L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 1 i said the retracement won't be too deep, won't be too long couple weeks
back. Anyone got back on? |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 3 This could be a very weak rebound,
so 38.2% retracement will see SPX 1672~1673; definitely not ES |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 4 没错， 造谣没屁眼的傻逼， 我7/18就在版上说的了， 那时股价刚暴涨初期， 离最后
的top足足有50%的空间， 你个傻逼只会在最后一天进来吃屎。 呵呵。
发信人: Lexian (蒙古大夫), 信区: Stock
标 题: Anyone still has GAME?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jul 18 10:14:04 2013, 美东)
i said the retracement won't be too deep, won't be too long couple weeks
back. Anyone got back on? |
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c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 5 我说的没错吧，其实long retracement又赚钱又安全，幅度一点也不小。
hpq前两天我的screener刚screen出来，long了一些，不过没耐心等到今天了。没赶上。 |
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l*****k
发帖数: 284 | 6 the market is showing great strength as a result of fundamental mood change.
I doubt there is a "暴跌". The retracements after the bounce has been so
shallow and the stride fast. other than anguish, I do not see many people
using the word "暴跌" |
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V******n
发帖数: 881 | 7 AMD out at the pop, if it can't break 3.3 it will retrace
bot MRVL at low |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 8 Increased JCP call amount and took off the hedge. It's now open naked long
call. the short retracement might be over. it's now a breakout shape. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 9 Spx rise up sharply from the recent correction, naturally need a little time
to digest the gain. Most bullish formation will be a short retrace to 1800
and form the right shoulder of a REVERSED H&S pattern before reaching new
high. So I would take some profit here and leave some cash on hand. It's
common also spx consolidate within a tight range between 1825-1850, that is
also considered bullish. However, one should see leading stock breaks out of
stages to indicate future market direction. And ... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 10 Spx rise up sharply from the recent correction, naturally need a little time
to digest the gain. Most bullish formation will be a short retrace to 1800
and form the right shoulder of a REVERSED H&S pattern before reaching new
high. So I would take some profit here and leave some cash on hand. It's
common also spx consolidate within a tight range between 1825-1850, that is
also considered bullish. However, one should see leading stock breaks out of
stages to indicate future market direction. And ... 阅读全帖 |
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N*****d
发帖数: 9872 | 11 Outlook - FuelCell Energy ST: as long as 1.99 is support look for 3.66
Our pivot point stands at 1.99.
Our preference: as long as 1.99 is support look for 3.66.
Alternative scenario: the downside breakout of 1.99 would call for 1.47 and
1.16.
Comment: the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its
signal line and positive. The stock could retrace in the short term.
Moreover, the stock is trading under its 20 day MA (2.64) but above its 50
day MA (1.97). |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 12 when to sell.
fibonacci retrace 38.2%
do the calculation your self. |
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c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 13 你误会了，你还年轻，不懂社会现实和美好理想的区别吗。
我从来没有在股版上推荐任何股票，只是偶尔给空头打打气而已，市场又不会以任何人
的意志而转移。
我说的更多是技术层面，譬如
NG接近5,马上要突破双顶，或者三顶，四定。L2上5.001或者5.000，4.999上一下挂一
个500手
的ask，让你觉得似乎有人要守高点，刚打下几个tick，90%是同样的participant一下
撤单改到
bid那边，一下就突破了5。这无非是bluffing来制造几个tick的回撤，然后buy
retracement
虽然是程序交易，但我还是认为这是技术层面的而与我炸
这样的例子不管是技术层面还是非技术层面比比皆是。我不会去误导，但我更不会去骂
市场充满险恶
反而这正是这个游戏有魅力的地方。
相反我是保护新人的，我也是新人。我反对似是而非的东西。这里很多言论，尤其有关
经济的
绝大部分人就是新闻摘抄，然后弄的像自己的独立思考一样。对交易没有任何用，这只
是我的理念。
至于你说的那人的水平，我心里有杆秤，能帮到新人自然好，但不管从我个人经验还是
看过的传奇
交易员故事而言，那是一厢情愿的想法，不管你水平... 阅读全帖 |
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c****w
发帖数: 2830 | 14 高草的忧伤。
今天做牛的很开心，做熊的也回肠高兴。
rut first stop 1170, expect up to 50% retracement
rut second stop 1120, expect small rebound
rut 3rd stop 1060, expect retest up to 1120
rut final stop 9xx range, expect long and slow recovery afterwards
------------------------------------------------------------------------
更正一下 (7/1/2014)
rut first stop around 1165, expect around 38.2% correction wave
rut second stop 1140-1150, expect days of regional oscillation
waterfall between second and third stop
rut third s... 阅读全帖 |
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p*********r
发帖数: 4593 | 15 It just completed its 50% retracing from $7 to $10. 50% correction is $1.5,
it actually did stop at around $8.59.
I am still holding and actually also added some shares
at around $8.8 and $9.12 to let my side line cash to
work(5.x% div is good).
When it's traded under $9, there is no risk at all unless there is better
energy resource than oil. |
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R******w
发帖数: 201 | 16 EI Nino will come (probably 85%) at end of October, if so, warm winter, NG
will be down $3.00 or lower.
Next 2 weeks the injection will be also >100B. mild summer. May be next
Monday or Tuesday, NG will retrace to $4.0 or $4.05 at most. after Thursday
report, NG probably will big down again to $3.75 to find support.
Inventory has no problem to reach 3600B before Winter, which EIA only expect
3400B.
UGAZ will be below $10 or lower by October.
Sell UGAZ when NG bounce next time, probably next Mond... 阅读全帖 |
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R******w
发帖数: 201 | 17 EI Nino will come (probably 85%) at end of October, if so, warm winter, NG
will be down $3.00 or lower.
Next 2 weeks the injection will be also >100B. mild summer. May be next
Monday or Tuesday, NG will retrace to $4.0 or $4.05 at most. after Thursday
report, NG probably will big down again to $3.75 to find support.
Inventory has no problem to reach 3600B before Winter, which EIA only expect
3400B.
UGAZ will be below $10 or lower by October.
Sell UGAZ when NG bounce next time, probably next Mond... 阅读全帖 |
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s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 18 你是在说Fibonacci Retracement levels吗？ |
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s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 19 搬个小板凳等着听
TA用的比较多的fibonacci retracement anlysis和这个有关系 |
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h****5
发帖数: 191 | 20 would rather go long on retracement |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 21 not very familiar with DE, never own it. CAT is very closely tied to china
economy. i think it has a good chance of break out after retracement.
breakout line is rather clearly defined. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 22 I would wait until gold retraces to 1250.
Up to you, if you already have a sizable gain. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 23 @ 12.03
Price target: whenever gold retraces 1250. |
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x****9
发帖数: 2668 | 24 大诗。。。老规矩。。。出货时。。。包子送上。。。谢谢你的号角。。。
@ 12.03Price target: whenever gold retraces 1250. |
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p*******r
发帖数: 23 | 25 Price of PBR bounced from 4.9 (14 cents shy of the bottom I predicted in
early March). If you picked up the bottom, that is good. However, today is
not the time to enter. If the price take out 7.8, the next target is 9.6 or
even ~11. The idea entering price range should be 6-6.4 and look for price
breaking up 7.8. Otherwise, it will still dead down to 4.7 or at least
retest 4.9 in the near future. Even if it does touche 9.6-11 range, I expect
it will have a deep retrace into 4 dollar range and e... 阅读全帖 |
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e******e
发帖数: 2530 | 26 Good analysis. just don't understand if it breaks up to ~11 range, why it
will have a deep retrace into 4 dollar range and even retest 4.9 in
following 6 months?
or
expect |
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M***O
发帖数: 86 | 27 胡说一下 只看TA的话 三个指标指示可捞 BB RSI 和 Fib retracement |
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C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 28 俺是看冒头了（打破几天的箱型走势，而且站在40块这个重要心理价位以上）立即追，
因为是蝌蚪，而且没有几个本金，追了可怜的3000股，礼拜五出，只赚了几百块钱。
俺基本认为这是价格翻转，虽然油价会跌，但是是retracement，会慢慢走回50以上，
再进入平行震荡走势，那时油就没有什么玩的了。
翻转不需要原因，大宗商品基本就是MM操控中短期价格（基本面是参考，价格长期不能
太离谱）。所有技术研究的根本是估猜MM到底是想往上，还是往下走。 |
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m***a
发帖数: 198 | 29 从顶部的2100跌到1870，现在涨回1920最多算回到faboccini retracement的第一级，
如果明天又下去了，还是在底部震荡， 先站稳1920再说反弹
今天是季度最后一天，基金经理们为了账面好看，大家都会拉一把的
反过来说如果跌破1870，那就不知道底在哪里了 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 30 sold out my UCO holdings in IRA.
__________________________________________________
发信人: Banlangen (板蓝根), 信区: bigwet
标 题: 埋个地雷，２７清仓UCO
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 7 09:09:20 2015, 美东)
The target is still 34; however, it takes time to get there.
It's better to lock the profits and wait for the retracement to buy back
again. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 31 Retrace to 48 area, build base for next leg up to 55.
You heard from Bigwet first. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 32 small retracement, bigger gain ahead. |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 33 话说谁知道怎么Chart上画出fibonacci retracement？
就是50%，61.8%那个，感觉还挺有用的。 |
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C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 34 mm借机砸盘，好卡窝一部分空仓。这会儿开始非不纳妾retracement。 |
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t***3
发帖数: 936 | 38 最好是买CD，其次是退市不买CD，再次是抛硬币。最次是ta，fa，PA一大堆分析之后还
是奎翡。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 39 30.4没有什么支撑啊，在两个支撑位30.6和30.25之间，为什么说是短线底？
虽然现在反弹了，目测能短暂站上32，希望能走稳，50% retracement是34附近，34.25
那个阻力位仍然有效，拭目以待。 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 40 38.2% fibonacci retracement has been reached.
time to buy dip for the day trade |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 41 话说，实战中自从用上了Fibonacci retracement这套指标，顿时觉得机器人还是将道
理的。
每次点位什么地方停，什么时候转，和别的指标叠在一起看，成功率顿时上一个台阶，
推荐还没有在原油交易中用到这个指标的童鞋赶紧把这个indicator加进去，几天实战
下来觉得很讲道理。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 42 33.18尝试做了一个long，50% retracement，止损设的不够宽，被止损了，止损应该设
在32.8的，亏了亏了 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 43 SPY rebound 1st target 188.77
38.2% fibonacci retracement |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 44 顺带一提，根据Fibonacci Retracement，大盘下看SPY 172-173......，当然中间可能
还有
反复。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 45 今天价格反弹最高到了32.25，正好是上午跳水前最后一震的最高点，介于两个
retracement 点位之间。
由于收盘的volatility实在太高，这个点位有点不太好抓，没在这里做空也是可以理解
的。
这个礼拜因为rollover的价格对我的期待造成了比较大的影响，我一直在看盘但是完全
没有交易，只有今天下午做了一笔，在收盘前cover了一个失败的short，只挣了$21。
下个礼拜rollover结束之后，局势应该比较清晰了，Apr合约也有可能被送去测26的前
低。但是能被送到多低，比26低还是高不太清楚。我个人倾向于可能会到25,因为上周
四收盘后如果不是因为OPEC的消息，mm很明显是要把油价送去25的，这次很有可能再次
尝试，如果失败了的话，我觉得是很好的加仓油股和long contract的机会，夏天之前
，25的油见一次少一次了。。。五月份合约如果还能见到25，那得是全球性的股灾之类
的大型事件才能把油价送下来。
总之，我觉得这波run去新低很可能是个加仓的好机会，不过仅供参考 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 46 个人觉得Fibonacci retracement在短线还是很好用的
因为感觉很多机器人都是根据这些算法写的，特别是做future trading的时候 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 47 如果从30.69回抽的话，点位看31.44，31.90， 32.27（50% retracement,似乎不太可
能)
EIA 31.2 - 31.5 附近是可能的，然后看EIA之后mm是想涨还是想跌。
跌也应该不是一条直线，等着看吧 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 48
昨天收的那么牛气，正常想法今天回接着涨吧？我的想法是昨天收在32.2上，刚好是50
% retracement，第二天可上可下，但是向上概率更高一些。
早上起来看了看图，发现32.2上方的阻力想当大，于是早上发帖说跌的概率更高一些，
发完帖一路从32.1跌到了31，这样跌势应该是恢复了。然后委内瑞拉发了个会议的消息
，这个会议大家应该都很了解内容了，不应该期待减产，但是油价居然从低点彪了2块5
上来，这明显是不按理出牌了。。。市场比我还疯，我就不陪疯子玩了。。。我看想再
做熊要等到下个礼拜了，等26等的花都谢了。。。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 49 3/29/2016
破了一个支撑位，38 这个20MAhold不住的话，下一个retracement的点位在37.72附近
，再往下强支撑在36附近了。
这波上涨涨的太快，回调是必然的，但是是回调还是跌回去，现在还无法判断。
据报道这波上涨是由空头获利了结引起，多头并未大举入场，这点也比较让人concern
，只可惜了前一段时间在大幅上涨中拼命做空的兄弟们。。。我之前42.3开过一个空仓
不过在41.4就给震出去了，悲剧。。。 |
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