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全部话题 - 话题: pessimists
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M********r
发帖数: 278
1
1. When fed will raise the rate and how far they would go is any one's
guess
2. Bond price and yield is determined by trade. The short end of the yield
curve is most sensitive to policy rate. One interesting thing to watch is
whether and how the long end will respond to fed decision. In theory It
could happen that the market is so pessimistic about the economy that the
long end of the yield curve wont budge. I am not saying this is going to
happen. But it is likely.
3. In general equity price an... 阅读全帖
c********a
发帖数: 2829
2
Forgive me for being a pessimist.
1. usually this kind of answer means you are a backup of their top candidate
.If I'm wrong, please come back and let me know. I will change my conception.
2. If you can top candidate, the answer usually is "we are working on finals
", "the decision has gone to top level management"... If the company says it
will take one or two weeks, it may actually take several weeks or month.
This means, the company may say they want someone to start ASAP, which will
make the
x*****p
发帖数: 1707
3
Don't be too pessimistic. Software is everywhere in any area. You have
professional knowledge of engineering. If you know some programming, that
will be better and helpful in engineering.
a******o
发帖数: 261
4
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 开个贴讨论工作中的注意事项吧
At a higher level, 3 major principles guiding all of your office actions:
1) empathy - put yourself in your peers, your underlings, your boss, your
customer's shoes - what are their motives, interests, perspectives, and how
do you take that into consideration when you want to achieve what you want?
the more you can think like them and speak/write in a language that resonate
with them, the more likely you will achieve your goal.
2) expectation management: satisfaction = result - expectation. you... 阅读全帖
l**********r
发帖数: 4612
5
summary?
n*********n
发帖数: 580
6
来自主题: JobHunting版 - A onsite 4轮面筋
回馈下本版,长期潜水得到了很多帮助。
算法两题,一个是leetcode原题,判断两个tree node的lowest common ancestor.
另一个是directed graph, 代表work flows, 打印dependency sequence.
1->2->3
4->5《 (两个分别指向3,8的箭头)
6->7->8
task 3必须在1245都完成后才出现,task 8必须在4567都完成才出现。
sequence12453678是个解。
基本靠提示做的。3和8只有进来的edges, 当作root, 分别做post order tree
traversal
(不一定binary tree). 结果合并并且避免重复就可以了。
OO design题主要针对scalability。搞熟stateless, stateful conversation的差别,
partition, replica各自的好处就差不多了。我尽量把自己知道的知识都表达出来,只
要沾边的。比如,这个系统用name value database比sql更好。Optimistic lock和
pes... 阅读全帖
f******h
发帖数: 45
7
也找工作了一段时间了,从版上学了很多,上周G家面完了,求个bless。
之前的一些都挂了,还在继续找其他的。等定下来之后一定发面经回报本版。
谢谢大家啦!!
1. http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/JobHunting/32005597.html
1) Implement a simple calculator (+,-,*,/);
2) Implement "+1" for a large integer;
3) How to match Ads to users;
4) How to extract useful information from a forum webpage (list all
kinds of useful signal you can think of)
5) How to detect the duplicate HTML pages (large scale);
6) Find all the paths between two places on Google map;
7)... 阅读全帖
o**********e
发帖数: 18403
8
【 以下文字转载自 Seattle 讨论区 】
发信人: onetiemyshoe (onetiemyshoe), 信区: Seattle
标 题: 亚麻vs微软: 云中之战 (2) 中国战场
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jul 31 13:43:35 2014, 美东)
The fact is, Amazon's destiny in the cloud is in its own hands, which is
more than you can say about IBM, Google, or even Microsoft. I can easily
believe Microsoft is growing faster than Amazon as an IaaS provider
percentage-wise, because it has a smaller base that's easier to grow in
percentages than Amazon's. It also has a head of steam in China, where... 阅读全帖
d********w
发帖数: 363
9
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 系统设计能力提高捷径
品味来了。
Basics and Algorithms
The Five-Minute Rule Ten Years Later, and Other Computer Storage Rules of
Thumb (1997): This paper (and the original one proposed 10 years earlier)
illustrates a quantitative formula to calculate whether a data page should
be cached in memory or not. It is a delight to read Jim Gray approach to an
array of related problems, e.g. how big should a page size be.
AlphaSort: A Cache-Sensitive Parallel External Sort (1995): Sorting is one
of the most essential algorithms in... 阅读全帖
g********t
发帖数: 212
10
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 国内it行业的大众认知。
看板上的留言内容我蛮尊敬你的,但是看这句觉得对自己方向真pessimistic。我觉得
可能因为你在象牙塔尖周围的人都太牛了,同事都是精英互相不怎么看上眼,挤压感太
强,于是觉得送礼这种形式更刷存在感了。。。
这个真的感觉像是,第一批下海做房地产的包工头,倒去羡慕国有纺织厂的小科长有女
工调戏啊。
p**********l
发帖数: 97
11
值得去花时间和她打电话吗?
Hi Paul,
I wanted to try again to get on your radar, as your profile has been
reviewed by a sharp team in the industry and they asked me to see if you’re
interested in exploring new opportunities. Not just any opportunity, but a
chance for you to advance your career with a team that has made a strong
name and track record for themselves in the industry.
Founded by pioneers in the space that have helped changed multiple
technologies. Heavily backed from some of the valley’s best VC’... 阅读全帖
t*********r
发帖数: 387
12
Performance: using ZK implies pessimistic CC, which IMO will probably
perform slightly worse in the general case.
I concede cross shard transactions will incur a latency cost, but scaling
RDBMS to very large scales is a pain in the ass. For smaller data sets,
crossing a few shards isn't going to be *that* bad.
I never made an argument that there is no tradeoff between C/A against *
performance*. What I do have a problem is claiming that you can't have both
C and A (since P is widely claimed and ... 阅读全帖
s*****r
发帖数: 43070
13
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 锁票是12306 的重要组成部分
你这是pessimistic locking,在大并发的情况根本无可能使用
f*****g
发帖数: 15860
14
来自主题: Living版 - 09,10年的房价走势
LOL, a year ago, if you told me that "In a lot of places, I still think that
30-40% decline is possible." (as in now, 2009, context), even conservative
me, or so called "house black", would think you're too pessimistic.
but since end of last year, when we got the idea to move up and started to
look around (for almost a year now), we now got more first hand local info.,
which is more than a story from some friend or newspaper.
i have to agree we may have not seen the worst yet. too easily to get
n*********e
发帖数: 25274
15
来自主题: Living版 - 老美为啥贷款这么困难呢
1) Purchase activity, after two prior weeks of strength, slowed in the
November 12 week, down 5.0 percent according to the Mortgage Bankers
Association. Refinance activity fell 16.5 percent. MBA blamed the drops,
especially for refinancing, to a surge in rates including an 18 basis point
jump for 30-year loans to an average 4.46 percent.
The Mortgage Bankers' Association compiles various mortgage loan indexes.
The purchase applications index measures applications at mortgage lenders.
This is a l... 阅读全帖
m****h
发帖数: 574
16
I am reading
it looks overwhelmingly pessimistic on that board
f*******g
发帖数: 1649
17
【 以下文字转载自 PerfectMom 讨论区 】
发信人: sunnygirl (失学儿童家长), 信区: PerfectMom
标 题: 赶鸭子上架,分享情商培养体会
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 19 13:36:22 2007)
给孩子的情绪一个名字,尊重孩子的情绪,专家如是说.
对小小孩子,有很多无字书,人物表情特别细腻
可以给她们解释:这个娃娃在哭,她很难过,因为她的玩具被抢走了
这个娃娃在笑,她觉得很得意,因为她自己穿上鞋子了
这本书我非常喜欢,因为里面is all about cookies,也是丫丫的最爱:
她从里面学会了:我们要cooperate!
You take a bite, I take a bite, that's fair!
There is still half cookie left, yeah! 要opptimistic, 不要pessimistic
就是每次我说,老公这个菜只剩一点点了,你把它给吃完吧
小姐会跳起脚来:爸爸不要greedy!
不要担心这些词太大,如果在interesting context下面,小人很快就会用
B******1
发帖数: 9094
18
来自主题: Parenting版 - 孩子的自白(给老师的一封信)
Dear Teacher,
Well, the school year certainly seems to have gone off with a bang! Though
summer had its ups and downs, after a while it simmered off with a whimper.
In comparison, my 7th grade year seems to be a frenzy of colors, nervousness
, and curiosity. It may be true someday I’ll also grow tired of school life
, but it certainly doesn’t seem likely. I truly hope that I will assimilate
into this environment soon, but I’ve never really been good at changing my
colors. (Nor at opening my poor... 阅读全帖
b******3
发帖数: 4385
19
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: bruce123 (黑牛), 信区: Military
标 题: 白人的优越感为什么深入骨髓
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 5 11:30:22 2014, 美东)
如果你是一个受过基本教育的白人,你会为你的祖先而自豪吗? 我想,我会。
三百年来,他们为后代子孙开疆拓土,科技文化引领世界,军事冲突所向披靡。很多人
说,这种用暴力为后代获得的生存空间,有什么值得鼓吹的,我认为这种政治正确性只
存在于言辞中的白人和自我安慰的少数族裔 !
一百多年的文化积累,让很多东西深入骨髓。 你不可能期望这种优越感,以及由此衍
生的一个群体对其他群体的偏见突然消失。其实今天它们仍来无处不在,存在在好莱坞
大片中,存在于
文学作品中,表面的自制在危机面前会显得无比脆弱。 到今天中国人张嘴就能说出我
们祖先留下东夷、南蛮、西戎、北狄,知道里面的偏见,可是谁能否认偏见对大部分人
的影响。 所以你怎么指望西方人忘记他们的‘《西游记》’,忘记他们的’《三国演
义》”,这些书今天的美国人会读,一百年后的美国人也会读,你是america... 阅读全帖
t*******r
发帖数: 22634
20
要求自己 aim high 不容易,因为估计自己的小时数时,一般人相当 pessimistic。
要求娃 aim high 太容易,大嘴一张就来,因为估计娃小时数时,一般父母太过
optimistic。
以上也是人之本性,所以也不用苛求就是了。。。但小时数估计太不准的话,也可能娃
将来发生 decay 的概率高些。。。
t*******r
发帖数: 22634
21
来自主题: Parenting版 - 关于刷还是不刷
我内存有 bug。。。不过查了是 260 到 270,pessimistic 的说就是二百六。。。
m********t
发帖数: 13072
22
来自主题: Parenting版 - 关于刷还是不刷
悲观这两字,汉字上打出来,要比pessimistic这个容易的多,高效率的多,但你还是
舍本求末,非要费劲多敲几个字母,
所以,你潜意识里,觉得这个单词比较难, 有人肯定不认识,所以你有智商上的优越
感,
我分析的还靠谱吧
再往深了说,你拿不出其他更出彩的statement,就靠这个小动作来抬身价了。
让你难过的说一句,这单词,还有反义词,我高中就背过了。。。根本就是生活中的常
见基本词汇
w*********o
发帖数: 3030
23
That's what Dr. King wanted too. What's the current social economical status
of average African Americans?
是真心,希望,这个国家,真正的做到,看人不看肤色,只认才能,难得这有错?---
there is nothing wrong with that. But what a country can achieve is
essentially what the people in the country can achieve. To make sure
majority of the people in US can achieve 看人不看肤色,只认才能, US has to
exist that long. I am a pessimist on that part because I think skin color
and the difference that comes with it are something to be celebrated and is
t... 阅读全帖
w*********o
发帖数: 3030
24
来自主题: Parenting版 - 也有一个异想天开的想法
I am pessimist on that front, even though I have seen quite some good deeds
like what you described from Chinese Americans. It is not about how much
money or how to spend one's own money. It's that weird sense of entitlement
of the right to judge on how other people's money should be spent.

.
H*********k
发帖数: 535
25
来自主题: Returnee版 - 等到过山车到顶了你们就不吵了
I am pessimistic about chinese next ten years unless a big reform happen,
There is big difference between Japan and China.
b*****9
发帖数: 8922
26
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
dadao (dadaomao) 于 (Tue Aug 10 12:55:03 2010, 美东) 提到:
等过两年经济开始徘徊了,房价继续坚挺, 工资开始下调的时候你们就不吵了
下个十年, 只有上帝保佑中国吧
到时候你们就都乖乖的窝在美国大农村了
海龟与不归, 不能长这个前后眼的,回去也是死路一条
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
glib97 (glib) 于 (Tue Aug 10 12:58:37 2010, 美东) 提到:
我一开始也是这么认为,但现在不确定了。
下个十年说不定正是走向发达国家的十年。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
outcry (outcry) 于 (Tue Aug 10 12:59:48 2010, 美东) 提到:
God bless China!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
dadao (dad... 阅读全帖
r***e
发帖数: 10135
27
文章原标题:处于十字路口的国家
作者:大卫•布鲁克斯 文 郭承斌 译
来源:纽约时报
来源日期:2010-11-8
比尔·克林顿过去时常谈到要在21世纪构筑一座桥梁,奥巴马总统也不时提到要奠下
“新基础”(new foundation)。不过,克林顿总对桥梁另一方的土地是何种情形含糊
其辞,奥巴马也让人对新基础之上修建的是何种建筑感到模棱两可。
对未来的表述之所以如此模糊,是因为没有人能清楚地知道,美国在2030年或是
2050年会成为哪种类型的国家,也没有人可以给美国未来的经济特性下一个明确的定义。
在思考该问题的过程中,从这个角度或许可以在开始阶段起到帮助启发的作用。五
百年前,农业是一项主要的经济活动;一百年前则是工业生产;当然,我们现在生活在
一个信息时代,创新力和创造力是经济增长的引擎。
哈佛大学的霍华德·加德纳(Howard Gardner)曾经构想了一幅合成图景来描绘具
有非凡创造性的人:她来自一个小地方,有些远离权势和影响力的中心。作为一个年轻
人,她觉得自己已经长大成熟,周围的小圈子不再适合她。于是,她搬到一座大都市,
找到了一群和自己志趣相投的人,并且参... 阅读全帖
b*A
发帖数: 1304
28
来自主题: Returnee版 - 不会长期回国了
People who are interested in economics always tend to be pessimistic. :-)
Given that said, auto mkt, steel production etc. are just one aspect of the
big pic. As I said upstairs, nobody argues about the current economic growth
in China, which looks good and may continue for 3-5 years. But when people
invest, they usually also care about the intermediate-run trends.
o**y
发帖数: 3065
29
来自主题: Returnee版 - 不会长期回国了
At that time, the Chinese media had less freedom to report what people think
, so it's difficult to know the real sentiment of the society. Now the media
is more open, you can see the society is more pessimistic.
c*****n
发帖数: 14445
30
来自主题: Returnee版 - [bssd]想裸归了,真心求建议
cong! This is the best decision!
Attitude is everything. When you saw a half cup of water, the pessimist will
think it is only half cup of water, and the optimist will think it is
already half cup of water, with a little more, it will be a full cup.
I believe you will feel happy after you back to China. Best wishes!
c*****n
发帖数: 14445
31
来自主题: Returnee版 - [bssd]想裸归了,真心求建议
cong! This is the best decision!
Attitude is everything. When you saw a half cup of water, the pessimist will
think it is only half cup of water, and the optimist will think it is
already half cup of water, with a little more, it will be a full cup.
I believe you will feel happy after you back to China. Best wishes!
n********k
发帖数: 2818
32
来自主题: Returnee版 - 王晓东是不是中国院士?
you have been very pessimistic (cynical) lately and I don't want to argue
but I would wait to make my own conclusion as for their intent...the time
will tell and the history will judge... Some of what you are asking for is
close to being ridiculous as of now...no one, NO ONE could achieve that or
should say that...
v****e
发帖数: 19471
33
来自主题: Stock版 - Next week...
- The market is in a vulnerable state and bearish is the mid-term picture.
But it will not simply roll over
and dive straight down this time, as the mood in market isless pessimistic
and panic than last year.
- Now everyone sees the signal that the bigger bear trend may have resumed
power, it's time for a
bounce.
- Next week, DJI may bounce from 12400 level to 12700-12800 level. NAZ may
see 2410 first then
bounce to 2460--2470 . For S&P, it may revisit 1400 before drop again. $VIX
may revisit 18
d*******k
发帖数: 56
34
来自主题: Stock版 - get your hand lotion ready
let's wait N see how the market interprets O8's speech.
Bearish Investors Position For Near-Term Crash & Burn At Delta
DAL – Delta Air Lines, Inc.
Bearish option traders bombarded Delta with pessimistic strategies today
after the firm stated total December traffic declines 7.5% versus the same
time in the previous year. Despite the decline in traffic, shares of the U.S
. carrier are up nearly 6% to $12.82, perhaps because ‘load factor’ – or
the percentage of available seats filled with passenger
b*******e
发帖数: 6389
35
来自主题: Stock版 - 其实谁愿意买黄金就多买点
Faber好像名声不是很好啊。
Faber is known as a contrarian investor and is often called "Dr. Doom" for
his sometimes pessimistic views on markets and the economy.
f*******t
发帖数: 1978
36
I doubt. haha, I am pessimistic. I doubt US economy's recovering deeply.
No sign could make me feel the recovering is real......
d****7
发帖数: 2241
37
Thanks for sharing, fasfaz.
My thinking is, not only $SPX runs low like crazy, but also the overall
market atmosphere is very pessimistic now. I am not sure the current economy
is that bad. So, just as you said, the trend is not clear at all.

了.
g********3
发帖数: 1281
38
来自主题: Stock版 - AA 的 er 把大盘撑起来了,
Actually all firms do this - guide down analyst forecast when approaching to
ER date, so that they can meet or beat forecasts. Analyst LT forecasts are
generally optimistic but turn pessimistic in near term forecasts. Big
literature in Accounting research on this.
w*******o
发帖数: 6125
39
68%的仓位应该还好,啥时候到了90%仓位(就像A股在2007.10和2009.07那样)
就要跑路了,上文里面有三段值得Highlight一下
1)Mutual funds, pensions and endowments are spending more on stocks than at any time since the start of the bull market, just as individuals grow the most pessimistic in a year.
2)The last time money managers and individuals were this far apart was in March 2009, before the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index began its 63 percent rally, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
3)“It’s been the individual investor that’s been a good
c**********7
发帖数: 197
40
来自主题: Stock版 - bull market?
In my understanding, July rally is planned in April by Wallst, when all the
signals were good at that time and MM anticipated a really solid rally,
please realize they need about 3 months to load. Now they are just forcely
implement the rally, although the timing is not that right as more and more
pessimistic news emerge.
a**1
发帖数: 338
41
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The U.S. economic recovery will remain slow deep into
next year, held back by shoppers reluctant to spend and employers hesitant
to hire, according to an Associated Press survey of leading economists.
The latest quarterly AP Economy Survey shows economists have turned gloomier
in the past three months. They foresee weaker growth and higher
unemployment than they did before. As a result, the economists think the
Federal Reserve will keep interest rates near zero until at least
T*********s
发帖数: 17839
42
These 72 Analysts Believe Gold Will Go Parabolic To Between $2,500 and $15,
000!
By W Lorimer Wilson
Created 19 Jul 2010
Believe it or not but I have identified 72 economists, academics, gold
analysts and market commentators who have developed sound rationale as to
why gold could quite possibly go to a parabolic top of at least $2,500 an
ounce to even as much as an unimaginable $15,000 before the bubble finally
pops!
Believe it or not but I have identified 72 economists, academics, gold
analysts
N********n
发帖数: 8363
43

Mainstream economists still have not figured out it's under-consumption
rather than over-consumption that grows economy.
b******n
发帖数: 370
44
来自主题: Stock版 - 能翻绿么?
forward PE depends on the incoming earning for next year.
PE (13) itself gives pessimistic or uncertain attitude of investor, isnt
that true? Plus how reliable those analyst estimates are?
An example: in May 2009, the earning estimates for past Q is 9$, the actual
now is close 20. Forward PE (based on the esitmate at that moment) is over
20.
I may rathe believe investors are more accurate than analysts in this sense.
l********i
发帖数: 426
45
我不觉得C的earning很差,我觉得大家overreact了。现在已经基本满仓。4.36进的C我
打算hold。如果以后还往里加钱的话我可能还会买
Citigroup (NYSE: C [FREE Stock Trend Analysis]) failed to dazzle this
morning with disappointing fourth quarter earnings. Citigroup reported EPS
of $0.04, much lower than $0.07 Street estimates. Earnings were on the low
end of the expectations, which were in the analyst survey range of $0.04 to
$0.08. In the previous quarter, Citigroup's earnings increased by 10%.
In pre-market trading, Citigroup was at $5.19 before the n... 阅读全帖
v****e
发帖数: 19471
46
来自主题: Stock版 - analysts on solar
pretty pessimistic on chinese solar companies?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1756855780&play=1
B*****e
发帖数: 2413
47
Although I hope all of you can make money from NOK, I feel a little
pessimistic about NOK and CSCO. I cut them with marginal loss. I predict
that CSCO cab be down to ~$14 and NOK to ~$6 in the not far future..
c*********o
发帖数: 8367
48
来自主题: Stock版 - 明天估计至少跌180点
did not think so..you are too pessimistic...LOL
U********f
发帖数: 2482
49
"Ninety-eight percent of the world is pessimistic on the U.S. dollar," says
Rogers with a shrug when asked to flesh out the conundrum of being long an
asset he thinks will end up being worthless. It's a trade, not a bullish
theme. Of course, Rogers never made a trade he wouldn't exit, and his long-
position on the dollar is no exception. "If it goes down, I'll have to sell
it," he says, adding, "if it goes up, I'll probably sell it."
B********n
发帖数: 384
50
来自主题: Stock版 - 我觉得RENN肯定要跌破$5
哭 means pessimistic
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