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g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 1 [1] FHFA/OFHEO
The US Federal Housing Finance Agency (formerly Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight aka OFHEO) publishes the HPI inx, a quarterly broad
measure of the movement of single-family house prices.
The HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average
price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties in 363
metropolises. This information is obtained by reviewing repeat mortgage
transactions on single-family properties whose mortgages have been purchased
or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac since January 1975.
Since the HPI index only includes houses with mortgages within the
conforming amount limits, the index has a natural cap and does not account
for jumbo mortgages.
-------------------------------
Four-Quarter Percent Change in FHFA MSA-Level House Price Indexes
(All Transactions Index, 2012Q4)
------------------------------
Year Quarter Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, IL (MSAD)
2012 4 -2.08
2012 3 -2.11
2012 2 -2.76
2012 1 -3.77
2011 4 -5.77
2011 3 -6.46
2011 2 -6.29
2011 1 -5.39
2010 4 -3.88
2010 3 -4.11
2010 2 -8.42
2010 1 -10.82
2009 4 -9.33
http://www.fhfa.gov/Default.aspx?Page=216&Type=compare&Area1=16
http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/896/hpi_tech.pdf | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 2 [2] S&P/Case-Shiller Indices
The Case-Shiller index prices are measured monthly and tracks repeat sales
of houses using a modified version of the weighted-repeat sales methodology
proposed by Karl Case and Robert Shiller and Allan Weiss. This means that,
to a large extent, it is able to adjust for the quality of the homes sold,
unlike simple averages.
As a monthly tracking index, Case-Shiller Index has long lag time. Typically
, it takes about 2 months for S&P to publish the results, as opposed to 1
month for most other monthly indices and indicators. Specific indexes are
available for specific metropolitan areas, and composite indexes for the top
20 and top 10 metro areas, and nationwide.
http://www.worldbusinesschicago.com/news/case-shiller-chicago-h | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 3 [3] CoreLogic HPI
The CoreLogic Home Price Index, introduced in 2008, is a repeat-sales index
that tracks increases and decreases in sales prices for the same homes over
time, including single-family attached and single-family detached homes. The
CoreLogic HPI provides a multi-tier market evaluation of repeat sales
transactions based on price, time between sales, property type, loan type (
conforming vs. nonconforming) and distressed sales. Released once a month,
the CoreLogic HPI has a lag time of roughly two months.
Beginning in April 2012, CoreLogic introduced a proprietary Pending HPI
measurement that provides an advanced indication of trends in home prices
for the month following the most recently reported index. The Pending HPI is
based on Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data that measures price changes in
the most recent month.
CoreLogic HPI data covers 6,739 ZIP codes (58 percent of total U.S.
population), 620 Core Based Statistical Areas (86 percent of total U.S.
population) and 1,174 counties (84 percent of total U.S. population) located
in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
----------------------------------------------------
Chicago, Illinois poor performers on CoreLogic Home Price Index
by Joe Zekas on 3/5/13
Home Prices in Chicago-Joliet-Naperville Increase
In Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, home prices, including distressed sales,
increased by 0.6 percent in January 2013 compared to January 2012. On a
month-over-month basis, home prices, including distressed sales, increased
by 0.3 percent in January 2013 compared to December 2012.
Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices increased by 4.3 percent
in January 2013 compared to January 2012. On a month-over-month basis,
excluding distressed sales, the CoreLogic HPI indicates home prices
increased by 3.0 percent in January 2013 compared to December 2012.
------------------------------
Highlights as of January 2013
Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price
appreciation were: Arizona (+20.1 percent), Nevada (+17.4 percent), Idaho (+
14.9 percent), California (+14.1 percent) and Hawaii (+14.0 percent).
Including distressed sales, this month only two states posted home price
depreciation: Illinois (-0.4 percent) and Delaware (-0.1 percent).
Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price
appreciation were: Nevada (+17.5 percent), Arizona (+16.5 percent),
California (+14.5 percent), Hawaii (+13.9 percent) and Idaho (+13.2 percent).
Excluding distressed sales, no states posted home price depreciation in
January.
http://yochicago.com/chicago-illinois-poor-performers-on-corelo | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 4 [4] IAS360
The IAS360 House Price Index provides a monthly view of housing price trends
in the U.S. based on neighborhood level data (market trends at a county
level). IAS360 is a comprehensive housing index tracking monthly change in
the median sales price of detached single-family residences in more than 15,
000 “neighborhoods” across the country. This data is then rolled up to
report on the changes in 360 counties, nine census divisions, four regions,
and the nation overall. This index is released more quickly than the Case-
Shiller.
http://www.iaservices.com/ias360-house-price-index-from-ias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_price_index | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 5
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】
: [4] IAS360
: The IAS360 House Price Index provides a monthly view of housing price trends
: in the U.S. based on neighborhood level data (market trends at a county
: level). IAS360 is a comprehensive housing index tracking monthly change in
: the median sales price of detached single-family residences in more than 15,
: 000 “neighborhoods” across the country. This data is then rolled up to
: report on the changes in 360 counties, nine census divisions, four regions,
: and the nation overall. This index is released more quickly than the Case-
: Shiller.
: http://www.iaservices.com/ias360-house-price-index-from-ias
| b*x
发帖数: 5456 | | T*R
发帖数: 36302 | 7 你这个人，就是太学究。没有透过现象看本质。
数字是死的，人是活的。
比如你看CHICAGO的房市数字，看起来很糟糕。但是，这个数字是包括所有的区的，是
包括南边的，南边的黑人数在不断减少，学校在不断关闭，这种情况下，平均数字怎么
可能好。
但是你具体到一个好区，房市就很热，出来一个好点的房子马上就被抢。不管是郊区的
好学区还是城里好点的地段都是如此。
如果房事真象数字那么糟，就不会有版上这么多买房的朋友在抱怨烦心了。
收入工作也是如此。
你看美国现在就业很糟，但是你到中国人的BBS看，都是在说什么20万，30万的贫困线。
事实是，股市现在涨得这么凶，不要说富人了，随便CHICAGO版上找个双职工的工作的
，股票/401K帐户上都是1000，2000的往上涨。
这世界，千万不要看平均，紧跟你自己周围的环境/人群，这是最重要的，
你在这看低房事都看低了好几年了，人家10年，11年买房的人，帐上已经有可观的盈利
了。你还在那扯什么指数，空置率什么的。
是不是有点赵括？ | b*x
发帖数: 5456 | 8 THR别劝了， 没有这批人啊， 这通胀吃谁的钱啊。
外吃中国， 里吃中产。
O8， 牛。
线。
【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 你这个人，就是太学究。没有透过现象看本质。
: 数字是死的，人是活的。
: 比如你看CHICAGO的房市数字，看起来很糟糕。但是，这个数字是包括所有的区的，是
: 包括南边的，南边的黑人数在不断减少，学校在不断关闭，这种情况下，平均数字怎么
: 可能好。
: 但是你具体到一个好区，房市就很热，出来一个好点的房子马上就被抢。不管是郊区的
: 好学区还是城里好点的地段都是如此。
: 如果房事真象数字那么糟，就不会有版上这么多买房的朋友在抱怨烦心了。
: 收入工作也是如此。
: 你看美国现在就业很糟，但是你到中国人的BBS看，都是在说什么20万，30万的贫困线。
| T*R
发帖数: 36302 | 9 再讲一个例子。
不知道你玩不玩百家乐。
赌博这东西，当然是没有赢家。
但是，在赌桌上，什么人输得最惨？就是逆势而行的。顺势而行的，当然也有可能输，
但是，不会输太多。但是，如果现在这局看起来就是庄家的盘，你非要买闲，不信邪，
看到已经7，8个连庄了，你想肯定应该是闲了，一加码，你最后可能底裤都输掉了。
当然了，如果你资本足够雄厚，不断翻倍，最后肯定也不会输。这个，换到投资房产股
票上，就是富人不管往哪个方向投，最后他们都是赢家，比如TRUMP。因为他们本钱足
够雄厚，经得起大风大浪。
普通人，还是以自己生活钢需为基本立足点，有需要，差不多了该买就买，反正你要住
个十几年，跌跌涨涨几个百分点，根本不值得你操心。
除非你是干这行的，否则为了自己住房，真没必要整天盯着指数看。看看自己邻居房子
好不好卖就足够了。 | l********l
发帖数: 1416 | 10 实在话
【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 再讲一个例子。
: 不知道你玩不玩百家乐。
: 赌博这东西，当然是没有赢家。
: 但是，在赌桌上，什么人输得最惨？就是逆势而行的。顺势而行的，当然也有可能输，
: 但是，不会输太多。但是，如果现在这局看起来就是庄家的盘，你非要买闲，不信邪，
: 看到已经7，8个连庄了，你想肯定应该是闲了，一加码，你最后可能底裤都输掉了。
: 当然了，如果你资本足够雄厚，不断翻倍，最后肯定也不会输。这个，换到投资房产股
: 票上，就是富人不管往哪个方向投，最后他们都是赢家，比如TRUMP。因为他们本钱足
: 够雄厚，经得起大风大浪。
: 普通人，还是以自己生活钢需为基本立足点，有需要，差不多了该买就买，反正你要住
| | | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 11 [1] FHFA/OFHEO
The US Federal Housing Finance Agency (formerly Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight aka OFHEO) publishes the HPI inx, a quarterly broad
measure of the movement of single-family house prices.
The HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average
price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties in 363
metropolises. This information is obtained by reviewing repeat mortgage
transactions on single-family properties whose mortgages have been purchased
or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac since January 1975.
Since the HPI index only includes houses with mortgages within the
conforming amount limits, the index has a natural cap and does not account
for jumbo mortgages.
-------------------------------
Four-Quarter Percent Change in FHFA MSA-Level House Price Indexes
(All Transactions Index, 2012Q4)
------------------------------
Year Quarter Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, IL (MSAD)
2012 4 -2.08
2012 3 -2.11
2012 2 -2.76
2012 1 -3.77
2011 4 -5.77
2011 3 -6.46
2011 2 -6.29
2011 1 -5.39
2010 4 -3.88
2010 3 -4.11
2010 2 -8.42
2010 1 -10.82
2009 4 -9.33
http://www.fhfa.gov/Default.aspx?Page=216&Type=compare&Area1=16
http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/896/hpi_tech.pdf | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 12 [2] S&P/Case-Shiller Indices
The Case-Shiller index prices are measured monthly and tracks repeat sales
of houses using a modified version of the weighted-repeat sales methodology
proposed by Karl Case and Robert Shiller and Allan Weiss. This means that,
to a large extent, it is able to adjust for the quality of the homes sold,
unlike simple averages.
As a monthly tracking index, Case-Shiller Index has long lag time. Typically
, it takes about 2 months for S&P to publish the results, as opposed to 1
month for most other monthly indices and indicators. Specific indexes are
available for specific metropolitan areas, and composite indexes for the top
20 and top 10 metro areas, and nationwide.
http://www.worldbusinesschicago.com/news/case-shiller-chicago-h | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 13 [3] CoreLogic HPI
The CoreLogic Home Price Index, introduced in 2008, is a repeat-sales index
that tracks increases and decreases in sales prices for the same homes over
time, including single-family attached and single-family detached homes. The
CoreLogic HPI provides a multi-tier market evaluation of repeat sales
transactions based on price, time between sales, property type, loan type (
conforming vs. nonconforming) and distressed sales. Released once a month,
the CoreLogic HPI has a lag time of roughly two months.
Beginning in April 2012, CoreLogic introduced a proprietary Pending HPI
measurement that provides an advanced indication of trends in home prices
for the month following the most recently reported index. The Pending HPI is
based on Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data that measures price changes in
the most recent month.
CoreLogic HPI data covers 6,739 ZIP codes (58 percent of total U.S.
population), 620 Core Based Statistical Areas (86 percent of total U.S.
population) and 1,174 counties (84 percent of total U.S. population) located
in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
----------------------------------------------------
Chicago, Illinois poor performers on CoreLogic Home Price Index
by Joe Zekas on 3/5/13
Home Prices in Chicago-Joliet-Naperville Increase
In Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, home prices, including distressed sales,
increased by 0.6 percent in January 2013 compared to January 2012. On a
month-over-month basis, home prices, including distressed sales, increased
by 0.3 percent in January 2013 compared to December 2012.
Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices increased by 4.3 percent
in January 2013 compared to January 2012. On a month-over-month basis,
excluding distressed sales, the CoreLogic HPI indicates home prices
increased by 3.0 percent in January 2013 compared to December 2012.
------------------------------
Highlights as of January 2013
Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price
appreciation were: Arizona (+20.1 percent), Nevada (+17.4 percent), Idaho (+
14.9 percent), California (+14.1 percent) and Hawaii (+14.0 percent).
Including distressed sales, this month only two states posted home price
depreciation: Illinois (-0.4 percent) and Delaware (-0.1 percent).
Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price
appreciation were: Nevada (+17.5 percent), Arizona (+16.5 percent),
California (+14.5 percent), Hawaii (+13.9 percent) and Idaho (+13.2 percent).
Excluding distressed sales, no states posted home price depreciation in
January.
http://yochicago.com/chicago-illinois-poor-performers-on-corelo | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 14 [4] IAS360
The IAS360 House Price Index provides a monthly view of housing price trends
in the U.S. based on neighborhood level data (market trends at a county
level). IAS360 is a comprehensive housing index tracking monthly change in
the median sales price of detached single-family residences in more than 15,
000 “neighborhoods” across the country. This data is then rolled up to
report on the changes in 360 counties, nine census divisions, four regions,
and the nation overall. This index is released more quickly than the Case-
Shiller.
http://www.iaservices.com/ias360-house-price-index-from-ias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_price_index | g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 15
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】
: [4] IAS360
: The IAS360 House Price Index provides a monthly view of housing price trends
: in the U.S. based on neighborhood level data (market trends at a county
: level). IAS360 is a comprehensive housing index tracking monthly change in
: the median sales price of detached single-family residences in more than 15,
: 000 “neighborhoods” across the country. This data is then rolled up to
: report on the changes in 360 counties, nine census divisions, four regions,
: and the nation overall. This index is released more quickly than the Case-
: Shiller.
: http://www.iaservices.com/ias360-house-price-index-from-ias
| b*x
发帖数: 5456 | | T*R
发帖数: 36302 | 17 你这个人，就是太学究。没有透过现象看本质。
数字是死的，人是活的。
比如你看CHICAGO的房市数字，看起来很糟糕。但是，这个数字是包括所有的区的，是
包括南边的，南边的黑人数在不断减少，学校在不断关闭，这种情况下，平均数字怎么
可能好。
但是你具体到一个好区，房市就很热，出来一个好点的房子马上就被抢。不管是郊区的
好学区还是城里好点的地段都是如此。
如果房事真象数字那么糟，就不会有版上这么多买房的朋友在抱怨烦心了。
收入工作也是如此。
你看美国现在就业很糟，但是你到中国人的BBS看，都是在说什么20万，30万的贫困线。
事实是，股市现在涨得这么凶，不要说富人了，随便CHICAGO版上找个双职工的工作的
，股票/401K帐户上都是1000，2000的往上涨。
这世界，千万不要看平均，紧跟你自己周围的环境/人群，这是最重要的，
你在这看低房事都看低了好几年了，人家10年，11年买房的人，帐上已经有可观的盈利
了。你还在那扯什么指数，空置率什么的。
是不是有点赵括？ | b*x
发帖数: 5456 | 18 THR别劝了， 没有这批人啊， 这通胀吃谁的钱啊。
外吃中国， 里吃中产。
O8， 牛。
线。
【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 你这个人，就是太学究。没有透过现象看本质。
: 数字是死的，人是活的。
: 比如你看CHICAGO的房市数字，看起来很糟糕。但是，这个数字是包括所有的区的，是
: 包括南边的，南边的黑人数在不断减少，学校在不断关闭，这种情况下，平均数字怎么
: 可能好。
: 但是你具体到一个好区，房市就很热，出来一个好点的房子马上就被抢。不管是郊区的
: 好学区还是城里好点的地段都是如此。
: 如果房事真象数字那么糟，就不会有版上这么多买房的朋友在抱怨烦心了。
: 收入工作也是如此。
: 你看美国现在就业很糟，但是你到中国人的BBS看，都是在说什么20万，30万的贫困线。
| T*R
发帖数: 36302 | 19 再讲一个例子。
不知道你玩不玩百家乐。
赌博这东西，当然是没有赢家。
但是，在赌桌上，什么人输得最惨？就是逆势而行的。顺势而行的，当然也有可能输，
但是，不会输太多。但是，如果现在这局看起来就是庄家的盘，你非要买闲，不信邪，
看到已经7，8个连庄了，你想肯定应该是闲了，一加码，你最后可能底裤都输掉了。
当然了，如果你资本足够雄厚，不断翻倍，最后肯定也不会输。这个，换到投资房产股
票上，就是富人不管往哪个方向投，最后他们都是赢家，比如TRUMP。因为他们本钱足
够雄厚，经得起大风大浪。
普通人，还是以自己生活钢需为基本立足点，有需要，差不多了该买就买，反正你要住
个十几年，跌跌涨涨几个百分点，根本不值得你操心。
除非你是干这行的，否则为了自己住房，真没必要整天盯着指数看。看看自己邻居房子
好不好卖就足够了。 | l********l
发帖数: 1416 | 20 实在话
【在 T*R 的大作中提到】
: 再讲一个例子。
: 不知道你玩不玩百家乐。
: 赌博这东西，当然是没有赢家。
: 但是，在赌桌上，什么人输得最惨？就是逆势而行的。顺势而行的，当然也有可能输，
: 但是，不会输太多。但是，如果现在这局看起来就是庄家的盘，你非要买闲，不信邪，
: 看到已经7，8个连庄了，你想肯定应该是闲了，一加码，你最后可能底裤都输掉了。
: 当然了，如果你资本足够雄厚，不断翻倍，最后肯定也不会输。这个，换到投资房产股
: 票上，就是富人不管往哪个方向投，最后他们都是赢家，比如TRUMP。因为他们本钱足
: 够雄厚，经得起大风大浪。
: 普通人，还是以自己生活钢需为基本立足点，有需要，差不多了该买就买，反正你要住
| B*********n
发帖数: 2552 | 21 能否概括分析一下阿。。。看着很累
average
363
purchased
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】
: [1] FHFA/OFHEO
: The US Federal Housing Finance Agency (formerly Office of Federal Housing
: Enterprise Oversight aka OFHEO) publishes the HPI inx, a quarterly broad
: measure of the movement of single-family house prices.
: The HPI is a weighted, repeat-sales index, meaning that it measures average
: price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties in 363
: metropolises. This information is obtained by reviewing repeat mortgage
: transactions on single-family properties whose mortgages have been purchased
: or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac since January 1975.
: Since the HPI index only includes houses with mortgages within the
| c*******u
发帖数: 1269 | |
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