c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 1 牛牛们注意了：这只是一个反弹！最后的胜利，是属于熊的！
原因，如下：
The risk of a double dip recession has climbed sharply as the economy
endures the double whammy of slowing growth and wild swings in global
markets, according to economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal over
the past week.
The 46 economists in the survey—not all of whom answer every question—put
the odds that the U.S. is already in another recession at 13%, while they
peg the chances of going that way in the next year at 29%—up from 17% only
a month ago.
... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****l
发帖数: 8441 | 2 Sharp fall in German economic growth
By Ralph Atkins in Frankfurt
German economic growth slowed to a near standstill in the second quarter of
this year, dealing a further, unexpected blow to eurozone prospects.
The surprise deceleration in activity in Europe’s largest economy will add
to fears of a global slowdown and possible double-dip recession in some
countries – and will complicate the challenge facing eurozone policymakers
as they seek to combat the region’s escalating debt crisis.
More
On... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****r
发帖数: 11545 | 3 'Very Muted Growth' Coming for Next 10 Years: Faber
On Tuesday August 23, 2011, 11:18 am EDT
Both the U.S. and Europe are facing a decade of slow growth brought on
primarily by the blunders of central banks, noted doomsayer Marc Faber said.
Investors should protect themselves by buying plenty of physical gold and
putting it in a secure location, preferably outside the U.S., the author of
the Gloom, Boom and Doom newsletter told CNBC.
"If I look at the politicians both in Europe and the U.S., I d... 阅读全帖 |
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l****u
发帖数: 3130 | 4 According to a report from Bank of America's Merrill Lynch that was released
on Wednesday, their model puts the chances of the U.S. falling into
recession above 80%. This varies widely from other economists such as the
Fed's Thomas Hoenig, who on Thursday told CNBC the chances of recession were
closer to 20%.
According to BofA/Merrill, the drivers behind the spike in the chances for
recession are the two most recent economic reports – the Philly Fed Index
and the University of Michigan's Sentime... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 5 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/12/business/economy/stock-market
The stock market just can’t seem to make up its mind.
Day after day, stocks swing sharply by hundreds of points. Last week they
tumbled 3 percent in the first 90 minutes of trading on Tuesday morning,
then on Wednesday closed nearly 3 percent higher and dropped almost 3
percent on Friday. All of this on the heels of unusual back-to-back 4
percent leaps and dives in one week in August.
Now traders head into the week with fresh worrie... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 6 CNN) -- A rogue trader has cost UBS an estimated $2 billion, the Swiss
banking giant announced Thursday, revealing what could be the third-largest
loss of its kind in banking history.
A $2 billion rogue trading loss would be all but unprecedented, market
analyst Ralph Silva told CNN.
"We have only had three or four other situations... in the billions, and
that is exactly what happened," he said.
The bank is large enough to take a $2 billion hit, experts said. Shares in
UBS were down 11% on the U... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 7 Chinese Economy Barometer Definition
Soft Landing: GDP growth >6% but <=8%
Hard Landing: GDP growth >4% but <=6%
Crash Landing: GDP growth <=4%
The financial markets in China have become increasingly unstable and that
the risk of a hard landing is rising. There are four systematic risks that
have the potential to cause financial market turmoil:
1) private lending (a current issue)
2) property price correction (potentially over the next three to twelve
months)
3) bank bad debt write-off and event... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 8 After a Rating Downgrade, U.S. Treasuries Turn a Profit
By FLOYD NORRIS
Published: October 7, 2011
Recommend
Graphic Effects of the Standard & Poor’s Downgrade.The rating downgrade,
along with continued turmoil in European markets and fears that the United
States might be entering a new recession, caused a flight to safety among
investors. And, notwithstanding the agency’s opinion, money flooded into
Treasuries and the demand for American dollars grew.
Since then, Treasury bonds have been one of... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 9 注意timing,在所有major banks ER 出来之前，花街的鼓手已经“三军未动，粮草先行
”了，又在开始鼓吹银行股了，是阴谋还是阳谋？各位看官说说。
The financial industry is in far better shape than the stocks in the sector
would lead you to believe. Financials are the worst-performing sector in the
Standard & Poor's 500 index so far this year, with a decline of more than
20%, and losses of 40% or more in such notable stocks as Bank of America,
Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. The S&P 500 is off just 3%.
The stocks -- major banks, regional banks and ... 阅读全帖 |
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d*********2
发帖数: 48111 | 10 我如果知道， 我就不会hold cash了。 呵呵。
万事皆有可能。
如果出现双顶或者双底征兆， 再去bet, 不比turmoil的时候７闯８撞更好吗？
股市赚钱的真谛是赚有把握的钱。
如果只有50%的可靠性， 还不如去买CD. |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 11 (Reuters) - The European Union has agreed that around 100 billion euros is
needed to recapitalise the European banking system, but deep splits remain
before a high-profile summit on Sunday over how to strengthen the euro zone'
s bailout fund.
Sources in Germany's governing coalition said the European leaders' summit
would not reach a decision on increasing the scope of the European Financial
Stability Facility, the key element financial markets were looking for to
combat the crisis.
Failure on t... 阅读全帖 |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 12 BRUSSELS (AP) -- A top bank lobbyist insisted Saturday that banks and the
eurozone are far from reaching a deal to cut Greece's debt, despite claims
by eurozone finance ministers that they will ask banks to take steeper
losses on their Greek bonds.
Although the ministers did not say how much of a cut they are aiming for, a
report from Greece's international debt inspectors suggested that the value
of Greece's bonds may have to be slashed as much as 60 percent to get the
country solvent enough to... 阅读全帖 |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 13 the banks are urged to raise fund from 6% to 9-10% to pass stress test for
future turmoil (July is 6%) hahahha
some will bk |
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d****a
发帖数: 2901 | 14 I won't be able to predict especially for this kind of turmoil. Historically
, it is not a good sign if we see violent excursions in stock prices. It all
leads to metal break down so does the price. |
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o*******w
发帖数: 2310 | 15 FRANKFURT (MarketWatch) -- Italian government bonds fell sharply Tuesday,
pushing the yield on 10-year bonds /quotes/zigman/4869096 IT:10YR_ITA -0.02%
back above the 7% level. The yield on 10-year bonds was last seen at 7.01%,
up 43 basis points from Monday, according to FactSet Research. Yields rise
as bond prices fall. The 7% level is seen as psychologically important,
marking the point at which Portugal and Greece were effectively shut out of
credit markets. The 10-year yield soared well abov... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 16 Reuters) - France and Germany, Europe's two central powers, clashed on
Wednesday over whether the European Central Bank should intervene more
forcefully to halt the euro zone's accelerating debt crisis after modest
bond purchases failed to stop the rout.
Facing rising borrowing costs as its 'AAA' credit rating comes under threat,
France appeared to plead for stronger ECB action, adding to mounting global
pressure spelled out by U.S. President Barack Obama.
Bond market contagion is spreading acro... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 17 今天CNBC两个头条都是淡化欧洲危机的，可能新的一轮涨势要开始了。
Instead of being hurt by the European debt crisis, US banks could actually
end up benefitting from the turmoil across the Atlantic, analyst Dick Bove
said.
Responding to a Fitch Ratings report on Wednesday that said US banks could
take a big hit if euro zone nations default on their sovereign debt, Bove
said there are two reasons investors shouldn't worry:
1) US banks have a relatively low level of exposure to European banks.
2) The problems facing European bank... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 20 The Federal Reserve on Tuesday left monetary policy on hold but said
financial market turbulence posed threats to economic growth, leaving the
door open to further easing next year.
Getty Images
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
The Fed characterized the U.S. economy as expanding moderately despite an
apparent slowing in global growth, though it added that unemployment
remains elevated and housing activity de... 阅读全帖 |
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a*********2
发帖数: 932 | 23 跳了，红了~~难道真的是bloody christmas? |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 24 a gold bug here and I agree with you on some points
the difference is that I think it IS THE special time NOW while you seem
to believe everything is getting better
hoarding gold wont get people rich but it certainly can preserve your
weath better than anything else in the turmoil we are facing
this MF scandal can certainly develop into a disaster. when your broker
can steal your money and nobody is responsible for your digital accounts,
all paper assets are at risk of being wiped out overnight.... 阅读全帖 |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 25 http://www.blackstone.com/the-firm/market-commentary/blog-detai
01/04/2012
The Surprises of 2012
All this began to change in October. Data for the U.S. economy began to
improve and the equity market moved back to where it had started the year.
European leaders, recognizing the urgent need for a solution to the
sovereign debt crisis, began to talk of a treaty change that would move the
continent towards a fiscal union. By year-end the 2011 Surprises looked
much better. A blogger, analyzing ea... 阅读全帖 |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 26 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-einhorn/fed-interest-rates_
A Jelly Donut is a yummy mid-afternoon energy boost.
Two Jelly Donuts are an indulgent breakfast.
Three Jelly Donuts may induce a tummy ache.
Six Jelly Donuts -- that's an eating disorder.
Twelve Jelly Donuts is fraternity pledge hazing.
My point is that you can have too much of a good thing and overdoses are
destructive. Chairman Bernanke is presently force-feeding us what seems like
the 36th Jelly Donut of easy money and wondering... 阅读全帖 |
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g****e
发帖数: 1426 | 27 You can feel how strong the stock HZNP is in the overall recent market
turmoil.Huge money flow from ARNA and all is about speculation. |
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S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 28 WASHINGTON (AP) — Efforts to save the nation from going over a year-end "
fiscal cliff" were in disarray as lawmakers fled the Capitol for their
Christmas break. "God only knows" how a deal can be reached now, House
Speaker John Boehner declared.
President Obama, on his way out of town himself, insisted a bargain could
still be struck before Dec. 31. "Call me a hopeless optimist," he said.
A look at why it's so hard for Republicans and Democrats to compromise on
urgent matters of taxes and spend... 阅读全帖 |
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p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 29 难怪股版很多青蛙亏残在YZC。。。
///
发信人: Lexian (蒙古大夫), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 下周关注建仓Commodity -5/18（要求置顶)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat May 25 03:25:12 2013, 美东)
well, it is one tough week. but market turmoil tells a lot about a stock:
金属矿都还很散乱， 煤矿股很像hold得最好. 其中最好的是ACI!, 已经是trendline
和50ma突破后回测的过程， WLT还在蓄势， ANR和BTU都还在底部晃荡，中钙煤股也都
不错， JRCC已经突破在整理， YZC有要爆的迹象。 这两个上周都进出了一次， 有些
股在手上。 今天买入YZC。 希望下周市场趋于平稳， 煤股应该会有不错的表现。
position |
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e**********e
发帖数: 999 | 30 Her resume beats most WSNs on MITBBS.
She was born in Hong Kong to Chinese parents who had escaped from the
turmoil of the early years of the PRC; subsequently the family emigrated to
the United States. She attended U.C. Berkeley, Princeton University's
Woodrow Wilson School of International Affairs, and Harvard Business School
(1995). After working for two investments banks, she became a hedge fund
partner and a trader in credit derivatives. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 33 well, it is one tough week. but market turmoil tells a lot about a stock:
金属矿都还很散乱， 煤矿股很像hold得最好. 其中最好的是ACI!, 已经是trendline
和50ma突破后回测的过程， WLT还在蓄势， ANR和BTU都还在底部晃荡，中钙煤股也都
不错， JRCC已经突破在整理， YZC有要爆的迹象。 这两个上周都进出了一次， 有些
股在手上。 今天买入YZC。 希望下周市场趋于平稳， 煤股应该会有不错的表现。
position |
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p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 34 难怪股版很多青蛙亏残在YZC。。。
///
发信人: Lexian (蒙古大夫), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 下周关注建仓Commodity -5/18（要求置顶)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat May 25 03:25:12 2013, 美东)
well, it is one tough week. but market turmoil tells a lot about a stock:
金属矿都还很散乱， 煤矿股很像hold得最好. 其中最好的是ACI!, 已经是trendline
和50ma突破后回测的过程， WLT还在蓄势， ANR和BTU都还在底部晃荡，中钙煤股也都
不错， JRCC已经突破在整理， YZC有要爆的迹象。 这两个上周都进出了一次， 有些
股在手上。 今天买入YZC。 希望下周市场趋于平稳， 煤股应该会有不错的表现。
position |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 35 I have position that bought last week and broke out beautifully. it was in
explosion yesterday until market turmoil, but today it resumed. Just
beautiful formation. and sharp entry. got a fairly large position and
haven't sold a single share yet. Sometime i enjoy the operation like a
surgical knife than the actual profit :-)
don't ask me what pick this is, please. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 36
Ben will step down after this year so there'll be a period of turmoil
before FED figures their next move out. |
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l**********o
发帖数: 1573 | 37 After days of turmoil, activist investor Bill Ackman resigned from J.C.
Penney's board, saying Tuesday that a deal for his exit is "the most
constructive way forward" to save the troubled retailer. He indicated to
CNBC he doesn't plan to sell his shares in the company. |
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u**********n
发帖数: 8905 | 38 SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Twitter Inc, racing toward the largest Silicon
Valley IPO since Facebook Inc's 2012 coming-out party, hopes to woo
investors with rip-roaring revenue growth despite having posted big losses
over the past three years.
The eight-year-old online messaging service gave potential investors their
first glance at its financials on Thursday when it publicly filed its IPO
documents, setting the stage for one of the most-anticipated debuts in over
a year.
Twitter's debut will be ... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 39 hold SSYS, as well as XONE. i do have some put on DDD to hedge against the
turmoil in 3D sector.
congrate to all the TSLA and AAPL holder. don't get so depressed when it
drop, and don't get too excited when it rise. too emotional is the short cut
to lose money in this mental game.
AMD is enjoying a great run. but i think a wkly correction is just around
the corner. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 40 no. unless you are into day trade - which is not my cup of tea. only enter
day trade when there is a clear signal. right now 3D sector is too turmoil.
watch on the side line if you don't have. most likely a short rebound only. |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 41 发信人: Lexian (蒙古大夫), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 提了BCRX， RSOL
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 15 13:19:20 2014, 美东)
no. unless you are into day trade - which is not my cup of tea. only enter
day trade when there is a clear signal. right now 3D sector is too turmoil.
watch on the side line if you don't have. most likely a short rebound only. |
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i**t
发帖数: 921 | 42 Market is very turmoil. Keep your cash. |
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m*********h
发帖数: 5449 | 43 Bullard (底) vs Greenspan (顶)? |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 44 nearly 1m, all underperform SPY still. Market went through a mini-correction
thanks to oil. and now back to rally mode.
JNJ now looks like heading into a major correction. PFE looks like a better
pharm play at this point.
NKE is already in the correction, rebound is very week in the rally.
BA hasn't really broke out, the handle formation was disrupted during the
market turmoil. could be a hard wash following with eruption, or could take
a little more time to form a handle before take off. don't ... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 45 aapl put closed just on time. a near 400% run :-) it's still not a long
candidate here. I did score 1 free Jan ATM call to sit there during the
turmoil yesterday. it will sit there until expire to alert me any unusual
movement. Meanwhile, it's not difficult to tell where you should park your
money in the coming rally. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 47 Case-Shiller National RE Price Index - If you know TA, you know what to look
for
The dip in 2009-2012 is a historic chance to load up good quality, free cash
flow generating properties in the US. specifically, the early stage 2009-
2010 is excellent for buy low end property because their owners are
relatively weak and have low reserve to counter the financial turmoil, the
later part, 2011-2013, primarily for the upper scale houses, whose owner
were upper middle class and have somewhat reserve wh... 阅读全帖 |
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p*****b
发帖数: 291 | 48 对应的好外汇公司也通过这个事件显露出来了，她就就是oanda.com.
A letter from oanda.com after this incident.
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OANDA stands with clients in the wake of Swiss National Bank shock
Dear moumou:
Early on January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) sent global
financial markets into turmoil with a surprise move to eliminate its three-
year-old cap on the franc (CHF).
In the wake of this unprecedented market event, OANDA demonstrated its
ongoing commitment to doing right by its clients. Despite suffering losses
and vanishi... 阅读全帖 |
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h**********r
发帖数: 2284 | 49 The attack has been defeated and ISIS doesn't have control of the city. Thus
it only created some minor turmoil that pushed the price high today, but it
won't be turning low due to the reason you said. However, it may turn lower
given the continuous oil policy.
in one word, the oil price surge today is just an 'anomaly'. |
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l***d
发帖数: 846 | 50 节选自New York Times听起来很严重。
If things are so bad, shouldn’t Greece just leave the eurozone?
At the height of the debt crisis a few years ago, many experts worried that
Greece’s problems would spill over into the rest of the world. If Greece
defaulted on its debt and exited the eurozone, it could create global
financial shocks bigger than the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras of Greece and Chancellor Angela Merkel of
Germany have clashed over plans to resolve Greece's debt t... 阅读全帖 |
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