s****y
发帖数: 18685 | 1 http://olympics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/19/the-usa-basketball-roster-probably/
While the official decisions for Team USA won’t be made until Monday, the
12-man team is almost certain after a flurry of Team USA news the past
couple of days.
USA Basketball Managing Director Jerry Colangelo confirmed on Thursday night
that both Detroit guard Chauncey Billups and Phoenix forward Amare
Stoudamire have withdrawn themselves for consideration for the Olympics.
That boots out two guys who were almost c |
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s****y
发帖数: 18685 | 2 On Friday, the state health department announced four new "probable" cases,
bringing the total to nine, with six in Summit County, two in Salt Lake Coun
ty and one in the Weber-Morgan Health District. There's a 95 percent chance
those cases will be confirmed, they said.
啧啧 |
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T*U
发帖数: 22634 | 3 I probably need to plank a hour to get same energy burned as crunch. |
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A*****a
发帖数: 52743 | 5 指出高标准来是为了让普通人理解这个legal burden of proof的级别与涵义。NFL是个
corporate, 本来可以内部行政调查解决问题。沟戴尔既然要律师事务所来调查，并使
用法律级别的术语，那就要澄清它的含义。指派律师事务所调查本来就暗含了定罪的意
向，不予以澄清的话，多数人会按b.r.d来理解"probable"。至于有没有subpoena权限
，那是另外一个议题。没有权限就不要去试图调查取证。 |
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T*******e
发帖数: 4110 | 6 that Brady plays in the opener.
"More probable than not", 现在一听这个词，就觉得“醉”了。 |
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T*******e
发帖数: 4110 | 7 19-0 is going to be against all the odds, not just against the teams. It
will be a miracle if it happens. That is why I used the phrase “More
probable than not", as we all know it was redefined by the infamous Well's
report to be "unlikely":-)
It is good to be 19-0 but it is very unlikely. The history tells. I would
rather they just get a ring. To be in the odds' favor, they should lose a
few regular games:-)
的. |
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b**********y
发帖数: 7371 | 8 http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/brothers-die-jogging-10-day
I know it probably doesn't mean anything, and statistically nuances; but
it does sound petty shocking to normal Joes like me...
'
Two jogging brothers, two city parks — and two fatal heart attacks, less
than three weeks apart.
Peter Berry, 60, collapsed and died during a Jan. 19 Central Park run, just
20 days after his older half-sibling went into cardiac arrest during a New
Year’s Eve jog through Prospect Park.
Rynn Berry Jr., 68, ... 阅读全帖 |
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p*****l
发帖数: 399 | 9 I read about a formula in a book today, which calculates the probablity of
going broke.
Pr(Going broke)=e的[(-2BW)/(V)]次方=EXP((-2BW)/(V))
B is the bankroll
W is the win rate
V is the variance which is equal to the standard deviation squared
For example, for a good player in a good live game, a typical win rate is 1
big bet per hour and a typical standard deviation is 10 big bets per hour,
based on the assmuption, we can calculate the risk of ruin for various size
bankrolls as follows:
Bankroll (B |
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a*o
发帖数: 25262 | 10 歌名： Everybody's Free To Wear SUNSCREEN!
原文：
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/columnists/chi-schmich-sunsc
Advice, like youth, probably just wasted on the young
Mary Schmich
June 1, 1997
Advertisement
Inside every adult lurks a graduation speaker dying to get out, some world-
weary pundit eager to pontificate on life to young people who'd rather be
Rollerblading. Most of us, alas, will never be invited to sow our words of
wisdom among an audience of caps and gowns, but there's no reason we can'... 阅读全帖 |
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i****e
发帖数: 642 | 12 "I probably would've done things a little differently".
“我做事可能就是有一点与众不同”。 |
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b********s
发帖数: 1415 | 13 Mary McElroy (kidnapping victim)From Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaJump to
Mary McElroy (c. 1907 - January 21, 1940) was an American kidnapping victim.
She was the daughter of Henry F. 'Judge' McElroy, City Manager of Kansas
City, Missouri. The 1996 Robert Altman film Kansas City was based loosely on
the kidnapping.[1]
Contents [hide]
1 Kidnapping
2 Trial
3 Life after the kidnapping
4 References
5 External links
[edit] KidnappingTwenty-five-year-old McElroy was kidnapped while taking a
bubble ... 阅读全帖 |
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p*****n
发帖数: 804 | 14 【 以下文字转载自 Shanghai 讨论区 】
【 原文由 Protein 所发表 】
Patiently Hoping for a Degree
Please Hire. Desperate.
PHysiologically Deficeint
Probably Heavily in Debt
Patiently Headed Downhill
Permanent Head Damage
Potential Heavy Drinker
Professinaly Hamburger Dispenser
Pizza Hut Driver
Prozac Handouts Desired
Pathetic Homeless Dreamer
Proudly Half Dead |
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w********1
发帖数: 3492 | 15 Mon, 11 Jun 2012 16:30:33 PDT
According to New York Times technology columnist David Pogue, Apple still
believes in desktop Macs, including both the iMac and the Mac Pro.
The Mac Pro in particular has raised the ire of some Apple fans because it
has been several years since the last update, and the update today was
extremely minor.
Pogue writes:
Many Apple observers also wonder if Apple thinks that desktop computers are
dead, since not a word was said about the iMac and Mac Pro. An executive did... 阅读全帖 |
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a***y
发帖数: 19743 | 16 what?
Mac Pro今天不是升级了么
are
did
probably |
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q********s
发帖数: 1032 | 17 I just switched from Matlab to Python for quick modeling.
However, I haven't found any libraries which can accurately
calculate the probability distributions.
Can anyone help? |
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i*****r
发帖数: 57 | 18 求精算probability 考试资料， 站内联系！谢谢！ |
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g**********t
发帖数: 475 | 19 Statistical inference by Casella.
The first half (probability) is very good.
By the way, there is no "bayes distribution".
poisson |
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p*s
发帖数: 10 | 21 小妹 计划 take 一门 based on measure 的 mathmatics statistics ,text 用 shao
jun's mathmatics statistics ,and the classical"point estimation","testing
hyposis",one-year long course.
但我 不是学数学出身的，只有 高数 和 cecella and berger's "statisticial
inference" 的 background, can I take it?
BTW what is the relationship of measure theory, probably theory, real
analysis ? which one should take first? 我想 恶补一下，临阵磨枪，嘻嘻 |
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i***r
发帖数: 6012 | 22 aha! This is a easy one that I can answer:
What the 2/3 is the expected value of the balls if the value of back is 1 and
value of white is 0. Expected value is NOT a probability as the problem
suggests, so the ensuing analysis from that oint on is incorrect.
cannot
balls,
three, |
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p*s
发帖数: 10 | 24 小妹 计划 take 一门 based on measure 的 mathmatics statistics ,text 用 shao
jun's mathmatics statistics ,and the classical"point estimation","testing
hyposis",one-year long course.
但我 不是学数学出身的，只有 高数 和 cecella and berger's "statisticial
inference" 的 background, can I take it?
BTW what is the relationship of measure theory, probably theory, real
analysis ? which one should take first? 我想 恶补一下，临阵磨枪，嘻嘻 |
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h**h
发帖数: 488 | 25 求solution manual of Introduction to Probability Models, 9th Edition, by
Sheldon M. Ross
Some exercise problems are too hard, hope to get some help with the manual. |
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H****h
发帖数: 1037 | 28 Or consider the probability that
min{x,y}>a for any real number a. |
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f***h
发帖数: 52 | 29 【 以下文字转载自 Statistics 讨论区 】
发信人: fisch (-_-), 信区: Statistics
标 题: 请教: probability mass function的中文是什么?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 20 02:03:23 2005), 站内
谢谢 |
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b****a
发帖数: 84 | 30
probability density funciton |
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y**2
发帖数: 7 | 31 i think it is the same as find the integer solution to n_1+n_2+...+n_H=k
see S.ROSS's first course in probability |
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z*****a
发帖数: 17 | 32 已知 一个probability distribution 可以用3个数来定义，（pessimistic,mode,
optimistic）, 怎样知道这个distribution 德mean and variance?
Thanks a lot. |
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B****n
发帖数: 11290 | 33 "Probability and Measure" by P. Billingsley |
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n******e
发帖数: 5 | 34 Resnick 的 A Probability Path 为非数学系的写的，
还比较清楚易懂。 |
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h*****n
发帖数: 38 | 35 Suppose you are given r>=5 integers. 1,2,3,...,r, you pick 5 numbers out of
these integers, what is the probability that the sum of those 5 numbers is
greater than m. where m is an given real number. |
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m***n
发帖数: 3 | 36 There is an interval of length L. We now fit k line segments, each of which
has length T, into the interval. The location of each line segment is
uniformly distributed in the interval subject to the constraint that it is
contained in the interval, and the location distribution of one line segment
is independent of any other line segments. Assuming L > kT, what is the
probability that at least one of the line segments stands alone (i.e., does
not overlap with any of the other line segments)? I c |
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j****8
发帖数: 1 | 37 Hi,
I have a probability question as follows:
x1, x2, ... ,xn are n indepedent random variables. if y1 is the largest value
of x1 to xn, y2 is the second largest vaule of x1 to xn, ..., yn is the
minimum value of x1 to xn. Obviously, y1, y2, ..., yn are n random vaibles as
well. The question is:
Are y1, y2, ..., yn indepedent to each other? How to prove it?
Thanks a lot!
Jeff |
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a***n
发帖数: 40 | 38 If Xn converges to X in probability, i.e.,
for any e>0, lim P( |Xn - X| < e ) = 1,
can we let e -> 0, and conclude that lim P( Xn = X ) = 1 ?
I really doubt it, but cannot see why not? Thanks for your help. |
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a***n
发帖数: 40 | 39 Thank you. Another question is that if Xn converges to X almost surely, then
lim P(Xn=X)=1. Is it correct? My understanding of convergence almost surely is
that after finite many terms, Xn and X and the same except probably on a set
of measure 0. Is that correct?
I am trying to understand the various modes of convergence, and my questions
may be pretty naive. But it clarifies some of my doubts, and your helps are so
much appreciated. |
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m*********s
发帖数: 5 | 40 Let {u_n} and u be probability measures on R^N, and suppose the characteristic
function of u_n , \int_{R^N} {exp(i ) u_n(dx)} , converges to that of u
, \int_{R^N} {exp(i ) u(dx)} , as n goes to infinity, for all t in R^N.
Show that \int_{R^N} {exp(i ) u_n(dx)} converges to \int_{R^N} {exp(i
) u(dx)} uniformly on compacts.
Is this a standard problem? Any hint? Thanks a lot! |
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h*******o
发帖数: 169 | 41 there are N balls. Out of the N balls, there are M black balls and N-M while
balls. Permutate all balls in a round circle. What is the probability that
at least X black balls are in a row (e.g., WWBBBBBWWWWBWBW....)? Please note
the balls are permutated in a round circle.
Thanks in advance for any help!!!!!!!!! |
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h*******o
发帖数: 169 | 42 Please, no one can help? Is it often seen in probability class? I really
need some help here:(
while
that
note |
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B*M
发帖数: 1340 | 43 你这例子越发举得我糊涂啦，
您老就给个明白话吧，probability space 和 Banach space之间到底啥关系？ |
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f******k
发帖数: 297 | 44 is probability space linear? |
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B*M
发帖数: 1340 | 45 大致是这样的
现在有A,B,C三个问题，
已证(别人证得）问题B是C的spacial case，或者说C是B的推广，
现在我要做得是，show A is a spacial case of C，
A问题都是在概率空间上说事儿，
C问题都是在Banach space上说，
B问题在convex Hausdorff vector space上，
我看别人证得那个，有一步，直接let 一个separable Banach space = 一个一维概率
空间了，
所以才有了我一开始的问题：
show a probability space is a Banach space |
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H****h
发帖数: 1037 | 46 你别弄混两个概念：measurable space 和 probability space. |
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B*M
发帖数: 1340 | 47 没有特别的定义，就是H是一Banach space
L是一probability space，
然后问题是：
1. is it possible that L = H？？
2. L must be a Banach space？？ |
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B*M
发帖数: 1340 | 48 probability Lp spaces??
en，现在看来这个问题我基本可以解决啦。。。
感谢大伙的帮助！！！ |
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B****n
发帖数: 11290 | 49 I once saw a book in the library called something like 'Probability theory
on Banach Space'. |
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