
ill to any spiritual good accompanying salvation:... 阅读全帖 |
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R*o
发帖数: 3781 | 35 Defining Calvinism
In spite of many differences of opinion among Calvinists today, Calvinism is
generally explained by the acronym, TULIP. Philip F. Congdon writes that "a
tulip is a beautiful flower, but bad theology. The fruit of the flower is a
ppealing; the fruit of the theology is appalling . . . works, as an inevitab
le result, are necessary for salvation. To be fair, Classical Calvinists usu
ally object to this by describing the gospel message as not `faith + works =
justification,' but `... 阅读全帖 |
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s***u
发帖数: 1911 | 36 谬误来源：The Westminster Confession of Faith
The Westminster Confession of Faith declares: "Our first parents ... became
dead in sin, and wholly defiled in all the faculties and parts of soul and b
ody ... wholly inclined to all evil .... Man, by his fall into a state of si
n, hath wholly lost all ability of will to any spiritual good accompanying s
alvation ... being altogether averse from that good, and dead to sin, is not
able by his own strength, to convert himself, or to prepare himself thereun... 阅读全帖 |
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s***u
发帖数: 1911 | 37 The Westminster Confession of Faith declares: "Our first parents ... became
dead in sin, and wholly defiled in all the faculties and parts of soul and
body ... wholly inclined to all evil .... Man, by his fall into a state of
sin, hath wholly lost all ability of will to any spiritual good accompanying
salvation ... being altogether averse from that good, and dead to sin, is
not able by his own strength, to convert himself, or to prepare himself
thereunto." 65 |
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s***u
发帖数: 1911 | 38 The Westminster Confession of Faith declares: "Our first parents ... became
dead in sin, and wholly defiled in all the faculties and parts of soul and
body ... wholly inclined to all evil .... Man, by his fall into a state of
sin, hath wholly lost all ability of will to any spiritual good accompanying
salvation ... being altogether averse from that good, and dead to sin, is
not able by his own strength, to convert himself, or to prepare himself
thereunto." 65 |
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C*****e
发帖数: 367 | 39 【 以下文字转载自 Church 俱乐部 】
发信人: CCBible (神同在圣经), 信区: Church
标 题: Glossary to the Westminster Confession
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Apr 24 21:16:33 2012, 美东)
Glossary to the Westminster Confession
Explanations of all archaic and uncommon words, usages, and expressions, in
the order in which they occur.
Title Confession. n. Public statement of religious beliefs.
1.1 Providence. n. Divine care. Manifest. v. Show. Are they. idiom. T
hey are. Unto. prep. With regard to. Sundry. adj. Separate. D... 阅读全帖 |
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T*****n
发帖数: 2456 | 40 Onan’s Onus
A sidebar in W. Bradford Wilcox’s “The Facts of Life & Marriage”
by David Mills
Though opposition to contraception is now widely thought to be a “Catholic
thing,” the great Reformers rejected it as strongly as any modern Catholic.
For earlier Christians, children were such a great gift from God and
sterility such a curse that the evil of willed sterility was self-evident.
As Martin Luther wrote in his Lectures on Genesis, in Genesis “fertility
was regarded as an extraordinary blessin... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****a
发帖数: 38403 | 41 数据网上很多，自己找呗, 至于希特勒是基督徒的证据就更多了，给大师摘几段他自己
的话，请大师自己慢慢欣赏， 我奏先不奉陪了
“The anti-Semitism of the new movement (Christian Social movement)
was based on religious ideas instead of racial knowledge.”
[Adolf Hitler, "Mein Kampf", Vol. 1, Chapter 3]
“I believe today that I am acting in the sense of the Almighty
Creator. By warding off the Jews I am fighting for the Lord’s work.”
[Adolph Hitler, Speech, Reichstag, 1936]
“I have followed [the Church] in giving our party program the
character of unalterable fina... 阅读全帖 |
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