T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 1 床铺poll一直稳定领先占便宜大了。所以primary比较好就在这里，caucus就靠最后一
晚上两小时关门选举啥幺蛾子都能搞出来。
Election day is March 15. And Floridians are already voting: 433,000
Republicans have cast early ballots—at least a fifth of the expected
electorate.
By applying the three most recent Florida surveys’ polling averages to the
early ballots cast, Rubio could be trailing Trump by as much as 62,0000
votes or as few as 30,000. That’s not an insurmountable lead and, if Rubio
were to suddenly start winning about 35 percent of all the GOP votes today
to Trump’s 31 percent, the Florida senator would win the state. |
h******k
发帖数: 15372 | 2 提前2周投票的都已经43万了，佛州真是一个大洲啊 |
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 3 Good.
What Rubio did last night only hurt himself in FL.
the
Rubio
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
: 床铺poll一直稳定领先占便宜大了。所以primary比较好就在这里，caucus就靠最后一
: 晚上两小时关门选举啥幺蛾子都能搞出来。
: Election day is March 15. And Floridians are already voting: 433,000
: Republicans have cast early ballots—at least a fifth of the expected
: electorate.
: By applying the three most recent Florida surveys’ polling averages to the
: early ballots cast, Rubio could be trailing Trump by as much as 62,0000
: votes or as few as 30,000. That’s not an insurmountable lead and, if Rubio
: were to suddenly start winning about 35 percent of all the GOP votes today
: to Trump’s 31 percent, the Florida senator would win the state.
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 4
99票赢者通吃几百万选民的大州。
但cruz现在是用巴马08的策略，太平洋小岛都派人去监督caucus，马里亚纳岛也是3/15
投票赢者通吃，可能几百人投票就能弄9个delegates。Cruz是真正危险人物。
【在 h******k 的大作中提到】
: 提前2周投票的都已经43万了，佛州真是一个大洲啊
|
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 5 It is a fair game. Trump can do the same.
If Trump wins 40%+ popular votes, he will be the nominee.
15
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: 99票赢者通吃几百万选民的大州。
: 但cruz现在是用巴马08的策略，太平洋小岛都派人去监督caucus，马里亚纳岛也是3/15
: 投票赢者通吃，可能几百人投票就能弄9个delegates。Cruz是真正危险人物。
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 6
他对佛州一直没好好经营，超级周二前没打过啥广告没造过多少势，现在要10m广告往
里砸。
【在 m****g 的大作中提到】
: Good.
: What Rubio did last night only hurt himself in FL.
:
: the
: Rubio
|
m****n
发帖数: 2415 | 7
好像没啥用吧，川普在佛州有很多成功的投资，很多人脉
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: 他对佛州一直没好好经营，超级周二前没打过啥广告没造过多少势，现在要10m广告往
: 里砸。
|
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 8 Marco Rubio will not seek re-election to the Senate.
This says about his popularity in FL.
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: 他对佛州一直没好好经营，超级周二前没打过啥广告没造过多少势，现在要10m广告往
: 里砸。
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 9
床铺要砸1m，对老头大手笔了，他肯定想一下把肉饼打会原形，后面州长和肉饼不相上
下分建制派的票一起垫底。然后集中火力对付cruz，猛炒dirty trick和加拿大。
【在 m****n 的大作中提到】
:
: 好像没啥用吧，川普在佛州有很多成功的投资，很多人脉
|
s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | 10 老爷子真抠门，1M在纽约郊区也就是一个one family house。真真节约闹革命，哈哈
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: 床铺要砸1m，对老头大手笔了，他肯定想一下把肉饼打会原形，后面州长和肉饼不相上
: 下分建制派的票一起垫底。然后集中火力对付cruz，猛炒dirty trick和加拿大。
|
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 11 Agree. Trump needs to pull out a decisive win in FL.
【在 s*******1 的大作中提到】
: 老爷子真抠门，1M在纽约郊区也就是一个one family house。真真节约闹革命，哈哈
|
