b***k 发帖数: 2673 | 1 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
cba8 (noman) 于 (Wed Dec 10 11:52:02 2008) 提到:
定律
任何model赖以生成的小概率事件都会被证明是大概率事件,这证明model终究会失败,
每当financial market distressed 的时候,最先倒下的都是quant。
After all, financial market is human behavior based market, ever changing
probability distribution will make quant seeking everything for nothing,……
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Andreas (有業盡勤) 于 (Wed Dec 10 11:53:24 2008) 提到:
the very wrong idea is that model is all the evidence to make decision |
|