r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 1 从老印网站上看到：奥傻精确计算让PD停在2007年4月，让老中在2012年财政年开始时
需求3200大于2800，这样老中就必须和老印绑在一起，这样老中就不可以交新的485，
只有等到明年暑假才能和老印前进，看来奥傻太他妈的黑了！
Very well said. I agree w you. The dates in 2011 are so cleverly crafted
that USCIS has eliminated a lot of backlog but at the same time kept enough
to ensure they have discretion to make any further movement. EB2C has just
enough backlog that puts them in exactly same fate as EB2I in terms of any
SFM or BTM.
I am not sure why it should have any effect.
At the beginning of FY2012, EB2-C have at least 3,200 cases outstanding,
with more PWMB to become qualified as the months and dates progress.
That is more than the initial allocation of 2,803 available for the whole
year.
Until the end of the third quarter, DOS cannot allocate more than 81% of
total visas anyway (54% by end of Q2). Even if they were to allocate the
full 2,803 available to EB2-C, they will not reach the tipping point.
Since EB1 and EB2-non IC demand seems quite strong going into FY2012, DOS
may well be constrained how quickly they can use more than the 250ish visas
per month allowed to each of EB2-C and EB2-I and stay within the 27% per
quarter limit. At that rate, to reach the end of June 2007 for EB2-C would
require 6.5 months worth and July 2007 needs the same again.
If usage of visas is low in other Categories, at some point DOS may be able
to announce spare visas available to EB2-IC, as they did in the May VB in
FY2011.
That seems relatively more unlikely in FY2012 at the same level of numbers (
12k) as seen in FY2011. That 12k allowed a further 9.7k (81% of 12k) to be
allocated to EB2 in May/June 2011, of which around 9k seems to be used.
In FY2011, DOS stayed completely within the law in starting SO season early
IMO. I think it is more difficult for FY2012.
Either they have to ignore the law, or the numbers seen in part of Q3 will
be much lower, or SO will not start until July 2012. it remains to be seen
which one will happen.
I don't think EB2-C progress will be a factor at all. |
w**s
发帖数: 141 | 2 er .......... isn't time to do something? join niu ba
enough
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: 从老印网站上看到：奥傻精确计算让PD停在2007年4月，让老中在2012年财政年开始时
: 需求3200大于2800，这样老中就必须和老印绑在一起，这样老中就不可以交新的485，
: 只有等到明年暑假才能和老印前进，看来奥傻太他妈的黑了！
: Very well said. I agree w you. The dates in 2011 are so cleverly crafted
: that USCIS has eliminated a lot of backlog but at the same time kept enough
: to ensure they have discretion to make any further movement. EB2C has just
: enough backlog that puts them in exactly same fate as EB2I in terms of any
: SFM or BTM.
: I am not sure why it should have any effect.
: At the beginning of FY2012, EB2-C have at least 3,200 cases outstanding,
|
c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 3 如果有些朋友还对奥本存在一丝幻想，请醒醒。
现在有两个点可以发力：
１.亲属移民可以按季度分配名额，职业移民却没有。
２.印度职业移民可以用全年名额分配，中国职业移民却没有。 |
w**s
发帖数: 141 | 4 thanks for the nei rong
【在 w**s 的大作中提到】
: er .......... isn't time to do something? join niu ba
:
: enough
|
w**s
发帖数: 141 | 5 i was just thinking about the same. can u be more specific on what can be
the action items? write to o de lao ban? hai shi gao o?
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果有些朋友还对奥本存在一丝幻想，请醒醒。
: 现在有两个点可以发力：
: １.亲属移民可以按季度分配名额，职业移民却没有。
: ２.印度职业移民可以用全年名额分配，中国职业移民却没有。
|
w**s
发帖数: 141 | 6 da4 jia1 juan1! wo3 men2 gao4 ta1
. but we need to think very carefully about the consequences.
【在 w**s 的大作中提到】
: i was just thinking about the same. can u be more specific on what can be
: the action items? write to o de lao ban? hai shi gao o?
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 7 跟往常一样。看热闹。
始时
485，
just
any
【在 w**s 的大作中提到】
: er .......... isn't time to do something? join niu ba
:
: enough
|
w**s
发帖数: 141 | 8 donate to niu. www.niunational.com
or join them for volenteering
【在 a***x 的大作中提到】
: 跟往常一样。看热闹。
:
: 始时
: 485，
: just
: any
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 9 是我没说清楚吗？
【在 w**s 的大作中提到】
: donate to niu. www.niunational.com
: or join them for volenteering
|
p***e
发帖数: 29053 | |
p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 11 agree!! we should at least flight for 全年名额分配 before May 2012.
Otherwise, our own quota will be SO to EB2I..........We should open our gate
for those who did not submit 485 before Aug, 2007 ASAP. Then they can share
the SO with EB2I in the summer of 2012.
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 如果有些朋友还对奥本存在一丝幻想，请醒醒。
: 现在有两个点可以发力：
: １.亲属移民可以按季度分配名额，职业移民却没有。
: ２.印度职业移民可以用全年名额分配，中国职业移民却没有。
|
H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 12 you should send this to 奥不傻, let him know that everyone can see through
his tricks, give him the link. |
P**********e
发帖数: 543 | 13 In fact, 0b promote the utmost interest for various social welfare parasites
. He took care of lazy ppl really good. Although reps were neither good, at
least they do not advocate communism inside of capitalism. |
