a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 1 I said i cancel that with the small possibility that even an established
company could go down in 5 years or one could be fired anytime during the 5
years. As a result I did not discount the salary on the big company side.
Compare that with my 10% discount on start up salary, you
could say I valuate the bonus (cash or stock) by big companies at 10% of
base, which probably is on the low side for many good big companies.
but still, I think my conclusion stands. start ups probably offer higher
expe... 阅读全帖 |
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a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 2 I said i cancel that with the small possibility that even an established
company could go down in 5 years or one could be fired anytime during the 5
years. As a result I did not discount the salary on the big company side.
Compare that with my 10% discount on start up salary, you
could say I valuate the bonus (cash or stock) by big companies at 10% of
base, which probably is on the low side for many good big companies.
but still, I think my conclusion stands. start ups probably offer higher
expe... 阅读全帖 |
|
R*******0
发帖数: 16 | 3 过几天就要去Capital One面试了，遇到两个问题不是很清楚，希望各位为我解答。
第一个问题的部分原文如下：
"第二个case是关于预测good customer vs bad customer. 刚开始他会给你% of
actual good credit customer, 以及p(actual good credit customer|predict to be
good credit customer)， 然后让你算三个probability比如p(predict to be bad
credit customer|actual good credit customer)，就用conditional probability的
公式算就好no-brainer。然后interpret下每个value代表什么对business有什么影响。
接着interviewer画了个图，x-predict credit score, y- actual credit score,设定
一个threshold,x,小于这个x的都是bad customer,然后他画了条单调递增曲线，表示是
他们... 阅读全帖 |
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l******n
发帖数: 9344 | 4 题目是decision making的inference，需要根据给定的条件判断给出信息的可信度。有
点像GRE的逻辑题，但是思维过程不一样。
题目如下：
Statement:
Studies have shown that there is relatively much more heart
disease among people living in the north of England than
people living in the south of England. There is little if any
difference, however, in rate of heart disease between
northerners and southerners who have the same level of
income. The average income of southerners in England is
considerably higher than the average income of northerners.
Propose... 阅读全帖 |
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t********e
发帖数: 931 | 5 Closing Cost Scams
NEW YORK (MONEY Magazine) -- Technology has magically lowered the price of
buying everything from stocks to airline tickets. But home buyers now pay
eight times the closing costs they paid 40 years ago. Here's how residents
of one Minnesota street were overcharged again and again on their home
purchases, many by thousands of dollars. And why your street probably isn't
all that different.
When Lewis Leung was buying his two-bedroom ranch in St. Louis Park, Minn.
in 2004, he rea... 阅读全帖 |
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B******1
发帖数: 9094 | 6 Dear Teacher,
Well, the school year certainly seems to have gone off with a bang! Though
summer had its ups and downs, after a while it simmered off with a whimper.
In comparison, my 7th grade year seems to be a frenzy of colors, nervousness
, and curiosity. It may be true someday I’ll also grow tired of school life
, but it certainly doesn’t seem likely. I truly hope that I will assimilate
into this environment soon, but I’ve never really been good at changing my
colors. (Nor at opening my poor... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******r
发帖数: 22634 | 7 从这个角度看，初中数学班课内要求 explain experimental probability vs
theoretical probability，完全是合理应该并且很重要的。因为班里大部分 kids 最
终不是走理论数学的道路。而初中阶段的 science 课，没有用 math 建模的概念。
从这个角度看，娃课上的 explain experimental probability vs theoretical
probability，应该更多的从 physics / computer-science 建模的角度去看，而不是
钻 theoretical mathematics 的牛角尖。
看来再给娃解释一下 sense of purpose，然后加强一下为现实建模的思想，这个概念
窟窿就可以补掉它了。今年下午干掉 it。
娃。 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 8 另外 by the way，mathsisfun.com 上对于 probability 的解释还是不错的。
当然问题是，在学习的阶段，我们到底需不需要娃 replay 那些解释，还是首先
要能做题 problem-solving，解释以后慢慢跟进。
当然，我娃的风格是，撞上南墙做错题还看不懂解释以前，是绝不看解释类网页的。
我如果墙裂要求，她就给我上有政策下有对策，应付一下。所以这个 mathsisfun.com
虽然是我娃介绍给我的，但我估计娃多半没看下面这个 probability 的网页。
这里也有个问题，如果娃混日子型的，大人如果没有 create need （比如错了题
还看不懂解释，或者干脆屡败屡战），那强迫娃看解释搞成鸡飞狗跳，真还不如等
娃做错了题让娃自己去看。
（当然，这也是现实的、老师不盯着明天就立马逃课的不靠谱初中娃，而不是 SBAC
想象的、您让娃干嘛、娃就屁颠屁颠地干嘛的、理想天使型娃）。
上面这个其实还不是数学教育的问题，上面这个其实是教育心理学的问题。但目前
这个问题，貌似更多在 assignment 上（娃觉得 boring 也不知道咋整），上课
讲课... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 27734 | 9 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
bixu1 (2-39) 于 (Tue Mar 8 22:52:02 2011, 美东) 提到:
外省的男生女生到了北京的大学里，人生地不熟的，学习压力也大，没有什么朋友，大
家心里都慌里慌张的。唯有北京男生，呼朋唤友，中学同学在学校各系都有。更为可气
的是，外省的漂亮女生到了大三基本上都跟了一个或者几个北京男生做男女朋友，可能
是想找个北京的家庭作依靠，在北京留下发展。包括北京萧条的区比如丰台区，石景山
区和通县的男生，也有所获，找个南方省的女生做朋友。很多北京男生人长得很丑，成
绩也很差，但是也能先得月，捞个漂亮的四川/安徽/江西/湖南/广西/云南//贵州/湖北
/河南的女孩子，有时我看着真好笑，觉得鲜花叉在牛粪上。
现在我才意识到，其实还是地区经济发展不平衡造成的差距，经济落后省份的女生
盲目崇拜北京的男生，包括北京郊区和县里的男生，认为凡是北京地区的男生家庭
都有钱有权。
外省的男生也受到不少北京男生的歧视。就像美国人歧视中国留学生一样。
其实，江浙沪深圳广州的女生基本看不上北京男生，南... 阅读全帖 |
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G**********0
发帖数: 391 | 10 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xiaofeiyan (小飞燕) 于 (Tue Dec 7 16:21:11 2010, 美东) 提到:
2010年7月28日 美国比中国好，但美国绝不是天堂
最近开心网上冒出许多对比美国和天朝的文章，夸张程度让我实在看不下去了，出来揭
露一下事实吧。。。
首先要承认的是，美国的确比中国好，从经济，法律，社会治安，社会保障，基础设施
，医疗水平等各方面上看，世界第一强国不是吹出来的，但是美国也不是像她的名字那
么完美，也不是那些文章描述中的天堂。下面我就几个比较著名的以讹传讹的例子进行
说明。
误导一：收入： 美国人均工资四，五千美金一个月。
美国的统计人均年薪是三万五千美金，这好比是高盛2009年人均薪酬77.5万美金，但是
我认识的在会计部门工作的员工加奖金刚到10万美金，所以说人均是被拉起来的。律所
，投行，基金，银行，医生等行业的薪资水平远高于其他行业，大城市的收入也会比中
小城市和农村高一些。在纽约这样的大城市，一份正常行业白领工作的薪水在4.5-9万
美金，但是由于税收很高，到手只有... 阅读全帖 |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 11 随口出一个吧，出错了的话大家指正哈。
Known: on a random day:
1. Probability that Index A rises is 60%
2. If Index A rises, the probability that Index B also rises is 80%
3. If Index A doesn't rise, there is STILL a 15% probability that Index B
rises.
Question: if Index B rises, what is the probability that Index A does NOT
rise? |
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C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 12 That you probably picked some range stocks.
Imagine you jump into some trending stocks like AZO, what is probability
that the trend will continue and what is the probability that trend will
reverse, right after you buy?
I bet the former has considerably higher probability.
exists |
|
G******n
发帖数: 316 | 13 History Lesson: Oil Price Spikes and Their Aftermath (转载）
http://seekingalpha.com/article/255980-history-lesson-oil-price
and-their-aftermath
We were greeted with the following friendly banner on the EIA webpage
this morning:
(Click to enlarge)
And we all know that the fuel price was caused by the 15% price spike
that occured in the crude oil markets last week:
So I thought it might be fun if we could go back and look at similar
occurrences, that is, price spikes of 15% within a 5-trading day pe... 阅读全帖 |
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m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 14 I was over-reacting, sorry.
I agree with you consistency is the key. And I always believe in consistency
makes ATM.
Market evolves, a lot strategies works well does not work any more.
Meanwhile, there are more strategies been created, more systematic framework
, more computing power to search patterns, even patterns like short X every
trading day around XX:XX(maybe combined with market up/down for that opening
). I have a few candidates in my mind.
And there are different *market inefficiency* i... 阅读全帖 |
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u****n
发帖数: 7521 | 15 2-year： 45.92%,
5-year： 28.56%，
10-year：17.54%.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/291657-greek-debt-being-given-a
The yields discussed were quoted from The Wall Street Journal for closing
prices on Friday (Sept. 2) - two-year 45.92%, five-year 28.56% and the 10-
year 17.54%. Here are the estimates:
There is currently a 10% probability of getting full principal
repayment on a two-year Greek bond at maturity. Calculation: 45% a year
times two years is 90% of principal. 10% principal repaymen... 阅读全帖 |
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p******e
发帖数: 17163 | 16 Nah, gold probably bottom out around 1200 and silver probably bottom out 18.
50. Maybe we will pivot around these level for another 6 mths or maybe a
year. But ultimately these will spike higher cuz global monetary base
expansion cannot be undone.
Most of my model indicate current gold price to be around 1300 ish, some
pointing to 1600ish. And if money multiply were to multiple in years to come
, gold beyond 2000 may very well be in the card. Either way, wall st
probably will screw this round an... 阅读全帖 |
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T**y
发帖数: 1024 | 17 Oil Prices: Four Experts Size Up the Energy Market
Four experts explain what’s ahead and highlight the best investment
opportunities in the energy sector.
February 14, 2015
Perhaps the biggest surprise of 2014 was the sharp decline in oil prices.
Black gold fell almost 60% from its summer peak of $107 to a low of $44 in
January, before enjoying a nice bounce to a recent $53. The reverberations—
good and bad—are being felt around the world, from the oil kingdoms of the
Middle East to Argentina, R... 阅读全帖 |
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y***n
发帖数: 2318 | 18 5 Principal Reasons Why I'm Still Short Tesla
Aug. 8, 2017 5:29 PM ET|
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4096526-5-principal-reasons-still-short-
tesla
Amit Ghate
Long/short equity, value
Summary
I review my long-standing TSLA short position.
Despite a large run-up in price, I find the reasons to be short the stock
more compelling than ever.
In particular, corporate governance, emerging competition, bloated
valuations and a slow change in sentiment toward the company may help
reverse the stock ru... 阅读全帖 |
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a******n
发帖数: 206 | 19 先声明：我没有站边, either pump or dump btc. 只是读到了自己觉得不错的文章，
分享过来，想听听大牛怎么说。
链接在此：https://blog.chain.com/a-letter-to-jamie-dimon-de89d417cb80?from=
singlemessage&isappinstalled=0
原文很长。总结如下。
Cryptocurrencies (which I prefer to call crypto assets) are a new asset
class that enable decentralized applications
Decentralized applications enable services we already have today, like
payments, storage, or computing, but without a central operator of those
services
This software model is useful to people who need c... 阅读全帖 |
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m***c
发帖数: 1177 | 20 学校指定的，刚打交道就知道很烂，但是也没办法了。 本来律师说他们负责写文件的
，只是需要我帮忙。我当然知道他们靠不住，好不容易自己写好六封推荐信发给律师，
让他们用自己的模版再copy paste推荐信，发现他连copy&paste都懒得干。 现在他还
没有加exhibit，说是初稿。他的意思是移民局的搭眼一看就得出结论了，你写的很长
，很可能也没什么用。 我回信跟他说我不想让我的case看着和别人的不一样，毕竟
case不强。
第一页上有这些内容：
At the outset, the legal standard held to be controlling in a visa petition
such as this case is the “preponderance of the evidence” standard, as is
reiterated in Matter of Chawathe, 25 I & N Dec. (2010) which standard
requires that the evidence demonstrate that the appli... 阅读全帖 |
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M******d
发帖数: 486 | 21 您觉得，谁对您的个案最关心、最负责呢？
很多律师都是deadline beaters，deadline不到，一点动力都没有。用律师面临如下问
题：
水平高的律师和水平差的律师，千差万别。But what's the probability that you'll
actually be able to land a good attorney? And what's the probability that
the so-called "good attorney" is indeed a good one?
同一律师，心情好和心情差的时候，办事效果大不相同。What's the probability
that the "good attorney" you landed will happen to be in good mood when
working on your case?
同一律师，心情也不错，手下的paralegal，the person who actually takes care of
your case，水平好和水平差也会给您大不相同的感受。What's th... 阅读全帖 |
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Z******a
发帖数: 1178 | 22 Judge Andrew Napolitano said today that a new federal court ruling could
actually delay President Obama's immigration amnesty "forever."
On FBN's "Varney & Co.," the judge explained the meaning behind the new
ruling that temporarily blocks the implementation of Obama's executive
actions on immigration.
The ruling came late Monday after 26 states asked the court to delay the
implementation until after the conclusion of a lawsuit challenging the
legality of Obama's orders.
U.S. District Judge Andr... 阅读全帖 |
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k*****3
发帖数: 442 | 23 Probability of SS not sitting in the assigned seat: 99/100
Probability of 2nd person not sitting in the assigned seat: 1/100 (only if
SS happen to sit in his assigned seat)
Probability of 3rd person not sitting in the assigned seat: 1/100+1/100 x 1/
99 = 1/99 (if SS sit in the 3rd person’s seat, and if 2nd person sit in the
3rd person’s seat because SS sits in the 2nd person’s seat)
Probability of 4th person not sitting in the assigned seat: 1/100 + 1/100 x
1/99 + 1/100 x 1/98 + 1/100 x 1/99 x 1... 阅读全帖 |
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L**2
发帖数: 101 | 24 Right now, he's probably slow dancing with a
bleached-blonde tramp
And she's probably getting frisky
Right now he's probably buying her some Fruity little drink
'Cause she can't shoot whiskey
Right now, he's probably up behind her with a pool-stick
Showing her how to shoot a combo
Oh and he don't know...
That I dug my key into the side of his
Pretty little souped up four wheel drive
Carved my name into his leather seat
I took a Louisville slugger to both head lights
Slashed a hole in all four ti |
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c******n
发帖数: 5697 | 25 别听那骗子放屁
警察可以search any car with probable cause without a search warrant
重点是probably cause，交通违规不是probable cause
车子被偷100%是probable cause! |
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y*e
发帖数: 9799 | 26 This is not conditional probability because the gender of a kid does not
depend on another kid...
A classical conditional probability myth: toss a fair coin 1000 times, if
the first 999 times head came up, what is the probability that tail will
come up on the 1000th time? As long as the 1000th toss does not depend on
any of the previous tosses, this is not an example of conditional
probability.
1 |
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a*****g
发帖数: 1320 | 27 1.WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT A RANDOMLY SELECTED TWO -DIGIT POSITIVE
INTEGER IS A PERFECT SQUARE OR A PERFECT CUBE? EXPRESS YOUR ANSWER AS A
COMMON FRACTION.
2. A FIVE DIGIT NUMBER IS CREATED USING THE DIGITS 1-5 EACH ONCE.WHAT IS THE
PROBABILITY THAT THE NUMBER IS ODD? EXPRESS YOUR ANSWER AS A COMMON
FRACTION.
3.THE DIGITS 2,3, 4, 7 AND 8 ARE EACH USED ONCE TO FORM A FIVE DIGIT NUMBER
. WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT THE TENS DIGIT IS ODD AND THE NUMBER IS
DIVISIBLE BY 4? EXPRESS YOUR ANSWER AS... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****g
发帖数: 1320 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: ashuang (不要迷恋哥，哥只是个传说), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: mathscounts 数学题求助
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 29 00:35:22 2010, 美东)
1.WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT A RANDOMLY SELECTED TWO -DIGIT POSITIVE
INTEGER IS A PERFECT SQUARE OR A PERFECT CUBE? EXPRESS YOUR ANSWER AS A
COMMON FRACTION.
2. A FIVE DIGIT NUMBER IS CREATED USING THE DIGITS 1-5 EACH ONCE.WHAT IS THE
PROBABILITY THAT THE NUMBER IS ODD? EXPRESS YOUR ANSWER AS A COMMON
FRACTION.
3.THE DIGITS 2,3, 4, 7 AND 8 ARE EACH US... 阅读全帖 |
|
f********m
发帖数: 8405 | 29 http://alittlenudge.wordpress.com/2010/04/29/dont-work-be-hated
Don’t Work. Be Hated. Love Someone
*I didn’t write any of this…took it from my friend’s blog. It’s
amazingly sharp. Please read till the end!
Written by Adrian Tan, author of The Teenage Textbook (1988), was the guest-
of-honour at a recent NTU convocation ceremony. This was his speech to the
graduating class of 2008.
—–
I must say thank you to the faculty and staff of the Wee Kim Wee School of
Communication and Information for invi... 阅读全帖 |
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B******1
发帖数: 9094 | 30 给英文老师的一封自我介绍信
September 12, 2011
Dear Mrs. Nacy,
Well, the school year certainly seems to have gone off with a bang! Though
summer had its ups and downs, after a while it simmered off with a whimper.
In comparison, my 7th grade year seems to be a frenzy of colors, nervousness
, and curiosity. It may be true someday I would also grow tired of school
life, but it certainly doesn't seem likely to happen soon. I truly hope that
I will assimilate into this new environment soon, but I’ve never really
... 阅读全帖 |
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h*h
发帖数: 27852 | 31 Q&A with Warriors owner Joe Lacob
Steinmetz: Kings midseason review
Joe Lacob and Peter Guber have been in control of the Warriors for two
months now.Jan. 20, 2011
STEINMETZ ARCHIVE
WARRIORS PAGE | WARRIORS VIDEO
Matt Steinmetz
CSNBayArea.com
OAKLAND -- I had a chance to sit down with Warriors owner Joe Lacob on
Thursday afternoon at the team’s offices in downtown Oakland. Lacob, who
has owned the Warriors since Nov. 12, touched on a variety of subjects.
Matt Steinmetz: You’ve owned the team f... 阅读全帖 |
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j********d
发帖数: 157 | 32 It looks I didn't get the points crossed well. First, I was not discounting
Lin's capacity, there is no question Lin is excellent and he was and is in
a sharp state to grab the opportunity when it appears. My point is that NBA
need one (and probably just one, or two) Asian super star to make sure NBA
markets well in Asian population and Asian countries. Yao was the man for
several years, which is the reason other Asian players did get much
opportunity when Yao was serving the role so well for... 阅读全帖 |
|
f****g
发帖数: 2073 | 33 But how much, exactly, will it cost the Knicks to keep Lin? And is that cost
really astronomical enough to let Lin walk only a few months after he
exploded into an international phenomenon in NYC?
The answer largely depends on what other roster moves the Knicks make in the
coming years. But we estimate that NY's luxury tax penalty for 2014-15,
with Lin, would be at least $17.5 million and at most $68 million, with the
likely number ~$35.5 million. Without him, it would be between $0 to $20.5
mil... 阅读全帖 |
|
C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 34 楼主对概率的了解还不够科学化。本人来介绍一个普通人常常搞混的概念：
a priori probability 和 a posterori probability是两个不同的概率。
楼主讲的有枪能导致自杀成功几率增大，指的是a priori probability。这么解：你随
便在街上抓人，要么强迫他拥有一支枪，要么强迫没有，这样的实验如果重复过万人，
那么有枪的群体很大可能有更大的自杀成功率。这个概率对科学研究者来说有意义。
然而这个概率对于一个决定要不要买枪的人是无意义的。唯一对一个决定自己是否买枪
的人有意义的概率是，买枪会不会增加自己自杀的风险。这个概率是a posterori
probability。这个概率是后验的，也就是说这个概率必须根据这个决策者的本人历史
条件来衡量。如果这个人有自杀倾向，那么有枪确实可能增加自杀成功的风险，如果这
个人无自杀倾向，那么有枪也不会增加自杀成功的风险。
那么怎么解释前面的先验概率呢？正因为随机抽取的人中确实存在有自杀倾向的人，那
么增加这部分人的自杀成功风险，数学上也会增加整个群体（population）的自杀成功
风险，即使无自杀倾向的... 阅读全帖 |
|
v*******l
发帖数: 5042 | 35 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
poof (plan de vida) 于 (Tue Feb 11 16:26:36 2014, 美东) 提到:
简单的说，这个问题的实质在于持枪自伤的概率更大还是帮助自己脱险的概率更大。
美国的持枪自杀率比凶杀率高了一个量级，所以不难得出结论，自伤的风险更高。数据
也是这么说的。
但是为什么很多人觉得持枪更安全呢？
有个类似的问题： 开车安全还是坐飞机安全？ 从概率上来说，飞机安全多了。现在
这是大家的共识，但是很多人还是觉得自己开车更安全...为什么会有这种现象呢？
这个心理学现象，是缘于人总是觉得自己能支配的事情更安全...被别人支配很不爽。
还有一个心理现象：人总是有觉得自己与众不同..所以经常会有人说，我开车肯定没
事，我玩枪肯定没事，我是例外。 但是统计表明，人都很类似，例外的人远远小于自
信的人.就好比相信自己种彩票的人总是大大多于实际中彩票的人。
虽这么说，有枪的同学还是别过于担心，因为自杀的概率虽然比凶杀高个量级，但是也
不算高。自杀也就美国第10大死因吧（前面死因的除了车祸，其... 阅读全帖 |
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d******u
发帖数: 1142 | 36 这篇文章里关于stretch 和 warmup 一些说法和我们平时了解的不大一样，贴出来供大
家讨论。
The 3 Most Effective Ways to Waste Time in the Gym
You are likely wasting time on all three.
by Mark Rippetoe
Time is money.
Money is scarce these days, everywhere but D.C. You want to be stronger, so
you go to the gym. The best use of your time there is the simple progressive
barbell training program we have discussed before, one that drives an
upward strength adaptation with a programmed increase in load over a full
range of motion using as m... 阅读全帖 |
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B*******e
发帖数: 1009 | 37 DEN
Eric Decker WR Knee Did Not Participate In Practice Out
Lonie Paxton LS Not Injury Related Did Not Participate In Practice
Out
Brian Dawkins S Neck Did Not Participate In Practice Doubtful
David Bruton S Achilles Full Participation in Practice Probable
Elvis Dumervil DE Ankle Full Participation in Practice Probable
Daniel Fells TE Ankle Full Participation in Practice Probable
Von Miller LB Thumb Full Participati... 阅读全帖 |
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t*****i
发帖数: 668 | 39 passing: 22 td/6 int 2070yards 160rating
rushing: 4 td
in 9 games
*********
james 1331 17rushing td
惨
Oregon
RB Kenjon Barner, concussion, probable
RV Eddie Pleasant, shoulder, probable
CB Anthony Gildon, ankle, probable
Washington
QB Jake Locker, rib, out
DE Talia Crichton, knee, out
DT Cameron Elisara, neck, out
RB Johri Fogerson, hip, out
WR Jordan Polk, concussion, out
TE Chris Izbikci, foot, probable |
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m*******a
发帖数: 363 | 40 so this backpacking desire has been living in me for almost 2 years, lurking
and seeking to come out.
After the fabulous hikes in Kauai, i felt like i cannot stop hiking. back
at OK, i complained to a friend i made in Kauai that i had nothing to do
here over weekends, no mountains to hike, no decent trails that i could go
on and hike for hours without intersecting to a train track or cement road.
i had no vacation days left for this year, so i cannot just take off and go
somewhere else to have ... 阅读全帖 |
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l***h
发帖数: 9308 | 41 我记得以前给过一个术语链接在某个置项贴里面，可能归档了吧，再贴一下，新人不懂
的可以参考一下
http://www.runnersworld.com/community/forums/runner-communities
Your friendly beginning runner's guide to .... runner's jargon.
You'll notice we don't have a FAQ here -- that's because we want you to ask
your questions, join in, become part of the community! That said, I am sure
new runners get overwhelmed by phrases we throw around all the time here
with impunity; you probably think we're all speaking some strange language.
To follow along here, ... 阅读全帖 |
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I******8
发帖数: 3174 | 42 Arsene Wenger (Coach, Arsenal) - “Who is the Best Player in the World? Leo
Messi. Who is the Best Player Ever? Leo Messi!”
Diego Maradona (Ex Argentina) – “I have seen the player who will inherit
my place in Argentine football and his name is Messi. Messi is a genius and
he can become an even better player.”
Wayne Rooney (ManUnited) – “Messi is a Joke, for me the Best Ever!”
Pele (Ex Brazil) - “At the moment, Messi is the Best!”
Juan Sebastian Veron (Ex Argentina) - “I see Maradona every time he... 阅读全帖 |
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p**********1
发帖数: 1458 | 43 I don't quite understand his argument.
This is because for community
card sequences c1 and c2, the probability c1 is the first sequence and c2 is
the second sequence is the same as the probability that c2 is the first
sequence and c1 is the second sequence.
how about the case where sequence c1=c2? for instance, P1 has AA, P2 has KK,
flop A72r. with replacement, we can have c1=c2={K K}, without replacement,
we cannot. furthermore, without replacement, if c1={K X}, then c2=/={K K}
with probability... 阅读全帖 |
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y********n
发帖数: 2063 | 44 You got the point. I am really afraid of he had TJ and check raised me on
the turn. It that case, I probably have to fold to a hand which I had good
equity.-----------------if he really has TJ, you do not have much equity.
Suppose 500$ pot, you only get 100$. Not only he will c/r on the turn with
the nuts, TJ in this case, but also he will c/r some nut draw, such as AdTd,
Ad9d, because he is out of position.
The flop raise is another question that confused me a lot. In deep stack,
when we have s... 阅读全帖 |
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wh
发帖数: 141625 | 45 40 Incorrectly Used Words That Can Make You Look Dumb
Jeff Haden
Ghostwriter, Speaker, Inc. Magazine Contributing Editor
December 03, 2014
While I like to think I know a little about business writing, I still fall
into a few word traps.
Take the words "who" and "whom." I rarely use "whom" when I should -- even
when spell check suggests "whom" I think it sounds pretentious. So I use "
who."
And then I sound dumb.
Just like one misspelled word can get your resume tossed onto the "nope"
pile, one i... 阅读全帖 |
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y****n
发帖数: 3184 | 46 虽然一直并不是很喜欢Robin Williams
但必须承认，他是那一代最优秀的喜剧演员之一
而他最为人铭记的角色却是正剧
死亡诗社里笑谈carpe diem, seize the day
和心灵捕手里那段著名的湖边长凳独白
So if I asked you about art you’d probably give me the skinny on every art
book ever written. Michelangelo? You know a lot about him. Life’s work,
political aspirations, him and the pope, sexual orientation, the whole works
, right? But I bet you can’t tell me what it smells like in the Sistine
Chapel. You’ve never actually stood there and looked up at that beautiful
ceiling. Seen tha... 阅读全帖 |
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z***i
发帖数: 1122 | 47 刚刚发现Winogrand专门考虑过这个问题,他觉得他看到的是21mm,但离近了实在变形太
大,
所以才用了28mm:
Winogrand: Ideally, I wish I had a lens that took in my whole angle of
vision, without mechanical distortion – that’s the headache with these
things. Ideally, that would probably be the most interesting to work with.
The 28 is probably where the mechanical distortion is least limiting – much
less limiting than a 21. It’s closest to the angle of attention. It’s
pretty close to at least my angle of attention. Probably the 21 is more so,
b... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****e
发帖数: 14299 | 48
居然有争议说这部自传是虚构的，一大段讨论，自己看吧。
Guy Sajer's book THE FORGOTTEN SOLDIER is rather notorious in the historical
community; the book purports to be the memoirs of an Alsatian who served
with the Division for the last years of the Second World War. Much has been
written on the subject of whether or not the book is a true story or not.
Two articles are presented here, plus an exchange of letters to the editor
to an American military journal. Those curious may wish to obtain a copy of
their own, and to inv... 阅读全帖 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 49 HOME
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Peter Hook Reflects On Joy Division & New Order
Posted by Paul Gleason on Mar 04, 2013 3 Comments
As bassist for Joy Division and New Order perhaps the 2 most important ban
ds of the post-punk movement in England Peter Hook is responsible for crea
ting some of the most memorable music of the past 35 years.
Joy Division抯 albums Unknown Pleasures and Closer are... 阅读全帖 |
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