I****s
发帖数: 1167 | 1 The Spanish overall figure of 5% is in line with studies in other European
countries that showed a prevalence of 4% to 5%, far below the rate that
would provide the population with so-called herd immunity, and which experts
place at 60% at the very least.
If the percentage of infected people who eventually die is around 1.1%, as
the study suggests, the cost in human lives of herd immunity would be
between 200,000 and 300,000, making the method unacceptable. Epidemiologists
consulted by this newspaper said that social distancing measures must
remain in place until a vaccine becomes available.
https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study-shows-just-5-of
-spaniards-have-contracted-the-coronavirus.html | r*********t
发帖数: 4911 | 2 还是看地方。估摸着高发区就真的达到了14%的感染率。
The figures in the Spanish study show significant geographical differences:
in some provinces, the prevalence of the virus is seven times higher than in
others. In Soria province, 14.2% of the population has developed antibodies
after being exposed to SARS-CoV-2. In the Madrid region, considered the
epicenter of the pandemic, the prevalence is 11.3%. | c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 3 不高吗！
experts
Epidemiologists
of
【在 I****s 的大作中提到】
: The Spanish overall figure of 5% is in line with studies in other European
: countries that showed a prevalence of 4% to 5%, far below the rate that
: would provide the population with so-called herd immunity, and which experts
: place at 60% at the very least.
: If the percentage of infected people who eventually die is around 1.1%, as
: the study suggests, the cost in human lives of herd immunity would be
: between 200,000 and 300,000, making the method unacceptable. Epidemiologists
: consulted by this newspaper said that social distancing measures must
: remain in place until a vaccine becomes available.
: https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study-shows-just-5-of
| I****s
发帖数: 1167 | 4 嗯。高发区跟NYC差不多，估计15%左右的感染率了。 | f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | 5 越南春药，这测试有没有考虑抗体抽血是哪一天？瑞典的抗体也才七趴，他们大头的解
释是抽血是好几周前，和现在二十趴的估计相差不太大。 |
|
