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全部话题 - 话题: overstate
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s********u
发帖数: 1054
1
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said U.S. unemployment may take
five years to fall to a normal level and that Fed purchases of Treasury
securities beyond the $600 billion announced last month are possible.
“At the rate we’re going, it could be four, five years before we are back
to a more normal unemployment rate” of about 5 percent to 6 percent,
Bernanke said according to the transcript of an interview to air today on
CBS Corp.’s “60 Minutes” program.
The purchase of more bonds than pl... 阅读全帖
w********1
发帖数: 3492
2
来自主题: Stock版 - CCME 不是唯一的,还有CAGC
Allegations Of Fraud Rattle Chinese ADRs
By DONALD H. GOLD, INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY Posted 06:45 PM ET
Featured Stocks
*
CAGC
China Agritech Inc (Added 12/02/2009)
CCME
China Mediaexpress Hldgs
VISN
Visionchina Media Ads
* Top-Rated Company
The market offered a cautionary tale Thursday for China's ADRs ? and for
those who invest in them.
China MediaExpress (CCME), a former member of Your Weekly Review, plunged 33
% in monster trade as the sto... 阅读全帖
m*****t
发帖数: 1987
3
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11042018/1/china-mediaexpress-ho
on-microstockprofitcom.html
"Saxena White P.A. recently announced that a securities fraud class action
has been filed against CCME, with
the complaint alleging that the Company and certain of its officers and
directors violated the federal securities
laws by failing to disclose material information, including
misrepresentation of the number of buses in its
advertising network, as well as the nature and extent of its business
relatio... 阅读全帖
B****F
发帖数: 638
4
来自主题: Stock版 - BUY
watch out Muddy water
Duoyuan Global Water, a China-based domestic water treatment equipment
supplier, has actual revenue no greater than $800,000 annually, according to
the latest report by Muddy Waters Research. Last year, Duoyuan Global Water
reported annual revenue of $154.4 million, according to filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
Muddy Waters makes other strong claims against the Chinese company,
including allegations that Duoyuan Global Water forged its audit report to
Ch... 阅读全帖
x**********i
发帖数: 42
5
PRESS RELEASE
July 20, 2011, 9:45 a.m. EDT
Cohen Milstein Sellers & Toll PLLC Announces Investigation of A-Power Energy
Generation Systems, Ltd.
WASHINGTON, Jul 20, 2011 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Cohen Milstein Sellers & Toll
PLLC is conducting an investigation to determine whether A-Power Energy
Generation Systems, Ltd. ("APWR" or the "Company") and certain of its
officers and directors made false and misleading statements and/or omissions
in violation of Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exc... 阅读全帖
m********0
发帖数: 2717
6
draw back with price actions?
It's semi-good-defined, which makes it hard to backtest, it also means the
profitability is individually dependent.
Defenders might say, you have to combine it with good risk management,
and good mindset, specially be open-minded. Be skeptical anytime, and when
market changes, accept and adaptive to it in real time. Right, these will
never be overstated. But every trend has its end, it might be as tough to
see its end as to see its begin. And it works with a number ... 阅读全帖
o****d
发帖数: 2835
7
zz
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e6e8b1a0-d521-11e0-bd7e-00144fea
US-based banks face mortgage lawsuits
Please respect FT.com's ts&cs and copyright policy which allow you to: share
links; copy content for personal use; & redistribute limited extracts.
Email f*************[email protected] to buy additional rights or use this link to
reference the article - http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e6e8b1a0-d521-11e0-bd7e-00144feab49a.html#ixzz1Wlx7Wftd
The largest banks operating in the US have been told to expect laws... 阅读全帖
s****7
发帖数: 2507
8
The real issue around Bank of America is not whether it survives, but
whether it sacrifices Countrywide to save itself. More specifically, will
Bank of America put Countrywide into bankruptcy? And will this stem the
bleeding?
¶The Countrywide acquisition will go down in history as a deal from
hell. It has already cost Bank of America tens of billions of dollars in
litigation settlements, let alone losses resulting in a $20.6 billion charge
to earnings in the second quarter. Bank of America ... 阅读全帖
u**********n
发帖数: 8905
9
来自主题: Stock版 - PCX受害者的机会来了!
..
Glancy Binkow & Goldberg LLP Announces Class Action Lawsuit Against Patriot
Coal Corporation
Press Release: Glancy Binkow & Goldberg LLP – Tue, Oct 2, 2012 9:45 PM EDT.
. .
.
.
LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
Glancy Binkow & Goldberg LLP announces that a class action lawsuit has been
filed in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of
Missouri on behalf of a class (the “Class”) consisting of all purchasers
of the securities of Patriot Coal Corporation (“Patriot Coal” or the “... 阅读全帖
f**********r
发帖数: 18251
10
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: gc01 (gc01), 信区: Military
标 题: 温家宝的女儿曾经在Credit SuisseZT
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 19 11:53:30 2013, 美东)
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/19/us-china-jpmorgan-hir
PRINCELING BANKERS
It's sometimes overstated how influential such hires can be, bankers and
headhunters say.
When UBS Securities won a mandate to handle a more than $6 billion stock
offering by PetroChina in 2007, attention focused on the bank's earlier
hiring of the daughter of a top executive at the ... 阅读全帖
p*********r
发帖数: 4593
11
Business Week just released an article about overstated US oil reverse.
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-04-03/u-dot-s-dot-oil
m**********n
发帖数: 2894
12
来自主题: Stock版 - BAC...
Bank of America reported a quarterly loss of $514 million, after $6 billion
in legal costs.
The mortgage crisis-related legal costs might become a recurring problem in
the upcoming quarters.
The developments in core banking units also do not present a bright future
for the stock.
I do not expect the stock to outperform the market over the next 12 months.
Bank of America (BAC) reported an unexpected first-quarter loss last month,
after taking a $6 billion charge to cover litigation expenses, a fi... 阅读全帖
B******e
发帖数: 16928
13
来自主题: Stock版 - 抄底baba了吗?
不是一句话能说清的,最大的问题是它的revenue recognition,overstate revenue.
t**********s
发帖数: 2968
14
U.S.-based stock funds post $21.6 billion withdrawals during week: Lipper
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S.-based stock funds posted $21.6 billion in
withdrawals during the latest week, Lipper data showed on Thursday, adding
to a trend of outflows from actively managed mutual funds that has lasted
much of the year.
Taxable bond funds recorded $2 billion in outflows during the latest week,
the data through Dec. 21 showed, a smaller level of withdrawals than the $5.
8 billion pulled the week prior.
Invest... 阅读全帖
E***r
发帖数: 1037
15
来自主题: Stock版 - IBM今天盘后ER赌不赌?

没有 FA 清楚的我一般默认做 neutral
查几个 delta 其实不碍事,只要不像昨天 NFLX 那样猛
这个其实我算猜对了,148-160之间都能挣钱
86%的 IV 果然是 overstated 了
可惜我和 MM 都不肯退让几分钱
Q********g
发帖数: 2465
16
来自主题: Stock版 - IBM今天盘后ER赌不赌?
我看到的IV只有20%啊
所以波动不大


: 没有 FA 清楚的我一般默认做 neutral

: 查几个 delta 其实不碍事,只要不像昨天 NFLX 那样猛

: 这个其实我算猜对了,148-160之间都能挣钱

: 86%的 IV 果然是 overstated 了

: 可惜我和 MM 都不肯退让几分钱

E***r
发帖数: 1037
17
这次 UVXY IV-HV 的走法几乎完全复制 Brexit
虽然现在才说已经马后炮了,但不得不说又是一次难得的 short IV 的机会
这货 IV overstates HV 的程度,已经远远超过了 SPX
UVXY(和 VXX)是仅有的一个非常适合用 OTM call vertical 来 short 的产品
原因有三:
1. 干股难以借到,而且 short interest 高,还容易被 recall
2. positive Theta,一直挣时间价值
3. IV contraction works in your favor
第3点要解释一下:一般的股票,下跌时候 IV 是上升的,
你如果 short OTM call vertical,IV的升高会 dampen your directional gain
(这点如果不理解,以后再专门开贴讲)。
而 UVXY 和 VXX 恰好相反,股价下跌时 IV 下降,
你如果 short OTM call vertical,这里的 IV contraction 会放大你的收益。

OTM
E***r
发帖数: 1037
18
这次 UVXY IV-HV 的走法几乎完全复制 Brexit
虽然现在才说已经马后炮了,但不得不说又是一次难得的 short IV 的机会
这货 IV overstates HV 的程度,已经远远超过了 SPX
UVXY(和 VXX)是仅有的一个非常适合用 OTM call vertical 来 short 的产品
原因有三:
1. 干股难以借到,还容易被召回
2. positive Theta,一直挣时间价值
3. IV contraction works in your favor
第3点要解释一下:一般的股票,下跌时候 IV 是上升的,
你如果 short OTM call vertical,IV的升高会 dampen your directional gain
(这点如果不理解,以后再专门开贴讲)。
而 UVXY 和 VXX 恰好相反,股价下跌时 IV 下降,
你如果 short OTM call vertical,这里的 IV contraction 会放大你的收益。

OTM
E***r
发帖数: 1037
19
来自主题: Stock版 - 又该入uvxy了?
It has more to do with luck as opposed to skills, to be honest.
After the roll-down, I double-checked the UVXY volatility chart,
and realized its IV was no longer overstating HV. In other words,
there is not enough short-term premiums to squeeze,
with respect to the risk I am taking.
I was probably too aggressive and greedy. It could backfire
if VIX spikes again.
Rolling down to only ~35, rolling out for one additional month,
or closing out half of the positions, might have been a safer trade.
E***r
发帖数: 1037
20
来自主题: Stock版 - 又该入uvxy了?
Historical volatility (HV), or realized volatility
is the actual volatility computed from stock price movement.
Implied volatility (IV) is computed from option prices
based on the B-S options pricing model.
The main argument of the short-volatility school is that
IV usually overstates HV, especially in high IV environment,
rendering short-volatility statistically profitable.
E***r
发帖数: 1037
21

buyers
options
Nothing is overpriced or mis-priced, IMO; the market is extremely efficient
as long as there is enough liquidity.
Indeed, the volatility implied from option prices have been almost always
overstating realized volatility of stock price movements; in other words,
option prices almost always carry some “excess premium”.
Such excess premium is added by the market with the belief that the
negatively skewed returns are likely to create more frequent larger crashes
or corrections than w... 阅读全帖
E***r
发帖数: 1037
22
我分享一下自己的一个小窍门,关于 ER play 的时候(或者其他 IV 蹿高的情形),
怎么判断该个股适不适合 short IV。你可以拿它的 Historical Volatility (or
Realized Volatility) VS Implied Volatility 图来看,看他的过去的 IV vs HV 倾
向:如果 IV 下崩的时候,HV 上窜得还不如 IV 崩前高,那么该股的 ER 就是 IV
historically overstated HV,就很适合 short IV。如图,本班老相好 CMG 就是不错
的例子,我几次 ER play 都得手了,这次 ER 我还会这么玩。
当然 ER 是极端的情况。平时操作,也可以参考该股历史上 IV vs HV 的表现。
要具体情况具体分析,每个个股的脾气都不一样。比如我最近开始玩爆消息的小药股,
就发现 short IV 基本不行,HV 极为暴烈。
m******3
发帖数: 983
23
来自主题: TAX版 - 急!退还工资的问题!
You can return the net 1K5.
Your company can file amended 4th quarter return 941 to get the tax
withholding and FICA tax back. Your company may cost additional money or
time to amended payroll report. I assume at this time of the year, most
companies have finalized the W-2. If they have additional income to your W-2
, you need to ask them to issue you a corrected W-2.
Make sure your W-2 is accurate, make sure the company did not overstate your
taxable income.
R*******d
发帖数: 13640
24
来自主题: Immigration版 - 斯坦大学教授教你怎样审稿 (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 NewMexico 讨论区 】
发信人: Rosefield (Rosenhof), 信区: NewMexico
标 题: 斯坦大学教授教你怎样审稿
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Nov 8 10:13:35 2013, 美东)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q7x7Nr2Scic
vhttps://www.youtube.com/v/q7x7Nr2Scic
How to do a peer view? Transcript
Welcome to week eight of the course. This is the final week of the
course.
Thanks everyone for making it along this far and for the great
participation in
this course. The paper revisions will be due at the
end of this week. That will ... 阅读全帖
f*******8
发帖数: 1430
25
我觉着等国会复会后会有一场很大的immigration debate. 即使移民团体不推动,像
NUMEBERSUSA这种势力强大的anti-immigration group也会强力推动的, 因为这些anti
所一直依赖的attrition through enforcement的政策随着奥巴马的新政策而瓦解。
让我们拭目以待他们狗咬狗。
****************************************************************************
****
Does Pres. Obama's new amnesty attempt mean E-Verify bill wouldn't work?
By Roy Beck, Thursday, August 25, 2011, 7:20 PM EDT - posted on NumbersUSA
Has Pres. Obama convinced ANTI-amnesty activists to give up on keeping
illegal aliens from holding... 阅读全帖
b**********r
发帖数: 317
26
注:Connecticut
Thank you for contacting me about immigration reform. I appreciate your
concerns and hope this response is helpful.
I have long said that our immigration system is broken and must be fixed.
Individuals who strive to come to our country legally for a better life or
to reunite with their families are forced to wait years as they are met with
long lines and red tape. Furthermore, our borders are not secure and many
of the immigration laws already on the books are not enforced, posing... 阅读全帖
g********f
发帖数: 1112
27
Question 15. What are the most important policy and operational changes, if
any, available within the existing statutory framework to ensure that
administrative policies, practices, and systems fully and fairly allocate
all of the immigrant visa numbers that Congress provides for and intends to
be issued each year going forward?
Key words:
Improve transparency of immigration data/ current available data is
unambiguous and outdated so that we are CLUELESS; timely publish demand/
inventory data/es... 阅读全帖
S**********s
发帖数: 766
28
【 以下文字转载自 Faculty 讨论区 】
发信人: SteveFrancis (Steve Francis), 信区: Faculty
标 题: 一个NEU教授20年前写的Being a computer scientist in Hong Kong
关键字: 香港 faculty 教授
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 2 15:40:12 2013, 美东)
搜文献的时候不知道怎么找到这篇短文。
不知道这20年过去,又是新升格4所大学,薪水又升又降,又回归中国,此文是否还有
指导意义呢?
Being a computer scientist in Hong Kong
I spent two years in Hong Kong, 1992-1993, as a professor at The University
of Hong Kong (my official title was ``Lecturer,'' which is British for ``
Assistant Professor''). I've written these notes ... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
29
Diane B. Paul, Hamish G. Spencer,“It's Ok, We're Not Cousins by Blood”:
The Cousin Marriage Controversy in Historical Perspective. PLoS (which
stands for Public Library of Science), Dec. 23, 2008.
http://biology.plosjournals.org/perlserv/?request=get-document&doi=10.1371/journal.pbio.0060320&ct=1
Quote:
"National Society of Genetic Counselors (NSGC) convened a group of experts
to review existing studies on risks to offspring and issue recommendations
for clinical practice. Their report concluded
b**l
发帖数: 33123
30
来自主题: Boston版 - Boston买房前最好读读这个
You overstated; read this:
http://www.concordma.gov/pages/ConcordMA_TownManager/townreport
I am not saying there is absolutely no risk though. Nobody knows.

有电
都没
W********n
发帖数: 542
31
没有。特别是新建的,没有Town里的数据。要个图纸自己估算。一般新建的都
overstated。
g******4
发帖数: 6339
32
Pesticides
Further information: Pesticide toxicity to bees, Imidacloprid effects on bee
population, and Bees and toxic chemicals
According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, pesticides may be
contributing to CCD.[49] Scientists have long been concerned that pesticides
and possibly some fungicides may have sub-lethal effects on bees, not
killing them outright but instead impairing their development and behavior.
Of special interest is the class of insecticides called neonicotinoids,
which con... 阅读全帖
Y****r
发帖数: 3473
33
jap's car makers - such as honda and toyota have a history of overstating
their mpg and understating their cars' horse powers.
for a car this size, a stated 130 horse power is very adequate.
a*****s
发帖数: 29
34
来自主题: LosAngeles版 - Death by China (转载)
1. He overstated too many things in his movie and his books; I talked with a
lady as the team member who participated the movie production during a UCI
alumni event and she also mentioned that she cannot agree many biased views
in the movie though she has express her opinions during the production.
But Peter Navrarro needs to attract eye balls of normal American for his
movie ...especially after 2008 financial crisis.
2. He is OK economic professor, but not a good politician and will never be
ev... 阅读全帖
r****a
发帖数: 3249
35
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: rowena (最忆是江南), 信区: USANews
标 题: White House grants undocumented military relatives legal status, benefits
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 11 03:12:38 2014, 美东)
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/03/11/immigration-change-g
Immigration reform may be stalled in Congress, but a new Obama
administration policy is extending legal status and military benefits to
thousands of illegal immigrants who are the spouses, parents and children of
American military members.
Supporters sa... 阅读全帖
N****f
发帖数: 25759
36
来自主题: Mississippi版 - 【夏天的传说】谢教授的故事
I think you'd have a much better chance charging the author with
understating the whole thing rather than overstating.
r**o
发帖数: 652
37
来自主题: NewJersey版 - 这款沙发如何?
http://www.homeclick.com/coaster-furniture-501911-harper-overst
看着样式还不错,就是不知道是不是太软?有买过的说说吧,包子答谢。。
R*******d
发帖数: 13640
38
来自主题: NewMexico版 - 斯坦大学教授教你怎样审稿
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q7x7Nr2Scic
vhttps://www.youtube.com/v/q7x7Nr2Scic
How to do a peer view? Transcript
Welcome to week eight of the course. This is the final week of the
course.
Thanks everyone for making it along this far and for the great
participation in
this course. The paper revisions will be due at the
end of this week. That will be the last assignment.
This week, I'm going to be talking about what happens after publication.
So, after you get papers pu... 阅读全帖
r****a
发帖数: 3249
39
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: rowena (最忆是江南), 信区: USANews
标 题: White House grants undocumented military relatives legal status, benefits
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 11 03:12:38 2014, 美东)
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/03/11/immigration-change-g
Immigration reform may be stalled in Congress, but a new Obama
administration policy is extending legal status and military benefits to
thousands of illegal immigrants who are the spouses, parents and children of
American military members.
Supporters sa... 阅读全帖
u*****a
发帖数: 6276
40
芝加哥大学法学院教授对罗伯茨反对意见的驳斥:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/geoffrey-r-stone/the-same-sex-mar
A central complaint of the four justices who dissented from the Supreme
Court's decision in Obergefell v. Hodges, which recognized a constitutional
right of same-sex couples to marry, was their repeated assertion that the
five justices in the majority were unabashedly -- and illegitimately --
distorting the "true" meaning of the Constitution to suit their own personal
values and beliefs.
Chief Justice Roberts,... 阅读全帖
s***i
发帖数: 10182
41
1. 不是高档都是后驱, 是sports car和performance car都是后驱 日本车后驱的多了
去了 (请别把这个贴变成无聊的日车美车坑, 谢谢)
2. 你所谓的操作稳定性是啥? oversteering算么? 雨雪中大马力大扭矩的后驱最难
开,end of story
3. 西雅图半年都在下雨 没听说有人要换“雨胎”的 顶多是个好的all season
X***i
发帖数: 177
42
Have you seen the breaking news on ADHD. The data should teenagers with ADHD
increased by 50%. It is highly suspected that doctors overstate the
severeness when doing the diagnose. So keep it in mind when you see the
doctor.
d**y
发帖数: 18174
43
来自主题: Seattle版 - PC市场,微软的win8.1顶的住吗
明显感觉周围用macbook的人越来越多了……
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) just announced a next-generation set of MacBook
designs as well as its new Mac Pro, oriented for professional users. By all
counts, these designs represent the best in their class. The Retina MacBook
Pro has gotten rave reviews, and the Mac Pro looks to pack some serious
hardware in a great form factor.
Of course, it's no secret that Intel (NASDAQ: INTC ) , the world's largest
semiconductor vendor by revenue, supplies the microprocessors for all of... 阅读全帖
m******3
发帖数: 20
44
I don't know what is your point. My point is my friends had no reason
to hide this kind of info to me. By then I already signed my offer with my
current employer. They might overstate their skills or experience in their
resume.
The truth is that they were like me, a total math geek without any working/
coding experience.
j**********7
发帖数: 138
45
I think you overstated.
Unless you go to the oil field/rig, and count field premium in, you won't
make $100/hr with 5-10 yrs experience. 15 to 20 yrs, maybe, but rare

go
i*******3
发帖数: 310
46
I didn't overstate. A contracted scheduler makes 125 an Hr next to my office
. High paying jobs are out there, but requirements to land these jobs are
very specific.
l****d
发帖数: 30
47
来自主题: WashingtonDC版 - 现在抢房抢疯了啊
everywhere 确有些overstated.
all cash 拿不到,多是low ball offer,or term 不好
B*V
发帖数: 3365
48
来自主题: CanadaNews版 - 也谈同性恋民调
民调虚胖。现在反对意见都不敢讲了,同性恋们似乎很得意。
其实不是那么回事。
加州两次公投都禁止同性恋结婚,再投一次还是差不多。这就是为什么同性恋一定要到
法庭闹,到街上闹,不敢公投。
看看去年北卡刚刚公投的结果吧。投票前民掉结果相近,结果投票结果同性恋输20多个
百分点。北卡人民,和美国大多数州一样,反对同性恋婚姻合法。
你要问人家,很多人嘴巴都会说同性恋婚姻应该合法,票投出来就不一样了。因为投票
没有压力,会反映人心里真正的好恶。
另外一个问题是民掉如何问很有学问,你如果问:婚姻是一男一女么,结果是高过60%
人回答是。
你如果问:应该禁止同性恋婚姻么?你就看到不同的结果。
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/03/26/why-polls-overstate-
媒体多数是自由派和左派的,不要被他们误导,也不要被那些嚣张的同性恋团体吓倒。
前不久Chick-fil-A CEO 表达个人观点,结果媒体和同性恋团体出来恐吓 Chick-fil-A
。无数美国民众站出来支持 Chick-fil-A,实在让人感动。
为了我们的下一代,为了捍卫传统婚姻,我... 阅读全帖
s**********n
发帖数: 868
49
来自主题: Basketball版 - brooks一年值多少万?
If you look at the stats, Brooks is close to all-star level.
Brooks is the leading scorer and the leading passer of a winning team. He is
also one of the best 3p shooters in the league.
Even if we assume the stats are overstating his ability (which is very
likely), a mid-level contract still seems unfair for him.
T***c
发帖数: 17256
50
"exaggerate" is Stephen A Smith's trademark, he always likes to overstate(
normally in harsh words).
a lot of ppl don't like his style, but most of time he makes sense,
if he did add "not yet" in last sentence, I'd say he's not so wrong.
"And now we have put a pause to Linsanity, thank the Good Lord, and we can
get back to just looking at basketball as opposed to making this kid into
something he's clearly not.
"Not yet."
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