发帖数: 1 | 1 exit poll 在一个州的poll没有close之前是不准发布的。明天最早会是晚8点看到exit
poll，11点左右官方具体的poll出来。
2pm |
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a********8
发帖数: 1625 | 2 显示Trump领先
La times poll领先5.5%
IBD/TIPP poll 领先2.5% |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 4 http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/how-did-everyone-get-2016-wrong-presidential-election-231036
By the time polls had closed nationwide on Tuesday night, those projections
had been left in shambles — just like the ones a year ago that all-but
ruled out the possibility of Donald Trump winning the Republican Party’s
presidential nomination.
Headed into Election Day, polling evangelist Nate Silver’s 538 website put
Clinton’s odds at winning the White House at about 72 percent. By midnight,
the s... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 6 A majority of Europeans would support a Trump-style ban on further migration
from mainly Muslim countries, according to a poll of more than 10,000
people in 10 countries.
An average of 55 percent of those surveyed for London-based think tank,
Chatham House, agreed that immigration from Muslim-majority countries should
be halted.
The poll released Tuesday comes after a bruising 18 months that have seen a
string of terrorist massacres linked to radical Islam as well as record-
setting levels of mi... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3817 | 7 Quinnipiac 的poll 可信度太低了：
11月7号的POLL：
Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Quinnipiac Trump 45
, Clinton 46, Johnson 2, Stein 1 Clinton +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson Quinnipiac Trump 45,
Clinton 47, Johnson 3 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 大选前预测了二个洲的POLL，都是洲一级的， 结果都差的太远了。
这也太丢人了吧。 Quinnipiac 基本上就是个垃圾 POLL |
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发帖数: 1 | 8 因为poll可以产生illusion
媒体作 poll是个生意，就是给这些弱智的人看的。
：我刚才自己调查了一番，取样1000个人，川普支持率100%。因为这一千个人都是我自
己。我感觉我这poll和smf的poll没有本质的区别。 |
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q****g
发帖数: 1190 | 9 Welcome to the Big Ten, Nebraska. Now go win the thing.
In their first season in the conference, the Cornhuskers have been named the
favorite to win the first Big Ten championship game, but just barely.
Nebraska was given 12 votes to win the title game in Indianapolis on Dec. 3,
while Wisconsin earned 11 votes and Michigan State one.
The voting was done in the first Plain Dealer Big Ten Preseason Newspaper
Poll, which may serve as the only preseason poll of its kind in the league.
Unlike past ye... 阅读全帖 |
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w******r
发帖数: 201 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: TravisBickle (Travis), 信区: Military
标 题: 悲惨：Poll: 0 percent of blacks for Mitt Romney
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 22 22:14:34 2012, 美东)
President Barack Obama continues to beat Mitt Romney among African American
voters with a staggering 94 percent to 0 percent lead, according to a poll
released Tuesday.
The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll — which gives Obama and Vice President Joe
Biden a small lead over Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan — shows
Obama has a massive le... 阅读全帖 |
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m********8
发帖数: 7463 | 11 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: hahagg (龙套A), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: Early Vote Gallup Poll
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 30 00:57:35 2012, 美东)
今年的Poll就一个字：怪
比如偏民主党的PPP 将近半年没有发布National Poll
前几个月每月发布2到3次的CNN，这个月的National Poll到现在都还没用出来。 |
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t***u
发帖数: 20182 | 12 虽然这些鸟polls已经没啥意义了，但是AP poll开始狂舔playoff委员会了
Coaches Poll AP Poll
1. Ohio State 1. Clemson
2. Clemson 2. Ohio State
3. Baylor 3. Alabama
4. Alabama 4. Baylor
5. Oklahoma St. 5. Oklahoma St.
6. Notre Dame 6. Notre Dame
7. Stanford 7. Stanford
8. Iowa 8. Iowa
9. LSU 9. LSU
10. Florida 10. Utah
11. Oklahoma 11. Florida
12. TCU 12. Oklahoma
13. Utah 13. TCU
14. Michigan St. 14. Michigan St.
15. Michigan 15. Michigan
16. Houston 16. Houston
17. N. Caro... 阅读全帖 |
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m******o
发帖数: 8504 | 13 What a sad season~
http://collegefootball.ap.org/article/no-texas-football-teams-ap-poll-1st-time-1997
ollege football in Texas has hit a low point not seen for nearly two decades.
There were no teams from the state of Texas ranked in The Associated Press
poll this week for the first time since Sept. 14, 1997. Depending how the
bowl season goes, this could be a first of sorts for Texas college football
in the 80-year history of the AP poll .
The only times that no Texas schools were ranked in th... 阅读全帖 |
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j******l
发帖数: 2790 | 14 如果是单个摇摆州的poll，还能说明点问题。如果是全国性的poll，感觉没什么意义啊
。比如说民主党候选人领先了共和党候选人X个百分点，理论上有可能是深蓝州99%的人
在poll里选了民主党候选人，而红州和摇摆州55%的人选了共和党候选人，那这样全国
性的poll民主党候选人可以领先很多个百分点，我理解的对吗？ |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 15 President Barack Obama continues to beat Mitt Romney among African American
voters with a staggering 94 percent to 0 percent lead, according to a poll
released Tuesday.
The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll — which gives Obama and Vice President Joe
Biden a small lead over Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan — shows
Obama has a massive lead over his Republican rival in the key political base
of African-American voters, NBCNews.com reported.
Obama also beats Romney among Latinos, voters under 35 and... 阅读全帖 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: USANews
标 题: 新poll出来了，trump落后7个点
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jun 20 13:33:16 2016, 美东)
Hillary Clinton has a comfortable lead over Donald Trump nationally and in
the battleground states that will be critical in determining the outcome of
the presidential election, a new poll finds.
A Monmouth University survey released Monday shows Clinton with 47 percent
support to Trump's 40 percent among registered voters nationally.
Among likely voters, Clinton’s... 阅读全帖 |
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T*R
发帖数: 36302 | 17 poll不是匿名，所以我接过几次不同的poll，都放弃了，因为poll会问你很多个人信息
。我不能确定是否安全。 |
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t*****1
发帖数: 1459 | 18 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: tumblr1 (tumblr1), 信区: USANews
标 题: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump By 12 Points In New Poll
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 24 19:19:12 2016, 美东)
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads
Republican rival Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters,
her strongest showing this month, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll
released on Tuesday.
The Aug. 18-22 poll showed that 45 percent of voters supported Clinton,
while 33 ... 阅读全帖 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 19 川粉醒醒吧，Trump现在poll只有37%，二战后还从没有过poll这么差的major-party
nominee
Trump完蛋了，非常非常彻底的完蛋了，而且要拖累整个共和党Congress下水 |
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y*j
发帖数: 3139 | 20 希老太如果能上台的话，她应该给川普发一个一吨重的大奖章。换成别的共和党候选人
的话，她肯定赢不了，弱点太多了。
：川粉醒醒吧，Trump现在poll只有37%，二战后还从没有过poll这么差的major-party
：nominee
：Trump完蛋了，非常非常彻底的完蛋了，而且要拖累整个共和党Congress下水 |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3817 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: sgrastar (Theodore), 信区: USANews
标 题: New Poll: Trumps number plunges while Clinton took two digits lead
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 26 12:41:44 2016, 美东)
My prediction:
Trumptards will say Polls don't mean a thing!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-new-poll-support-for-trump-
plunges-giving-clinton-a-double-digit-lead/2016/06/25/0565bef6-3a31-11e6-
a254-2b336e293a3c_story.html |
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y******i
发帖数: 558 | 22 Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the
election. Sorry, people want border security and extreme vetting.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
和三胖一样进入平行现实了。他丫赢了一场，所以poll 统计都是错的。dc 下了场雪，
所以global warning 是fake news. |
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发帖数: 1 | 23 有：1
没有：2
不知道： 3
大家投票吧。。。 我来统计一下。。
我投票：2
**********************************************
发信人: verdelite (石头), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Sep 1 13:42:38 2018, 美东)
1
根本就不加掩饰了，你们没孩子的不知道而已。除了哈佛等大学的事，我们这中小学的
magnet program也开始歧视亚裔几年了。
***************************************************
发信人: xiaoxiaoIe02 (xiaole), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 29 23:22:25 2018, 美东)
1
*******************************************************
发信人: pta (pta), 信区:... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 25 Posted on Advocate.com February 16, 2012 07:55:00 PM ET
Poll: Many Young Chinese Accepting of Gay People
By Neal Broverman
CHINA CHINESE CROWD X390 (GETTY) | ADVOCATE.COM
Very few young Chinese have hang-ups about gay people, according to one of
the nation's most popular dating sites.
According to a poll on Jiayuan.com, 83% of Chinese born between 1980 and
1989 do not disapprove of homosexuality; roughly the same percentage was
found among people born in the 1990s. Over 85,000 people were survey... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 26 BY Lucas Grindley
May 17 2012 12:06 PM ET
Mitt Romney
1
A new poll finds that most people by now have heard about Mitt Romney's past
as an antigay bully and more than two-thirds aren't bothered one bit by it.
Ipsos asked poll respondents via the Internet about a Washington Post report
that while Romney was in prep school, he led a "posse" of students who held
down and forcibly cut the hair of a fellow high-schooler while the student
cried, screamed and called for help.
Of those who had heard abo... 阅读全帖 |
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p********m
发帖数: 195 | 29 佩林很fighter，不完全放弃密歇根，希望一天有超过24个小时，这样有更多时间飞来
飞去，对更多美国选民作讲演。她不担心poll下滑，但是认为需要付出更多时间和努力
去改变现状
http://embeds.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/10/04/palin-not-worried-about-slipping-battle-ground-polls/
GREENWOOD VILLAGE, CO-
Emerging from an unscheduled stop at a diner with military moms, Gov. Sarah
Palin was asked if she was concerned about recent polls showing declining
numbers in some battle ground states.
” Well as I said the other day I would sure love to get to run to Michigan
and make sure that Michigan |
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t*s
发帖数: 1504 | 30 http://riverdaughter.wordpress.com/2008/10/09/gallup-poll-suggests-obama-supporters-are-racist/
But now Gallup has a poll that shows it is actually Obama’s supporters who
are more likely to show bias against a candidate based on his race.
According to that poll, nonwhites (a term not defined in the article btw)
are twice as likely to not vote for John McCain because of his race than
white people are to withold their votes from Obama because of his. Will
this get ANY airtime in the media? Of c |
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s*i
发帖数: 5025 | 31 Trust me, those polling companies worry more about their accuracy of polls.
That is their life-line and credit, and they don't want to ruin it.
You can always argue the accuracy of polls. But I would rather choose to
believe it with certain confidence than a number imagined by myself.
The failure of republicans, in my opinion, is not due to their ideas and
believes. Rather, it is because they lost credit.
Karl Rove is a big problem. His tactics worked pretty well when the Internet
eco-system is |
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l******a
发帖数: 3803 | 32 http://www.latimes.com/news/la-gop-poll-m,0,7330426.story
Poll: GOP grows stronger in generic congressional ballot
By Michael Muskal
June 2, 2010 | 8:36 a.m.
E-mailPrint
Share
Text Size
Riding a wave of unhappiness among independents, Republicans have increased
their lead over Democrats in the preference poll for Congress, the Gallup
organization reported Wednesday.
Republicans were preferred over Democrats by 49% to 43% in the generic vote
in which those surveyed were asked to pick a part |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 33 Even after months of Sturm und Drang about the danger of the U.S. defaulting
on its debt, a majority of Americans -- and an overwhelming majority of
independents -- disapproves of the agreement to raise the federal debt
ceiling and make major cuts in government spending set to be signed into law
, according to a new, one-day CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday.
Just 44 percent of Americans approve of the agreement between Democrats and
Republicans to "raise the federal government's debt ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 34 The Hill Poll: Majority of voters believe Obama has changed country for
worse
By Sheldon Alberts - 07/09/12 05:00 AM ET
Two-thirds of likely voters say President Obama has kept his 2008 campaign
promise to change America — but it’s changed for the worse, according to a
sizable majority.
A new poll for The Hill found 56 percent of likely voters believe Obama’s
first term has transformed the nation in a negative way, compared to 35
percent who believe the country has changed for the better under h... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 35 Sunday, 15 Jul 2012 12:02 PM
By Patrick Hobin
A majority of Americans favor tax cuts for all, including the wealthy,
according to a new poll.
The McClatchy-Marist poll found that 52 percent of registered voters want
all of the Bush tax cuts extended, including those for incomes above $250,
000; 43 percent just want cuts extended for incomes below $250,000.
One surprise in the poll was that young voters ages 18-29 favored tax cuts
for everyone by a margin of 69-29, the largest margin of any age g... 阅读全帖 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 36 Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16% with Independents, Up 13% In Enthusiasm
In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by
a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has
Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35.
The Battleground Poll also shows a 13 point enthusiasm gap in Romney's favor
. Only 73% of Obama's supporters are "extremely likely" to vote, compared to
86% of Romney's supporters. |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 37 It includes data from all available national polls of likely voters (LV).
Sample size: 6130
Romeny: 2973, 48.5%
Obama: 2858, 46.6%
Polling organization Date Sample R vs O
Rasmussen Tracking 10/6 - 10/8 1500 LV 48 48
Pew Research 10/4 - 10/7 1112 LV 49 45
Gallup Daily 10/2 - 10/8 2721 LV 49 47
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/2 - 10/8 797 LV 47 45 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 38 RCP always maintian a fixed number of polls, but even some are so out of
dated. Like the CNN poll, it was done entirely before the debate. |
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R*S
发帖数: 46 | 39 DANVILLE, KY (The Borowitz Report)—In a poll of Democratic voters taken
immediately following Thursday night’s Vice-Presidential debate, a wide
majority said they wanted Vice-President Joe Biden to appear in all
remaining 2012 debates.
According to the constitutional scholar Davis Logsdon, of the University of
Minnesota, the scenario of Mr. Biden appearing in all the remaining debates,
while surely unorthodox, is within the realm of possibility: “According to
the Constitution, the Vice-President... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******f
发帖数: 795 | 40 Obama leads in every national poll and more than 30 state polls!!! |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 41 要真是这样就简单了。IBD/TIPP 现在的obama +6也是outlier。 而且IBD/TIPP 的poll
突然起跳，从昨天obama +2 还是+3 跳到今天obama +6。
今年的poll绝对是一大看点。我估计这次poll打架，是教科书的case。 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 42 rasmussen 2004 和2008 都是最准的single national poll，这些州poll 一般不如
national poll 准。如果最后rasmussen 和RCP average 都看出某人有1。5% 以上的优
势，他就应该能赢选举人票。 |
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C*******h
发帖数: 6095 | 43 "President Obama has a 5-percentage-point advantage over Mitt Romney in Ohio
, thanks to a massive lead among those who say they have already voted,..."
Among voters who say they intend to vote but have not yet voted, the
candidates are tied at 45".
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/263921-poll-obama-up-
So the poll sample is kinda biased as we all know that a lot more democrats
went early voting than republicans. |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 44 今年的Poll就一个字：怪
比如偏民主党的PPP 将近半年没有发布National Poll
前几个月每月发布2到3次的CNN，这个月的National Poll到现在都还没用出来。 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 45 October 30, 2012 Doug Johnson
The new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of
1,000 likely Ohio voters – taken from last Monday through Thursday – shows
Obama ahead of Romney by 1 percentage point, 49 percent to 48 percent. That
represents a 3-point swing in Obama’s direction from a week ago but
reflects a race that remains statistically tied. Even the swing is within
the margin of error, so it is possible the candidates were tied last week
when Romney lead by 2 perc... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******7
发帖数: 2210 | 46 我以前也相信538 nate silver,
后来我发现他从来都是暗中偏向obama。
如果看现在的poll,大部分都是obama在摇摆州领先，问题是这些poll全部建立在turn
out 是多少的假设上的。这个假设一变,poll大变，所以不必太当真，最后就是看谁家
turn out的多了。
see |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 48 As of this moment, President Obama still maintains a slight edge in the
state of Ohio. Throughout the election, Obama has maintained a fairly
consistent lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney and the most recent
CNN poll gives the president a three-point lead (though it is still within
the margin of error). According to CNN’s Peter Hambry, the Democrats are
also outperforming in early voting in Franklin County (Columbus) and
Cuyahoga County (Cleveland). Obama has to run up the numbers in No... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 49 The Obama campaign’s internal polling data — their final polling data —
has them “for the first time worried,” a Democratic source familiar with
the campaign tells Newsmax.
“They are going like YIKES! after they saw the Michigan numbers this
morning,” the source said.
The Obama poll finds Michigan tied, which has the Obama camp “scratching
their heads.”
Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com: http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/Obama-worried-Michigan-tied/2012/11/06/id/462963#ixzz2BSQph07h |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 50 GOP Poll Observer reports three Cases of fraud at North Carolina precinct
The Democrats are trying their best to attempt to steal this election. I’m
confidence that they wouldn’t be able to. It would be nice if these
Democrat scum would put as much effort into getting and maintaining a job as
they do at defrauding the election system. According to PJ Tatler, a GOP
Poll Observer has reported three Cases of fraud at North Carolina precinct.
1. A man came in at 7:30 to vote. He correctly gave h... 阅读全帖 |
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