l**t
发帖数: 6971 | 1 郭文贵从爆料开始，你看我们老将很多都不发言。原因很简单，老将虽然嘴上骂TG，心
里还是希望TG变好，回到长者的路线。郭文贵的架势是要让TG完蛋，而且咋一看似乎真
有这个实力，所以老将们都被吓到了，躲着不评论。
现在看来文贵可能知道很多真真假假半真半假的内幕和传闻，但是并没有大贪腐的实证
。TG刚开始看他来势汹汹，也被唬住了。几个回合下来发现他原来还需要临时抱佛脚去
“买料”，说明他手里其实没料，于是干脆call his bluff。
文贵对美国恐怕也没有重要到要庇护他的地步。当年王立军带着绝对货真价实的大料夜
奔美领馆，美国也没留他。文贵顶多是个小筹码。明天717虎头蛇尾，勿谓言之不预也
。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 2 美帝bluff的对象是土鳖。问题是土鳖会中招么？
美帝对朝鲜的战略， 要是开战，肯定是常规武器作战， 马的五十年代在朝鲜，六十年
代在越南， 美帝死了好几万炮灰， 都没有用核弹， 现在上来就用核弹， 不怕扯了个
蛋么。
要是常规作战， 肯定要有步兵， 不可能只靠空袭， 朝鲜不是伊拉克， 有鹅毛土鳖作
后盾，朝鲜如果不先开展， 就有了道义， 那么鹅毛土鳖即使不公开支援， 暗里什么防
空武器都会送上， 美帝只靠空袭显然不能达到战略目的， 那么上步兵，美帝对炮灰死
亡的忍耐性有限， 死上多少美帝人民会上街抗议？
更不用说汉城挨上几万发炮到后会是什么景象了。三胖都不怕， 难道我鳖会怕了不成？ |
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T****t
发帖数: 11162 | 4 是bluff吗？
前面兔子一直在跟，要不主动all in |
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m*****t
发帖数: 16663 | 5 永远不要bluff一直call 你的player.
川普是个大傻逼。 |
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l****p
发帖数: 27354 | 8 bluff的作用就是吓阻敌人，如果吓阻失败，则我军会力避冲突，除非被逼到墙角。在
墙角多半是要反抗的，反抗的有效性就看双方实力了。当然了，也可能在墙角投降。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 9 举重教练压力蛮大的, 一开始bluff没搞好丢了一块金牌, 后来又求稳被别人逆转又丢
了一块.其实都不容易. |
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g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 10 他如果不发两个tweet
估计土共真不知道该怎么办了
打完电话之后，看MSM各大电台开始批评他
立即发俩tweet解释，这是让全世界看出川普就是bluff呀
当然，我估计土共不会针对美国采取啥行动
但蔡英文惨了，土共正好借此机会转移国内社会矛盾
往死里打蔡英文，趁机武力解放台湾也有可能
反正看出来川普就是吹牛逼，刚打完电话就tweet示弱，真是二逼 |
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发帖数: 1 | 11 2020年，民主党总统候选人安德鲁·杨（Andrew Yang）在爱荷华州核心小组会议召开
一周前，在爱荷华州康瑟尔布拉夫斯与约500名支持者讲话。
2020 Democratic Presidential candidate Andrew Yang speaks to a crowd of
around 500 supporters in Council Bluffs, Iowa, exactly one week before the
Iowa caucus.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Px16M68je9E |
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l******n
发帖数: 220 | 12 看中一个房子，标价855K，我让代理下单845K。结果，大清早代理打电话跟我说：“卖
方代理说845K的话，don't waste your time。我们就接受另一个offer就行了。” 而
且说我们两个小时内必须给答复，因为两个小时以后卖家代理要跟卖家商量offer。大
家觉得这可能是卖方代理bluff吗？可能是我们的代理和卖方代理串通一气让我加价吗？ |
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l******n
发帖数: 220 | 13 此话怎讲？如果卖方代理bluff的话，我们永远也不会知道吧？ |
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w*****m
发帖数: 20421 | 14 是不是BLUFF，加不加随你，你不加价就等着白，在加州
除非卖家接受你的价格或者COUNTER OFFER,多数情况都是不理你，
让你等三个月。 |
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n******e
发帖数: 699 | 15 根据我看房 买房的经验， 在米国， 现在的行情下， 100% 没有bluff。
大家都是这么过来的， 看来很多， 得出的结论。
米国的卖家，和米国的agent (不是中国的agent)， 一般都不会 像 中国低智商的家庭
妇女，耍心眼，搞欺骗。
这也是 西方的文化。
不过在买车，修车 到处都是欺骗。
看病的医生，好的也不多。
吗？ |
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u*h
发帖数: 42 | 16 最近老有猎头骚扰，说有很合适的职位。自己也很心动。但现公司干得也不错，没想好
要走，自己也懒得动。如果现在的公司给涨个15-20%，就不会想走了。有没有这种可能
呢？
上周跟老板抱怨了一下，老板安排了和ＨＲ谈 （可能只是应付我）。我准备跟ＨＲ谈
的时候bluff一下，说有很多公司对我有兴趣，会有用吗?
多谢。 |
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l*****u
发帖数: 1788 | 17 Is was not 白搭...... You really need start looking for job right now.
Btw, bluffing HR...does nothing good. Bad call not forcing your boss to
promise the raise in the first place.
----
发信人: uih (xuexue), 信区: Working
标 题: Re: Bluff HR 涨工资
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Apr 21 00:02:10 2012, 美东)
正如您所言(2,3). 今天谈了.果然说我的工资已经不错 (midpoint),不能涨了.没戏.看
来没有offerletter，一切都是白搭。 |
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H*****5
发帖数: 8 | 18 Three times a week, Starting from this Sat. (Aug. 22, 09)
Time: Sat.(8:00 am - 11:00 am);
Mon.(7:00 pm - 9:00 pm);
Wed.(7:00 pm - 9:00 pm).
Address:
355 W. Washington Avenue
Lake Bluff, IL 60044
Admission fee: $5
Three wooden courts
Please email me for more info. |
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m*****s
发帖数: 1381 | 19 帮朋友宣传一下。
Three times a week。
Time: Sat.(8:00 am - 11:00 am);
Mon.(7:00 pm - 9:00 pm);
Wed.(7:00 pm - 9:00 pm).
Address:
355 W. Washington Avenue
Lake Bluff, IL 60044
Admission fee:$5
三个木板场地，在北郊，该有的都有了，门口站着两个漂亮的lady，一口地道的美国口
音，倍有面子。这里冬有暖气夏有冷气，重要的是有美女和猛男陪练。欢迎广大运动爱
好者参加。 |
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H*****5
发帖数: 8 | 20 Starting from this Sat. (June. 19, 10)
Time: Sat.(1:30 - 4:30 pm);
Wed.(7:00 pm - 9:00 pm).
Address:
355 W. Washington Avenue
Lake Bluff, IL 60044
Admission fee: $5
Three wooden courts
Please email me for more info. |
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l*x
发帖数: 14021 | 21 绿湾的唐僧真沉着住气。对Steven Jackson 开了个价。爱要不要。不要我move on 。
今天请来佩顿小山。
Jackson 也在玩把戏。想骗绿湾和猎鹰竞价。不知道他真心想去哪？但是绿湾的唐僧就
不上钩。三方都在耗着。
对建宁也是，放个offer 在桌面，不加价了。味精人放话说对建宁不感兴趣。不知道是
不是bluff 。把价钱压低点。也在耗着。等着多米诺牌倒。
昨天维京人跟海豚抢华莱士。agent 到处放谣言说维京人要出价13米。海豚沉不住气，
啪的一下给了个外接第三大的合同。 |
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l********r
发帖数: 868 | 22 Were they blinds or limped in first then called your preflop raise?
I probably would fold no matter what the answer is, though. If you bluff,
you need to re-raise to about $300. Is it like all-in?
Really don't like the chance.
folded. |
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l********r
发帖数: 868 | 23 I would fold. His hand could be anything since he only needed $10 to call a
$50 pot. What if he had 82 or X2? His 2X raise sounds an inviting raise. He
may bluff, but I would fold anyway. This is true especially when your image
is tight and a good player. |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 24 I folded.
But when I rethink about this, I got a different idea.
since such a dry flop , no draw .
he checked raise me on the flop, obviously he didn't have 2( he will just
call hope I hit my over card( he know I may bluff))and charge me more.( this
put him on a good player, but not that good to use reverse phycology)
and since he called10$ bf flop, he probably has pocket pair and no reraie bf
flop meaning his pair is not high.
I should just reraise to another 100$ more he probably will lay down |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 25 Play the player not the card.
This hand if I decide to bluff, whatever I have I will do the same thing.
And I really have two overcard though. if you have confidence about your
reading on your oponent you should follow your guts. |
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l********r
发帖数: 868 | 26 This I agree. It's not that important what you hold in the bluff situation.
It's what your opponent holds and what he thinks you may hold. |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 27 This hand remind me one hand in highstake poker.( NL blind 300/600)
John Juvanda raised 2000$ Qj suited on the bottun, one other pro( called A)
called his K 9 offsuit.
flop K x x , very dry no draw at all.
Player A checked to John , he bet 5000, player A check raised to 10000$,
John think about for a while and reraise another 20000$, Player A called ,
turn is K , Player A all in John fold.
In this case John bluff first and got checked raised but he smelled player'
A weakness ( if A really have |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 28 two hands I met in one night.
1. K4 suited
flop KJ3 , nobody bet
turn 10, I bet 15 , only button called 15$
river 4, i bet 20, he raised to 100$, up to me
2. K10
flop Q109 nobody bet
turn is 3 I bet 15$ , button called, small blind, big blind both called.
river is A , big blind, small blind checked to me , I checked
button bet 80$,everyone fold, up to me
are they both bluffing,or one of them bluff, or both are value bet?( both
image is unknown) |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 29
for the first one, you said fold because of bad position, in fact I called
and the only reason is because I have bad position, I am thinking he is
using his position to bluff me.when you called one hand, you don't need to
worry about position, because you are not going to reraise anyway. |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 30 for the 2 hand,
if he flop a straight, when I bet 15$ on the turn, he probably will reraise
a little bit, because any J or K came, he may chop chop with me or other
guys.
his suddent bet 80$ on the river seems a bluff . |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 31 1. hand , he showed JQ , I won
2. hand , I called, he showed the nut straight! JK)( he flopped it)
There is one thing I forgot when I call the 2nd hand, because he facing 3
people , if he still bluff, that will be very risky.
For the 1 hand since he never show his power when there is a straight
possilbe, I put him on a draw, so I called without any hesitate on the
river. |
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g****n
发帖数: 8 | 32 Wow...
这首牌基本上只有bluff才可能赢了，
但是pot已经超过200了， 有点难度。
我觉得放弃比较好。。。
如果对方是top pair， 都跟了你那么多钱了， 最后100应该吓不走。
如果对方是个draw， 最后也出了同花， 这种情况下多半不会是顺子的draw。
对方在turn上instantly called， 给人感觉比较像是flush draw， A high的。
不过这一点要看个人习惯了。
最后时刻， 他check， 要么是flush想逮你， 因为你一直在bet。。。
要么是一个pair， 没有十分的把握， 但你bet他还是会call的那种心态。
当然， 你每次raise的数额都很juicy， 可以装成 set 或者 overpair，
如果他只是一对， 可能会考虑是否fold。
hold'em 的魅力就在于， 一切皆有可能。 |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 33 cash game, he couldn't afford all-in bluff, hehe.
he didn't want to check again or bet small, so $77 looked all right.
only guess.... |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 34 he put melonli on no K for sure ($77 bluff or not).
besides, i notice one thing, many ppl tend to make a short break on the turn
(pre-flop/flop actions may be too strong and on pulse), ... before more
stronger/final actions on river.
45 on turn
on
had |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 35 he may bluff too.
any way, I never called these kind of bet by only 1 pair.
I folded, he show his blufff 4 7 offsuited. |
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w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 36 On river the pot is too big to give up.
Actually it doesn't matter whether he was bluffing or not.This time he may
bluff, next time he may not. You just can't judge which one is or not.
You need to find a good strategy to deal with this kind of situation.
Like bet very big on flop or turn as long as you think him
wating a draw.Then if he hit, you lose big, if he doesn't, he lose big. But
odds is on your side.
If you bet small first, then it could become when he doesn 't hit, you win
small, when |
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p*t
发帖数: 275 | 37 看来大家都定性了？其实有时候很tricky，说起来三次赢一次就可以，但往往输得比赢
得多，输一次赢十次都不一定补得回来。我总觉得这里面能否read对手影响很大，如果
对方吃准你这种3to1的心理，他的bluff往往会比较小，真货反而push到all in。
bet? |
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i********r
发帖数: 1153 | 38 i think it's a perfect situation to semi-bluff;
of course i'll need some postflop read on the guy to be sure;
you
personally |
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h****h
发帖数: 1168 | 39 yes, i will bluff a tighter player,
than a loose one.
push, |
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z*****g
发帖数: 85 | 40 I read the article about bluff in limited hold'em by Jim Brier in current
issue of CardPlayer. I actually had same opinion on one scenario. I start it
with my own experience.
It was a loose medium-aggressive 40/80 hold'em game last year. Player A (a
loose passive guy) limps UTG. Player B (a loose, aggressive Indian guy)
limps UTG+1, I raised in the middle position with ATo, BB calls. Flop came
with 78J with 2 clubs, BB checks, UTG bet, UTG+1 calls, I calls, BB fold.
Turn is an A (not the club), |
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c****u
发帖数: 3277 | 41 well, against tough players, you may often meet such kind of situations.
The preflop call and flop call don't mean much cause they are small
bets comparing with your deep stack, the turn raise often means much
but still can be based on a bluff sometimes, they just mix it up
and make it very awkward for you that no matter you fold or not, you
lose.
th
slowplays
flop |
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h*******s
发帖数: 3932 | 42 So the bluff was representing an A? nice. He probably had a K or pocket pair
(such as 8s, 10s). |
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h***i
发帖数: 122 | 43 这个游戏没有意思。刚发现很多人在bluff。偶们又太穷，无力对抗。好不容易下决心
上一次，该死的系统又去reward bluffer。这难道不是欺善扬恶么？没意思。 |
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m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 44 I assume he got a good pair ,that is why i semil bluf on the river, since I
think if I check behind, I lost for sure, not thinking he can check raise
pure bluff on the river by 5 high!! |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 45 Good bluff. Like I said, if you play like you don't want your stack. you
can win a lot of pots. after all there are not many hand that they can play
for stacks. especially at small stakes with lots of 伪 pro... In the
microstake, it might actually be more difficult since there are a lot of
clueless calling stations. |
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t*********d
发帖数: 3398 | 46 bluff 是必不可少的， 最重要的目的是balance your hand， 让对手不能读懂你的牌
。
第一把我拿了AA/KK/AK也会那么打。
所以敌人要call的话就要好好思量我到底有什么牌了。
play |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 47 If you think he is bluffing then it is even worse to all in before him. Do
you ever catch bluff by all in before the bluffer to react? I would do that
with 27o to make him fold not with pocket As with that board when you are probably way ahead
. I think you are very confused with what you are trying to achieve here.
You either check raise all in here or half pot to make him commit and all in
turn. Just don't try to scare him away like you did. Preflop flat is great move.. but the all in aft |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 48 if you play like this vs a bluffer (arguably), you are losing a lot of value
over time. but whatever floats your boat man. I would refer to Patrikcp's thread of AA hand for example of a true bluffer catcher...
river出现任何一张J/Q/K， 我都不敢再all in, 因为JJ/QQ/KK在他的range里面， 如
果turn/river出现Ace, 同样也是scare card, 他会fold， 我flop all in 装AK bluff
,或者装small pocket pair装着赌他AK. |
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s****i
发帖数: 30 | 49 You guy play very very aggressive. aha.. Please tell me your ftp id, next
time I just pretend to bluff you ha. |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 50 because i can sense your desperation when your draw was busted...
half pot flop, 1/3 pot river.. all of sudden he likes the river card? Easy
call on the bluff.. |
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