z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 1 现在高铁的发展也会一样伟大？
就好比前面谈到奴隶制的效率一样，Fogel成为学术巨人的另外一项研究就是铁路的作
用。 | b*******k
发帖数: 16989 | 2 白马非马？
高铁不是铁路的一种？
当年第一个驯化野马的人和一个能把马训练成快马的人哪个更伟大？
【在 z***c 的大作中提到】
: 现在高铁的发展也会一样伟大？
: 就好比前面谈到奴隶制的效率一样，Fogel成为学术巨人的另外一项研究就是铁路的作
: 用。
| z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 3 那先不提高铁吧
你觉得如果人类没有造出铁路的话，经济发展和现在比会不会落后很多？
我想起这个问题，是因为前面提到了Fogel对于奴隶制的研究。
【在 b*******k 的大作中提到】
: 白马非马？
: 高铁不是铁路的一种？
: 当年第一个驯化野马的人和一个能把马训练成快马的人哪个更伟大？
| z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 4 看看Fogel奠定学术地位的研究：
A significant foray into treating counterfactual scenarios seriously was
made by the economic historian Robert Fogel. In his 1964 book Railroads and
American Economic Growth: Essays in Econometric History, Fogel tried to use
quantitative methods to imagine what the U.S. economy would have been like
in 1890 if there were no railroads.[3] Fogel hypothesizes that, in the
absence of the railroad, America’s large canal system would have been
expanded and its roads would have been improved through pavement; both of
these improvements would take away from the social impact of the railroad.
He estimates that “the level of per capita income achieved by January 1,
1890 would have been reached by March 31, 1890, if railroads had never been
invented.”
Fogel concludes the railroad wasn't such a big deal (or it was but not
nearly as important as people want to make it look like).
【在 z***c 的大作中提到】
: 那先不提高铁吧
: 你觉得如果人类没有造出铁路的话，经济发展和现在比会不会落后很多？
: 我想起这个问题，是因为前面提到了Fogel对于奴隶制的研究。
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