w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 1 May 18 (Bloomberg) -- Credit-default swaps soared as a move by German Chanc
ellor Angela Merkel to ban speculation on European government bonds with the
contracts sparked anxiety among investors about increasing government regul
ation.
The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index Series 14, which investo
rs use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditwo
rthiness, climbed 12.17 basis points to a mid-price of 120.67 basis points i
n New York, according to Markit G |
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d****a
发帖数: 2901 | 2 I stop speculating long time ago. Nothing can do more damage than
speculation. |
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j*****h
发帖数: 3292 | 3 我cylical/speculative 就一个sblk
前阵子想进BP，因为BP现在不算是投资股了，speculative账户满了，就没有进
总仓位 空仓40%
那个slimcan说得合理，就是过份悲观了些
还是要防一下secular bear mkt |
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G*******m
发帖数: 16326 | 4 谢谢包子。
从形而上学的观点来看，speculating 同 stable income是矛盾的。
从辩证的观点来看，stable income是要求speculating 来保证的。
和平需要战争的能力来维持。
现在银行的存款利率这么低，你说15%的return是stable income？
还是老话，
if something is too good to be true, it really is.
股票按股票做，CD按CD去做。 |
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m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 5 speculating by day volume %.
and I observed the whole chain for each one include events, news
and iv, hv graph.
and of course, underlying graph.
the dark the color, the more I feel there are quite some speculators.
other then market maker hedging/arbitrageur arbitraging/institution
hedging. |
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m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 6 green， bullish speculative option activity.
red, bearish speculative option activity.
the darker, the more apparent in pattern.
ignore those without color.
better use TA and news together, I don't have time to make the
spreadsheet more detailed. |
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j*****7
发帖数: 4348 | 7 Western Refining’s (WNR) junk bonds are worth the risk
August 16, 2010
Tags: energy, financial theory, Investing
I have a certain weakness in my heart for junk bonds. Junk bonds, of course,
are bonds with a sub-investment grade credit rating, and they can range
from just barely on the cusp of investment grade to the point where the
purchaser would have to be crazy to consider them. As Ben Graham wrote, an
ordinary bond investor should never buy them, and speculators prefer a more
speculative med |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 8 speculative stock is for speculative play. risk is high. don't over exposed. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 9
See the problem is you are just a clueless speculator w/ a fat goose egg
understanding of gold / silver fundamentals (as shown in your "silver has
no industrial usage" ranting).
You kind of speculators are the banks' favorite targets. They know every
time they engineer a paper sell-off you are gonna run for cover b/c you
have no clue what's going on. The less your kind traders in gold / silver
market, the easier we real investors eventually nail these banks. |
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s******v
发帖数: 4495 | 10 一条旧新闻，比较make sense，IBM, Dell, ORCL, HPQ都可能出手买BRCD，因为他的产
品线的确非常诱人，而且Market Cap + Debt不到 $4B。如果说，他们唯一的担心，就
是一旦有人出offer，其他人可能bid，陷入一场bid大战。就像美女，追的人少一样。
Brocade rumor gives more juice to M&A speculation
5:03p ET September 22, 2010 (MarketWatch)
SAN FRANCisco (MarketWatch) The tech M&A fever spewed more heat Wednesday
as shares of Brocade Communications rose sharply on speculation of a
potential buyout deal with IBM Corp.
Brocade shares were up 61 cents, or 10.8%, to close at $6.26 on rumors,
incl |
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g*****0
发帖数: 887 | 11 It is heart-wrenching when you hear stories of investors losing their life
savings for avoidable reasons. A recent story in Bloomberg BusinessWeek
about Leona Miller, an 84-year-old retired beautician who invested in
derivatives, got me thinking of ways people lose money in stocks and how to
avoid them.
1. Investing in a product or business you don't understand
Leona Miller bought a structured note called a "reverse convertible note
with a knock-in put option tied to Merck stock." Even I was un... 阅读全帖 |
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w******s
发帖数: 16209 | 12 NEW YORK—Despite disappointment in the stock market over Apple Inc.'s
quarterly earnings, options traders were putting on bets Tuesday that the
stock might climb over $320 as soon as Friday.
Apple reported Monday afternoon that its fiscal fourth-quarter profit surged
70%, but its stock fell 2.7% to $309.49 Tuesday as the company's gross
margin and iPad sales numbers failed to meet analyst expectations.
Nevertheless, options traders bought an elevated number of October $320
calls Tuesday priced a... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******e
发帖数: 432 | 13 i am going to buy Nov deep out of money calls to speculate next Monday. I
believe the short term correction is almost done.However, remember you are only in to speculate not to invest in this company since it almost has nothing. |
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m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 14 你信仰价值投资没人CARE，但是贬低speculator就无聊了，贬低挂羊头卖狗肉的伪价值投资，
不要误伤speculator。 |
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s********u
发帖数: 1054 | 15 Deal on Ireland's euro85B bailout could come Sunday
Irish official says EU-IMF loan deal could come Sunday, rejects report of
high interest rate
ShareretweetEmailPrintTopics:InternationalEconomy, Government & Policy
In this photo taken on Nov. 25 2010 an exit sign hangs beside a sign from
the Bank of Ireland at one of its branches in Central Dublin, Ireland.
Senior bonds of Allied Irish Banks and Bank of Ireland slumped Friday, Nov.
26, 2010, amid concern the government will force holders of suc... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******n
发帖数: 150 | 16 上面的明白了，又让我填投资经验
Stocks 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Stocks To qualify to trade Stocks in a Cash account, your Investment
Objectives must include one of the following: Income, Growth, Trading
Profits, Speculation or Hedging.
Bonds 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Bonds To qualify to trade Bonds in a Cash account, your Investment
Object... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******n
发帖数: 150 | 17 上面的明白了，又让我填投资经验
Stocks 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Stocks To qualify to trade Stocks in a Cash account, your Investment
Objectives must include one of the following: Income, Growth, Trading
Profits, Speculation or Hedging.
Bonds 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Bonds To qualify to trade Bonds in a Cash account, your Investment
Object... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******n
发帖数: 150 | 18 上面的明白了，又让我填投资经验
Stocks 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Stocks To qualify to trade Stocks in a Cash account, your Investment
Objectives must include one of the following: Income, Growth, Trading
Profits, Speculation or Hedging.
Bonds 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 - 10 > 10 0 1 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 > 100
0 Choose One Extensive Good Limited
Bonds To qualify to trade Bonds in a Cash account, your Investment
Object... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 19 December 9, 2010
Day Trading Still Alive, Outsourced to China
By DAVID BARBOZA
¶ BEIJING — Before the opening bell sounded on the New York Stock
Exchange on a recent Tuesday, a group of fresh college graduates clocked in
at a small trading firm on the outskirts of this capital city.
¶ They were hired to engage in rapid-fire stock trading with some of
the world’s most powerful investment houses in New York, London and Tokyo,
and they were instructed to be alert.
¶ “The market could... 阅读全帖 |
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C*******i
发帖数: 2131 | 20 同学们，别瞎投资了
攒钱买二代超薄“护垫”吧
Tired of Verizon-iPhone speculation? We have some iPad 2 speculation to mix
it up.
Digg founder Kevin Rose says he has it "on good authority" that Apple will
be announcing iPad 2 in the next 3-4 weeks, possibly February 1.
He also says it will have front and back cameras and a sharper screen.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/ipad-2-3-4-weeks-2011-1#ixzz1Adrymvyp |
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n****n
发帖数: 36 | 21 当道琼斯指数在1929年末达到了300点左右的最高位时，用 Hussman 的模型估算出的股
市未来十年的平均回报率是负值。之后道琼斯指数下降了一半、到了150点，那时估算
出的股市未来十年的年平均回报率是10%。可是此后两年股市继续下跌了三分之二，
1932年道琼斯指数在不到50点时触底，从顶到底总共下降了80%多。
股市经过了几年的强劲反弹，在1937年3月道琼斯指数回升到了194点，用模型估算出的
股市未来十年的平均回报率是6%，Shiller P/E 值是23。当时凯恩斯断定“在我们的时
代不会再有股市暴跌了”（"We will not have any more crashes in our time." ）
。他说到做到，除了全资购买股票之外，还借用了融资。不料道琼斯指数在之后的一年
里又下跌了大约一半，1938年3月，道琼斯指数回降到了100点，凯恩斯的投资损失了三
分之二。
这时候，模型估算出的股市未来十年的平均回报率增加到了14%，道琼斯指数在之后的8
个月里上涨了50%，然后在后面的几年里又经历了数次20-30%之间的起伏震荡。
凯恩斯总结自己炒股赔钱的教训时说,“... 阅读全帖 |
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w**********l
发帖数: 8501 | 22 .March 2, 2011
The iPad2 Steve Jobs intrigue
Business and Economics Correspondent Rebecca Jarvis reports consumer
speculation centers around look, feel of new product, will Steve Jobs appear
at the event
The i(Pad)s of March: Apple plans tablet event
(CBS News) The i(Pad)s of March: Apple plans tablet eventAll things Apple
are in the spotlight as the company is slated to release the "iPad 2" in San
Francisco today.
But there's more going on at the company than just the release of a new
product.... 阅读全帖 |
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f**********8
发帖数: 326 | 23 美国现在实际上处于两难的境地，油价和美元指数向来都是成反比。一个弱的美元指数
有利于美国把自己欠的债的抹掉。现在美国政府到处消减开支，就是为了减少债务。所
以从减少债务的方面来说，高到一定程度的油价是有利的。但是从另外一个方面来说，
高油价对经济的增长有一定的副作用，并且会加大通胀。特别在美国现在经济复苏的初
期，不是特别有利的，因此美国也不会让油价增加的太快。看看美国主流媒体的论断，
你就会发现这帮人在找各种理由给油价降温，意思就是你们这些搞speculation的人给
我缓点，不要把油价炒作的太快了。根据这些，我分析油价会稳中有涨，缓缓开进。这
BIOF这次应该会被炒作个一两次吧，赚了就跑。乙醇汽油都是克林顿时代的特殊产物，
忽悠人的。这BIOF只适合speculation，过了这个热点就赶紧抄下个热点吧，万不可停
留。
不会这
搞一搞阶级斗争，美帝就真的揭不开锅了？就个股说, BIOF用玉米制酒精,不知道粮食
涨了之后利润会不会缩水 |
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s*****r
发帖数: 1745 | 24 The board of directors has determined that speculators such as GOGOi will be
banned forever from investing or speculating in CREE starting today due to
her unwillingness to participate in the stock movement last week. |
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l***n
发帖数: 812 | 25 不好意思，刚刚看到您的回复。
其实REIT是一个不容易投资的板块，大有your bet is as good as mine的意思，原因
呢主要是，
1.作为个人投资者很难衡量REIT投资经理的水平，机构投资者还有机会和REIT的管理层
面谈。投资经理的经验，已经公司管理REIT的能力是很重要的。90%的taxable income
必须发出去，发少了就会造成tax penalties.
2.适用于个人和机构：REIT的投资组合风险评估很困难，10-K/Q上最多告诉你一个大概
，也就是60%是Gov agency backed residential，20% non-gov back residential, 10
% commercial，光看这些只能知道个大概，具体的风险不容易在这个portfolio
allocation中看出来。
3. leverage: leverage的成本，leverage的程度对盈利和风险都有很大影响，但是至
少我很难找到这样的数据。
但是投资REIT，也有些数据可以作为考量依据：
1, operating expense：这个数据反映了公司的运营效率，... 阅读全帖 |
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c*********o
发帖数: 8367 | 26 我的一点炒股体会 www.6park.com
狭义上来说，人生下来就是一场不得不参加的金钱游戏。 www.6park.com
看到有些同学跟我一样喜欢做股票交易，很想跟同学们沟通一下心得体会，希望我们能
在今后的交易中作的更好一点，尽可能的少走弯路，尽可能的避免犯错误。 www.6park
.com
一、学习学习再学习 www.6park.com
炒股也好炒汇也好，不管是投资还是投机，这一行跟其他359行从本质上是一样的，那
就是需要花时间和精力去学习。我们知道，There are only two things you can
invest:Time and Money. Since most people do not invest much time,they lose
their money.在投入我们的bloody money之前，先问问自己我们投入了多少时间学习，
我的经验是，如果投入学习的时间越少，那么忍受套牢的时间越长。 www.6park.com
充分必要的学习可能不足以使我们赚大钱，但至少可以使我们不赔大钱。 www.6park.
com
关于该学点什么？这个范围就... 阅读全帖 |
|
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a*****e
发帖数: 1717 | 28 most of these thoughts are not original. There are millions of bright minds tried and
trying to find a gold mine in the market, so I started to learn from what
they learned first instead of finding gold mine on my own. A golden copycat
is far beyond most ppl's target.
I can't agree more on those quotes mostly.
follow the trend. I focused previously on counter-trend with very high
winning rate (close to 90%). But the drawback for that is:
usually counter-trend means more confidence, it's very eas... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****e
发帖数: 1717 | 29 check my post on silver cot.
cot shows net long for speculators decreased by 26% last week.
but statistically, even speculators like hedge funds are not
the smartest money.
surprisingly, commercial hedgers are. |
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a*****e
发帖数: 1717 | 30 Of course, I did not deny derivatives are negative sum game.
it's common sense.
I was comparing the transaction cost.
You are describing some philosophy which I don't share.
most ppl claimed to be stock investors are no more than long term speculators.
I agree, speculations in commodities often manipulate the price and often bring the cost of productions higher.
They have no intention to lower/take the risk of producers/consumers but just profit-seeker
storage |
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a*****e
发帖数: 1717 | 31 You are simply wrong about it.
The cost is taken by bull or bear, never both. depends on it
Backswam or contango, and it will be offset when you
Liquid your position. No matter it's cost or premium.
Commodities are short term for speculators in nature.
You won't feel the cost or premium as it's smaller than spread
Within your holding period.
Of course, it's a different story for commercials.
Actually, speculators with big capital sometimes are
Willing to take the delivery with huge storage cost ... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 32 When pro speaks you listen.
==========================================================
By Dan Norcini.
If you want to have a visual to go along with that discussion, I am
providing it here in the form of this chart.
First of all, the hedge fund category (Managed Money), has been steadily
liquidating their long positions in silver for some time now and that
continued this past week. The result is that their overall net long position
is now at levels last seen in this category dating back to the l... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 33 Perhaps it is a little far fetched to say Keynesian theories on Fiscal and Monetary polices have any direct impact on the namesake's own speculation activities. But, Keynes was a very successful investor/speculator. In fact, he is well recognized as one of the pioneers on the game-theoretic aspect of markets. You can google under words "Keynesian, Beauty Contest." |
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j*****h
发帖数: 3292 | 34 purely QE3 speculation?
Gold up, Silver up, Future up, USD down down
可是QE3 有个问题哟
吃上了妈啡的，口味要越来越重，才能保持最初的刺激度
现在都在speculate,就不会有惊艳的效果了
那QE3真出来，相比QE1，QE2 得多少钱？ |
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m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 35 I don't want to get into the meaningless argue of TA and FA, or XA. As a
retail speculator(I never think the it’s the holding term that separate
speculators and investors), to choose TA has subjective and objective
reason.
There is a wild spectral to make money in nowadays market. Futures/spot,
Futures calendar spread, different futures spread, ETF and underlying,
currencies triangles, volatility, dividend arbitrage, macro, co-
integrated pairs, regression analysis, sentiment, momentum, statisti... 阅读全帖 |
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m*****u
发帖数: 5534 | 36 Greece Announces New Measures to Close Budget Gap
By NIKI KITSANTONIS
Published: September 11, 2011
ATHENS — With foreign creditors and global markets piling pressure on
Greece to meet the conditions of an international bailout and stave off a
default that would shake the euro zone, the debt-ridden government announced
further budget cuts on Sunday and introduced a one-time property tax, even
as thousands of Greeks protested months of austerity.
The announcement of the new fiscal measures, made ... 阅读全帖 |
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l******i
发帖数: 1404 | 37 No, overall the result is good. Look here:
Former IBM’er and Annex Research director Bob Djurdjevic writes in a brief
note that it is the predictable “sell on the news” behavior of Wall Street
this afternoon.
IBM’s results are “solid as a rock,” he writes. But speculators “had
hyped up the stock to a new all-time high ($190.53) on Friday in advance of
today’s earnings release,” he writes. As a consequence, “Wall Street
could not be bothered with facts. It had already made up its mind to sell
no... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 38 International Business Machines (IBM) shares are down $6.94, or almost 4%,
at $179.65 despite the company beating Q3 EPS estimates and raising its year
outlook.
What’s the problem?
Former IBM’er and Annex Research director Bob Djurdjevic writes in a brief
note that it is the predictable “sell on the news” behavior of Wall Street
this afternoon.
IBM’s results are “solid as a rock,” he writes. But speculators “had
hyped up the stock to a new all-time high ($190.53) on Friday in advance of
today’s ... 阅读全帖 |
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X*********r
发帖数: 11803 | 39 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-25/biggest-gold-hoard-eve
Gold traders are more bullish after investors accumulated the biggest-ever
hoard of the metal, with Europe’s deepening debt crisis driving them to
protect their wealth with this year’s second-best performing commodity.
Eighteen of 26 surveyed by Bloomberg expect bullion to rise next week.
Holdings in exchange-traded products backed by gold reached a record 2,350.8
metric tons on Nov. 23, now valued at $128.5 billion, according to da... 阅读全帖 |
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o*******w
发帖数: 2310 | 40 【 以下文字转载自 MoneyFriends 俱乐部 】
发信人: opiumsnow (谦虚使人进步), 信区: MoneyFriends
标 题: HGSI, GNOM or ROSG
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 26 15:19:24 2012, 美东)
If it feels like there's a little more activity and interest in Human Genome
Sciences (NASDAQ:HGSI), Rosetta Genomics Ltd. (NASDAQ:ROSG), and Complete
Genomics, Inc. (NASDAQ:GNOM), you're not crazy - there is. The fact that
GNOM, HGSI, and ROSG are all up big-time today is proof enough of that
sudden interest, but even on a more subjective level there's cl... 阅读全帖 |
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B****o
发帖数: 1393 | 41 well, you can invest or speculate, and you can do both at the same time. But
when you are playing garbage stocks, you should know that you are
speculating.
Heat got 200% gain within a couple of days, with nifty 50, should take at
least several years. But rich people don't have to risk, they are pretty
much happy with bonds.
Everything has its reasons underneath, you just need to know what you are
doing. |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 42 Zynga (ZNGA) - Speculative Buy
Zynga is the developer, marketer, and operator of several online social
interaction games, which are available on several mainstream platforms. Its
most popular games include Cityville, Farmville, and Mafia Wars. Established
in 2007, the San Francisco-headquartered Zynga made a quick entry to the
stock markets in 2011. Its IPO was initially priced at $10/share.
(Source: Finviz)
At the beginning of February, when Zynga was trading for as high as $13.4, I
suggested i... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 43 EU Official: Greek Exit Plans Discussed
BRUSSELS—The European Commission and the European Central Bank are drawing
up plans should Greece abandon the euro, Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht
said in an interview published Friday, the first time a senior European
Union official has acknowledged such preparations.
The ECB and the commission are "working on emergency scenarios in case
Greece doesn't make it," Mr. De Gucht said in an interview with the Flemish
newspaper De Standaard. Phone calls to M... 阅读全帖 |
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R******a
发帖数: 1195 | 44 Shares of Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN) saw increased strength during Tuesday's
early morning trading session as investors bid up shares on further
speculation that the company may be in the works of selling itself.
There were rumors spreading on Twitter that Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG) could be
looking to acquire Dendreon. Ian Estepan @ianestepan said, "There is nothing
stronger than the hope trade... $CELG for $DNDN making the rounds again..."
any comment on this rumor?
A couple analysts that Benzinga sp... 阅读全帖 |
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a********n
发帖数: 134 | 45 I studied these companies when I decided to buy and learn call option.
No comment about AMRN, which is pure speculation. Anything can happen.
HZNP:
Long: drug is approved and ready for marketing.
Short:
1. company's financial strength, it is better now after another dilution:) 2
. The drug is not very novel because it is a combination of ibuprofen and
famotidine, which patients can buy Over the counter with MUCH cheaper price.
3. no guarantee for insurance coverage due to #2.
SPPI:
Long: excell... 阅读全帖 |
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m*****g
发帖数: 3029 | 46
Buying stock is for speculation
speculate that price will move up.
investors can simply short if
the stocks are not performing well. |
|
z****w
发帖数: 621 | 47 Insiders are buying at AK Steel Holding Corporation (AKS : 3.87, -0.135).
Since November 22, 2012 five executives and directors bought 129,000 shares
for a total of $666,862.
"Options traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) and Chicago
Board Options Exchange (CBOE) have bought to open 3,376 calls during the
past five sessions, compared to only 100 puts. In other words, speculators
have snapped up 33.76 times more calls than puts over the course of the last
week."
A quick review o... 阅读全帖 |
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u********e
发帖数: 4950 | 48 大赞 "缺少驱动经济增长的投资"
其实QE 就是驱动金融系统的钱流入风险更高的投资, 但这些投资是要回报的,没有经济
增长, 这些回报从哪来? 现在除了房地产和医疗保健相关公司的收入有较大增长趋势
外， 大部分公司还是通过提高自身效率， 降低金融杠杆来确保赢利增长， 这种
增长是不可持续的．
所以也不能排除QE 持续时间长了后不会产生第二个投资泡沫: 从fed拿cheap money用
高杠杆的方式投入到低收益项目来增加利润．
In one word, Fed is encouraging risk taking, there is a risk that those risk
taking activities might evolve itself to speculation. Speculation is a evil
cycle, it will eventually lead to another ponzi schema.
:)
FED |
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A*******m
发帖数: 2326 | 49 09/23/2013
Re: New Pick Gets Another "BUY" Rating Today
It just keeps looking Better and Better for this Next Biotech Pick...
Not Only do I have access to a Report from Goldman Small Cap Research that
says this pick could run +300% From it's current price... Another Firm just
Issued a Report This Morning with a "Speculative Buy Rating ".
The Potential Catalyst Just Keep Stacking On... Look at This List:
1. Goldman Gives $2.00 Price Target to This Pick
2. BarChart.com Gives (8) Buy Signals to Thi... 阅读全帖 |
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o********n
发帖数: 1329 | 50 大家不要争了。
靠买卖 TSLA 赚钱 也不比靠买卖 Bitcoin 赚钱高尚。
反正都是投机（speculation）
股票也好， bitcoin 也好，就是个speculation 的 vehicle
当年买郁金香的，现在买Bitcoin 的，你以为都是傻子？
不是这样的， 人可以装傻，可以视而不见，只要不做最后接棒的那个傻子就可以了！
反正，只要不违法，不诈骗，赚了钱了就牛鼻，亏了钱了就是傻鼻。 |
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