d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 1 Full analysis see this link:
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/04/people-who-missed
People Who Missed the Boat (PWMB) during July 2007 - Analysis of EB- India and China
Question was asked in the comment section that how would applications with Priority date before July 2007 who could not file in July 2007 would affect EB2-IC movement for FY 2011. These people are commonly referred as "People Who Missed the Boat (PWMB)" by some people. We earlier thought that these numbers will small per... 阅读全帖 |
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 2 见附图。
上图是PWMB中印分别计算。
下图是最新inventory截图。
计算假设:
1.由inventory看出06年12月之后中印485数明显下降，且呈逐月下降趋势，假设这逐月
下降的人数就是PWMB人数。
2.07年7月突增，主要是NIW在那个月疯狂递交485造成，但PWMB在07年7月应该最多，所
以用上面计算不合理，用估计值。中国250，印度700.
从粗略计算看出，中国有1100多PWMB，印度有将近4000 PWMB，考虑家属等还要更多。
这些人将是下一财年初始几个月inventory的主力。如果本财年最终排期锁定在07年8月
，那么印度inventory在下一财年初就有4000多人，已经大大超过印度2800份内名额，
印度应该在下一财年一开始就倒退，如果奥本不倒退印度，那就是对印度的包庇纵容。
当然如果奥本坚持每月250的缓慢爬升，也有可能把中国EB2也倒退，因为中国EB2在下
一年度初有1100多，也大大超过250。 |
|
J*****i
发帖数: 2622 | 3 Someone posted a link with an estimate of PWMB of approx. 10K through PD Aug
. 2007, including dependents.
Atlanta center almost stopped processing PERM after Feb. 2007, while Chicago
was going smoothly.
Possible to assume that current inventory = Chicago PERM? And therefore PWMB
for those months will be current inventory (assuming Atlanta= Chicago) +
dependent adjustment*2 (for both Atlanta and Chicago)? |
|
w******a
发帖数: 76 | 4 pd: 05/2007, rd: 11/2011, also PWMB, is still waiting. Over five years, what
's torture. Best of us to us PWMB |
|
J*****i
发帖数: 2622 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: Jijiwai (铁蛋宝宝，心情好好), 信区: EB23
标 题: (update) 磕磕碰碰，TSC PWMB终于绿了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Mar 9 11:57:43 2012, 美东)
TSC
PD 6/21/2007
RD 10/5/11
REF 2/11/12
Card Production 3/9/12
从PERM开始就一步一跟头，今天终于card production了。
０３年来美， 0５年开始工作，到０６年才想清楚要办绿卡。跟老板提，老板咨询了律师，回来说０７年年头开始打广告吧，busy season开始了，一个箩卜一个坑，符合条件的申请人少。
无奈憋了小半年，０７年１月开始填材料打广告，之后做我案子的paralegal就没了踪影，怎么发信都不回。 到了六月眼看广告就要过期了，USCIS又开始放水，我暴怒，告到老板那里，和律师，paralegal 电话会议。 小姑娘哭诉说最近搬家，忙不过来。＠－＠。紧赶慢赶在广告过期之前把PERM递上去了，不幸落在Atlanta。当时这个中心的人手都调去搞什... 阅读全帖 |
|
J*****i
发帖数: 2622 | 6 【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: Jijiwai (铁蛋宝宝，心情好好), 信区: EB23
标 题: (update) 磕磕碰碰，TSC PWMB终于绿了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Mar 9 11:57:43 2012, 美东)
TSC
PD 6/21/2007
RD 10/5/11
REF 2/11/12
Card Production 3/9/12
从PERM开始就一步一跟头，今天终于card production了。
０３年来美， 0５年开始工作，到０６年才想清楚要办绿卡。跟老板提，老板咨询了律师，回来说０７年年头开始打广告吧，busy season开始了，一个箩卜一个坑，符合条件的申请人少。
无奈憋了小半年，０７年１月开始填材料打广告，之后做我案子的paralegal就没了踪影，怎么发信都不回。 到了六月眼看广告就要过期了，USCIS又开始放水，我暴怒，告到老板那里，和律师，paralegal 电话会议。 小姑娘哭诉说最近搬家，忙不过来。＠－＠。紧赶慢赶在广告过期之前把PERM递上去了，不幸落在Atlanta。当时这个中心的人手都调去搞什... 阅读全帖 |
|
f****x
发帖数: 121 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: freenx (freenx), 信区: EB23
标 题: PWMB, TSC, RD Oct, 2011, I-485 RFE 求助！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 22 01:29:33 2012, 美东)
终于收到paper RFE了：
“Please submit a photocopy of your official birth certificate. If the
document is not in English, please include a certified English translation.
If a birth certificate does not exist or cannot be obtained, you must
demonstrate this and submit secondary evidence pertinent to the facts at
issue.”
我当初是交了出国前在公证处办的出生公证书，一共四页，两页中文，两页英文。大家
有谁收到类... 阅读全帖 |
|
w***7
发帖数: 5568 | 8 你要是按inventory里数据算，家属的系数就不应该放得太大，因为大潮里的数据已经
包括很多家属。我觉得预测中印共6000 PWMB（包括家属）是比较合理的。
其实要争取明年不浪费名额，必须促成O某9月放水，否则07/07后的日子更加黑暗。 |
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 9 我现在数字没有放家属系数在里面，而且我7月底估计值是按低的估的，07年7月PWMB可
能更多。 |
|
s**m
发帖数: 340 | 10 基本正确，有些小误差。2007年1-4月的应该都能够赶上2011fy的名额。这样一算，中
国的pwmb大概是700，加上印度的大概总共是2840。下财年每个月处理500，预处理大概
4个月，也就是必须在财年开始前预收2000左右的，才不会导致上半年没有绿卡可批地
情况，也就是说，基本估计本财年结束pd应该到07年7月，然后每个月对中国再开放两
三周的进度保证有新的inventory，印度的不好说，有可能收一两个月就得倒退了。 |
|
l****t
发帖数: 12 | 11 PD 6/22/2007
RD 10/25/2011 (被律师拖了3-4个星期才交）
TSC
AP/EAD 11/22/2011
FP 12/01/2011
希望绿潮早日淹没所有的PWMB吧。。。 |
|
t********9
发帖数: 641 | 12 谢谢
另外谢谢版务的鼓励。我们这些PWMB会尽量帮新人答疑解难的。 |
|
l****t
发帖数: 12 | 13 恭喜恭喜！！
希望我们这些还在等待中的PWMB也能尽快绿。 |
|
A******r
发帖数: 296 | 14 总算是时来运转了，本来上周六收到notice的时候想来抢个板上10月485第一绿的，但
是想想当PWMB时的郁闷经历，决定还是等卡到了再说。刚才环顾一下，似乎确实是第一
个上来报告收到卡的10月485。
其实也没啥好庆祝的，熬了4年半，熬到现如今已经都Qualify EB1B了。
下面是时间表：
TSC
PD: 6/15/2007
RD: 10/4/2011
--SR: 11/3/2011 (Inquiry FP notice after 30 days of RD)
FP: 11/18/2011 (Early walk-in, second day after receiving notice)
EAD&AP: 11/30/2011
I-485: 1/7/2012
Card Arrival: 1/13/2012
两点心得：
1）填写485很简单，有问题看I-485 Instruction。根本不需要律师。
2）FP越快walk-in越好，起码我们这里是这样，根本没人看你的schedule日期。
绿卡是在美国生活、工作很重要的一部分，但是不是唯一，祝大家都早日拿到绿卡！ |
|
B****o
发帖数: 8307 | 15 Cong!
总算是时来运转了，本来上周六收到notice的时候想来抢个板上10月485第一绿的，但
是想想当PWMB时的郁闷经历，决定还是等卡到了再说。刚才环顾一下，似乎确实是第一
个上来报告........
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs Lite 7.38 |
|
f****x
发帖数: 121 | 16 同祝福！
我也是PWMB。12号收到email notice RFE，现在也不知道到底要补什么材料。我查了一
下我附近的receipt number，几乎都是RFE，估计是同一个officer干的。
另外，我五年多都在同一个地方工作，啥出生证，结婚证，EVL， 小孩的出生证等等都交了，真想不通还缺什么材料。
ADJUST STATUS
information in this case I485 APPLICATION TO REGISTER PERMANENT RESIDENCE OR
TO ADJUST STATUS. Please follow the instructions on the notice to submit
the requested information. This case will be in suspense until we receive
the evidence or the opportunity to submit it expires. Once we receive the
requested evidence or informatio... 阅读全帖 |
|
t********9
发帖数: 641 | 17 请问你是那个中心？
我的是NSC,我在trackitt上看也找到好几个在我的RD周围的PWMB被RFE.
很奇怪你现在还不知道原因。现在还没有收到notice吗？
都交了，真想不通还缺什么材料。
OR
will |
|
d**u
发帖数: 537 | 18 PWMB TSC
PD: 5/2007
RD: 10/2011
On February 11, 2012, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow
30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we
will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer
service at 1-800-375-528 |
|
d**u
发帖数: 537 | 19 PWMB TSC
PD: 5/2007
RD: 10/2011
On February 11, 2012, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow
30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we
will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer
service at 1-800-375-528 |
|
w******a
发帖数: 76 | 20 05/2007 PD, PWMB, 10/12 RD, TSC, 还有人没有绿吗？只能在版上求大大的祝福.
十一月打了指纹，十二月收到EAD和AP，TSC processing time 还在04/2011,找了本州
的两个senators，和本辖区的congressman，都不管用，人家说的TSC processing time
不到不给处理, TSC不给做SR,同样理由. Infopass做了两次, 人家说你的case一切正常
，叫等。
还有十月的人没绿吗？我黔驴技穷了,请大家帮我想想办法, 我的case是不是stuck在哪
里了？ |
|
B****o
发帖数: 8307 | 21 Bless
05/2007 PD, PWMB, 10/12 RD, TSC, 还有人没有绿吗？只能在版上求大大的祝福.十一
月打了指纹，十二月收到EAD和AP，TSC processing ........
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs Lite 7.39 |
|
c**t
发帖数: 465 | 22 Bless
05/2007 PD, PWMB, 10/12 RD, TSC, 还有人没有绿吗？只能在版上求大大的祝福.十一
月打了指纹，十二月收到EAD和AP，TSC processing ........
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs Lite 7.39 |
|
|
c*m
发帖数: 836 | 24 不容易呀，恭喜。我的PD比你还早一个月，我的PERM是在关闸之后一个星期批的，这一
等就是四年半。想起atlanta center就来气。０８年的时候还没意识到形势的严峻，天
天在这个版上灌水，骂p838, 后来的同学可能不知道，那个什么vertical spill/
horizontal spill的名词就是我发明的，当时还用visio画了个图来表示我的理解。到
０９年上半年年，开始意识到没戏了，也不看移民版了，也不关心排期了，那个时候的
分析都很恐怖，一竿子就捅到十年以后了，所以也懒的想这事儿了，基本上就是爱谁谁
的心态。
当年觉得遥遥无期的，不知不觉也就这么过来了。虽然有很多小同学说，其实我不急着
绿，能交上去排队就行了。只能说你们把现实想的太轻松了，当年PWMB和成千上万的０
７PD＇er们，其实就这么点小小的愿望嘛，有这么简单就好了。关于这个提前提交４８
５的admin fix的建议，都推动无数次了，现在基本上可以肯定是被法律条文绊住了，
没有什么灰色地带可以play。现在我觉得移民局是相当友好的，法律条文的灰色地带，
基本上能可严可松的地方，都尽量松。但是从移民法的角度看，... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*m
发帖数: 836 | 25 不容易呀，恭喜。我的PD比你还早一个月，我的PERM是在关闸之后一个星期批的，这一
等就是四年半。想起atlanta center就来气。０８年的时候还没意识到形势的严峻，天
天在这个版上灌水，骂p838, 后来的同学可能不知道，那个什么vertical spill/
horizontal spill的名词就是我发明的，当时还用visio画了个图来表示我的理解。到
０９年上半年年，开始意识到没戏了，也不看移民版了，也不关心排期了，那个时候的
分析都很恐怖，一竿子就捅到十年以后了，所以也懒的想这事儿了，基本上就是爱谁谁
的心态。
当年觉得遥遥无期的，不知不觉也就这么过来了。虽然有很多小同学说，其实我不急着
绿，能交上去排队就行了。只能说你们把现实想的太轻松了，当年PWMB和成千上万的０
７PD＇er们，其实就这么点小小的愿望嘛，有这么简单就好了。关于这个提前提交４８
５的admin fix的建议，都推动无数次了，现在基本上可以肯定是被法律条文绊住了，
没有什么灰色地带可以play。现在我觉得移民局是相当友好的，法律条文的灰色地带，
基本上能可严可松的地方，都尽量松。但是从移民法的角度看，... 阅读全帖 |
|
S*******t
发帖数: 84 | 26 PWMB 是什么意思？
Anyway, congrats! |
|
F**A
发帖数: 11384 | 27 【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: Teamster (Cane), 信区: EB23
标 题: PWMB,上个世纪来美的老铁树也开花了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 28 08:15:50 2012, 美东)
TSC RD 10/3, 1/27/2012 online update批了.
排吧, 不过要耐心, 手动发太累了, 我得申请代发, 那个比较慢.
[update]在伪币中心申请了, 每人一个双黄, 大家耐心等待.
http://mitbbs.com/article_t/WBCenter/12532387.html |
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 28 未来两个月VB走势和数据的分析
1.)17495 C&I PERM with PD 2007 got approved after July 2007. If we assume
half of these 17k are EB2, adding the family factor multiplying 2, we will
get 17k demand from PERM EB2. If we assume we have 3k EB2 NIW demand, we
will get 20k demand from the PD of 2007.
The first half of 2008 will generate at least 13-15k demand. Total demand
from 2007 and Q1/Q2 of 2008 will be close to 33-35k demand.
2.)The Q's Indian website did very good analysis of the data. Totally we
have 500 PERM ... 阅读全帖 |
|
H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 29 Basically the cutting-off dates are decided by 2 factors: one is the number
of visas available, the other is how much you want to build the pending
inventory.
我把在一楼贴的数据与分析寄给了聱拜，他虽然不置可否，但是从回信的语气和内容看
来，我的思路是有可取之处的。
我觉得自己的PD是２０１１年初，还是稍安勿躁为好，静静等上三年吧。下面是别人的
分析，也有可取之处。
From US Non-Immigrants: EB2 India & China - What to expect in FY 2012?
If dates will only reach between PD June-July 2007 for EB2-India and China
for FY 2011 in September bulletin, what can we expect for FY 2012? We just
wanted to capt... 阅读全帖 |
|
H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 30 Basically the cutting-off dates are decided by 2 factors: one is the number
of visas available, the other is how much you want to build the pending
inventory.
我把在一楼贴的数据与分析寄给了聱拜，他虽然不置可否，但是从回信的语气和内容看
来，我的思路是有可取之处的。
我觉得自己的PD是２０１１年初，还是稍安勿躁为好，静静等上三年吧。下面是别人的
分析，也有可取之处。
From US Non-Immigrants: EB2 India & China - What to expect in FY 2012?
If dates will only reach between PD June-July 2007 for EB2-India and China
for FY 2011 in September bulletin, what can we expect for FY 2012? We just
wanted to capt... 阅读全帖 |
|
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 31 New Predictions - Last Updated - 01 May 2011
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/02/prediction-for-eb
China
Optimistic: 6/1/2007
Realistic: 3/8/2007
Worst : 1/1/2007
Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date movement for Fiscal Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on Trackitt for EB2 c... 阅读全帖 |
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 32 If we assume it takes 4 months to process everything for 485, a PWMB case
needs to rush into the pipeline before June 1st in order to get his green
card in Oct.1st.
In other words, a case has to be submitted before June 1st in order to use a
visa number in Oct.1st.
As we know, the PWMB demand are mainly in May-July range (90%). These folks
haven't submitted their cases yet because the July VB is still March 2007.
The earliest date for PWMB to submit 485 is in August 1st, there is no way
for the ... 阅读全帖 |
|
H**E
发帖数: 620 | 33 你提到的PWMB数据，实际上和我做的假设是接近甚至吻合的。 我的假设是07年7个月的
数据代替6个月以包括PWMB，也就是说07年全年的七分之一是PWMB。 带入到我的07年
DEMAND数据中的话，得到中印总的PWMB=4500，甚至比你提到的5000还低估了一些。
当然PWMB当中不止PD在07年的，应该还有一些PD 在06，甚至05的人，但可以假设那只
占很小一部分。 所以说我用07年七个月的数据乘以2推出全年数据并不是太离谱。 |
|
|
H*V
发帖数: 2770 | 35 dream ba
Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below)
which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released
for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on
Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for
each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below.
This data is further used to calculate spillover that would b: e available
for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on vi... 阅读全帖 |
|
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 36 Prediction / Calculation Using Trackitt Model
Summary Of Predictions
EB2 I- FEB To APR 2007 (20% Chance of 01-AUG-2007)
EB2 India Calculation Details
Date India China PWMB CP Total Cumulative
Offset 7200 800 0 0 8000 8000
May-06 1110 38 100 100 1348 9348
Jun-06 1696 541 100 100 2437 11785
Jul-06 1505 620 100 100 2325 14110
Aug-06 1677 693 100 100 2570 16680
Sep-06 1745 773 100 100 2718 19398
Oct-06 1747 732 100 100 2679 22077
Nov-06 1737 667 100 100 2604 24681
Dec-06 1881 770 200 100 2951 27632
... 阅读全帖 |
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 37 In my opinion, in Oct. 2011 VB:
India: March 2007
China: June 2007
The reason is simple: PWMB demand will come in, PWMB demand before March
2007 for India will be bigger than 250. PWMB demand before June 2007 will be
bigger than 250 for China.
After that, VB will move forward slowly, but quicker than this fiscal year
because PWMB density is much lower. |
|
|
j*e
发帖数: 1987 | 39 跟我用485 inventory算出来的结果大致相当，我算出来的错过07大潮的（PWMB）大约
5k，see
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t0/EB23/31319555.html。
他们算出来4k，但是不含NIW，我的5k是含NIW的。
. Assume half PERM are EB2 and family factor is 2.I guess around 500 people
will file 485 in this July 1st. It's not a big number. I think the PWMB
demand should not change Mr.O's mind to move PD forward in the next VB
because the PWMB demand is not significant yet. |
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 40 Yesterday I talked to my attorney about the possible PD retrogression in
October, he believes the China EB2 PD in October will not retrogress at all.
India will retrogress. He believes China EB2 will move forward instead.
All his analysis has one assumption: the spillover can eliminate all the EB2
demand in this summer. He has several reasons for his judgement.
1. There are not too many China EB2 PWMB demand before July 2007, totally
around 1000 maximum.
2. Out of these 1000 maximum PWMB demand,... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*********n
发帖数: 2975 | 41 sounds reasonable, however, it really depends on if Mr.O is also reasonable
Yesterday I talked to my attorney about the possible PD retrogression in
October, he believes the China EB2 PD in October will not retrogress at all.
India will retrogress. He believes China EB2 will move forward instead.
All his analysis has one assumption: the spillover can eliminate all the EB2
demand in this summer. He has several reasons for his judgement.
1. There are not too many China EB2 PWMB demand before July... 阅读全帖 |
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 42 PWMB has minimum impact by far because not too many PWMB has been submitted
and approved yet.
Several PWMBs have been approved, but not a too big number. |
|
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 43 As I learned there are a couple of thousands of pwmb; there is one who
submitted 485 in Apr get approved; so it totally depends on whether uscis is
trying to get rid of those pwmb.
If there are >1000 so short, those >1000 may need three months to be covered
from the beginning of next fiscal year. Think about the amount of pwmb
cases can be preadjed during that time. So the 07 wave may need >6 months to
be cleared.
submitted |
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 44 大兄弟啊
您没把PWMB的人数算上去嗫
w/o PWMB
EB2C:EB2I
7月前:1314:2946=0.446
8月前:3200:4800=0.667
w/ PWMB
EB2C:EB2I
7月前:1703:3335=0.511
8月前:4647:12094=0.385
even WORSE!!! |
|
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 45 PWMB是PD在07/2007或以前的，PD 2007 Oct的以前从没current过，不叫PWMB。
485交上后宏观上按RD顺序批。
发信人: WarmSalt (南风回), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 一个不太乐观的数据
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 17 18:32:18 2012, 美东)
大家都知道针对EB2, FY2012 available的485名额有限制, 设想如下scenario:
大潮后同样的4个中国EB2, 称之为A, B, C, &D:
1. A最不幸, 江湖人称: PWMB, PD为2007 Oct, 在2011 Nov排期current (Nov '11 cut
-off date: 2007 Nov 01), 最快可以在2011 Nov递交485,
2. B稍后, PD为 07 Oct - 08 Mar, 在2011 Dec 排期 current (Dec '11 cut-off
date: 2008 Mar 15), 最快可以在 2011 Dec递交485,
3. C算幸运, PD为 08 Mar - 09 Jan, ... 阅读全帖 |
|
m*******l
发帖数: 12782 | 46 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
keaiduoduo (每天可爱多一些) 于 (Mon Sep 12 02:21:13 2011, 美东) 提到:
超过4个月就有人能LIFO了。感觉到了明年2月排期就要后退了，然后5或6月看情况再前进。
我来放个卫星：
11月VB： 9/1//2007 - 10/1/2007
12月VB： 11/1/2007 - 12/1/2007
1月VB： 1/1/2008 - 2/1/2008
然后明年5或6月能到哪里就得看情况了。如果可以实现季度分配，5月VB应该超过1月VB。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
alibaba88 (Ali Baba) 于 (Mon Sep 12 09:21:25 2011, 美东) 提到:
顶一下，这样大潮明年初基本就清了
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
cnus (会飞的猪) 于 (Mon Sep 12 10:03:49 2011, 美东) 提到:
是的... 阅读全帖 |
|
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 47 Cong!主申请RD: 8/17/2007，楼主提前5年享受实质绿卡(EAD+AP)，从这点上来说比大
多数PWMB好多了。不过最终拿到绿卡的时间比PWMB晚了1年，除了运气不好，也跟楼主
加了个spouse有一定关系。人品守恒啊。
请问楼主，假设鱼与熊掌不可兼得，让你重新选择一次，你愿意做PWMB，晚5年交485，
但提前一年拿到绿卡，还是愿意你现在的结果？ |
|
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 48 EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations)
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
WELCOME TO Q'S IMMIGRATION BLOG
Based on the latest 2010 EB approval reports, this is the current status and
predictions for EB2.
THIS IS THE MOST PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO BEING PAINTED. SO DON'T KILL THE
MESSENGER. TRY AND UNDERSTAND THE RATIONALE BEHIND.
Acronyms
SOFAD - Spillover Fall Across and Down
SO - Spillover
FA - Fall Across
FD - Fall Down
CD - Cutoff Date
PD - Priority Date
PD阅读全帖 |
|
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 49 EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations)
Based on the latest VO information about EB1 as well as latest trackitt data
from Q1/Q2, this is the current status and predictions for EB2.
In summary we think that EB2IC will receive total 37K SOFAD of which ~31K
will go towards backlog reduction. This would mean a dates moving into Apr-
2007 for EB2IC. The best case scenario would be Aug 2007. Worst case would
be Sep 2006.
Acronyms
SOFAD - Spillover Fall Across and Down
SO - Spillover
FA - Fall Across
FD ... 阅读全帖 |
|
d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 50 By TeddyKoochu
EB2 India Predictions for Q4 2011 and 2012
Friends many of you have asked on when your specific dates will be current.
For now on the strength of numbers following is the current situation.
- The current cap consumed is 6K of regular I/C cap and around 9K of the 12K
visas that came up at the time of the May bulletin this would make it ~ 15K
consumption. We should be cognizant to the fact that last year SOFAD which
includes I/C regular cap was 26K and this year the cap itself is le... 阅读全帖 |
|
