S******r
发帖数: 4421 | 1 16.5million 出自下文
"COALE, A. J. (1981), “Population Trends, Population Policy,
and Population Studies in China”, Population and Development Review, 7, 85
–97." [1]
See the text below copied from Page 89; it is notable that the authors used
exactly the same algorithm I used in my article http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Military/47534653.html, although they take 1958 into account as well.
“The average death rate for 1958-61 (17 per thousand) is 1.6 times the
average (10.6 per thousand) of the rates given fro the adjacent years (1957
and 1962) by Liu, implying about 16.5 million deaths in excess of the trend
during these four years”
该文被索引130次，在同topic文章中算很高引用了
未完待续。。。 | S******r
发帖数: 4421 | 2 BANISTER, J. (1987), China’s Changing Population. Stanford University Press
. [2]
这个索引更高，833
也是影响力最巨的一本专著了，可惜没有全部开放阅读，回头我去图书馆系统看看
广为西方学术界提及的3千万 应该主要受这本书影响
因为没有看到他们的计算方法 不代表我赞同他们的数据
85
used
1957
trend
【在 S******r 的大作中提到】
: 16.5million 出自下文
: "COALE, A. J. (1981), “Population Trends, Population Policy,
: and Population Studies in China”, Population and Development Review, 7, 85
: –97." [1]
: See the text below copied from Page 89; it is notable that the authors used
: exactly the same algorithm I used in my article http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Military/47534653.html, although they take 1958 into account as well.
: “The average death rate for 1958-61 (17 per thousand) is 1.6 times the
: average (10.6 per thousand) of the rates given fro the adjacent years (1957
: and 1962) by Liu, implying about 16.5 million deaths in excess of the trend
: during these four years”
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