c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 1 Which suppose to keep interest rate low.
the 5 year notes, which FED targeted buying, has gone from 1% to 1.63% today.
Should we stand beside Fed and bet the rate will be down again. | w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 2 The market is more and more playing on the expectation,
rather than what happened nowadays.
Before QE2, people betting on it and the rate was low,
and USD keep plunging which are the exact behavior it should be
AFTER QE2, but after it was announced, USD keep going
up as well as the rate.The same thing happened on the current
round of so call "Ireland crisis", once it's known by anybody,
the market already priced that in and moving for the next direction.
So, think in advanced what may happen is critical to judge
(or guess) the direction of the market.But currently,
I don't have a clear clue on what may happen next yet.
today.
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: Which suppose to keep interest rate low.
: the 5 year notes, which FED targeted buying, has gone from 1% to 1.63% today.
: Should we stand beside Fed and bet the rate will be down again.
| c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 3 That sounds right.
Maybe the next thing is inflation.
Just from the chart, it can easily go 2%. | N***i
发帖数: 2063 | | c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 5 2% reached before rally today.
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: That sounds right.
: Maybe the next thing is inflation.
: Just from the chart, it can easily go 2%.
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