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发帖数: 1
1
The flu remains a higher threat to U.S. public health than the new
coronavirus.
This flu season alone has sickened at least 19 million across the U.S. and
led to 10,000 deaths and 180,000 hospitalizations.
Roughly a dozen cases of the deadly coronavirus have been identified in the
U.S., though the number has mushroomed across its outbreak zone in China.
Premium: Flu vaccine
Flu vaccine
Brent Lewis | The Denver Post | Getty Images
While the new coronavirus ravages much of China and world leaders ... 阅读全帖
Z***T
发帖数: 727
2
神仙向凡人认罪!新鲜啊(图)!
今天,我在某网站看到一则消息《李洪志在美国认罪(图)》,称:2006年2月27日,
李 洪志因驾车未系安全带而受到犯罪指控。桉件由美国新墨西哥州法院开庭审理,随
后,由于李洪 志未按时出庭,受到了第2项指控。2006年4月17日,李洪志签署了认罪
书,并支付了罚款,承担诉讼费用。并称,曾经李 洪 志2008年6月因交通犯罪在美国
受罚的记录,那次李 洪 志因超速在美国弗吉尼亚州史密斯县地区法院受罚。
对此,我这就纳闷了这个自称“法力比释迦牟尼要高几百倍、几万倍”,甚至还自吹
“我的根都扎在宇宙上,谁能动得了你,我就能动得了你”的神通广大、无所不能“宇
宙主佛”怎么居然就斗不过这些凡人的交通警察和法院法官呢?还向他们乖乖的低头认
罪!这岂不是神仙向凡人认罪!古今未有,新鲜啊!
这一切说明了什么呢?只能说明他所鼓吹的什么他的“法力比释迦牟尼要高几百倍、几
万倍” 什么夸耀他“具大神通,有搬运、定物、思维控制、隐身等功能”统统都是骗
人的鬼话,根本就经不起凡人一个小小的交通事故的处罚就便“原形毕露”了!
也难怪最近这个“主佛”真的是歇菜了,还了凡人的“原形”... 阅读全帖
i*******6
发帖数: 234
3
fHere are some references about the relation between milk comsumption and
prostate cancer.
1. World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research. Food,
Nutrition, and the Prevention of Cancer: A Global Perspective. American
Institute for Cancer Research, Washington, D.C., 1997, p. 311.
2. Chan JM, Stampfer MJ, Giovannucci EL. What causes prostate cancer? A
brief summary of the epidemiology. Sem Canc Biol. 1998a;8:263-73.
3. Howell MA. Factor analysis of international cancer mortal... 阅读全帖
S*********g
发帖数: 24893
4
http://www.prisoners.com/relcrime.html
宗教对犯罪率的影响
更加信仰基督的地方有更多的社会弊病和犯罪。这是格雷戈里。保罗在学术杂志《宗教
与社会》上发表的初步结论,这个杂志是内布拉斯加州一所教会学校的学报。
http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html
研究表明,基督教统治的美国南部和中西部地区,社会弊端和犯罪更严重,谋杀,性病
,死亡率更高。这项研究还表明,美国的犯罪率和基督徒比例,比其他发达世界国家都
高得多。
无法回避的现实是,基督教的教条更合适一个病态的社会。宗教狂热分子和极端主义比
毒品危害更大。
理性的人认识到基督教神话的荒谬可怜,而基督徒,尤其是福音派,或原教旨主义者,
不过是一些伪君子,用宗教作为武器来贬低他人。
格雷戈里。保罗的研究首次量化了基督教教义产生的社会效果。不只是基督教,一切狂
热的邪教都可能会有类似的邪恶效果。
当然,天主教会花了几百年压迫陷入贫困和苦难的老百姓。穆斯林有同样的呼吁
:暴力,复仇,排斥和压迫。
理智的人会奇怪宗教神话的诞生。
在美国,宗教=残酷。
Cr... 阅读全帖
S*********g
发帖数: 24893
5
http://www.prisoners.com/relcrime.html
宗教对犯罪率的影响
更加信仰基督的地方有更多的社会弊病和犯罪。这是格雷戈里。保罗在学术杂志《宗教
与社会》上发表的初步结论,这个杂志是内布拉斯加州一所教会学校的学报。
http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html
研究表明,基督教统治的美国南部和中西部地区,社会弊端和犯罪更严重,谋杀,性病
,死亡率更高。这项研究还表明,美国的犯罪率和基督徒比例,比其他发达世界国家都
高得多。
无法回避的现实是,基督教的教条更合适一个病态的社会。宗教狂热分子和极端主义比
毒品危害更大。
理性的人认识到基督教神话的荒谬可怜,而基督徒,尤其是福音派,或原教旨主义者,
不过是一些伪君子,用宗教作为武器来贬低他人。
格雷戈里。保罗的研究首次量化了基督教教义产生的社会效果。不只是基督教,一切狂
热的邪教都可能会有类似的邪恶效果。
当然,天主教会花了几百年压迫陷入贫困和苦难的老百姓。穆斯林有同样的呼吁
:暴力,复仇,排斥和压迫。
理智的人会奇怪宗教神话的诞生。
在美国,宗教=残酷。
Cr... 阅读全帖
S*********g
发帖数: 24893
6
http://www.prisoners.com/relcrime.html
宗教对犯罪率的影响
更加信仰基督的地方有更多的社会弊病和犯罪。这是格雷戈里。保罗在学术杂志《宗教
与社会》上发表的初步结论,这个杂志是内布拉斯加州一所教会学校的学报。
http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html
研究表明,基督教统治的美国南部和中西部地区,社会弊端和犯罪更严重,谋杀,性病
,死亡率更高。这项研究还表明,美国的犯罪率和基督徒比例,比其他发达世界国家都
高得多。
无法回避的现实是,基督教的教条更合适一个病态的社会。宗教狂热分子和极端主义比
毒品危害更大。
理性的人认识到基督教神话的荒谬可怜,而基督徒,尤其是福音派,或原教旨主义者,
不过是一些伪君子,用宗教作为武器来贬低他人。
格雷戈里。保罗的研究首次量化了基督教教义产生的社会效果。不只是基督教,一切狂
热的邪教都可能会有类似的邪恶效果。
当然,天主教会花了几百年压迫陷入贫困和苦难的老百姓。穆斯林有同样的呼吁
:暴力,复仇,排斥和压迫。
理智的人会奇怪宗教神话的诞生。
在美国,宗教=残酷。
Cr... 阅读全帖
H****g
发帖数: 14447
7
Grada论文摘要
Frank Dikötter’s Mao’s Great Famine {henceforth “MGF”} is the
longest and most detailed study of the Great Leap Forward (GLF) famine to
appear in English to date.{…} The tone throughout is one of abhorrence and
outrage, and sometimes MGF reads more like a catalogue of anecdotes about
atrocities than a sustained analytic argument. In style and approach it
recalls Jung Chang and Jon Halliday’s controversial Mao: The Unknown Story
(2005); indeed, Chang leads the ”praise” for MGF on t... 阅读全帖
c****t
发帖数: 19049
8
Batman: Arkham City is going to have it's fair share of Batman baddies from
the popular comic series, but it's not as easy to incorporate them into the
game as you would think. As gamer's we think the more the better, but as a
developer, Rocksteady has to deal with a plethora of problems with
incorporating them into the game, and having it make sense to the player.
In a recent interview, Rocksteady's Dax Ginn spoke at length about the
process of incorporating the large number of villains into a ... 阅读全帖
S*********g
发帖数: 24893
9
http://www.prisoners.com/relcrime.html
宗教对犯罪率的影响
更加信仰基督的地方有更多的社会弊病和犯罪。这是格雷戈里。保罗在学术杂志《宗教
与社会》上发表的初步结论,这个杂志是内布拉斯加州一所教会学校的学报。
http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html
研究表明,基督教统治的美国南部和中西部地区,社会弊端和犯罪更严重,谋杀,性病
,死亡率更高。这项研究还表明,美国的犯罪率和基督徒比例,比其他发达世界国家都
高得多。
无法回避的现实是,基督教的教条更合适一个病态的社会。宗教狂热分子和极端主义比
毒品危害更大。
理性的人认识到基督教神话的荒谬可怜,而基督徒,尤其是福音派,或原教旨主义者,
不过是一些伪君子,用宗教作为武器来贬低他人。
格雷戈里。保罗的研究首次量化了基督教教义产生的社会效果。不只是基督教,一切狂
热的邪教都可能会有类似的邪恶效果。
当然,天主教会花了几百年压迫陷入贫困和苦难的老百姓。穆斯林有同样的呼吁
:暴力,复仇,排斥和压迫。
理智的人会奇怪宗教神话的诞生。
在美国,宗教=残酷。
Cr... 阅读全帖
d**o
发帖数: 618
10
来自主题: Medicalpractice版 - 阿司匹林
随便搜了一下,貌似这篇文章跟我想到一起了,然后声称aspirin对降低mortality有用。
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21592450
OBJECTIVE: The lack of a mortality benefit of aspirin in prior meta-analyses
of primary prevention trials of cardiovascular disease has contributed to
uncertainty about the balance of benefits and risks of aspirin in primary
prevention.
Conclusions (at end of article): Our results demonstrate a consistent
pattern of reduced mortality in all of the aspirin primary prevention trials
and a significant, albei... 阅读全帖
f**********g
发帖数: 2252
11
来自主题: _pennystock版 - 关于我提到过的生垃的comments
Analysis of Surfaxin Data Presented in First Peer-Reviewed Manuscript
Describing the Consequences of Reintubation in Preterm Neonates
3 hours 8 minutes ago - PMZ via Comtex
GlobeNewswireDiscovery Laboratories, Inc. (Nasdaq:DSCO) announced that the
Journal of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, a prominent, peer-reviewed journal
widely distributed to neonatal and pediatric intensive care physicians,
recently published a manuscript reviewing an important data analysis from
the Surfaxin(R) (lucinactant) P... 阅读全帖
X*******8
发帖数: 3895
12
刚才看有人在“请教一个转基因问题”,故把下面一篇文章转过来,没有翻译,有兴趣
的自己看吧。
http://www.holistichealthsecrets.com/alternativehealth/genetica
modified-foods-healthy-to-eat/
Are Genetically Modified Foods Healthy to Eat?
July 14th, 2009adminLeave a commentGo to comments
The topic of Genetically Modified Food (GMOs) can be confusing. On one side
we have big Pharma
companies touting studies that show that Genetically Modified Food is
perfectly safe for consumption. On
the other hand, we have wholistic health groups and speakers s... 阅读全帖
X*******8
发帖数: 3895
13
读读这个吧,没有翻译,有兴趣
的自己看吧。AAEM的人你不因该叫民科了吧?另外,谁把我关于先锋分类的贴删了?每
必要这么害怕吧?
http://www.holistichealthsecrets.com/alternativehealth/genetica
modified-foods-healthy-to-eat/
Are Genetically Modified Foods Healthy to Eat?
July 14th, 2009adminLeave a commentGo to comments
The topic of Genetically Modified Food (GMOs) can be confusing. On one side
we have big Pharma
companies touting studies that show that Genetically Modified Food is
perfectly safe for consumption. On
the other hand, we have wholistic health gr... 阅读全帖
c*******2
发帖数: 617
14
好文欣赏
关键点: 为了避免民主轮胡搅蛮缠, 作者迅速从中印对比转向印孟对比。
从印度能否追上中国的伪问题, 反问“印度能追上孟加拉国吗”
I was awakened early one morning recently by someone who said he was
enormously enjoying my on-going debate on economic growth in India. I was
very pleased that I had given someone some joy, but I also wondered what on
earth he could be talking about, since I have not been involved in any such
debate. As it happens, I am getting a steady stream of telephone calls and
electronic communication about this alleged debate. Since I ... 阅读全帖
s********i
发帖数: 17328
15
美国30-40年代人口增长缓慢或下降主要有以下原因:1。移民减少由20-30年的四百多
万减少到30-40年的50几万。2。大萧条大家不愿生孩子。3。1918年流感中死去的小孩
和青年,30-40年代正直生育年代。
an interesting paper:
http://www.pnas.org/content/106/41/17290.full
经济形势好的时候,活得反而短。
Analysis of various indicators of population health shows that population
health did not decline and indeed improved during the Great Depression of
1930–1933. During this period, mortality decreased for almost all ages, and
gains of several years in life expectancy were observed for males, females,
whites a... 阅读全帖
w*p
发帖数: 16484
16
而且农村和西部肝癌更严重,主要是肝炎疫苗接种比例太低。
Liver cancer incidence and mortality in China: Temporal trends and
projections to 2030
Temporal trends and projections of liver cancer to 2030
Chin J Cancer Res. 2018 Dec; 30(6): 571–579.
Objective
Liver cancer is one of the most common cancers and major cause of cancer
deaths in China, which accounts for over 50% of new cases and deaths
worldwide. The systematic liver cancer statistics including of projection
through 2030 could provide valuable information for preven... 阅读全帖
q***o
发帖数: 734
17
来自主题: Military版 - 全球变暖真的会死人
Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5&
#8201;°C and 2.0 °C warming
The increase in surface air temperature in China has been faster than the
global rate, and more high temperature spells are expected to occur in
future. Here we assess the annual heat-related mortality in densely
populated cities of China at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming.
For this, the urban population is projected under five SSPs, and 31 GCM
runs as well as temperature-m... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
18
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: cellcycle (vacoule), 信区: USANews
标 题: 从最新数据看(如属实),武汉肺炎类似“大号流感”,毒性
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 28 16:59:51 2020, 美东)
低于 SARS 和 MERS(中东肺炎,来自于骆驼),SARS mortality rate ~10%, 接近8
千感染,死了7百多;MERS 最高,~40% 1700多感染,死了600多;
每年的 Flu mortality rate 最高不会超过2%, 而且 中老年,小小孩多,》65岁,一
般占的 2/3;
这个 武汉肺炎病毒 类似于 流感,现在 mortality rate, ~2。5%,四千多感染,
100多死亡,死者也是 中老年居多,
但武汉肺炎 R值高,接近5,意思是 一个人能传染快5个人(其它几个 R在 2左右),
潜伏期长,可达14天,更增加感染机会;
所以,基本只有隔离这一个办法,期望控制住散播,靠到 天暖,天热!
有一点点欣慰的是,so far,青壮年,身体好,免疫力强的 治病几率相对比... 阅读全帖
Q*****i
发帖数: 349
19
https://news.yahoo.com/75-000-wuhan-infected-coronavirus-study-estimates-
183409651.html
75,000 in Wuhan infected with coronavirus: study estimate
s
[AFP Relax News]
AFP Relax News•January 31, 2020
More than 75,000 people have been infected with the coronavirus in Wuhan,
according to new research.
More than 75,000 people -- ten times the official tally of confirmed cases -
- have been infected with the coronavirus in Wuhan, ground zero of a global
health emergency, according to research pu... 阅读全帖
O********0
发帖数: 994
20
还在批评英国的「群体免疫」计划?
还对疫情的全球趋势掉以轻心?
本周,一份重磅报告,改变了全部形势。
这份报告对疫情的预测出来后,英国政府吓坏了,马上改变了此前的抗疫举措。美国政
府也吓坏了,从川普开始,也立即改变了对疫情的语气...以及措施。
这份报告,你如果没读过,一定要好好读一遍。
| 伦敦帝国理工学院MRC全球传染病分析中心研究报告封面。
我们特地为大家找到这份报告原文,在「明白知识」公众号后台回复关键词「报告」,
即可获得这份报告的电子版~
这份重量级报告,是伦敦帝国理工学院(Imperial College)的MRC全球传染病分析中
心给出的,分析中心的团队领导者是著名的流行病学家尼尔·弗格森(Neil Ferguson)
报告全名为《非药物干预措施对降低新冠死亡人数、减少医疗需求的影响》(Impact
of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and
healthcare demand)
MRC全球传染病分析中心有50名顶尖科学家,它长期与世界卫生组织关系紧密,也一直
是英... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
21
American Cancer Society report finds continued progress in reducing cancer
mortality
More than a million deaths avoided since rates began to drop
ATLANTA – January 4, 2012 – The American Cancer Society's annual cancer
statistics report shows that between 2004 and 2008, overall cancer incidence
rates declined by 0.6% per year in men and were stable in women, while
cancer death rates decreased by 1.8% per year in men and by 1.6% per year in
women.
The report, Cancer Statistics 2012, published onli... 阅读全帖
w*********s
发帖数: 2136
22

The public is now getting lots of medical propaganda about the eradication
of smallpox through vaccination. But in fact, the consensus among leading
medical historians that have studied the question have maintained that the
eradication of the zymotic, or "filth" diseases, like cholera, dysentery,
typhus, plague, in the past that are popularly attributed to mass
vaccination campaigns, had actually been due to improvements in diet,
hygiene, sanitary measures, non-medical public health laws, and ... 阅读全帖
Q*S
发帖数: 395
23
来自主题: NextGeneration版 - 产科简史和正常生产建议
我不知道你是如何阅读文献的。你文章中引用的数据原文在 PubMed 检索到的结论如下:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21709933
CONCLUSIONS: There is an inverse exponential relation between countries'
rates of Cesarean deliveries and infant or maternal mortality rates. Very
low Cesarean rates (less than 15%) are associated with poorer maternal and
child outcomes. Cesarean rates greater than 15% were neither correlated to
higher maternal nor child mortality, nor to low weight-at-birth.
为了方便网友阅读,翻成中文:
“结论:各国家的剖腹产率与母婴死亡率呈负指数相关。极低的剖腹产率 (<... 阅读全帖
q*d
发帖数: 22178
24
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
swjtuer (swjtuer) 于 (Tue Mar 30 23:56:30 2010, 美东) 提到:
星期一
早餐 牛奶,煮鸡蛋,玉米馒头,榨菜
早点 芦柑
午餐 中大:绿豆饭,木须肉,海米冬瓜,棒骨菠菜汤
小婴:绿豆饭,三叶瓜炒肉,海米冬瓜,棒骨菠菜汤
午点 冰糖山楂水,蔬菜饼
晚餐 棒骨冬苋菜瘦肉粥,卤肉秋叶夹馍

星期二
早餐 牛奶,蒸鸡蛋,枣泥糕
早点 香蕉
午餐 中大:胡萝卜饭,芹菜炒牛肉,珊瑚豆腐,棒骨凤尾汤
小婴:胡萝卜饭,芹菜炒肉,珊瑚豆腐,棒骨凤尾汤
午点 果汁,卤猪肝
晚餐 豌豆肉末焖饭,番茄虾皮紫菜汤
星期三
早餐 南瓜粥,卤蛋,如意肉卷
早点 脐橙
午餐 中大:金银饭,咸烧白,海米儿菜,棒骨冬苋菜汤
小婴:金银饭,樱桃肉,海米儿菜,棒骨冬苋菜汤
午点 牛奶,蛋卷
晚餐 米饭,蒜苔炒肉,芙蓉蒸蛋,棒骨海带萝卜汤
星期四
早餐 牛奶,蒸鸡蛋,奶香馒头
早点 苹果
午餐 中大:南瓜饭,什锦鱼丸,韭菜炒豆干,番茄菌类鱼汤
... 阅读全帖
W***n
发帖数: 11530
25
来自主题: Stock版 - Coffee and Health
Dr. Rob van Dam
Assistant Professor in the Department of Nutrition, Harvard School of Public
Health
The Summary
Drinking up to six cups a day of coffee is not associated with increased
risk of death from any cause, or death from cancer or cardiovascular
disease.
Some people may still want to consider avoiding coffee or switching to
decaf, especially women who are pregnant, or people who have a hard time
controlling their blood pressure or blood sugar.
It’s best to brew coffee with a ... 阅读全帖
r********n
发帖数: 6979
26
来自主题: Fishing版 - Bass出水以后能活多久?
今天做了点research. 大部分老美的说法是1-2分钟没有问题, 再长就不行了. 不过基
本都是经验之谈, 找到了这篇文章是evidence based. 作为大家参考
RE-EXAMINING "HOLDING YOUR BREATH" GUIDELINES
I've come across two truly fascinating studies concerning largemouth
bass and hypoxia. One was published a year ago, the other is set for
publication very soon. In both cases they studied varying amounts of air
exposure after exercise/angling that a bass could be subjected to. One
was done in the lab, one in the field. Both have reached the same basic
conclusion. C... 阅读全帖
m******e
发帖数: 536
27
An Hour of Running May Add 7 Hours to Your Life
from New York Times by GRETCHEN REYNOLDS APRIL 12, 2017
Running may be the single most effective exercise to increase life
expectancy, according to a new review and analysis of past research about
exercise and premature death. The new study found that, compared to
nonrunners, runners tended to live about three additional years, even if
they run slowly or sporadically and smoke, drink or are overweight. No other
form of exercise that researchers loo... 阅读全帖
b********r
发帖数: 7725
28
来自主题: TVGame版 - My Limited Edition
PS3:
Assassins Creed
Assassins Creed 2
Metal Gear Solid 4
God of War 3
Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2
Mortal Kombat DC Universe
XBOX360:
Halo 3
Halo Wars
Halo Reach
Gear of War
Gears of War 2
PS2:
Mortal Kombat Deception
Mortal Kombat Amaggadon
Metal Gear Solid 3 Subsistence
...
XBOX
Halo 2
PSP:
Metal Gear Solid Peace Walker
I only buy Brand New Factory Sealed games. I dont buy Limited for fighting games, except Mortal Kombat.
a**y
发帖数: 6501
29
来自主题: Midlife版 - [合集] Good morning.
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
jaff1973 (jaff) 于 (Tue Dec 1 07:53:39 2009, 美东) 提到:
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
jaff1973 (jaff) 于 (Tue Dec 1 07:54:27 2009, 美东) 提到:
Why Did I Laugh Tonight?
Why did I laugh tonight? No voice will tell:
No God, no Demon of severe response,
Deigns to reply from Heaven or from Hell.
Then to my human heart I turn at once.
Heart! Thou and I are here, sad and alone;
I say, why did I laugh? O mortal pain!
O Darkness! Darkness! ever must I ... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
30
来自主题: pets版 - Cats Are a Bird's No 1 Enemy
Elisabeth Rosenthal, Twitty Was Right: Cats Are a Bird's No 1 Enemy. New
York Times, Mar 21, 2011.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/21/science
/21birds.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=cat%20bird&st=cse
Quote:
"Nearly 80 percent of the birds were killed by predators, and cats were
responsible for 47 percent of those deaths
"The American Bird Conservancy estimates that up to 500 million birds are
killed each year by cats — about half by pets and half by feral felines. *
* * By contrast, 440,000 birds are killed ... 阅读全帖
D*****r
发帖数: 6791
31
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - Voltaire:Poem on the Lisbon Disaster
UNHAPPY mortals! Dark and mourning earth!
Affrighted gathering of human kind!
Eternal lingering of useless pain!
Come, ye philosophers, who cry, "All’s well,"
And contemplate this ruin of a world.
Behold these shreds and cinders of your race,
This child and mother heaped in common wreck,
These scattered limbs beneath the marble shafts—
A hundred thousand whom the earth devours,
Who, torn and bloody, palpitating yet,
Entombed beneath their hospitable roofs,
In racking torment end their stricken l... 阅读全帖
n********n
发帖数: 8336
32
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - Is God a Taoist?
"Mortal:
So the only way out of my dilemma is to believe that you and I are
identical?
God:
Not at all! This is only one way out. There are several others. For
example, it may be that you are part of me, in which case you may be talking
to that part of me which is you. Or I may be part of you, in which case you
may be talking to that part of you which is me. Or again, you and I might
partially overlap, in which case you may be talking to the intersection and
hence talking both to you and t... 阅读全帖
z*f
发帖数: 139
33
来自主题: Actuary版 - Baozi---Need your help!
Option 2:
You are buying #1
And
Paying ($205-$50)=$155 monthly premium for a $47,000 20Y pure endowment.
To caluclate the IRR for the pure endowment, you need to assume a mortality
table.
The calculation can be easily done in a spreadsheet.
An extreme case:
Assume zero mortality:
PV(240 payments of $155)@IRR=$47,000*(1+IRR)^(-20)
IRR is about 2.88%.
The higher mortality, the lower return for you.
A suggestion for you: if your only purpose is to cover mortality risk and
you are a healthy young ma... 阅读全帖
s*****o
发帖数: 2490
34
我是做杀虫剂毒理的,本版关于bt toxin在epa的风险评估是我最早提供的。关于对bt
toxin的毒理数据和风险评估的解读想和你探讨一下。
第一,bt toxin的acute toxicity的试验用到的剂量上限相当相当的高,EPA的risk
assessment里用到的是3.2mg/g,有的文献里是超过10mg/g,注意这是试验用到的最大
剂量,不是LD50,在这个剂量之下没有一只老鼠死亡。如果你做过oral toxicity就知
道,对小鼠或者大鼠来说这几乎是可以被撑死的剂量了(水的ld50是18mg/g,10mg/g的
水可能都会杀死一定比例的老鼠),这么大的量即使在胃内被降解大部分,也会有相当
多的剂量进入肠道,可是这么大的量没有产生mortality (epa的RA提到没有一只老鼠死
掉),这说明第一种可能,在鼠体内的蛋白酶对bt protoxin的切割是non specific的,
如果有切割的话,产生的active toxin的量相当低;第二种可能,active toxin与受体
的结合是non specific的,如果有的话;第三种可能,酶切和受体结合都是non-s... 阅读全帖
L*****r
发帖数: 722
35
来自主题: MedicalCareer版 - insulin for pt on Vent without h/o DM

但据dr. Liu说现在又有了BETTER trial,我酱子的懒人正在等着他把原文消化总结之
后给搬过来呢;)
其实都在UpTodate 的同一篇文章里面了:
The Leuven surgical trial found that IIT improves mortality in surgical
patients,...but a concern about this trial was the high mortality rates in
the control group;
In contrast, NICE-SUGAR trial analyzed its surgical patients, there was
increased mortality among those who received IIT compared to those who
received conventional glucose control。
你说的IIT improves mortality in surgical patients,大概就是Leuven surgical
tri
s*****h
发帖数: 937
36
来自主题: MedicalCareer版 - 请教OB专家一个生孩子的问题
Evidence has shown that C exposes both the mother and the coming child to
more complications. That's why we suggest DO NOT choose to do C unless there
are indications. Just check whatever EBM databse you prefer and you will
find a ton. Here are a few lines from Dynamed:
Overview:
risks of cesarean delivery
maternal risks: cesarean delivery associated with increased risk of maternal
morbidity and mortality (level 2 [mid-level] evidence)
planned cesarean delivery may be associated with increased p... 阅读全帖
r********r
发帖数: 352
37
I agree with ann2008 on this topic. Dig is not a first-line medication for
patient with heart failure. It doesn't have mortality benefit, has dangerous
side effects, and requires careful therapeutic monitoring. If the dig level
is above 0.8, it could produce worse outcome, and increase mortality. Not
that dig should bot be used in patient with heart failure. But I wouldn't
recommend it until all the standard therapy (BB/ACEI or ARB) are being
optimized. If a patient is already on target dose bb ... 阅读全帖
M*V
发帖数: 3205
38
来自主题: Military版 - tg V5, 艾滋病死亡绿降级67%
China has slashed AIDS mortality by nearly two-thirds since it began
distributing free antiretroviral drugs in 2002, Chinese government
scientists are reporting.
About 63 percent of all those needing AIDS drugs are getting them, up from
virtually zero in 2002. That has caused a 64 percent drop in mortality in
“person-years,” as China measures it, an estimate of how long someone
would have lived without the disease.
AIDS mortality dropped to 14.2 per 100 person-years in 2009, from 39.3 in
2002.
g*******1
发帖数: 2799
39
"It is hard to ignore that in 2006, the United States was number 1 in terms
of health care spending per capita but ranked 39th for infant mortality,
43rd for adult female mortality, 42nd for adult male mortality, and 36th for
life expectancy."
Doe J. WHO Statistical Information System (WHOSIS). Geneva: World Health
Organization, September 2009.
i*****s
发帖数: 4596
40
来自主题: Military版 - 朱令案有一个没有办法的办法
Forensic Toxicology
BY Katherine Ramsland
share
Comments
Heavy Metal
Robert Curley, 32, began to grow ill in August 1991, entering the hospital
in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, for what would become a series of stays
before he finally died in September. His doctors went through several
diagnoses for his puzzling symptoms, which included burning skin, numbness,
weakness, repeated vomiting and rapid hair loss. Just before he died, he
became more agitated and aggressive, so he was transferred to a... 阅读全帖
T**********e
发帖数: 29576
41
来自主题: Military版 - 美国的食物确实让人短寿
和老留80年代初到美国被超大汉堡油炸鸡块所震撼一样吧, 那时国内每月才30斤粮票肉
一斤半啊.
The Health Toll of Immigration
Esther Angeles, 41, with her daughter, Johanna Marisol Gomez, 7. Ms. Angeles
has developed diabetes since coming to the United States and struggles to
see that her daughter eats healthfully
By SABRINA TAVERNISE
BROWNSVILLE, Tex. — Becoming an American can be bad for your health.
A growing body of mortality research on immigrants has shown that the longer
they live in this country, the worse their rates of heart diseas... 阅读全帖
Q**********u
发帖数: 1616
42
玉林人民拯救了中国野生动物。美国野生动物也需要玉林人民拯救。
http://www.nature.com/ncomms/journal/v4/n1/full/ncomms2380.html
The impact of free-ranging domestic cats on wildlife of the United States
We estimate that free-ranging domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0 billion birds and
6.3–22.3 billion mammals annually. Un-owned cats, as opposed to owned pets,
cause the majority of this mortality. Our findings suggest that free-
ranging cats cause substantially greater wildlife mortality than previously
thought and are likely the single ... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
43
来自主题: Military版 - 12月10日 可能的历史
Yarmouth Port, Massachusetts
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Yarmouth Port, Massachusetts
Census-designated place
Boardwalk at Bass Hole
Location in Barnstable County and the state ofMassachusetts.
Coordinates: 41°42′17″N 70°13′15″WCoordinates: 41°42′17″N 70°13′
15″W
Country United States
State Massachusetts
County Barnstable
Town Yarmouth
Area
• Total 6.47 sq mi (16.76 km2)
• Land 6.04 sq mi (15.65 km2)
• Water 0.43 sq mi (1.11 km2)
Elevation 52 f... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
44
来自主题: Military版 - 12月25日 圣诞节快乐!
在网上发现了一个圣诞节商店,商店的建筑很有特色,而且遍布全美国,大概有70多个
店铺,以后大家买圣诞节用品可以去那里,似乎各州都有。我们这里和麻州的地址是:
CHRISTMAS TREE SHOP AUGUSTA, GA, 239 ROBERT C. DANIEL JR. PARKWAY,
AUGUSTA EXCHANGE, AUGUSTA, GA 30909, 706.738.0570, CHRISTMAS TREE SHOP
, MAGNOLIA PARK, 1117 WOODRUFF ROAD, GREENVILLE, SC 29607. 864. 297.
3667
CHRISTMAS TREE SHOPS NATICK, 1298 WORCESTER ST. ROUTE 9, SHERWOOD
PLAZA, NATICK, MA 01760, 508.655.9800
CHRISTMAS TREE SHOPS SOMERVILLE, 177 MIDDLESEX AVENUE, ASSEMBLY SQUARE
... 阅读全帖
Q*****Y
发帖数: 741
45
(XYS20120911)
方先生:
你好,很感谢新语丝提供了一个揭露不端不正的学术舞台。也让人看到了还
有很多正直的人为学术净化做出的努力。不管目的如何,只要揭露的是事实,不
侮辱人格就应提倡。
今年申请国家自然科学基金未中。出于来年想申报,也想从获得者的工作吸
取点经验,以利来年申报。对本年度结果和资助人的情况进行检索,结果让人难
以置信。也很奇怪,国家自然科学基金以公正、公平著称,有着严格的检查系统,
竟然会出现这种情况,也很困惑。
经检索发现国家自然科学基金优秀青年基金获得者-复旦大学阚海东存在明
显的学术不端行为。检索过程中发现的问题为:
1. 一稿多投:两篇文章的某些图表和数字完全相同
发表在Archieves of Environmental Health中的 Air pollution and
daily mortality in Shanghai:A time-series study. 2003,58: 360-364 与
发表在J Occup Heath 中的A case-crossover analysis of air pollution and
daily ... 阅读全帖
W*****B
发帖数: 4796
46
来自主题: Military版 - 都好几个月了,还是老样子
都好几个月了,还是老样子。人民估计也习惯了没电的日子。这样可以有时间亲戚邻里
更多的促膝谈心交流。突然来电了,可能还要不适应了吧。
还有瞒报死亡人数。

Puerto Rico Orders Review and Recount of Hurricane Deaths
Facing mounting evidence that Puerto Rico has vastly undercounted the number
of people who died because of Hurricane Maria, Gov. Ricardo A. Rosselló
ordered on Monday that every death on the island since the calamitous storm
be reviewed.
Officials will look again at all deaths attributed to natural c... 阅读全帖
q******g
发帖数: 3858
47
Country Syria
2000 5.29
2001 5.21
2002 5.12
2003 5.04
2004 4.96
2005 4.88
2006 4.81
2007 4.74
2008 4.68
2009 4.61
2010 3.7
2011 3.68
2012 3.67
2013 3.67
2014 6.51
2016 4
2017 4
Definition of Death rate: This entry gives the average annual number of
deaths during a year per 1,000 population at midyear; also known as crude
death rate. The death rate, while only a rough indicator of the mortality
situation in a country, accurately indicates the current mortality impact on
population growth. This in... 阅读全帖
d****o
发帖数: 32610
48
来自主题: Military版 - 蔬菜油,玉米油,沙拉油
LDL也平反了
https://www.nhs.uk/news/heart-and-lungs/study-says-theres-no-link-between-
cholesterol-and-heart-disease/
The headlines are based on a new review which aimed to gather evidence from
previous observational studies on whether LDL cholesterol (so-called "bad
cholesterol") was linked with mortality in older adults aged over 60. The
conventional view is that having high LDL cholesterol levels increases your
risk of dying of cardiovascular diseases, such as heart disease.
Researchers chose 30 ... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
49
Discussion
We estimated that 88 100 influenza-associated excess respiratory
deaths occurred in mainland China during an influenza season, corresponding
to 8·2% of annual respiratory deaths. Accordingly, the mean all-age excess
respiratory mortality rate in mainland China of 6·5 (95% CI 6·3–6·8) per
100 000 person-seasons fell within the estimate for the Western
Pacific region reported in a global study (95% credible interval 3·6–7·5
per 100 000 individuals), despite differences... 阅读全帖
W*****B
发帖数: 4796
50
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: WCNMLGB (CCC), 信区: Military
标 题: 波多黎各的电力回复没有?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 18 15:41:27 2017, 美东)
都好几个月了,还是老样子。人民估计也习惯了没电的日子。这样可以有时间亲戚邻里
更多的促膝谈心交流。突然来电了,可能还要不适应了吧。
还有瞒报死亡人数。

Puerto Rico Orders Review and Recount of Hurricane Deaths
Facing mounting evidence that Puerto Rico has vastly undercounted the number
of people who died because of Hurricane Maria, Gov. Ricardo A. Rosselló
ordered on Monday that every ... 阅读全帖
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