c****y
发帖数: 3592 | 1 大牛啊。。
有几个问题
1. 为什么是看75% fibonacci retracement?
2. RSI, BB之类不都属于mean reversion么？
3. 能解释下spot-future cash and carry arbitrage么？ |
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wh
发帖数: 141625 | 2 【 以下文字转载自 Connecticut 讨论区 】
发信人: wh (wh), 信区: Connecticut
标 题: 2003年耶鲁学生车祸幸存者的演讲
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri May 4 14:20:37 2012, 美东)
有人记得2003年1月在I95高速Fairfield段的车祸吗，一群耶鲁棒球队和橄榄球队的学
生从纽约开车回New Haven，在结冰的路段和一辆失控的卡车拖车相撞，三个学生当场
死亡，重伤的六个学生中又有一个次日不治而亡。当时学校取消了一切体育活动，全校
默哀，管本科生的校长说白头人送黑头人尤其伤心，这些都是风华正茂的最优秀的孩子。
上周末，车祸幸存者之一的Brett Smith在学校教堂Battell Chapel做了个演讲，他刚
刚毕业。他车祸后大脑受损，跟不上耶鲁的学业，就先去一个community college读书
，慢慢恢复。08年再回耶鲁，从头读起，今年学成毕业。他家是教徒，他以前不信教，
因为他爸在空军里做，频繁搬家，所以他从没受洗过。他车祸住院时Battell Chapel的
pastor给他洗礼。他重回学校后就去... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 3 market makes new high as expected. the volume indicates is likely a valid
break through. don't buy now. it's time to look for selling opportunity. a
retracement is in line. |
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i*********5
发帖数: 19210 | 4 Lost passport: Muppet strikes again
25/5/12
http://www.chrissiewellington.org/blog/lost-passport-muppet-str
I arrived at Chicago airport this morning, ready to board the flight to
Toronto, only to realise that i had misplaced my passport. I have retraced
every step and the elusive travel document has still not been found.
Unfortunately this means that i can’t fly to Canada (or if i did i couldn’
t then get back into US or fly onto UK), and so it is with great sadness
that i am going to have to c... 阅读全帖 |
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K**S
发帖数: 318 | 5 The following itineraries illustrate three ways to spend one day in
Singapore. They all assume you will start from and end your trip at your
lodgings. You can select the activities that sound interesting to you and
follow them in any order, including mixing and matching the morning/
afternoon/evening sections from the three different itineraries as you like.
All listed prices are in Singapore dollars. The estimates provided below do
not include food, drinks or the cost of transportation between ... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 8 顶快到了。不过现在已经是A，或者仍然是V，还不好说。 这个博客挺好的，
这几天给了两种数法。同时昨天指出两种数法都预示今天是chop fest。
不过他倾向仍然是V。
http://alphahorn.blogspot.com/2010/04/thursday-wrap-up.html
SPX remains on schedule likely to new highs. Favored count has it completed
wave iii of (i) of [v]. Alternative count is that the major correction is
underway and wave iii of (a) of [ii] or [b] has completed. Either way expect
tomorrow to be predominantly a chop fest as wave four traces out a small
retracement of this leg up, then one more move higher |
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m*****n
发帖数: 84 | 9 大家通常提到的支撑阻力有好几种：
SMA,EMA,trend line support/resist，fibonacci retracement，GAP up/down 形成的
support/resist（庄的成本？），整数位（心理价位？）。。。
具体在操作时这些支撑阻力有没有优先级的问题？或者适用于不同的time frame，不同
类型的股票？
这个问题理解的一直比较含混，谁有经验的说一说？ |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 pennystock 俱乐部 】
发信人: badfish (badfish), 信区: pennystock
标 题: Re: 金子出什么事了？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Dec 4 12:51:21 2009, 美东)
a long due pullback.
EMA20 = 113
50% retracement = 108
SMA50 = 106 |
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L******w
发帖数: 970 | 11 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - Help 谢谢关心。目前还不错，就是一星期只有一两天在家上班可以做，到公司里没法看图，不过操作不多，主要还在测试我的系统。刚写了个screener搜索头一个小时波动大的股票，然后看一下图，选几个candidates,但是同时也只能盯三只，效率太低,想再写一个alert，每到一个retrace level给个提示。你怎么样？ |
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S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 12 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - Help 这么爽！赞！做系统是不是要有点计算机语言才可以？
，不过操作不多，主要还在测试我的系统。刚写了个screener搜索头一个小时波动大的
股票，然后看一下图，选几个candidates,但是同时也只能盯三只，效率太低,想再写一
个alert，每到一个retrace level给个提示。你怎么样？ |
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c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 13 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - Help First hour is special in my index trading too.
First time breakout from first hour range is a good entry point.
Some one also did stats that 66% of the days, daily high or low is made in
the first hour.
I also like lunch hour range breakout. especially if it happens very late in
trading, (30min before close).
，不过操作不多，主要还在测试我的系统。刚写了个screener搜索头一个小时波动大的
股票，然后看一下图，选几个candidates,但是同时也只能盯三只，效率太低,想再写一
个alert，每到一个retrace level给个提示。你怎么样？ |
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w******e
发帖数: 1038 | 14 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - Help 厉害呀。
我基本上是买高价股的Option, 因为相信那个John Carter 的话了（哈哈哈）目前也有
些进步。
，不过操作不多，主要还在测试我的系统。刚写了个screener搜索头一个小时波动大的
股票，然后看一下图，选几个candidates,但是同时也只能盯三只，效率太低,想再写一
个alert，每到一个retrace level给个提示。你怎么样？ |
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L******w
发帖数: 970 | 15 那个秋之好月在股版喊回调到9000，就是38.2%retracement的level，各位怎么看 |
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x********i
发帖数: 72 | 16 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 地产很火啊 SRZ is so strong today. wait for retracement and buy it back |
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m********a
发帖数: 281 | 17 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 市场温度 xiexie shifu:=) it will retrace 10%-38% of the wave 3? |
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Y****I
发帖数: 309 | 18 What can be seen here:
CMF breaks downtrend
Volume slightly increases as SPY inches higher
MA200 resistance passed (too easy?)
50% retracement resistance passed
head-shoulder form: strong resistance overhead @ ~113
Nearest support @ 111
Gap-up day with star shows uncertainty |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 19 Yeah, so far is not that bearish yet,
Daily chart, July low and August low
still makes a higher high, higher low.
but 1/3-1/2 retrace should be doable. |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 20 俺的系统显示， FXE周线收在最重要的confluence of Fibbo retracement下面。下周
很多关键。
FXY这两周又回测高点啦。这个就看是再创新高还是整个123 formation breakdown.
英镑很可能已经扭转。 |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 22 第一次50% retracement俺没敢上。那个后悔。
以后至少要上点娱乐仓。信心得一点一点建立。 |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 23 第一次50% retracement俺没敢上。那个后悔。
以后至少要上点娱乐仓。信心得一点一点建立。 |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 24 1250一哆嗦就到了，我说的1175大概是50% retracement,只要不跌破，就是健康回调。 |
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s***7
发帖数: 1644 | 25 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 重新数浪？ 师傅认为目前还是回调中的反弹吗？那这次深回调到多少算够？50％ retrace如何？还
是看68％，11120呢？ |
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T*********s
发帖数: 17839 | 26 【 以下文字转载自 Chinook 俱乐部 】
发信人: ShortCut (总想偷懒), 信区: Chinook
标 题: spx的两个模型
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Nov 21 17:29:03 2011, 美东)
spx的两个模型：
symetric triangle and head and shoulders.
Targets all point to 1160. around 61.8% retracement. |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 27 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 还是2浪 昨天尾盘的放量下跌和很多个股的缩量及盘后回涨，让我感觉大盘这一轮跌势快到底了。
研究了一番后，我认为SP500的底部在1155-1158之间（收盘1157），这正好把10月10号
的跳空gap补上，That gap happens to coincide as 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
of the Oct 4th 1074.77 low to the Oct 27th 1292.66 high. |
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p**********e
发帖数: 177 | 28 fluzone, SPX and DJI have not broken major resistance, after intraday
retracement, I think it's at CRITICAL point at closing today. (SPX 1327)
Let's see if it breaks tomorrow. |
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p**********e
发帖数: 177 | 29 fluzone, SPX and DJI have not broken major resistance, after intraday
retracement, I think it's at CRITICAL point at closing today. (SPX 1327)
Let's see if it breaks tomorrow. |
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e*******0
发帖数: 367 | 30 请教你的105 target price怎么计算出来的? Fib retracement 还是 support/
resistence?
谢谢 |
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e*******0
发帖数: 367 | 31 从SPY看，今天的低点是从昨天高点retrace .236,如果明天继续北上，那么掌柜所说的
pullback就应验了。最近越来越觉得掌柜运用温度出神入化. |
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t**e
发帖数: 2379 | 32 圆滑顶部，有可能是近期大顶，steam弱了很多，接下来缓跌？
摔了四次终于从虚线上摔下来了，1395成为阻力。昨夜future牛牛偷袭收复失地未果，
今天盘后第二次。周一有可能gap up 跳过阻力区，然后在上面蹦一会儿，应该取代不
了3/16高点，过两天再掉下来。我比较喜欢50% retrace的区域，那么多支撑，不去测
试一下都可惜了。 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 33 WEDNESDAY, MARCH 28, 2012, By MICHAEL KAHN
As the first quarter draws to a close, the stock market has extended its
impressive rally off the October lows with a solid 8% rise for 2012, at
least until Wednesday's selloff. Some stocks have scored extraordinary gains
of 100% and more, and for investors lucky enough to have these names, the
question now is what to do with them.
Here's how to tell.
As is often the case, the ranks of the biggest movers are filled with small
stocks with low market ca... 阅读全帖 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 34 这次rally如果从11月28号的s&p 1158.67算起，到4月2号的高点1422.38，算61.8%
retrace，就是1321.6.
如果从12月20号的1205.72算起，目标是1339.61。
到底该算哪一个呢？
如果做空的，保险起见，1340该收空仓了。 |
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p**********e
发帖数: 177 | 35 yes, it's a "说法", but not a LAW like " wave 4 cannot retrace below wave 1
high" |
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e*******0
发帖数: 367 | 36 师傅的图简单明了，学习了。
我图上五根蓝色的Quadrant line是用来表示四等分top and bottom，实际是用于第一
张图的，在这没意义。只有中间那根support/resist是有用的。
DIA盘尾已经拉起一点，的确比DJ30要清楚得多，以后要几个图一起参考才行。
中长线看，从一月初以后，一直在一条很窄的通道上行，市场还是很bullish。这次的
调整已经快两周，目前大约38%retracement。如果三角形突破，我认为还应该继续上行。 |
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e*******0
发帖数: 367 | 37 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 今天最低点 同问师傅是判断今天拐点的过程，谢谢。
我的猜测是：今天这一波跌破了前几天的上升趋势线，在约50%retracement的地方反弹
，并且这个地方有很强的支撑？ |
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s***7
发帖数: 1644 | 38 大C浪回去SPX900点（63％retracement)？隔壁俱乐部的daledale看800点，不知道有什
么说法。。。 |
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t**e
发帖数: 2379 | 39 看了看，235，240都可以。我打算直接short股票。
我希望amzn在这两天pump一把到达240，10/24顶点，然后short。
amzn两个星期内至少会回220走一趟我觉得，即便它还要再长高。因为volume太大了。
看看历史上，如此大的volume之后，价格一般都要反方向retrace的。 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 40 expect 5% retrace tomorrow.
good Wednesday! |
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t**e
发帖数: 2379 | 41 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 下周二展望 今天没量，本身就说明市场不惧怕这个长周末，这是好事。
图形不是很强，使我觉得下周的上涨不会太可观。
美元短期已经非常extended了，也是一个大顶，应该会有一个retrace，也会帮助市场
上涨。
看周二的市场表现吧。这周来看，牛牛比较犹豫。 |
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Y****I
发帖数: 309 | 42 -------------------------------------
-- S&P 500 FIRMS AFTER BREAKING 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE
-- QQQ FIRMS IN FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT ZONE
-- REAL ESTATE ISHARES TESTS SUPPORT ZONE
-- GLD SURGES OFF SUPPORT AS STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR TURNS UP
-- SILVER ETF REMAINS IN CONSOLIDATION AND LAGS GOLD
------------------------------------- |
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Y****I
发帖数: 309 | 43 -- EURO RISES AND TREASURIES FALL AS MARKET TAKES ON SOME RISK
-- FINANCE SECTOR LEADS OVERSOLD BOUNCE IN STOCKS
-- SEMICONDUCTOR ETF BOUNCES OFF FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT
-- REVISITING THE 2010 AND 2011 CORRECTIONS IN THE S&P 500
-- FORECASTING THE CURRENT DOWNTREND |
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e*******0
发帖数: 367 | 44 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 数浪 我觉得C浪2已经结束了.是个清晰的ABC结构,2浪刚好retrace 76.4% -- 见图.
C浪3正式开始.这个从去年7月开始的ABC调整浪不是简单的zigzag,有两个可能性:
running correction 和 irregular correction. Running correction的C浪最低点比A
浪高，irregular correction的C浪最低点比A浪低。基本上所有的C浪都是5浪结构，看
刚结束的1，2浪的大小，后续三浪不会太小。
大家说说？ |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 45
38.2% retrace. so fast, didn't expect it can be done in one day... |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 46
The retrace is probably in stage "b" after X.
Another up (c) is coming, I guess.
Then I expect bears come back. |
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m*****t
发帖数: 257 | 47 多谢，回头找本来睡觉前看。
今天FR 50% 1071到了，但你说的那个ABC retrace up 才走了一半吧。感觉C还没走出
来。 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 48 yeah, C is not finished yet. But it should be done by tomorrow according to
the count. we probably see a 61.8% retrace, damn. I bought the 2nd batch too
early |
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b**t
发帖数: 656 | 49 fibonacci retracements tool?
好像是根据之前高低点之间的趋势决定的
如果是跌下来的，就从低点开始拉
如果是涨上去的，就从高点开始拉 |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 50 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: Lexian (蒙古大夫), 信区: Stock
标 题: We are at the dawn of a history moment
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 20 22:22:59 2010, 美东)
Next week, at most in the next 2 wk, Market will move north of 1220 and
finally come out of the shadow of the deepest recession since the great
depression. over the last two weeks, all 3 index finish testing the 10wk
line and ready for the decisive move.
in term of historic comparison, this is very similar to the winter of 2004,
after the slaughter of 20... 阅读全帖 |
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