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T*******e
发帖数: 4110 | 2 Amendola过去一年多已经成了one of the most liked Pats, 拍子估计有动力把他留下
。看合同怎么样，以及拍子的计划，但看上去不是太乐观。现在拍子有了一长串儿接手
，除了Edelmen，最后都得竞争上岗，如果Amendola状态不好，没准儿Can't make the
final roster.Nate也是，Nate过去几年在Texans，那里的QB有多差，大家都知道，
Nate这几年的平均Statistics还要好于Dola，如果能和Brady形成Chemistry的话，比
Dola好是有可能的，当然Nate的岁数要大，保持状态也是个问题。最后就是是驴是马，
大家都得溜溜。 |
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w**a
发帖数: 3510 | 3 Top Picks Update
MannKind (MNKD 1.32)
From Nate’s Notes
Though shares of MannKind (MNKD) have continued to struggle following a
reverse split that was carried out back in March, the company's lead
product, Afrezza (an inhaled form of insulin for both Type-1 and Type-2
diabetics) is continuing to win high praises and gain converts among the
small number of patients who have actually heard about it so far.
Up until this point, the company has done virtually no advertising of the
product, but this ... 阅读全帖 |
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q*z
发帖数: 715 | 4 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: qpz (qpz), 信区: USANews
标 题: 明显这里大部分人都根本不知道Nate Silver是谁啊
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jun 30 21:38:22 2016, 美东)
这个牛人在2008年就因为预测大选（每个州的具体结果）和NCAA结果出名了。人家是数
据说话，不是像bbs上很多人就是掐和骂。
Nate Silver之前已经给了Trump很多credits了，一开始就说他在共和党的成绩会让很
多人惊讶，说民主党还没有意识到Trump潜在有多可怕。数据说话，跟很多站队掐架搞
阶级斗争的人根本思维不在一个波段上。 |
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h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 5 Nate Silver
Nate Silver鈥@NateSilver538
Reminder: Cubs will win the World Series and, in exchange, President Trump
will be elected 8 days later. |
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p********e
发帖数: 361 | 6 MikeMD:
I wish Cinderella would play every game in his worthless MVP shoes!!! Nothin
better than seeing Lebum throw up an air ball from 5' with the game on the
line!!! And the heart of ill Nate is a reason to start watching the playoffs
again! How can jeremy Lin be a starting PG and Robinson a reserve is
beyond me!
Packers1921:
Amen to that. Jeremy Lin was the flavor of the moment. Nate is a freaking
warrior!!!!!!
http://www.cbssports.com/nba/gametracker/recap/NBA_20130506_CHI |
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b******e
发帖数: 2225 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 astrology 讨论区 】
发信人: bonalove (bonalove), 信区: astrology
标 题: [zz]GG人物星座猜想之nate篇
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon May 11 02:54:06 2009)
Nate，B的初恋情人，C唯一的好朋友。
贵族出身，家里有很强大的背景；学校的里校草，简直就是一个完美的白马王子。
这样的人会有怎么样的烦恼呢？
从外表，N就很天平，了解天平座的人大多知道，至少现实中都有这样的认知，天平多
出俊男美女。
N有父亲和家族给自己做背景，所以他不管犯什么错误，都能够轻而易举的会见到想去
的大学的代表，能够得到很多人不能得到的一些特权！B和C不但享受这些特权，还认为
这些特权是他们应得的。可是N呢？N一直认为他得到的这些东西，是应该有过付出后才
能得到，所以他会发自内心的对Dan说，这些东西应该属于你（指得到见某些大学代表
的时候）！D可能会觉得N矫情，但是这全是N真实的想法，因为N是一个追求平衡的天平
座。
十二星座里，最追求完美的首推处女和天平，但是处女座的完美往往夹带着对事物的挑
剔，所以排除 |
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j******l
发帖数: 2790 | 8 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: emi (emi), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: Nate来袭,新奥尔良紧急备战
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 6 20:42:28 2017, 美东)
唐老创还是很厉害的，墙还没有建，老墨名字的飓风，什么 Jose， Maria 之类都挡在
美国大陆外面了。Maria 袭击的 PR，那里的公民绝大部分是老墨。
这个 Nate 估计是要登陆的，上一个是 Harvey，本地水灾的垃圾刚刚运走一部分。
Irma 好像也不是老墨，因此进来了。
哈哈。 |
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m******n
发帖数: 6327 | 9 洋葱(the onion)的一篇讽刺文
http://www.theonion.com/content/news/obama_modifies_yes_we_can_message
COLUMBIA, SC—In a nationally televised speech Friday, Democratic
presidential candidate Barack Obama altered his vision of a unified America
to exclude Dayton, OH loser Nate Walsh.
According to Obama, the 32-year-old Walsh, who has lived with his parents
intermittently since receiving his associate's degree in 2001 and still does
not have a credit card in his own name, no longer figures into the senator'
s |
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t***h
发帖数: 5601 | 10 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/nov-5-late-
November 6, 2012, 1:43 am
Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds
By NATE SILVER
Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College
hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the
first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead in the
polling averages in Ohio and other states that would allow him to secure 270
electoral votes.
But the most rec... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 11 We will see within 24 hour if he wins the battle with huge monster Gallup.
For your question, not every person is looking for rich. Some enjoys
profession like Nate obviously. |
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j****s
发帖数: 60 | 14 Nate Silver predicts super bowl match between Patroits and Seahawks, and
Seahawks win. |
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T****n
发帖数: 2195 | 17 颇有我的风范啊。能减少点失误就好了。
德州叔叔年轻时的模版： NATE的身高 + ONEAL的体重 + 巴克利的屁股 |
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x*******1
发帖数: 28835 | 19 I don;t know what big 3 are doing. They play like shit without passion and
energy.
nate brings passion to this team. |
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A*****a
发帖数: 52743 | 21 nate还是没把JJ放眼里，还时刻想着补防别人 |
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s*****e
发帖数: 1090 | 22 说句实在话，要是没有司机挡拆，JJ算个屁。nate跟他单挑可以把他打出便便来。主要
是挡拆的话，
不敢把司机空出来而已。 |
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g******u
发帖数: 3060 | 23 那些不声不响的估计也很快该走人了。
nate应该比maynor至少tough一些吧 |
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G**Y
发帖数: 33224 | 24 Nate Davis是谁呀？
第四QB一般能挣多少钱？ |
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j****s
发帖数: 60 | 25 Nate Silver predicts super bowl match between Patroits ans Seahawks, ANSI
Seahawaks win. |
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T*******e
发帖数: 4110 | 27 Nate's passing yardage and touchdown catches are very comparable to Amendola
's. |
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C*******d
发帖数: 1553 | 28 nate走了
jalen strong是不是可以上位了· |
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d**w
发帖数: 14889 | 29 我不觉得。hehe. 到时nate (crowford)挺象的。hehe |
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m**********g
发帖数: 2661 | 30 我说戏里边，nate跟每个女的都好过，而且变来变去。
国内据说普遍喜欢chuck. |
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x*******c
发帖数: 63 | 32 恩恩，Nate超级帅，喜欢喜欢。不过还是觉得他那个号称很pp的选美妹妹长的很奇怪，
不好看。 |
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c***s
发帖数: 70028 | 33 张嘉儿在微博公布与金融才俊男友Nate的婚讯，两人于当地时间9月12日，在两人相识之地温哥华正式举行婚礼！
据香港媒体报道，今年5月，张嘉儿在微博公布与金融才俊男友Nate的婚讯，虽然两人曾因分隔两地而分手，最终仍能修成正果，于当地时间9月12日，在两人相识之地温哥华正式举行婚礼！双方亲友均从香港及美国等地飞往温哥华，嘉儿圈中好几个姐妹则因工作还没有能到贺，只剩戚黛黛代表赴宴，而她们早前亦已与嘉儿举行婚前派对分享喜悦！
新人现场秀舞技
老公手指发胀 差点戴不进婚戒
一对新人先于下午在教堂行礼，晚上则于酒店设宴，宾客约300人，场面盛大！婚礼亦不乏催泪场面，新娘嘉儿一度感动落泪，据知她挽着爸爸步入教堂时已眼眶湿湿，其后宣读誓言，一字一句都令在场宾客感动流泪，当气氛转回严肃时，嘉儿为丈夫Nate戴戒指时，Nate因太紧张以致手指发胀，难以套入戒指，几经辛苦才成功为Nate戴上戒指。此外，一对新人于酒店举行西式婚宴时，母语为英语的Nate“被迫”转Channel以中文感谢嘉儿家人，可惜他以“不咸不淡”的中文道谢，惹来全场笑声！
Nate宣读个人感受后，即进入全晚高潮！一对新人大秀苦练多时的舞... 阅读全帖 |
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c***s
发帖数: 70028 | 34 婚宴现场感人亦不乏搞笑
据香港媒体报道，今年5月，张嘉儿在微博公布与金融才俊男友Nate的婚讯，虽然两人曾因分隔两地而分手，最终仍能修成正果，于当地时间9月12日、在两人相识之地温哥华正式举行婚礼！双方亲友均从香港及美国等地飞往温哥华，嘉儿圈中好几个姐妹则因工作还没有能到贺，只剩戚黛黛代表赴宴，而她们早前亦已与嘉儿举行婚前派对分享喜悦！
新人现场秀舞技
老公手指发胀 差点戴不进婚戒
一对新人先于下午在教堂行礼，晚上则于酒店设宴，宾客约300人，场面盛大！婚礼亦不乏催泪场面，新娘嘉儿一度感动落泪，据知她挽着爸爸步入教堂时已眼眶湿湿，其后宣读誓言，一字一句都令在场宾客感动流泪，当气氛转回严肃时，嘉儿为丈夫Nate戴戒指时，Nate因太紧张以致手指发胀，难以套入戒指，几经辛苦才成功为Nate戴上戒指。此外，一对新人于酒店举行西式婚宴时，母语为英语的Nate“被迫”转Channel以中文感谢嘉儿家人，可惜他以“不咸不淡”的中文道谢，惹来全场笑声！
Nate宣读个人感受后，即进入全晚高潮！一对新人大秀苦练多时的舞技，表演超过三分钟，穿白色高衩长裙的嘉儿先在慢歌下与Nate共舞，被Nate托起转圈... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 35 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 36 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 37 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
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l*x
发帖数: 14021 | 38 看看有些队的名单有多长。下周二3/12之前，这些队员如果没能跟球队谈成新合约的话
，就是自由球员了。鱼归大海，自由找下家。今年NFL允许球队提前3天，也就是周五，
可以跟别的队的UFA谈合同。如果谈成了，还要等到周一新联盟年开始才能签合同。
今年应该是有cap就是爷，好多球员要成为cap casualty。
http://www.profootballweekly.com/2013/03/01/2013-team-by-team-f
The following list is a team-by-team look at players who will have their
contract expire in March, making them either unrestricted (UFA) or
restricted (RFA) free agents. Each player's number of accrued seasons is
listed after his name.
Arizona Cardinals
UFAs — CB Michael Adams (5)... 阅读全帖 |
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l*x
发帖数: 14021 | 39 看看有些队的名单有多长。下周二3/12之前，这些队员如果没能跟球队谈成新合约的话
，就是自由球员了。鱼归大海，自由找下家。今年NFL允许球队提前3天，也就是周五，
可以跟别的队的UFA谈合同。如果谈成了，还要等到周一新联盟年开始才能签合同。
今年应该是有cap就是爷，好多球员要成为cap casualty。
http://www.profootballweekly.com/2013/03/01/2013-team-by-team-f
The following list is a team-by-team look at players who will have their
contract expire in March, making them either unrestricted (UFA) or
restricted (RFA) free agents. Each player's number of accrued seasons is
listed after his name.
Arizona Cardinals
UFAs — CB Michael Adams (5)... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******w
发帖数: 401 | 40 大个子的车友各式各样什么人都有，大个子自己是软件行业的产品经理，他的死党Nate
是作建筑行业的，John是化学工程师，而Tom则拥有一个自行车店。这些人因为同样的
兴趣爱好聚集在一起，就像我因为打羽毛球的关系结识了DD和小K一样，不过湾区的中
国人或多或少都和IT行业有关的。
四个人当中，John最成熟稳重，Tom话最少但最helpful，Nate最没有耐心，和大个子一
样比较浮躁，喜欢出风头。他们中除了大个子的车是red neck的Chevy改装外，其余的
都是Toyota的改装。John的车最新；大个子的车最大最重，他的轮胎时40的，其余的都
是37的；Nate的车最好，因为上次在Tank trap玩完以后，他换了崭新的发动机，而且
他切掉了卡车后面整个车床，自己用pipe和diamond sheet重新造了一个；Tom的车则属
于改装最少的。
等我们到camping site的时候，Nate和Tom已经开过一个OHV(Off-road High-clearance
Vehicle) trail了，其间Nate的卡车撞倒一棵树，而Tom的卡车侧面也撞在石头上，碎
掉一块玻璃。4w |
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z*******n
发帖数: 1034 | 41 http://gamerboom.com/archives/83454
1）SuperData发布的3月份数字游戏市场报告显示，《Candy Crush》发展有所减缓，而
“硬核游戏”则出现上升趋势。
硬核游戏的发展主要得益于PC和主机平台的《Titanfall》或《Heroes of the Storm》
这种类型的游戏，但暴雪推出的《Hearthstone》同样表现瞩目（它在4月16日刚刚在
App Store发布）。
hearthstone(from pocketgamer)
hearthstone(from pocketgamer)
这款暴雪战略CCG游戏于3月中旬在PC和Mac平台问世，ARPPU约27美元。
而King热作《Candy Crush Saga》尽管同比上月的用户整体投入有所增长（1.2%），但
其月活跃用户似乎出现了饱和，其移动平台的月活跃用户增长仅0.3%，而社交游戏玩家
则下降了2.1%。但该游戏仍然是3月份移动平台排名第二的热门手机游戏，仅次于《
Clash of Clans》。
SuperData还指出整体数字游戏市场仍在持续发展，2014年3月销售额... 阅读全帖 |
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w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 42 Nate “Buster” Jaros is a retired USAF fighter pilot with over 2,000 hours
in F-16 C/D/CM and T-38A/C aircraft and over 500 hours in General Aviation
aircraft. He is currently a Test Pilot, Instructor Pilot, and LO SME with
Lockheed Martin Skunkworks.
Nate provides a detailed review of China J-20 stealth fighter.
Several other analysts have said that the the J-20 is not a fifth generation
fighter.
Nate says China will have a fifth generation fighter, and its development of
the J-20 (amongst other... 阅读全帖 |
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p******e
发帖数: 897 | 43 Nobody wants to jinx the defeat of the most singular threat to American
democracy to ever crawl out of the WWE Hall of Fame. But something is going
on.
Early voting hasn't been uniformly good for Hillary Clinton's campaign. But
as tens of millions of voters have been making their way to the polls, the
news has been getting progressively better out of the three key early voting
battlegrounds - North Carolina, Florida, and Nevada.
If the Democratic nominee sweeps or even picks up two of these thre... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 44 阁下今日的见解让我难以认同。首先，你说 "如果大多数新闻机构的 poll 呈
现一边倒的偏差时，这个如何处理？" 我搞不清楚上面这个陈述的前半段是个
疑问还是你观察的结论。如果是疑问，我的回答是 "大多数新闻机构的 poll
会有偏差。但不致于是一边倒的偏差"(原因容后详论)。如果是你观察的结论，
我反倒要请问你是如何观察(或测量)出 poll 中偏差的大小? 除非你有一客观
公正的方法测量出 poll 中偏差的大小，否则如何推论出 "大多数新闻机构的
poll 呈现一边倒的偏差" 这样的陈述?
现在回头来解释为何我说 "大多数新闻机构的 poll 会有偏差。但不致于是
一边倒的偏差"。美国大部分的新闻机构(电视台，报纸)都有其政治立场。
这是美国社会可以接受的常态。但是政治立场归政治立场，说到民意调查，
还是有其底限。这底限就是：数字不能作假。如果今天福斯电台电话访问了
1000 名合格选民，600 个说要投希拉蕊。它就不能指鹿为马，说川普的支持
率是 60%。在此限制之下，新闻机构最常动的手脚便是在取样(sampling)。
譬如福斯电台知道它的观众大多是共和党的支持者。如果它今天... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 45 阁下今日的见解让我难以认同。首先，你说 "如果大多数新闻机构的 poll 呈
现一边倒的偏差时，这个如何处理？" 我搞不清楚上面这个陈述的前半段是个
疑问还是你观察的结论。如果是疑问，我的回答是 "大多数新闻机构的 poll
会有偏差。但不致于是一边倒的偏差"(原因容后详论)。如果是你观察的结论，
我反倒要请问你是如何观察(或测量)出 poll 中偏差的大小? 除非你有一客观
公正的方法测量出 poll 中偏差的大小，否则如何推论出 "大多数新闻机构的
poll 呈现一边倒的偏差" 这样的陈述?
现在回头来解释为何我说 "大多数新闻机构的 poll 会有偏差。但不致于是
一边倒的偏差"。美国大部分的新闻机构(电视台，报纸)都有其政治立场。
这是美国社会可以接受的常态。但是政治立场归政治立场，说到民意调查，
还是有其底限。这底限就是：数字不能作假。如果今天福斯电台电话访问了
1000 名合格选民，600 个说要投希拉蕊。它就不能指鹿为马，说川普的支持
率是 60%。在此限制之下，新闻机构最常动的手脚便是在取样(sampling)。
譬如福斯电台知道它的观众大多是共和党的支持者。如果它今天... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 46 Yoplait Kids appears to be sponsoring the giveaway, so there is a Yoplait ad
in the title page. In addition, FrogDogMedia (the company that produces
the app) appears to have a number of branded title stories on sale for $2.99.
The free books are:
My First Day of School Follow along as Charlie gets ready for his first day
of school. While he is really excited, hes also a bit scared. After asking
some questions and attending his first day, Charlie cant wait for his second
day of school. Written ... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 47 Nate Silver 'much less skeptical' that Trump can win
By Nick Gass
Nate Silver's persistent doubts regarding Donald Trump's chances of winning
the Republican nomination are falling, if his recent FiveThirtyEight
analysis is any indication.
"Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would
muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump. But so far, the party
isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort
against [Ted] Cruz," the ESPN polling guru wr... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: Military
标 题: 专家们终于要接受现实:Trump可能赢
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 21 14:54:17 2016, 美东)
Nate Silver 'much less skeptical' that Trump can win
By Nick Gass
Nate Silver's persistent doubts regarding Donald Trump's chances of winning
the Republican nomination are falling, if his recent FiveThirtyEight
analysis is any indication.
"Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would
muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump. B... 阅读全帖 |
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h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 49 Nate silver 宸茬粡鍦ㄦ壘鍙伴樁浜br />
Nate Silver鈥@NateSilver538
Esoteric hot take: If polling swings are exaggerated by non-response bias,
that suggests a significant risk of systemic polling error.
Nate Silver鈥@NateSilver538
Either polls are having trouble capturing a random sample, or voter
preferences are quite volatile. Either way, lots of uncertainty. |
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