l**a
发帖数: 11 | 1 这样的文章 秋后算账是必然的
还有上次发钱给香港废青搞革命的那个研究，已经有人在捅说IRB有问题了 |
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发帖数: 1 | 2 做实验还是啥事情
让自动退出登录
再登录显形少些分数
没来得及发多贴子涨分数？
论文咋样 |
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C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 4 呵呵，这个自然知道。现在finance猪力叫兽，大概都九个月19万起了吧？accounting
也不差，marketing，management稍差一些。蝠叫兽，鸩叫兽当然更好，有恬妞还能干
干副业。然后在课堂上教一些马尾巴功能的无用东西，在Journal of Finance，
Management Science，好一点的也许AER， 等等等journal上发发自己都不相信的狗屁
理论文章。
school |
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d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 5 你的逻辑是用了以前的理论，并且没有empirical support的。现在的empirical在job
creation上面已经很清晰了，一个是说job creation和firm size成反比，另一个是说
firm size里面其实是start up才是产生job的。
你自己对literature不熟，也不愿意去看literature，还坚持自己以前学到的观点,估
计是比较close-minded。难道不知道即使在AER，JPE上的文章也不一定是正确的？就这
样吧。 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 6 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: XiuShi (致力为花街散财，造福散户), 信区: Stock
标 题: 【2019年1月9日的 1,200 个股票的短期谷底和高峰的预测】
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 9 19:01:30 2019, 美东)
【2019年1月9日的 1,200 个股票的短期谷底和高峰的预测】
熊市策略是逢高峰就卖空，谷底补空平仓，如此周而复始。要少做多。
熊市性质是多数日子前盘价位高，后盘价位低，如此制造下跌的趋势。
对比预测，如果股价越极端，散户获暴利的机会和风险其实反而越佳。
花街的捣蛋，挤空或砸价，其实是制造极端价供精明的散户收割暴利。
花街这么做绝非善意，而是要吓唬散户在其人为的极端价割肉出局。
花街有用之不尽的代理基金和资金充炮灰，可以任性的挤高峰砸谷底。
花街有别人的代理钱来任性，用大量炮灰钱可以买出涨价，砸出跌价。
股票最不定因素，就是花街每天对散户的捣蛋，尤其挤高峰和砸谷底。
以下是为蝌蚪们提供的最基本，炒股绝对须要遵守，的注意事项：
1. 预备大量(>=50%)现金，准备用来收割花街人为制造的捣蛋极端价... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 7
MA is $2500
if not in a hurry, wait for 2016 volt (i.e volt 2.0). likely you will get 5-
seat and >50 EPA miles AER. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 9
dude, your point is plain wrong, despite the seemingly authoritative tone in
your statement.
within the AER (all electric range), a PHEV behaves just like a BEV.
actually, it can do slightly better than a BEV because it may has an extra
electric motor.
I bet you have never watched this video (Part 2 on the powertrain for a volt
):
http://www.plugincars.com/exclusive-video-want-know-exactly-how |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 10
I test drove it on a weekend last month, it is overall a nice car, silent,
with many safety features. my wife did not like it because it has a more
traditional look.
its AER is 87 miles per EPA rating. I bet you can get 100 miles if you drive
carefully (using regen, coasting, accel/deaccel smoothly). with the
occasional full charging (i.e. the "software" extender option), I believe
the real-life range can be anywhere between 110 to 130 miles for a careful
driver.
If I haven't bought a volt, I m... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 11
if you wait until next July, volt 2016 is considered "better in every way"
- 5 seat, 50-60 AER, >50mpg in the range extension mode, 30k msrp. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 14 this will likely be the first affordable plug-in SUV in the States (
bracketing out Model X and RAV4 EV for the price and availability). more
images became available
http://insideevs.com/mitsubishi-outlander-phev-concept-s-first-
the front face looks nicer than the current version. If the price is below
40k before incentives, improved (40+mile) AER, and with 7-seat option, I can
't way to get one next year. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 15 来自主题: Automobile版 - 求推荐电车
without knowing your budget, driving radius, and what you need that car for,
it is difficult to give a specific suggestion.
if this is your only car and you do need to frequently (>10%) go beyond 80
miles, you'd better get a plugin hybrid. volt is the best in this category (
AER, safety, build quality), however it has only 4 seats and is a bit more
expensive.
if you have other gas-engine cars, and only need this for commute, pick any
of the battery electric cars (leaf, ford focus electric, fiat... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 16
MPGe is based on energy density. it is not a simple addition. A volt has
98MPGe, 38 EPA AER with 38 MPGcs (MPG charge-sustaining) |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 17
assuming T8's battery is on-par with other EV batteries, roughly 4miles/kWh,
then 25 AER translates into 6.25 kWh usable range out of the 9.2 kWh total
capacity (SoC=68%), then charging 6.25kWh with 12 hours on 110V is twice
slower than, for example, a volt (10 hours charging 11kWh out of 16.8kWh
capacity). This is similar with L2 charging.
unless the 9.2kWh number given by goVolvo was the usable range. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 18
interesting ... I haven't paid attention to MPGe, but this makes sense.
however, EPS's numbers are underestimated for my driving habits. my car
achieves the EPS estimate (0.292*98*10.8=31 AER) only now when the outside
temperature drops below 0C. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 19
finally, I measured the total charging power consumption using a kill-a-watt
. to charge a depleted battery to full for my volt drew 13kWh power from the
outlet. as my usable range now stables at 10.8kWh, that gives me a 83%
charging efficiency.
if I use this numbers, the EPA estimate becomes 0.0292*98*13=37.2 miles, I
guess that's where the 38 AER rating came from. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 20
lane
S.
if you can wait, volt gen2 is coming in July/Aug. 2015, which is said to
have 50+ miles AER (in CA, this means 60+ miles pure electric driving).
pricing is not known yet, but is said to be a few thousand lower than the
current volt.
if you can't wait, my recommendation is to go for a gen1 volt. you can
easily get 40-45 miles with electricity only in CA. however, if you are a
fan of BMW, then you may consider i3 with range extender.
I have a 2014 volt, love that car! |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 22 http://insideevs.com/next-generation-2016-chevrolet-volt-debuts
recap, 50mile AER (Gen1: 38), 5-seat (Gen1: 4), 41 MPGcs (Gen1: 37), 102
MPGe (Gen1: 98), 18.4kWh battery (Gen1: 17.1), 3.6kWh charging (Gen1: 3.3)
price is not known yet, but hinted lower than Gen1 (34k MSRP base). if
starting at 30k, as rumored, should sell like hotcakes.
also, more videos/photos
http://insideevs.com/2016-chevrolet-volt-gallery/
official site:
http://www.chevrolet.com/2016-volt/ |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 23 lots of exciting EV news from the Detroit show, here is another long waited
one from GM
http://insideevs.com/official-chevrolet-bolt-details-range-200-
available in 2017, starting price at $30k. does not look as exciting as the
Gen 2 volt, but the 200 mile AER is very attractive to many people.
hope Tesla show a Model III concept too. |
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g*q
发帖数: 26623 | 24 弯曲油价还是不便宜.
不过除非是第二辆车,每天commute略短于车的AER(往返5-60迈),真没必要lease leaf这
样的车 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 25
主要是汽车方面的信息都是从英文网站上看来的,还得翻译,多麻烦呀
AER还得翻译成纯电里程,Tesla还得翻译成特斯拉,还有好多都不知道怎么翻译 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 26
纳税人买单也好，政府买单也好，都是一回事，跟着前面有人说电车目前的发展仅由
early adopter来买单是不一样的。从这个角度来看，early adopter不但没有
disadvantage，甚至还有一些advantage。
现在唯一不能尽如人意的是能够满足所有期望值（价格、AER、性能、载货空间）的电
车选择并不多。如果你能够在现阶段找到满足你的需要的电车，肯定是早买早成功。 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 27
除了model x能在200迈左右(目前tesla还在优化)之外，所有的phev中只有outlander
phev的AER最大，大概22－25 EPA miles (NEDC 32mi)，目前版本的电池是12kWh，但16
年4月出来的美国版会有一个middle model year refreshment，大家都希望电池容量会
增加(因为增加到16kWh可以最大利用incentive)。
其他的phev基本上都是20-25 NEDC miles，大改只相当于15-20 EPA miles，电池大多
都在9kWh左右。 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 29
depends on utility companies. mine is 10-12c/kWh (everything included),
around national average. with 53 mile AER, I expect to be 95%+ on electric
only. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 30
42 MPGsc vs 55 MPGsc makes virtually no difference for most volt2 owners. 50
+ AER will cover 95+% of their trips easily.
even with my Volt1, it has 17300 miles over the past 17 months, with only
1600 miles on gas. Even the MPGsc figure improves from 38 to 55, it only
saves 13 gallons of gas over 17 mo, the difference is less than $2 a month!
I am not excited at all.
By contrast, I care the noise level in the extended mode more than the MPGsc
figure. I am glad Volt2 had made great improvement i... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 31
..
those numbers are exaggerated because it was based on the Japanese JC08
cycle test. these numbers are typically much higher (almost 2x) than US EPA
test. The EPA rating is considered more realistic.
one example, the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV claims to have a 60km/37.5mi AER
based on the JC08 test, but it's EPA rating is only expected to be ~25 miles
http://insideevs.com/mitsubishi-outlander-phev-on-sale-in-japan
another example, Nissan Leaf 2013 has a JC08 rating of 228 km (141 miles),
but i... 阅读全帖 |
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g*q
发帖数: 26623 | 32 几个车各有所长。volt销量大关键是刚换型，树叶一直说要换又不彻底换。
Volt长处是续航能力，其电池设计更优化，更接近纯电车的设计思路。缺点之一是空间
小，第二是烧油的时候油耗比较高。
Cmax的长处是乘客空间。另外发动机也还行，使用丰田的hybrid drive train，效率不
错。缺点也很多，设计没有按电车优化，福特根本就没想好好做这个车，目前看来也不
打算出下一代；风阻大（因为车空间大），高速油耗和续航能力都很差；电池占了后备
箱一大块空间。不过这个小电池也避免了很多麻烦，不容易过热。
prius plugin上一代完全是骗个plug-in的帽子，跟cmax一样是“compliance”车型，
骗骗补贴，骗骗carpool sticker而已。但是下一代还可以，关键还是没有牺牲太多空
间，烧油的效率也高，20多迈的AER按现在的油价也足够了。 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 33
first of all, the technical names for the two hybrid architectures are "
parallel hybrid" - the non-plugin Prius-like hyrbids, and "serial hybrid" -
the Volt like hybrid.
https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv
=parallel%20hybrid%20vs%20series%20hybrid
even within the camp of serial parallel hybrid cars, only a few, like
the volt, can do emission-free AER, even at full throttle; most other serial
parallel will temporarily switch to parallel hybrid when the acceleration
n... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 34
you need to understand there are 2 types of EVs - plugin hybrid (PHEV) and
battery ev (BEV). There are pros and cons between the two. But compare to
gas cars (IDEs), both have more pros than cons.
read more online at
http://www.plugincars.com/guides.html
for SUVs, there are several PHEV models and one BEV model currently in the
US market. PHEV SUVs include XC90 T8 and X5 xdrive40e; the only BEV SUV is
the Tesla Model X. Most of these start over $60k.
A number of PHEV suvs are coming, including ... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 35
，
pricing for 2016 volt can only get better. I am sure dealers are now
offering more discounts to clear the lot for the 17s.
if you search way back, you can find my purchase price for my 2014 volt (now
my wife is driving it).
9000 miles so far. the only minor issue is the "chuggle" problem.
http://gm-volt.com/forum/showthread.php?214225-Have-you-experienced-the-Chuggle
when the car switches from battery to gas, there is a noticeable vibration,
or non-smoothness. There was a recall and firmware ... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 36 wish it had a longer AER. the price of T8 is somewhat on the high side, near
Tesla's territory, but of course, the safety features are attractive to
many. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 37
the volt has the highest AER among all PHEVs, leading the second place by a
big margin.
I have a 48 miles commute, in the summer, my trip is completely covered by
the battery (I can go as far as 60 miles per charge).
even after the battery runs out, the gas MPG (MPGsc) is still quite good,
actually competitive to a Prius
http://www.mitbbs.com/article0/Automobile/35435835_0.html |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 38
your choices are limited to
Tesla Model X (or Model S with 7 seat option)
XC90 T8, and
2017 Pacifica PHEV (supposedly arriving near the end of the year)
the last one is the more affordable one, with an impressive 30 miles AER,
but the availability has not been announced. |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 39
here are my two volts.
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Automobile/35324011_0.html
I drove the 14 volt (now my wife's car) for the first winter, and then drove
the 16 volt last winter. for the 14 volt, on a regular winter day, I can
get ~34 miles (the lowest range I got was 24 miles when it was 20F ish with
wet snow); for the 16 volt, I got about 50 miles in winter (lowest record
was 42 miles) on battery.
during summer, my 16 volt consistently gives me 63-65 miles AER.
here are the stats for both ... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 40
price matters the most. the depreciation for the 70-90 AER BEV is expected
to go up as the 100-250 BEVs gradually become available (especially the
Chevy Bolt). so as long as your purchase price keeps the the potential
depreciation into consideration, you should be fine.
on the battery lifespan, you should not expect any major problem for a 6-yr
old BEV. manufacturers often offer 8 year 100k mile warranty. From the
published data, the degradation is slower than what people thought.
Maintenance-w... 阅读全帖 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 41
only after the battery is depleted.
within the AER, volt is purely driven by the electric motors and battery (if
not ERDTT or maintenance mode). |
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g*q
发帖数: 26623 | 42 新版prius还是有一些卖点的，AER够一般上下班用，空间对于这个价格的车还不错，全
油的mpg很好。Prius prime MSRP起价27100，volt起价34100，去掉补贴的差别，prius
还是便宜4000，实际售价因为讲价/清仓幅度因人而异，没法比较
prius是为数不多的值得买的日车，如果不是铁杆抵制的话，还是值得考虑的。 |
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F***Q
发帖数: 6599 | 43
it has 4 seats, same as the gen1 volt, but over $10k more expensive.
also, the most important parameter, all electric range (AER), is only half
of gen1 volt, and 1/2.5 of gen2 volt. if I were you, I would not consider
prius prime seriously, unless you are so attached to the brand. |
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j***g
发帖数: 11325 | 44 http://www.studentuniverse.com/faqs.html
Airline Eligible for Frequent Flyer Mileage? Phone Number
Aer Lingus YES 888-474-7424
Air France YES* 800-237-2747
Air India YES 800-223-7776
Air New Zealand NO 800-262-1234
Air Pacific Contact your carrier 800-227-4446
Alaska Airlines Contact your carrier 800-252-7522
Alitalia YES 800-223-5730
American Airlines YES** 800-433-7300
Austrian Airlines NO 800-843-0002
Avianca Airlines YES 800-284-2622
bmi YES 800-788-0555
British Airways NO 800-247-9297
Catha |
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k*****y
发帖数: 2069 | 45 整理了一下,如有错误和更改,请大家指正,谢谢.
Airline Domestic International
1st Bag 2nd Bag 1st Bag 2nd Bag
Aer Lingus — — No Fee $55
AeroMexico — — No Fee $0-$40
Air Canada No Fee CAD$20-CAD$30 No Fee CAD $20-CAD $50
Air China — — No Fee No Fee
Air Europa — — No Fee No Fee
Air France — — No Fee ... 阅读全帖 |
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k*****y
发帖数: 2069 | 46 整理了一下,如有错误和更改,请大家指正,谢谢.
Airline Domestic International
1st Bag 2nd Bag 1st Bag 2nd Bag
Aer Lingus — — No Fee $55
AeroMexico — — No Fee $0-$40
Air Canada No Fee CAD$20-CAD$30 No Fee CAD $20-CAD $50
Air China — — No Fee No Fee
Air Europa — — No Fee No Fee
Air France — — No Fee ... 阅读全帖 |
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m********5
发帖数: 619 | 47 Finance does not have more A journals. A JPE or an AER or an Econometrica
will count as A for whichever field in B-school.
Nobody gets an A paper with minimum contribution, except for those who sleep
with their boss..... which I have seen one or two..
and
your name on an A paper with minimum contribution (e.g., a big boss+his
student+you or through outside networking with many authors), which does not
count. That's why it is impor
has
average. |
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l*****l
发帖数: 4170 | 48 Jaffe (1986, AER) 有个很有名的tech distance measure，不知道哪位大侠能share一
下sas
codes? 谢谢！ |
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v*******y
发帖数: 5530 | 49 没搞错吧
两篇solo JPE
两篇AER
三篇QJE
这个pub还弱啊 |
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t**o
发帖数: 338 | 50 有一片AER是P&P把。不过，作他这块的人不多。说他有big impact也说得过去 |
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