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全部话题 - 话题: pessimists
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h******n
发帖数: 3599
1
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: hutuxian (糊涂仙), 信区: Military
标 题: 西方往死里整普京大帝,油价变便宜无比
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 15 10:05:23 2014, 美东)
油价跌破3美元一加仑了, 西方这是往死里整普京啊
Crashing oil prices could crush Vladimir Putin
Falling oil prices are good for American drivers, but not for Russia.
In early March when Russia first sent troops into Ukraine, oil was trading
comfortably above $100 per barrel. Now, it's around $81, a level not seen in
three years.
That's a tough pill for Russia to swallow since the country re... 阅读全帖
k***n
发帖数: 3158
2
来自主题: USANews版 - 尼日利亚大选令中国人蒙羞
describing someone as a "Chinese hater" is no where close to a PA
what you did in all your posts are the exact reason why I remain pessimistic
about China's path to develop true demoracy.
a*********a
发帖数: 3656
3
below is the original text from Trump's website, specific policy related to
legal immigration. my comments:
item #1. I have my concern. carefully executed, can crush ICCs and those 1
year "masters" programs. which are the true cause of the degradation of IT
work quality and IT workers' life quality. executed badly will shut the door
on true talents.
item #2. This may be the source of the fear on H1B application process. I
agree hiring foreign worker should have a higher threshold, but I do not
a... 阅读全帖
k***n
发帖数: 3158
4
lol
so all people can post here is to say "支持trump"
anything else is "就是在搅混水"
you should be able to find a better position with CCP, lol
Did you even read the thread? Or you just came to check whether I posted
""支持trump"?
I mentioned neo-con in the context that when a GOP candidate focuses on
economic growth instead of being distracted by other ideologies shit, they
can win big, even in a swing state, so there are plenty of hopes for GOP
to beat DEM in the coming GE. The poster whom I replied to... 阅读全帖
n**********n
发帖数: 984
5
来自主题: USANews版 - Trump主席语录
Trump主席语录,我来注释一下前三条。
You can't be scared. You do your thing, you hold your ground, you stand up
tall, and whatever happens, happens. (我看版上很多人患得患失,TRUMP作为当事
人,镇定得很。)
Sometimes by losing a battle you find a new way to win the war. (从IOWA结果
,迅速学会了Ground Game)
Without passion, you don't have any energy, and without energy, you simply
have nothing. (不断演讲,不断的发帖,不断的辩论,高能量。)
Do not spend too much time planning or trying to anticipate and solve
problems before they happen. That is just another kind of ex... 阅读全帖
A**d
发帖数: 13310
6
你们这些眼里只有零和的贱左还有脸污蔑川普dark, pessimistic
A**H
发帖数: 4797
7
你们这些眼里只有零和的贱左还有脸污蔑川普dark, pessimistic
y********a
发帖数: 953
8
来自主题: USANews版 - pussy事件, 至少掉5%民调
Don't be pessimistic!
f**********n
发帖数: 29853
9
来自主题: USANews版 - 中国和美国的致命弱点
俺懒得一条条反驳,因为放屁容易,把整个房间空气恢复清新很难。
就以第一条为例,大家都说日本人口老化,经济不涨,然而,站在屁民的角度,在日本
人口不增加的前提下,一趴的经济增长是非常自然的现象,日本失落的二十年只是报表
上不好看,首相对这报表发愁,而日本普通人,尤其老年人的生活质量并没有下降。人
均GDP更是在本世纪逐渐反弹,甚至超过了欧洲和美国。
参见
Japan’s economy
Whose lost decade?
Japan’s economy works better than pessimists think—at least for the
elderly
http://www.economist.com/node/21538745
p****x
发帖数: 1376
10
来自主题: USANews版 - 老黑左Freeman都投诚了,lol
But at 79-years-old, Freeman isn’t jaded or pessimistic. He says he’s “
not scared… and [he’s] holding out hope that Donald Trump has to be a good
president. He can’t not be. What I see is a guy who will not lose."
Morgan Freeman talks Trump, family and finding peace
http://www.foxnews.com/entertainment/2017/02/02/morgan-freeman-talks-trump-family-and-finding-peace.html
d*2
发帖数: 2053
11
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-is-at-a-13-year-high-in-
america-143433905.html
On Friday, the latest consumer sentiment numbers from the University of
Michigan released Friday showed that in March confidence rose again, as the
index of consumer sentiment rose to 97.6 from a final reading of 96.3 in
February.
Though just below readings seen in January and February, March’s
preliminary reading indicates consumers haven’t been this consistently
confident since early 2004.
“The o... 阅读全帖
b*****d
发帖数: 61690
12
来自主题: USANews版 - 主党脸皮确实厚
Senators in both parties predict blowing up the Senate’s rules to confirm
Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch will inflict serious damage on the
institution.
Democrats are mulling whether to employ the same retaliatory tactics that
Republicans used in 2013 after Democrats triggered the “nuclear option” to
prevent the GOP from filibustering President Obama’s executive branch and
judicial nominees.
“They used the age-old Senate tactic of slowing things to a crawl, which
you can do under the rules o... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
13
来自主题: USANews版 - Why Anyone Can Be Chinese (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: Why Anyone Can Be Chinese
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jul 21 22:40:35 2017, 美东)
https://www.wsj.com/articles/can-anyone-be-chinese-1500045078?ncid=
edlinkushpmg00000313
A scholar who's lived in China for more than two decades argues that Chinese
identity should be cultural, not racial
By Daniel A. Bell
July 14, 2017 11:11 a.m. ET
Who is Chinese? The answer may seem simple at first: a person who looks
Chinese.
But im... 阅读全帖
S*******i
发帖数: 2018
14
http://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-lets-have-a-shutdown-if-congress-cant-reach-immigration-deal-1517948479
WASHINGTON—The White House signaled little flexibility on immigration on
Tuesday, saying lawmakers must pass a bill on President Donald Trump’s
terms and offering no relief on the tight timeline for Congress.
White House Chief of Staff John Kelly, who has been a key adviser to Mr.
Trump on immigration, said he wouldn’t support Congress passing a short-
term legislative patch to give itself m... 阅读全帖
e***a
发帖数: 15
15
来自主题: WorldNews版 - 微软谣言证实了
前段时间这里有人争论微软的谣言,吵得不亦乐乎,今天有消息了
Microsoft Plans to Lay Off 5,000 Workers
By ASHLEE VANCE
Published: January 22, 2009 NYT
Microsoft stunned its investors on Thursday, announcing the first broad
layoffs in its history and offering a pessimistic forecast for the second
half of its fiscal year.
Rather than issuing its second-quarter results in the customary fashion
after the market closed, Microsoft rushed out the news Thursday morning that
it will lay off up to 5,000 of its 94,000 employees over the
E*V
发帖数: 17544
16
来自主题: WorldNews版 - TG最low的一段时期
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: coolio (Coolio), 信区: Military
标 题: TG最low的一段时期
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 11 16:42:55 2009, 美东)
刚看了德国庆祝柏林墙倒塌20周年的视频,最后一块中国砖居然没倒,真够行为艺术的
。不过TG在89年末90年初是非常郁闷的,这个不假。
先是自己的8×8,成了奶奶不疼,舅舅不爱的国际弃儿,连非洲Somalia都躲着咱走,
全世界就金大和西哈努克发贺电。我们外向型经济也因为制裁受到沉重打击。通货膨胀
继续,供应感觉要回到供给制。广播电视成天放革命歌曲,延安颂听得都会唱了。大家
非常pessimistic。感觉日子出不了头。
突然11月就传来了柏林墙倒了,东德昂纳克下台。接着是捷克,匈牙利,保加利亚,波
兰GD都倒了。真是隔几天一个坏消息,郁闷啊TG (好消息倒有一个,广播讲冬储大白
菜保证供应)。最惨的是罗马尼亚,齐奥塞斯库想学TG镇压,没想到人民和军队的觉悟
较高,自己和老婆反到被fire squad搞掉了。记得当天早晨延安颂后TG主播用较沉痛
W***n
发帖数: 11530
17
Financial Crisis Coming If U.S. Doesn't Deal With Long-Term Debt, Says Pete
Peterson
Posted Feb 07, 2011 12:14pm EST by Daniel Gross in Newsmakers
Peter G. Peterson, co-founder of the Blackstone Group, has long warned about
the threat that high deficits pose to the nation. In a stream of books, op-
eds, and articles, he has pushed for reform of entitlements and the tax code.
In recent years, Peterson, who served as Commerce Secretary in the Nixon
Administration, has stepped up his anti-deficit a... 阅读全帖
h******n
发帖数: 3599
18
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: hutuxian (糊涂仙), 信区: Military
标 题: 西方往死里整普京大帝,油价变便宜无比
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 15 10:05:23 2014, 美东)
油价跌破3美元一加仑了, 西方这是往死里整普京啊
Crashing oil prices could crush Vladimir Putin
Falling oil prices are good for American drivers, but not for Russia.
In early March when Russia first sent troops into Ukraine, oil was trading
comfortably above $100 per barrel. Now, it's around $81, a level not seen in
three years.
That's a tough pill for Russia to swallow since the country re... 阅读全帖
h******n
发帖数: 3599
19
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: hutuxian (糊涂仙), 信区: Military
标 题: 西方往死里整普京大帝,油价变便宜无比
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 15 10:05:23 2014, 美东)
油价跌破3美元一加仑了, 西方这是往死里整普京啊
Crashing oil prices could crush Vladimir Putin
Falling oil prices are good for American drivers, but not for Russia.
In early March when Russia first sent troops into Ukraine, oil was trading
comfortably above $100 per barrel. Now, it's around $81, a level not seen in
three years.
That's a tough pill for Russia to swallow since the country re... 阅读全帖
h**i
发帖数: 219
20
来自主题: Automobile版 - 刚买的车200mile还算是新车吗?
That is a too pessimistic estimate.
h******n
发帖数: 3599
21
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: hutuxian (糊涂仙), 信区: Military
标 题: 西方往死里整普京大帝,油价变便宜无比
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 15 10:05:23 2014, 美东)
油价跌破3美元一加仑了, 西方这是往死里整普京啊
Crashing oil prices could crush Vladimir Putin
Falling oil prices are good for American drivers, but not for Russia.
In early March when Russia first sent troops into Ukraine, oil was trading
comfortably above $100 per barrel. Now, it's around $81, a level not seen in
three years.
That's a tough pill for Russia to swallow since the country re... 阅读全帖
p*********r
发帖数: 4593
22
这个是 Motor Trend 评测的文章. 花些时间好好看看。
http://www.motortrend.com/cars/mazda/cx-5/2016/small-crossover-comparison-big-test/
The summary of all them.
9th Jeep Cherokee Latitude 4×4
Were the criteria for Big Test less consumer-oriented and more enthusiast-
oriented, odds are this Jeep would be much higher on this list.
8th Nissan Rogue SL AWD
There’s a lot to like about the Rogue, but unfortunately for Nissan there’
s also a lot to not like about it.
7th Kia Sportage EX AWD
A solid effort by Kia is let d... 阅读全帖
p*********r
发帖数: 4593
23
这个是 Motor Trend 评测的 online version.
http://www.motortrend.com/cars/mazda/cx-5/2016/small-crossover-comparison-big-test/
The summary of the conclusion.
9th Jeep Cherokee Latitude 4×4
Were the criteria for Big Test less consumer-oriented and more enthusiast-
oriented, odds are this Jeep would be much higher on this list.
8th Nissan Rogue SL AWD
There’s a lot to like about the Rogue, but unfortunately for Nissan there’
s also a lot to not like about it.
7th Kia Sportage EX AWD
A solid effort by Kia... 阅读全帖
p*********r
发帖数: 4593
24

这些是很大的优势。 也是主要原因这几年SUV销量很好。
你可以考虑买操控好些的中小型 SUV, 这些开起来跟 sedan 差不多。
这个是 Motor Trend 最新的中小型 SUV 评测
http://www.motortrend.com/cars/mazda/cx-5/2016/small-crossover-comparison-big-test/
对第一名的 CX-5是这样说的。
Some of us are a bit pessimistic that CUVS will replace midsize sedans in
family driveways. If they’re all at least half as good as the CX-5, then
there’d be nothing to worry about.
d*******g
发帖数: 1978
25
来自主题: ChinaStock版 - 3200点附近震荡,最高3400
I think you guys just too pessimistic
this could be the bottom of another bull into the winter
s*********t
发帖数: 16647
26
来自主题: ebiz版 - 大家开始退货了?
i am pessimistic about the price of even the gold in the next 2 weeks
from what we could see these 2 days at Apple, it already indicates Cook is
not Jobs and Apple can fulfill its promise and is capable of producing gold
5s in a fast pace
Unless China has huge flood like Thailand 2 years ago, gold 5s' price is
already doomed in the near future
h*****n
发帖数: 924
27
this is way too pessimistic. i agree that there are tons of assholes in acad
emia, and agree with the mechanism you said before. however, the lovely side
of academia is you get paid for what you like. it is more than a job, somet
hing like a combination of hobby and job.
few occupations in this world have this property. typically, one does someth
ing he does not like, and thus get paid.
the interest part of faculty life is awesome, though its people part is horr
ible.

an
capability,
't
g*******t
发帖数: 1039
28
来自主题: Faculty版 - UC真是没救了
On one hand, what you said is true (to some degree at least), so even if you
have pension, you may want to save some more, using something like Roth IRA
on the other hand, pension problem is pretty normal, for example, in old
days many private companies have pension, and if the company go bankrupt,
federal government has something to deal with it (at least they try to),
google PBGC.
Work hard to earn more, also don't have to be too pessimistic with regarding
to this country.

later
a********u
发帖数: 1277
29
来自主题: Faculty版 - Rugters ECE
It is not a rejection. Why be so pessimistic?
a*****k
发帖数: 974
30
来自主题: Faculty版 - 做发考题的pros & cons ?
You guys are so pessimistic about a faculty career.
I am just an AP in a so-so university. I got paid the highest in my
department,only teach one course per year, and only work for two days a week
in the school. Tons of time to take care of family and enjoy life.
I really feel this is the best job in the world.
H****y
发帖数: 2992
31
多谢大家鼓励!终于写完了。希望共同探讨。
On Scientific Writing
“The ancient historians gave us delightful fiction in the form of fact; the
modern novelist presents us with dull facts under the guise of fiction.” (
Oscar Wilde)
1. Adopt the Right Attitude
Just like everything else, before we start, we have to believe what we do
matters. If we can’t persuade ourselves, how are we going to persuade
others? Writing scientific essays should not be considered as an obligation,
or a pain we go through t... 阅读全帖
b*******h
发帖数: 13
32
来自主题: Faculty版 - Will the university change their minds?
Thanks so much for your assured message. I admit that one year's experience
in job hunting actually has generated not just more grey hairs on my head
but also some abnormal psychiatric personality -- doubtful, pessimistic...
Weird job market, weird employers and weird applicants!
c***t
发帖数: 91
33
Don't be pessimistic, as Chinese, we have backup options like Qingqian. It
is fair that the US government supports their own people. Currently the
situation is many white men with good background might not be able to find a
position and have to give up the academic jobs.
I********e
发帖数: 6130
34
来自主题: Family版 - 是我太骄横小气了嘛?
Wow..you sure are pessimistic...
c*********2
发帖数: 3402
35
March 16, 2012 By WomansDay.com
When you hear that a close friend is divorcing, you want to be nothing but
supportive. But when you combine the delicate subject matter with your own
mixed feelings (Is she making the right choice? Is my marriage in trouble
too?), it's easy to end up blurting out the wrong thing. You may mean to say
, I'm worried for you, but you end up saying, How will you take care of your
family now? "Friends try to be helpful, but their own fears and biases can
make their comm... 阅读全帖
w*******4
发帖数: 1931
36
可接受的价格(必须明码标价!):
$50
物品新旧要求:
Brand new
邮寄方式要求:
My Label
买卖双方谁承担邮寄损失(Required if not code only):
deafult
付款方式说明:
bill pay/ paypal
其他补充说明:
广告的有效期:
up to got
物品来源:
A project is defined by the list of activities given below:
activity immediate
predecessors
duration
(days)
A - *
B - 4
C - *
D C 2
E B 1
F A 4
G B 2
H B 3
I C *
J D,E 3
K F,G 1
L K 4
M J,H 4
* activities A,C,I are subject to uncertainty and only the following
duration estimates are available:
activity optimistic likely pessimistic
A 2 ... 阅读全帖
p********e
发帖数: 16048
37
The electrical impedance remained above 6 ohms at all frequencies (fig.1,
solid trace). The average was closer to 9 ohms, which both means that the SP
-BS41-LR—who thought of that name?—will be an easy load for the partnering
amplifier to drive, and suggests that the specified 6 ohms figure is too
pessimistic.
http://www.stereophile.com/content/pioneer-sp-bs41-lr-loudspeak
实线部分
s********n
发帖数: 1962
38
来自主题: Investment版 - A conversation (zt)
【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: stockdemon (天下大乱·返璞归真), 信区: Stock
标 题: A conversation (zt)
发信站: Unknown Space - 未名空间 (Mon Aug 9 15:04:16 2004) WWW-POST
Copy from Goofiz
http://www.financialsense.com/transcriptions/RT090603.html
ROGERS : You are right; people rarely recognize the beginning of a
new bull market. If you may remember in 1982, the DOW Jones was 800
and everyone was most pessimistic and by 1984 it had gone up to 1200
and everyone said it is up to 50% this is a new high, you better get
ou
f**********r
发帖数: 2137
39
来自主题: Investment版 - 2009年投资当谨慎。
why so pessimistic? comparing to 1973-1975, the bottom may have been seen.
but this time the market dropped much faster than the previous 3 recessions.
u****d
发帖数: 2578
40
来自主题: Investment版 - Discussion: Buy TIPS?
A lot of people out there, regardless being optimistic or pessimistic about
the economy, are predicting a hyper-inflation down the road, and any paper
currency on this planet will not worth holding.
For the purpose of preserving purchasing power (I don't believe one should
set up a goal of appreciating wealth during a giant bear market for almost
every asset class), I am favor of buying TIPS than gold (or silver), because
it is easier to manage and its value is relatively foreseeable.
It this th
m*********a
发帖数: 3299
41
来自主题: Investment版 - inflation
I am not so pessimistic about the future of USA. USA's GDP grow may be
stalled for next decade, but it can maintain its current economic level.
Compare USA and Japan in the past two decades. With zero or negative growth
of past two decades, Japan still looks ok. Yen is depreciated from 80 to 140
and now stand around 100 vs dollar.
K****D
发帖数: 30533
42
来自主题: Investment版 - Some questions regarding analyst estimates
It doesn't seem to fit my experience.
I almost always see a stock rise if it beats analyst average; and
vise versa. The only exception would be when the company holds a
pessimistic outlook.
Again, I was talking about traditional stocks, like KO, WMT, etc.
Not those fancy financial ones.
h*******y
发帖数: 864
43
来自主题: Investment版 - 对与错 ztt (转载)
The market is getting increasingly hard to play.
People are investing less because of prospects of good returns, rather
because other investment options are often much worse.
Maybe this will become the decade of lower return? But after all, lower
return may not be that bad for young workers/savers. A booming stock/
property market just transfer the wealth from young buyers to retirees.
On that thought, I am getting a little bit pessimistic about investing today
. The biggest drivers of investmen
c*v
发帖数: 93
44
来自主题: Investment版 - bond和stock market不和谐了
Bond investors are pessimists; stock investors are optimists.
s********n
发帖数: 1962
45
来自主题: Investment版 - 房子
Real estate market is very local. It could be as local as a small
town. In California, Palo Alto and Stockton are only 80 miles away,
yet their real estate markets are like heaven and earth.
So 'Middle area' is meaningless. We are pessimistic about US real
estate market as a whole. However, you have to do your own homework
for your own town.
s********z
发帖数: 5411
46
来自主题: Investment版 - 35万美元
Why? Do you think China will continue to export more than import?
As the labor costs rise, labor intensive industries in China are getting
less and less competitive and at the same time there is little sign that
China can export high value-added products.
Overall, I am very pessimistic about China's future.
s********z
发帖数: 5411
47
来自主题: Investment版 - 35万美元
The difference is that I am pessimistic and you are optimistic.
I lost hope to my country and my people.
S**C
发帖数: 2964
48
来自主题: Investment版 - 会不会是个超级大牛市的开始?
Secular bear market runs 15-20 years, it is likely we are just halfway
through, maybe a little more than halfway. But from valuation standpoint,
the market is not cheap. We may not test the March 2009 bottom, but IMO the
secular bear market is far from over.
I do not pay much attention on the headline news, I am watching the Italian,
and to some extend, French, bond yields, and they are not pretty. Adding
the EU GDP forecast for the next year, things are getting worse, not better.
The unfolding ... 阅读全帖
c********1
发帖数: 5269
49
my net asset doubled after 2008 crisis! I bought 8 rental houses at bottom.
I am a pessimistic person. I keep worrying about [asset bubble]. I beat
market when market is bearish or neutral. I have difficultlies when market
is
bullish.
I am building up my cash position.We will do well if a crisis like 2008
crisis come again.

portfolio
和股
如V
精力
期来
M********r
发帖数: 278
50
1. When fed will raise the rate and how far they would go is any one's
guess
2. Bond price and yield is determined by trade. The short end of the yield
curve is most sensitive to policy rate. One interesting thing to watch is
whether and how the long end will respond to fed decision. In theory It
could happen that the market is so pessimistic about the economy that the
long end of the yield curve wont budge. I am not saying this is going to
happen. But it is likely.
3. In general equity price an... 阅读全帖
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