u*****a
发帖数: 6276 | 1 At Harvard, Stefanik received a national merit-based award from Coca-Cola.
Her freshman year, she helped to ready the dorms for her incoming class and
used the money she earned to buy her textbooks.
She said she learned quickly she wasn’t the smartest person in her class at
the Ivy League school.
“It gives you something to strive for, but people have different strengths.
You learn a lot more from listening to others and learning from them,” she
said.
Stefanik found her niche at Harvard’s Institu... 阅读全帖 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 2 其实不仅是这个 video，其实这次大选终于让大伙儿明白了，为啥达特茅斯心理系毕业
后要去地下室学 java script。
在这次大选之后，我重温了各类心理学科普文章的数据来源，发现十之八九是来自于
poll (简称：问卷调查)。
而希拉里同志已经说啦，如果 poll 能有用的话（潜台词：如果 pollsters 们的脑袋
比屁股好使的话），那美国还要大选干嘛？
同理，心理系们总是看不起 java script。但 HR manager 说了，java script 至少
repeatable 不是？也就是说，写 java script 的至少 predictable，分得清 fact vs
fiction（潜台词：不会 full of delusional 的所谓“逻辑思维”）。// run |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 3 一个犹太的自白。希望你有耐心看完。
Why Are Jews Liberals?
By NORMAN PODHORETZ
One of the most extraordinary features of Barack Obama's victory over John
McCain was his capture of 78% of the Jewish vote. To be sure, there was
nothing extraordinary about the number itself. Since 1928, the average
Jewish vote for the Democrat in presidential elections has been an amazing
75%—far higher than that of any other ethno-religious group.
Yet there were reasons to think that it would be different in 2008. The main
one was ... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****1
发帖数: 670 | 4 From CNBC
Greece's conservative New Democracy party was barely ahead of radical
leftist Syriza party in an election that could decide whether the country
stays in the euro zone, a joint exit poll by five pollsters showed on Sunday.
The poll showed New Democracy taking between 27.5 percent to 30.5 percent of
the vote, while SYRIZA was just behind with 27-30 percent. They were
followed by the PASOK Socialists taking 10-12 percent of the vote.
Syriza has vowed to tear up the terms of a joint Europe... 阅读全帖 |
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P********y
发帖数: 4195 | 5 害怕的是庄家，等着崩盘吧！
The pound trimmed earlier gains in London afternoon trade on Wednesday after
a fresh Brexit poll showed the "leave" camp was in the lead by one point.
According to the survey by Opinium, 45% of the respondents favor a goodbye
to the European Union, while 44% prefer to stay in. "Everything rests on 9%
still undecided," the pollster said in a post to Twitter. Sterling GBPUSD, +
0.1502% dropped to $1.4667 after the poll, compared with around $1.472 ahead
of the release... 阅读全帖 |
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g****t
发帖数: 31659 | 6 这本书没什么数学技术。但是远胜技术书籍。很多预测的实践tricks
The Signal and The Noise was published in the United States on September 27,
2012. It reached the New York Times Best Sellers List as #12 for non-
fiction hardback books after its first week in print. It dropped to #20 in
the second week, before rising to #13 in the third, and remaining on the non
-fiction hardback top 15 list for the following 13 weeks, with a highest
weekly ranking of #4.[90] Sales increased after the election on November 6,
jumping 800% and b... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******h
发帖数: 7021 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: StanMarsh (ojo), 信区: USANews
标 题: 传Zuckerburg要代表民主党出来选总统
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 3 12:59:15 2017, 美东)
Joel Benenson, the chief strategist in Clinton’s 2016 DOOMED campaign has
been hired to conduct research for Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan’s
nonprofit, the Zuckerberg-Chan initiative. It gives Zuckerberg access to
yet another top pollster as rumors of a potential presidential run grow ever
louder.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-02/president-zuck-fac... 阅读全帖 |
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b*******e
发帖数: 24532 | 8 从某中程度上讲，虽然两党对待 EB1的态度都是表面看起来都很美好，实际行动中都夹
杂着各种政治诉求。 但是共和党在面对移民改革的态度对待Ph.D, 那似乎稍微靠铺一
些。 希望直接给STEM PHD 发卡就最美好了，呵呵。
G.O.P. Is Upbeat, and Democrats Pin Senate Hopes on Big Turnout
Democratic and Republican candidates across the country are waging the final
moments of a fierce, state-by-state effort to turn out their supporters on
Tuesday even as voters begin lining up at the polls to express their anger
and frustration at the dysfunction and paralysis in Washington.
After spending months locked in l... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 9 2. “Conservatives are anti-immigration.” In fact, conservatives (including
the American Enterprise Institute, Grover Norquist, the Cato Institute,
Ralph Reed’s Faith and Freedom Coalition, Sen. Jeff Flake, Rep. Paul Ryan,
Sean Hannity, Ariz. Gov. Jan Brewer) supported the Gang of Eight’s bill.
Liberals should either concede these are moderate groups and individuals or
acknowledge their accusation is inaccurate. No, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.)
really doesn’t represent the majority of Republicans’ thin... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 10 of Taiwan for not being helpful to Pres. Ma. For instance, Legislature,
where KMT enjoys super-majority (with about three fourths of the seats), are
not going to pass law or endorse Ma's agreements with China.
Those people with the view are in both Taiwan and China.
Well, it is not surprising at all. Three days ago, A former pollster and
confidant of Pres. Bill Clinton (who remains a Clinton loyalist) wrote that US president actually was a prisoner of Congress, not the other way around.
Dick Mor |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 11 Obamacare’s Hierarchy of Privilege
No one who favors the law wants to be bound by it.
By Mark Steyn
On his radio show the other day, Hugh Hewitt caught me by surprise and asked
me about running for the United States Senate from New Hampshire. My
various consultants, pollsters, PACs, and exploratory committees haven’t
fine-tuned every detail of my platform just yet, but I can say this without
a doubt: I will not vote for any “comprehensive” bill, whether on
immigration, health care, or anything ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 13 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (码农共和国), 信区: USANews
标 题: 跪舔民主党的结果是喝尿 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 21 13:36:54 2015, 美东)
发信人: feebe (码农共和国), 信区: Military
标 题: 跪舔民主党的结果是喝尿
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 21 12:44:50 2015, 美东)
民主党粉丝换了一种方式忽悠，因为黑魔将来会更多，所以要跪舔民主党，
没有用，
假设你是民主党，面对华人一直跪舔，恩将仇报，仇将恩报，
你会改变对华人态度吗？你不会担心，对华人好了，反而被仇将恩报？
难道不是更狠的搞？一旦有事，难道不是往死里搞？
舔民主党，民主党用各种法案接尿在你嘴里，忽悠大家接下来要吃屎，或被砍头，
所以用尿很好喝回应
记住，跪下来，没人看的起你，
恩将仇报，仇将恩报，民主党不会因此给你甜头，美国社会，就是爱哭有奶
华人要做的是
http://studentsforfairadmissions.org/apply-to-join/
... 阅读全帖 |
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d******e
发帖数: 452 | 14 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (No TO SCA5), 信区: USANews
标 题: 恩将仇报，仇将恩报的美国华人
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 23 01:20:27 2014, 美东)
再顶这个贴，大家警惕以胡乱说左右都不帮华人的狡猾作弊，
事实是民主党一贯用美国歧视的最高境界，法案，来欺压华人
209法案是由共和党人士发起，导致亚裔入学比例上升
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_209
Joe Gelman (President of the Board of Civil Service Commissioners of the
City of Los Angeles),
California Arnold Steinberg (a pollster and political strategist)
Dr. Larry Arnn President of the Claremont Institute
wiki上没有写他们的党派，我查了一下... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******h
发帖数: 7021 | 15 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: horsefly (马匪), 信区: USANews
标 题: Trump在WSJ写的文章不错
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Apr 15 07:34:16 2016, 美东)
坚定不移的反对现有的system。恰到好处的揭露Lyin` Ted的虚伪。把这次CO的选举作
弊狠狠敲打一下。
http://www.wsj.com/articles/let-me-ask-america-a-question-14606
On Saturday, April 9, Colorado had an “election” without voters. Delegates
were chosen on behalf of a presidential nominee, yet the people of Colorado
were not able to cast their ballots to say which nominee they preferred.
A planned vote had been canceled... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******h
发帖数: 3219 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (No TO SCA5), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: SCA5反对的209法案是由3位共和党人士发起的
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Feb 22 21:47:25 2014, 美东)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_209
Joe Gelman (President of the Board of Civil Service Commissioners of the
City of Los Angeles),
California Arnold Steinberg (a pollster and political strategist)
Dr. Larry Arnn President of the Claremont Institute
wiki上没有写他们的党派，我查了一下，全是共和党人士
http://wikibin.org/articles/joseph-gelman.html
http:/... 阅读全帖 |
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S**r
发帖数: 2478 | 18 http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/republican-takes-lead-
A moderate Republican city councilman scored a decisive win in the election
for San Diego mayor, offering a dose of good news for a party that has
fared poorly in California and in races to lead major American cities.
Kevin Faulconer, 47, said Wednesday that his emphasis on working across
party lines and his embrace of fiscal measures such as cutting pensions for
city workers and putting more city services up for private bidding led... 阅读全帖 |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 20 民调直追o8.
Latest Polls
Pollster Dates Romney Obama
Rasmussen 10/7 - 10/9 48 47
Ipsos/Reuters 10/5 - 10/9 45 45
Gallup 10/3 - 10/9 48 48
YouGov/Economist10/6 - 10/8 46 49
ARG 10/5 - 10/8 48 47
IBD/TIPP 10/2 - 10/8 47 45
Washington Times/JZ Analytics 10/5 - 10/7 45 45
Pew 10/4 - 10/7 49 45
DailyKos/SEIU/PPP10/4 - 10/7 49 ... 阅读全帖 |
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S**H
发帖数: 1256 | 22 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_209
－－Joe Gelman (President of the Board of Civil Service Commissioners of the
City of Los Angeles),
－－Arnold Steinberg (a pollster and political strategist)
－－Dr. Larry Arnn (President of the Claremont Institute).
－－Governor Pete Wilson, and supported and funded by the California Civil
Rights Initiative Campaign, led by University of California Regent Ward
Connerly.
－－Co-Chair of the Campaign was Law Professor Gail Heriot who served as a
membe... 阅读全帖 |
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s**a
发帖数: 115 | 27 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: September 15, 2014
CONTACT: Justin Matheson, 800-916-1770 ext. 8
Poll Shows Baker Takes Lead in 16th Assembly District
(Pleasanton, CA) – Recently released polling shows a major development in
the race for the 16th Assembly District. Democratic pollsters Penn Schoen
and Berland surveyed 500 likely voters, on behalf of JobsPAC, showing
Republican Catharine Baker starting the race in a dead heat with 42 percent
of the vote to union backed Tim Sbranti’s 43 percent. But after ... 阅读全帖 |
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u*****a
发帖数: 6276 | 29 At Harvard, Stefanik received a national merit-based award from Coca-Cola.
Her freshman year, she helped to ready the dorms for her incoming class and
used the money she earned to buy her textbooks.
She said she learned quickly she wasn’t the smartest person in her class at
the Ivy League school.
“It gives you something to strive for, but people have different strengths.
You learn a lot more from listening to others and learning from them,” she
said.
Stefanik found her niche at Harvard’s Institu... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******h
发帖数: 7021 | 33 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: StanMarsh (ojo), 信区: USANews
标 题: 传Zuckerburg要代表民主党出来选总统
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 3 12:59:15 2017, 美东)
Joel Benenson, the chief strategist in Clinton’s 2016 DOOMED campaign has
been hired to conduct research for Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan’s
nonprofit, the Zuckerberg-Chan initiative. It gives Zuckerberg access to
yet another top pollster as rumors of a potential presidential run grow ever
louder.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-02/president-zuck-fac... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****n
发帖数: 14445 | 35 大选一周多前我是美新版预测总统竞选选举人票最接近最终结果的！
气得他们支持共和党的版主封了俺两次，NND。。。
比我预测更接近的，只有选举前一天才预测的买买提朱明坑王：屎地粪坑！
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: chatman (leo), 信区: USANews
标 题: 尘埃落定，也来说说奥巴马为何能够连任
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Nov 8 15:36:56 2012, 美东)
10月31号大选前一周我预测的是
Obama: 290
Romney: 248
Obama: NV,CO,IA,WI,NH, Ohio
Romney: FL, NC, VA
现实结果还是比较准备的，就差FL和VA。现在说说当初为啥这么预测和大选的启示吧。
一方面是自己的理性分析（而不是本版很多为了几百美元税钱，为了AA,为了同性恋，
为了黑人而骂奥巴马的），一方面是poll。
第一，poll还是很准的，以前那个啥效应（黑人在民调中被种族主义者支持，但投票时
被种族主义者抵制的）现在根本不灵了。美国民主发展到今天，民族平等已经深入人心
，极少数种族主义者和极右派... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****g
发帖数: 3871 | 36 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (No TO SCA5), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 恩将仇报，仇将恩报的美国华裔
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 23 01:13:11 2014, 美东)
209法案是由共和党人士发起，导致亚裔入学比例上升
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_209
Joe Gelman (President of the Board of Civil Service Commissioners of the
City of Los Angeles),
California Arnold Steinberg (a pollster and political strategist)
Dr. Larry Arnn President of the Claremont Institute
wiki上没有写他们的党派，我查了一下，全是共和党人士
http://wikibin.org/articles/joseph-gelman... 阅读全帖 |
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G*******9
发帖数: 4371 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (No TO SCA5), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 恩将仇报，仇将恩报的美国华裔
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 23 01:13:11 2014, 美东)
209法案是由共和党人士发起，导致亚裔入学比例上升
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_209
Joe Gelman (President of the Board of Civil Service Commissioners of the
City of Los Angeles),
California Arnold Steinberg (a pollster and political strategist)
Dr. Larry Arnn President of the Claremont Institute
wiki上没有写他们的党派，我查了一下，全是共和党人士
http://wikibin.org/articles/joseph-gelman... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: lczlcz (lcz), 信区: USANews
标 题: NJ胖州长把3个控枪法案veto了, liberal大为光火
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 19 16:47:55 2013, 美东)
Christie vetoes 3 gun-control bills
By Matt Katz, Inquirer Trenton Bureau
Posted: August 18, 2013
Gov. Christie rejected three major pieces of gun-control legislation Friday
that Democrats passed following last year's fatal school shootings in
Connecticut.
Despite proposing a ban on purchases of the Barrett .50-caliber gun and
similar weapons in April, Christi... 阅读全帖 |
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g******a
发帖数: 667 | 39 in this year's situation, without a playoff system, there must be a
team bound to be out of the NC game.
for USC it's unfortunate, but from all the points summarized above,
no reason to justify their whining.
after all, it should be the on-field result determining who is the
better team, not the pollsters.
for example, if there is a poll in pro baseball, in 2001
Mariners will be the unanimous No.1 choice,
and they are actually a more convincing No.1 than the Trojans this year |
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g******a
发帖数: 667 | 40 well, actually there is a west coast bias this year...
most pollster thinks USC is the best team in the nation, while
when it comes to breakdown of what USC has done this year,
you will find it has no better claims at no.1 than either OU or
LSU.
mere coincidence
Oregon was ranked the highest among non-perfect teams
USC is consensus no.1
so there is no bias
computers don't take into account the west coast factor |
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d********g
发帖数: 11948 | 41 过程说是不重要只看结果，其实人为感情因素成份太大了。ksu被河马打败，第8被第9
大比分干掉一下掉了10位。之前河马主场被没排名的ttu干掉，加之ttu昨天被isu爆掉
居然河马排名还往上串了不少。相反就是wisky了，两场close lost排名掉了狂多。不
得不说pollster都比较偏爱河马。没有任何贬低的意思，河马最近几个赛季的
signature wi都有什么呢？抛开big12本来就overrated的防守，在外bowl也就欺负了不
对称的康州大学，居然一直被love的不行，完全无视外战的无力，反观我盖，再怎么赢
还是被揪着两次冠军赛的失利狂扁，殊不知我盖是赢得bsc碗赛最多的球队。偏执啊。
（again，没有任何瞧不起河马的意思，只是就事论事）
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs 7.28 - iPad Lite |
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w*****2
发帖数: 1458 | 42 Do you think AP pollsters watching all the games?
Coaches at least put their reputation on the line. Media sucks, but gives
people other views.
AP was in BCS but chicked out after 2003, when it didn't get USCw in the
title game. AP could have voted OU down to No. 4 after sooners lost to KSU
but kept it No. 3. |
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b**j
发帖数: 20742 | 43 oSu列第四我觉得也说的过去，第三会更好一点，他这一票也不是oSu落选的主要原因。
要骂还不如骂harris poll的。很多根本乱投。我觉得应该
1. remove coach poll, 太多conflict of interest, 而且很多coach根本不看球。可以
用AP替代coaches poll
2. 成立个committee监督harris pollsters, 太out of line的，第二年剥夺投票资格。 |
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b***n
发帖数: 1210 | 44 1943年SOS有可能是第一.
第三场客场胜 #2Michigan, 最后Michigan只一负, 最后#3.
第六场中立场胜#3 Navy, 最后Navy 1负, #4.
第七场中立场胜#3 Army, 最后Army 2负, #11.
第八场客场胜#8 西北, 最后西北 2负, #9.
第九场主场胜#2 Iowa Pre-Flight, 最后军校 1负, #2.
摘要一下, 按比赛时的排名, ND打败了2, 2, 3, 3, 8
按赛季末的排名, 打败了 2, 3, 4, 9, 11.
这个打败2,3,4应该是仅有的记录, 欢迎纠错 (88年是打败本周的#1, #2, #3).
补充一下, ND最后一场输了另外一个军校, 但是之后AP还是第一名,侧面印证SOS的强弱
, 外加当时pollsters的操守, 跟整整50年后截然不同. |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 45 Gallup and Rausmussn 作为专业的pollster, 这次是出空前的大丑。 |
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d********f
发帖数: 43471 | 47 这个的确不难预测，那些pollster如果不是收钱了就是小本毕业没几年根本不知道外面
的世界是啥样的。92年选举的时候nafta几乎是唯一的议题，男克承诺给midwest蓝领绝
对不会签nafta，结果上台以后把内裤脱了套头上和和党国会强行通过nafta。当年的那
批蓝领现在都还没死绝呢，正好刚退休，女客又来忽悠tpp，简直就是作死。 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: USANews
标 题: 拉里给大选定性了：选民内心歧视妇女，导致她落选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Apr 6 18:26:44 2017, 美东)
Former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton said on Thursday that
misogyny "played a role" her 2016 defeat.
"Certainly, misogyny played a role," Clinton said at the Women of the World
Summit in New York. "I mean, that just has to be admitted. And why and what
the underlying reasons were is what I'm trying to parse out myself."
Her comments marked a ra... 阅读全帖 |
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 49 http://religion.blogs.cnn.com/2011/07/27/poll-52-percent-approv
(CNN) – If you think voters are in cranky mood over politics, a new poll
suggests that some of the dissatisfaction may run deeper.
God’s job performance has trouble measuring up to many Americans'
expectations, according to a poll by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic
firm based in North Carolina.
Only 52 percent of Americans approve of God’s job performance, the survey
found, though just 9 percent disapprove.
The polling question ... 阅读全帖 |
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s******l
发帖数: 6898 | 50 另一个数据来源，结论类似：USA TODAY 2011年报道
http://www.usatoday.com/news/religion/2011-03-14-divorce-christ
It's been proclaimed from pulpits and blogs for years — Christians divorce
as much as everyone else in America.
But some scholars and family activists are questioning the oft-cited
statistics, saying Christians who attend church regularly are more likely to
remain wed.
"It's a useful myth," said Bradley Wright, a University of Connecticut
sociologist who recently wrote "Christians Are Hate-Filled Hypoc... 阅读全帖 |
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