s**c 发帖数: 1247 | 1 一开始做linear regression
当slope低于一定程度(相对A),而且保持一定时间(n个数据),就算steady state
然后slope开始变化了,算这个state结束
这样行不行? |
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l**********9 发帖数: 148 | 2 高手的代码果然简练,佩服佩服...
不过我记得sgplot中的reg不能输出estimate parameter,想要检验斜率只能用肉眼了.
...如果想输出的话,还是得用proc reg吧...
proc sort data=one;
by Agegrp;
run;
proc reg data=one outest=temp;
by Agegrp;
model cancer = year_dx ;
run;
data slope(drop=_MODEL_ _TYPE_ _DEPVAR_ _RMSE_ Intercept cancer);
set temp(rename=(year_dx=slope));
run;
这样能显示斜率...但是代码好长不美观>_< |
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z**********i 发帖数: 12276 | 3 上课学的那点东西,早都不知丢到哪里去了.
在做的一个课题要建个MODEL,比较几个组随时间的变化,不是仅仅比较MEAN.这种情况下,
要有INTERACTION TERM,用INTERACTION的SLOPE来表示变化.如果,没有INTERACTION
TERM,就假定它们的SLOPE是相同的.
希望,我的解释和理解是对的. |
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G**7 发帖数: 391 | 4 To summarize your discussion, we need to assume the slopes among different
groups are parallel if there is no interaction term or the interaction term
is nonsignificant. However, if the interaction is significant, different
groups will have different slopes.
I think my professor taught us this. |
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w********3 发帖数: 1503 | 5 2 is fixed effect;
3 is random intercept+fixed slope;
4 is random intercept+random slope. |
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c****t 发帖数: 19049 | 6 呵呵看来您不知道自己说反了。random effects之所以要用不同的设定是因为所用的
predictor表现特别;而不是因为不同的coefficient设定才把一个predictor变成了
random effect
比如说楼主决定用income作predictor,如果一个intercept,一个slope就可以算出不错
的prediction,那么fixed effect model就搞定。需要做random effect model最简单(
但不是最常见)的情况:不同income有不同的intercepts(假定slope还都一样)。比如
0-50k intercept 1000, 50k-100k intercept 1, 100k+ intercept 10。这样的
relationship不是linear,linear model可以做但predicition不好。而用smoother也许
能提高prediction但不make sense。这时用random effect model效果最好。
为深嘛这predictor这么特别。原因是income其实不是最合适的pr... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******e 发帖数: 525 | 7 我的一个R object 有以下的数据,我怎么取到level数据? components$level 不行。
请帮忙!
> unclass(components)
observed level slope season1 season2
[1,] 0.0084075449 0.007172836 -8.528225e-06 3.291206e-04 -8.909450e-04
[2,] 0.0093858797 0.007214750 -8.594915e-06 -2.346916e-05 -8.712144e-04
[3,] 0.0091792334 0.007257663 -8.663195e-06 -3.583402e-04 -8.507308e-04
> attributes(components)
$dim
[1] 1327 5
$dimnames
$dimnames[[1]]
NULL
$dimnames[[2]]
[1] "observed" "level" "sl... 阅读全帖 |
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y**3 发帖数: 267 | 8 3. 我们用random slope and random intercept model, 我们做出来两组人的slope
,也就是说有一组是significant different from 0, 另外一组没有significant
different from 0, 但是他们之间的差异确实不显著(not significant different),
问为什么会这样?
statisitcal significance has a lot to do with sample size |
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D******a 发帖数: 394 | 11 Car: 2008 Hundai Sonata
Symptom: When I park the car in the down direction of a slope and start the
engine, there is always a grinding noise there, I am not sure it is from
the engine or some belt or pulley close to the engine. No engine light on
and the car runs smooth after that.
Funny thing is when I park the car in the up direction of the slope, there
is no such noise.
Any comments are highly appreciated. Thanks. |
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w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 12 George Foreman 36" Grill and Sandwich Maker
LINK:
http://www.walmart.com/ip/George-Foreman-Grill-Orange/13908807
Now you can get a George Foreman Champ Grill that fits your personal style.
With proven healthy cooking performance of our patented sloped design and
George Tough nonstick coating, you can cook healthier without a hassle, as
you bring color to your counters with one of five vibrant colors.
* 36-sq. in. cooking surface
* 2 fixed nonstick grill plates
* Patented sloped desig... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y 发帖数: 60932 | 14 Finally back in Stock!!!
Cuisinart 630-30 12" Round Grill Pan $29.95
$24 promo gift card w/ purchase.
Link:
http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N82E16896110531
Sloped Sides Deliver Perfect Performance
The sloped sides of the skillet maximize cooking surface. Skillets are
designed for browning and tossing small pieces of food like mushrooms.
Hard Anodized Exterior
Cookware exterior is harder than stainless steel for durability and
professional performance. Dense, non-porous, highly we... 阅读全帖 |
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g********n 发帖数: 2314 | 15 The problem is that the first derivative is continuous always. It is hard to
imagine it will jump from one point to another point. The slope (second
derivative) to drop to -20% level is the record sharp already. I do not
believe it will make a new record for uprising slope back to 0%. |
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z*********p 发帖数: 1877 | 16 Flag Hill Trail 1.26 Steep slope; switchbacks. View of the park,
Alameda Creek watershed and Calaveras Reservoir. Oak woodland and grassland
communities; fossiliferous sandstone ourcrops.
坑爹啊
明明看着我带着两个小的,居然推荐我走这个唯一的steep slope trail! |
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z*********p 发帖数: 1877 | 17 Flag Hill Trail 1.26 Steep slope; switchbacks. View of the park,
Alameda Creek watershed and Calaveras Reservoir. Oak woodland and grassland
communities; fossiliferous sandstone ourcrops.
坑爹啊
明明看着我带着两个小的,居然推荐我走这个唯一的steep slope trail! |
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p****i 发帖数: 6135 | 18 shocking news
UPDATE: Skier Who Died After Avalanche Remembered As ‘Always Cheerful’
PLACER COUNTY (CBS13) – A skier who died after an avalanche in the Tahoe
National Forest on Thursday afternoon has now been identified.
The Nevada County Coroner says the skier who died in 29-year-old Benjamin
Brackett of Olympic Valley.
The incident occurred 500 vertical feet below Stanford Rock off Highway 89
near the backside of Alpine Meadows in the Ward Valley area of Placer County
. Brackett was transporte... 阅读全帖 |
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M********a 发帖数: 190 | 19 We continued to climb at about 4:00 am after setting up tent for Mike's wife
. By now, the slope become a little more steeper - I'd say between 20 degree
to 30 degree. It's a very wide slope and there were many climbers going up. Route finding is not problem for this climb because there are climbers every where from the trail head all the way to the top all the time. We took breaks about every hour and our pace was very slow. This part of the climb was not very eventful and I don't have much
imp |
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S**b 发帖数: 1883 | 20 每到冬季,办公室人一般以上谈论的都是去哪里哪里skiing。 这次一个美国小青年还
30几个朋友一去和欧洲两个星期滑雪,什么ski resort。 去一次各种各样服装设备大
大小小TMD像红军过大雪山,真的有意思吗?有个vacation在家里睡睡吃吃,最多去唱
个卡拉ok,不挺好的?搞不懂,一点都搞不懂。
一老中朋友也凑热闹,渴望融入美国主流社会,带他12岁小孩去滑雪,你想想一中国知
识分子wsn的孩子去滑雪,一上雪地,举手投足一看就是个chinese nerd. 结果果然,
在一个slope下摔倒,撞一巨石上,当场脑浆迸裂。 |
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R********n 发帖数: 3601 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: RichPerson (我爱中科大~ 赚钱专业户~), 信区: Military
标 题: 搞不懂美国人为什么这么热衷于滑雪? (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Nov 7 17:03:43 2010, 美东)
发信人: Saob (Saob), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 搞不懂美国人为什么这么热衷于滑雪?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 6 17:03:55 2010, 美东)
每到冬季,办公室人一般以上谈论的都是去哪里哪里skiing。 这次一个美国小青年还
30几个朋友一去和欧洲两个星期滑雪,什么ski resort。 去一次各种各样服装设备大
大小小TMD像红军过大雪山,真的有意思吗?有个vacation在家里睡睡吃吃,最多去唱
个卡拉ok,不挺好的?搞不懂,一点都搞不懂。
一老中朋友也凑热闹,渴望融入美国主流社会,带他12岁小孩去滑雪,你想想一中国知
识分子wsn的孩子去滑雪,一上雪地,举手投足一看就是个chinese nerd. 结果果然,
在一个slope下摔... 阅读全帖 |
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o****y 发帖数: 26355 | 22 Even after the martial law was declared, the students only asked for Li Peng
step down. TG never gave up a single step.
Egypt was downhill slope la. Egypt government gave in one step at a time.
PARTY |
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c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 23 (1) Edward Wong, To Slake Thirst of North, China Looks South; Plans for
diverting 6 trillion gallons of water a yearn. New York Times, June 2, 2011
(title in print).
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/02/world/asia
/02water.html?scp=1&sq=china%20yellow&st=cse
"Some Chinese scientists say the diversion could destroy the ecology of the
southern rivers, making them as useless as the Yellow River. The government
has neglected to do proper impact studies, they say. There are precedents in
the United Stat... 阅读全帖 |
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F*V 发帖数: 3978 | 24 http://www.farnorthscience.com/2007/09/10/ak-sci-forum/squirrel
Squirrels and toxic mushrooms; aspens and leaf miners
By Ned Rozell
Amanita muscaria
Source: Wikipedia Commons
This column is provided as a public service by the Geophysical Institute,
University of Alaska Fairbanks, in cooperation with the UAF research
community. Ned Rozell is a science writer at the institute.
Fairbanks reader Darleen Masiak recently saw a red squirrel carrying an
Amanita mushroom across her deck, presumably to st... 阅读全帖 |
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c****s 发帖数: 5892 | 25 近一段时期,加拿大北极地区的安全利益问题在地理条件变化等因素的推动下重新浮现在公众面前,并且其未来走向依然无法预知。国际社会对日益紧缺的资源的争夺早已开始在北极地区上演,加拿大北极安全问题专家罗布休伯特(Rob Huebert)就曾说过:“全球气候变化、资源价格上涨、国际政治斗争以及不断取得的技术进步使北极地区的开发难度降低,因而也使其更加富有吸引力。”据《北极气候影响评估报告》(Arctic Climate Impact Assessment)预测,气候变化将会导致北极地区温度上升,北极海冰数量在每年夏季末期也会有所降低。这些条件促使北极日益成为国际活动的开放地区,被巨大经济利益前景所吸引的各种外部势力也越来越多地参与北极事务。因此,加拿大保卫北方地区国家主权和安全的能力将受到更加严峻的考验。资源竞争、季节性航道以及移民问题都增加了北方地区爆发冲突的可能性,此外加拿大与其环北极圈邻国悬而未决的边界争端因北极问题的国际化而更加复杂,而且这还有可能对北方地区的人口结构产生巨大影响。
广袤而且事实上并不设防的北极地区为一些不法份子以及潜在的敌对势力创造了许多有利条件。由于缺乏适度的监管设施... 阅读全帖 |
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o***s 发帖数: 42149 | 26 BBC纪录片《如何死亡:西蒙的选择 》( How to die: Simon’s Choice)的主人公西蒙·宾纳(Simon Binner)。
不久前,英国广播公司(BBC)播出了一部关于安乐死的纪录片:《如何死亡:西蒙的选择 》( How to die: Simon’s Choice), 在英国国内引起了不小的轰动,播出当晚就有超过120万人观看,很多观众表示深受震撼甚至被泪水淹没。片中的主人公,57岁的西蒙·宾纳(Simon Binner)在2015年1月被诊断出患有运动神经元疾病后,选择以安乐死(Assisted dying)的方式结束生命。伴随着与妻子黛比的多次冲突和亲朋至友的温情陪伴,西蒙与病魔展开了近10个月的抗争,之后前往瑞士的一家机构进行了安乐死。但是,西蒙的选择并不是直截了当的,其中涉及到法律、道德、情感等各个层面的重重困局。
中文里的“安乐死”一词对应着不同的情形。根据NHS(英国国家医疗服务体系)网站上的定义,安乐死(Euthanasia)是指为了解脱痛苦而有意结束生命的行为,例如医生为癌症末期的病人注射过量药物来结束生命。而片中西蒙选择的是“帮助死亡”(ass... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 27 (1) Well, the turning point was Midway, which place, a year before
Guadalcanal Campaign (Aug 7, 1942-Feb 9, 1943).
George Will, On Lybia, Too Many Questions. Washington Post, Mar 9, 2011.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/08
("The tide-turning defeat of Japan's navy at the Battle of Midway occurred
June 7, 1942 - exactly six months after Pearl Harbor")
(2) I recently read a book review on the sea clash of Guadalcanal Campaign.
Ronald Spector, Near a Small Island, a Gig... 阅读全帖 |
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y****i 发帖数: 1050 | 28 The first appearance of the Tiger on the Eastern Front was unsuccessful. The
first Tigers were issued to the 1st platoon of the 502 Battalion of Heavy
Tanks (Schwere Panzer Abteilung 502). On the 29th of August 1942, the four
Tigers arrived at the Mga railway station near Leningrad. Early that day,
the tanks were unloaded and prepared for battle. At 11:00 AM, the Tigers
went into their battle positions. Major Richard Merker commanded the platoon
, which included four Tigers, six PzKpfw III Ausf.... 阅读全帖 |
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y****i 发帖数: 1050 | 29 The first appearance of the Tiger on the Eastern Front was unsuccessful. The
first Tigers were issued to the 1st platoon of the 502 Battalion of Heavy
Tanks (Schwere Panzer Abteilung 502). On the 29th of August 1942, the four
Tigers arrived at the Mga railway station near Leningrad. Early that day,
the tanks were unloaded and prepared for battle. At 11:00 AM, the Tigers
went into their battle positions. Major Richard Merker commanded the platoon
, which included four Tigers, six PzKpfw III Ausf.... 阅读全帖 |
|
y****i 发帖数: 1050 | 30 The first appearance of the Tiger on the Eastern Front was unsuccessful. The
first Tigers were issued to the 1st platoon of the 502 Battalion of Heavy
Tanks (Schwere Panzer Abteilung 502). On the 29th of August 1942, the four
Tigers arrived at the Mga railway station near Leningrad. Early that day,
the tanks were unloaded and prepared for battle. At 11:00 AM, the Tigers
went into their battle positions. Major Richard Merker commanded the platoon
, which included four Tigers, six PzKpfw III Ausf.... 阅读全帖 |
|
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e****i 发帖数: 2152 | 32 http://www.ggdc.net/MADDISON/China_book/Chapter_1.pdf
Official Encouragement of New Crops, Multicropping, Higher Yields and
Diffusion of Best Practice Technology
Another feature of Chinese agriculture was its centrality in economic policy
. Like the eighteenthcentury French Physiocrats, the Emperor and the
bureaucracy thought of agriculture as the keyeconomic sector. They helped
develop and diffuse new seeds and crops by technical advice. They
commissioned and distributed agricultural handbooks,... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****7 发帖数: 243 | 33 Ted Stevens曾是飞虎队的飞行员, 连续两年驾驶运输机飞跃世界屋脊支援中国抗日战
争,而且没战
斗机护航,赞一下。
ed Stevens, a former Senator from Alaska, was killed in a plane accident
in his home state. The single-engine plane reportedly crashed into a
mountainside, killing the 86-year-old politician and four others. The
survivors were stranded on cold slopes overnight until help arrived,
according to Huffington Post.
The cause of the crash was not immediately known, however flights through
the area are known to be dangerous, even in the best |
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S**b 发帖数: 1883 | 34 每到冬季,办公室人一般以上谈论的都是去哪里哪里skiing。 这次一个美国小青年还
30几个朋友一去和欧洲两个星期滑雪,什么ski resort。 去一次各种各样服装设备大
大小小TMD像红军过大雪山,真的有意思吗?有个vacation在家里睡睡吃吃,最多去唱
个卡拉ok,不挺好的?搞不懂,一点都搞不懂。
一老中朋友也凑热闹,渴望融入美国主流社会,带他12岁小孩去滑雪,你想想一中国知
识分子wsn的孩子去滑雪,一上雪地,举手投足一看就是个chinese nerd. 结果果然,
在一个slope下摔倒,撞一巨石上,当场脑浆迸裂。 |
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R********n 发帖数: 3601 | 35 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: Saob (Saob), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 搞不懂美国人为什么这么热衷于滑雪?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 6 17:03:55 2010, 美东)
每到冬季,办公室人一般以上谈论的都是去哪里哪里skiing。 这次一个美国小青年还
30几个朋友一去和欧洲两个星期滑雪,什么ski resort。 去一次各种各样服装设备大
大小小TMD像红军过大雪山,真的有意思吗?有个vacation在家里睡睡吃吃,最多去唱
个卡拉ok,不挺好的?搞不懂,一点都搞不懂。
一老中朋友也凑热闹,渴望融入美国主流社会,带他12岁小孩去滑雪,你想想一中国知
识分子wsn的孩子去滑雪,一上雪地,举手投足一看就是个chinese nerd. 结果果然,
在一个slope下摔倒,撞一巨石上,当场脑浆迸裂。哈哈。 |
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P*****t 发帖数: 4978 | 36 盛夏下大雪。
Wintry weather brings snow to Australia in midsummer
Australia normally experiences temperatures of 86F (30C) at this time of
year, but the chances of a rare white Christmas have increased after
plunging temperatures and snow swept across the east of the country.
By Bonnie Malkin, Sydney 11:24AM GMT 20 Dec 2010
Freezing winds from Antarctica, blown up to Australia by a low-pressure
system in the Southern Ocean, gave the country a taste of the conditions
that are causing havoc across Europ... 阅读全帖 |
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T4 发帖数: 273 | 37 There were certain things that she remembered from that night, and some
things that she did not.
She recalled dancing and drinking at a bar in Park Slope, Brooklyn,
celebrating a job promotion with friends, but even that was a bit hazy. Her
next recollection, she testified, was waking up in the back of a taxi
outside her apartment building in the East Village, lying on her side and
vomiting. Then she remembered tugging herself up the red handrail of her
apartment building鈥檚 staircase, escorted b... 阅读全帖 |
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u***r 发帖数: 4825 | 38 http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/08/10/as-china-launches
On the day China began sea trials of its first aircraft carrier, Taiwan made
what can only be described as a provocative move, displaying its newest
anti-ship cruise missile in front of an illustration of what appeared to be
China’s new carrier being hit by missiles.
Above the missile, known as the Hsiung Feng III, was a sign that labeled the
weapon an “aircraft carrier killer.”
The missile was being displayed as part of a preview a... 阅读全帖 |
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d**********1 发帖数: 108 | 39 五毛逼估计没看到这一段
The cliffs are made chiefly of sediment and rock formations that slope
seawards. The ocean also erodes the base of the cliffs, and there have been
several slow-moving landslides since the 1950s that threatened several
hundred homes. |
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l**********r 发帖数: 4612 | 40 【 以下文字转载自 Seattle 讨论区 】
发信人: Gerdo (推自动交易), 信区: Seattle
标 题: 常见的贬损中国人的鹰文短语
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Feb 20 21:09:42 2012, 美东)
如果碰到,一定要坚决作有理有利的斗争。欢迎有经验的人士补充。
参考文献:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ethnic_slurs
=================================================
ABC
(Chinese in the U.S.) American-born Chinese, a term used to refer to Chinese
people who were born in the United States.
Ching Chong
(U.S. and Canada) mocking the language of or a person of perceived Chinese
or East Asian descent. An offe... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8 发帖数: 17722 | 41 http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/medcartel.htm
The amount now spent on medical care by Americans is about twenty percent
more than they spend on food and about ten percent more than they spend on
housing. Some portion of the increased costs comes from the development of
new and expensive procedures, but that is only part of the story. The rise
in the cost of medical care is said to be out of control and somewhat of a
mystery. However there is really no mystery involved. It is due to the
subsi... 阅读全帖 |
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d******a 发帖数: 32122 | 42 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
grasswalker (饭后百步走) 于 (Sun Apr 1 00:29:47 2012, 美东) 提到:
这个很奇妙啊
一个月几千块钱的多了去了,别人都该抢银行去了?
别跟我说啥多少年教育,妈的街上要饭的还有发过science的呢
国内大学毕业,硕士毕业不如狗的多了去了,怎么医生们不拿高薪就可以昧着良心?
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
ibmgoog (终极winner米帝万岁) 于 (Sun Apr 1 00:50:03 2012, 美东) 提到:
你也是民运老将了
你不明白么?
这个世界,各个行业都捏着把刀,每个行业的人都试图磨刀霍霍从别人那里砍下一块属
于自己的肉
医生,律师,法院,政府,都是要害
他们往这儿偏一偏,对过路人都是要命的事情
你想想,如果你要被开膛破肚了,你有胆对医生讨价还价么?你还想不想活了? 你是
想术后1年恢复呢?还是留个终身病根? 你跟医生打官司?你打得起么? 人体很复杂
的,有些人就可以1年恢复,有... 阅读全帖 |
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L******f 发帖数: 5368 | 43 美国的Mobile Home。
Mobile homes are often sited in land lease communities known
as trailer parks. Also referred to as trailer courts, mobile
home parks, mobile home communities, manufactured home communities,
and factory built home communities, these communities allow
home owners to rent space on which to place a home.
In addition to providing space, the community can provide
basic utilities such as water, sewer, electricity, or natural
gas and other amenities such as garbage removal, community
roo... 阅读全帖 |
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d**********x 发帖数: 4083 | 44 http://www.farnorthscience.com/2007/09/10/ak-sci-forum/squirrel
Squirrels and toxic mushrooms; aspens and leaf miners
By Ned Rozell
Amanita muscaria
Source: Wikipedia Commons
This column is provided as a public service by the Geophysical Institute,
University of Alaska Fairbanks, in cooperation with the UAF research
community. Ned Rozell is a science writer at the institute.
Fairbanks reader Darleen Masiak recently saw a red squirrel carrying an
Amanita mushroom across her deck, presumably to st... 阅读全帖 |
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G*******m 发帖数: 16326 | 45 下面那个图是PK的,肚皮的坡度不一样。
slope difference。 |
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d*********o 发帖数: 6388 | 46 http://cn.nytimes.com/article/life-fashion/2012/11/14/c14dumpli
“客家人”餐厅颜色丰富的饺子。
RedFarm”餐厅的脆皮鸭和螃蟹馅的饺子。
“Biang!”餐厅饺子的馅料是丰富多汁的羊肉。
餐厅“Biang!”的红油带汤饺子。
如果你正好是饺子爱好者(可能需要安东尼·波登[Anthony Bourdain]发起一个派对来
调查一下到底谁不爱吃饺子),那现在考虑移居纽约正合适。
是的,对于美食时尚就得百般挑剔。我们厌倦了纸杯蛋糕、肉丸子,还有到处都是的培
根。但是最近亚洲饺子开始在纽约的许多菜单上大行其道,却不会让人觉得不妥,部分
是因为这种简单丰满的食品太可爱了,实在让人没法挑剔,它所代表的涵义已经传遍全
球——面里包着一团香喷喷的馅儿,被捏成船形,给人感觉好像是我们人类送给自己的
一件小小礼物。
纽约早就成了一座饺子城。走在法拉盛街头,食客们可以享用大盘大盘的美味饺子,两
口就能吞下一个,而价格还没早上买一杯咖啡贵。这里的饺子圣地数也数不清,其中包
括瓦妮莎饺子馆(Vanessa’s Dumpling House)、鹿... 阅读全帖 |
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l**1 发帖数: 1875 | 47 only poor girls go to beauty contests.
Hagan is from Opelika, Alabama and is a 2007 graduate of Opelika High School
.[5] She was influenced by her formative years spent with a mother who ran a
dance studio in the Auburn-Opelika area, where she was raised.[6] She is a
former student at Auburn University,[3] where she spent a year studying
biomedical science.[6] Her prior pageant experience has been reported to
include runner-up placements in the Miss Alabama's Outstanding Teen and the
Miss Alabam... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****u 发帖数: 17243 | 48 右的程度不亚于本版,但更直截了当
有些想当conservative的美籍华人还是掂量掂量
http://www.landoverbaptist.net/
某个帖子的发言:
I am disgusted, but not surprised, to learn that the chinks have come up
with a new girly cult to enrage Christ. Expect it to hit civilised countries
soon.
Well, it's official: 100% of Chinamen are now queer girlymen. I would
rejoice at the prospect of them dying out within a generation, but I'm sure
those perverted Japanee scientists at Sony will just find a way to asexually
clone the little lady-like demons a... 阅读全帖 |
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m*****5 发帖数: 23482 | 49 because a contractor's liscense is hard to get. he has to be well trained,
taking courses, pass exams, and eventually, buy insurance for his employees
and other liablity insurances.
lz may brag about how much he can do. i saw so many untrained handy man brag
about their work. however, amteur is amteur, they do not really understand
how the building system works, and eventually cost the client more.
for example, my landlord hired a handyman to replace gutter, but he did not
know he should install... 阅读全帖 |
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w****y 发帖数: 2501 | 50 首先看几个新闻报道
1. 降落用的跑道是KSFO机场的28L。
2. wikipedia说28L的IRL系统从6/11就不工作了,不能提供glide slope。
3. 有新闻说降落采用了visual approach,天气晴朗。因此,驾驶员应该采用目视和手
动控制。
4. 没有乘客报告“突然下坠”,因此排除 microburst。
5. 5年前一架777曾经在跑道前坠毁,后来查明是RR引擎热交换器故障。但这架777装配
了PT引擎,使用不同的设计,所以同样故障的可能性很小。
6. 有消息说飞行员在坠毁前20分钟就开始怀疑飞机高度计故障。
7. 飞机起落架没有(完全)收起,撞到防浪堤上,在此之前有乘客听到飞机的油门加
大了。
我判断高度计不是事故的唯一原因、甚至不是主要原因。777至少有三个气压高度计,2
个无线电高度计,2个GPS系统,相互备份,冗余度很高。当高度计度数不一致的时候,
飞机会报警,有些自动驾驶功能不会启动。飞行员的日常训练中包括对高度计有误的情
况进行处理。降落前20分钟发现了高度计错误,留给飞行员足够时间去准备应对。
因为天气晴朗,还有跑到旁的peppi指示灯,再说... 阅读全帖 |
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