r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 1 On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I
predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll.
I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former
Libertarian Presidential contender, or the 2008 Libertarian Vice
Presidential nominee. I relied on my career as a Las Vegas oddsmaker. Long
before I got into politics, I started out as the Network Oddsmaker and NFL
Analyst for CNBC (then known as Financial News Network). I've made my livi... 阅读全帖 |
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r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 2 On May 30th, I made a prediction that shocked the readers of TownHall. I
predicted a Romney landslide- with Obama leading in every poll.
I did not make that prediction as a political columnist, or as the former
Libertarian Presidential contender, or the 2008 Libertarian Vice
Presidential nominee. I relied on my career as a Las Vegas oddsmaker. Long
before I got into politics, I started out as the Network Oddsmaker and NFL
Analyst for CNBC (then known as Financial News Network). I've made my livi... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****e
发帖数: 193 | 3 BEIJING, China (AP) -- A landslide in northern China buried a brick factory,
killing 19 workers, local officials said Saturday.
Rescue workers found the workers' bodies at the site of a landslide that hit
Friday morning near Luliang town, said a staffer at the Shanxi provincial
government who refused to give his name as is customary.
The landslide occurred at 10:20 a.m. Friday on a mountain in Shang'an
village, engulfing the nearby factory, according to the official Xinhua News
Agency.
One worke |
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b***n
发帖数: 13455 | 4 Florida mail in ballots are showing a Trump landslide.
Republican mail in ballots, BOTH sent out and received, in FL are out pacing
Democrats. More importantly the number of "No Party Affiliation" aka
Independents is is YUGE.
Trump broke all the historical records for votes in the primaries largely
due to bringing in the Independent voters. Trump owns most of the
Independent voters, making this a landslide.
These are REAL ballots, not a MSM biased and skewed poll of 500 selected
people.
The numb... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****a
发帖数: 162 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: singdna (singdna), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 在seismic landslide zoon的房子值得买吗?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 26 23:59:44 2010, 美东)
已经under contract了,在山上,backyard是很斜的坡.各方面都符合我们的要求,还有
amazing view,很难得找到那么喜欢的房子.但在disclosure中发现是在 seismic
landslide zoon. 这个紧要吗?我比较担心这个,怕好像舟曲一样. 但是个湾区很多地
方都在地震带上,都那么多人照样买房子,而且我们周围的房子都是landslide zoon,好
像大家不太care. 我们应该walk away吗? 看房子看了很久了,很不舍得阿! |
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K****N
发帖数: 10783 | 6 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzsf72lYLo0
I took my love and I took it down
Climbed a mountain and turned around
And I saw my reflection in the snow-covered hills
Till the landslide brought it down
Oh, mirror in the sky - What is love?
Can the child within my heart rise above?
Can I sail through the changin' ocean tides?
Can I handle the seasons of my life?
I don't know, I don't know
Well, I've been afraid of changin'
Because I've built my life around you
But time makes you bolder, even childre... 阅读全帖 |
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l****e
发帖数: 609 | 7 这篇文章只是关于landslide victory和popular vote。
如果能看明白我这个题目，就知道Trump要想landslide victory是根本不可能的。
下次我一定写一篇关于Electoral College形式分析的文章，看看Trump能否拿到270。 |
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s*****a
发帖数: 162 | 8 已经under contract了,在山上,backyard是很斜的坡.各方面都符合我们的要求,还有
amazing view,很难得找到那么喜欢的房子.但在disclosure中发现是在 seismic
landslide zoon. 这个紧要吗?我比较担心这个,怕好像舟曲一样. 但是个湾区很多地
方都在地震带上,都那么多人照样买房子,而且我们周围的房子都是landslide zoon,好
像大家不太care. 我们应该walk away吗? 看房子看了很久了,很不舍得阿! |
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B******1
发帖数: 9094 | 9 landslide, not landslid. |
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j*j
发帖数: 5564 | 10 受wh那篇“梦中人，陈百强"的歌曲赏析文章的启示，刚才听Stevie Nicks的Landslide
的时候，心血来潮，也写写自己的感受。
Stevie的Landslide是收音机里放得很多的一首歌，想没听到过都难。最初听到的时候，
说实在不是很喜欢，Stevie的声音明显有些老了，显得coarse。
不过，老太太在经历岁月创伤后强烈而又自然的感悟，显然不是年轻人的为赋新诗强作
愁可以比拟；那情绪把我攫住，一时挥之不去，当时真觉得有点depressing。没想到后
来再听几遍之后，慢慢地开始喜欢上这首歌。
后来再听Dixie Chicks唱的版本，就觉得很轻浮很很肤浅，象一幅厚重的油画被轻描淡
写地临摹成了速写。甚至听了Stevie Nicks本人年轻时所演唱的这首歌，觉得相比之下，
还是她年老之后所唱的版本更有味道，充满着那更具渲染力的情绪。她30年前写的这首
歌，简直就是给自己年老之后所作。
不过，即使到今天，我也不知道歌曲确切要表达什么.
我的理解是，在爱的历程中幡然醒悟，不要不切实际地把爱看得太高，不要把爱情当成
高山一样去攀爬，认清真实的自己，让幻灭如山崩，把自己带回到现实。 |
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M********e
发帖数: 2528 | 11 想买一个小condo，3楼，view很好。能看到bay，海水，阳光也好。
但是今天看到地质报告，说是landsliding zone.
是不是山上的房子都有可能landsliding啊？ 买了，以后卖是不是concern啊？ |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 12 Seoul (CNN) -- A landslide near the South Korean town of Chuncheon killed 32
people and injured 24 others, authorities said Wednesday.
More than 750 rescue workers had been dispatched to the site after the
collapse occurred at midnight, according to the Central Disaster Relief
Center.
About 400 families have lost their homes and more than 14,000 were left
without power.
The hillside gave way during a summer of record-setting rainfall, which has
caused flooding and major traffic disruptions acros... 阅读全帖 |
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h*********r
发帖数: 10182 | 13 14 chapter, blistering piece
1. TRUMP THE DEMAGOGUE
2. TRUMP THE FRAUDSTER
3. TRUMP THE HEAD CASE
4. TRUMP THE FAKE PHILANTHROPIST
5. TRUMP THE LIAR
6. TRUMP THE FLIP-FLOPPER
7. TRUMP THE IGNORAMUS
8. TRUMP THE CONSPIRACY THEORIST
9. TRUMP THE TAX EVADER
10. TRUMP THE DIVIDER
11. TRUMP THE AUTHORITARIAN
12. TRUMP THE SECURITY RISK
13. TRUMP THE MISOGYNIST
14. TRUMP THE ENEMY OF DEMOCRACY
http://interactive.nydailynews.com/2016/10/daily-news-editorial-bury-trump-in-landslide/ |
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s*****o
发帖数: 1121 | 14 川粉：ohyeah？oheyah！landslide！起义！rigged！作弊！ |
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w****v
发帖数: 2756 | 19 11月GE, 船老大将横扫, 就是 win by a landslide, 现在还看不出这一点, 还是不要
聊政治了. |
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w****v
发帖数: 2756 | 20 11月GE, 船老大将横扫, 就是 win by a landslide, 现在还看不出这一点, 还是不要
聊政治了. |
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f********a
发帖数: 4239 | 21 各州选举人票也是根据各州人口比例来制定的，虽然不是严格正比，但是最后跟总数实
际上不会差太多。总票数如果多到2-3%，基本上就稳了。
这跟我观点相同，我看好川普，但是不存在landslide的可能性。希拉里的铁票在那里
摆着，能把中间派的人多拉过来，最后小胜，就是最好的结果。
当然我只是分析这个事情，我希望川普赢 |
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a****a
发帖数: 3905 | 22 poll和实际结果的偏差最大的来源在于turnout。希拉里要是能激发dem base的危机感
，输赢难说，要是dem base动员不起来，还真有可能landslide。 |
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b****y
发帖数: 480 | 24 where is the landslide? |
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 25 床铺总统是高手中的高手，genius of marketing。Landslide victory已经基本不可避
免。总结一下床铺五大绝杀，建议猥琐凤凰男好好学习一下。
1. Fear based marketing。床铺是best of all time。从一开始大肆鼓吹非法移民和
伊斯兰恐怖分子的威胁，制造人民恐惧心理来draw attention。到后来鼓吹rigged
democracy，让人们恐惧失去民主。老实说，rigging肯定有，但是被床铺夸大了，只要
被抓到一两件，民主党都有口难辩。
2. timing. 床铺想当总统多年了，不可否认他确实忧国忧民。但是他在这个时机出来
是最佳的。对手普遍很弱。希婆把柄太多，弱点明显。如果08年出来对决Obama胜算就
小得多。三场辩论每场要bring up什么攻击点也是perfect，再后来gettysburg speech
时机选择。
3. language。床铺绝对大师级。他的语言是所有候选人中最simple的，但是说服力最
高。据说他只用小学四年级都懂的单词。善用重复强调句式。善于贴标签打击对手，
low energy Jeb... 阅读全帖 |
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f********8
发帖数: 5601 | 26 60% popular vote? 空气里弥漫的是landslide的味道。 |
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r******g
发帖数: 691 | 27 a stunning and clear win. but to be landslide, he needs 400 electoral
college votes. |
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G****e
发帖数: 11198 | 28 我预测324，看看政治版图，中间部分，除了IL，就行山体滑坡一样，landslide. |
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I*****y
发帖数: 854 | 29 A landslide in south-western China has buried nearly 60 people, according to
state media.
Xinhua news agency said 50 mine workers and nine residents were buried in
the accident, in an iron-ore mining area near the city of Chongqing.
China's mining industry has a poor safety record with thousands of deaths
reported every year.
The collapse of a dam holding back mine waste killed more than 250 people in
northern Shanxi province last year. |
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m*****s
发帖数: 99 | 30 看到一个加州的房子，还不错。但是在landslide zone。这样的房子地震的时候是不是
就完了？能买吗？请执教 |
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a***a
发帖数: 50 | 31 南加州好些房子都建在山坡上，太多landslide zone了。都不能买就没法买了啊。不过
你要实在不踏实，就避开。省得天天操心。 |
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d*****i
发帖数: 163 | 32 Seismic Landslide zone 感觉挺吓人的， 有人对本地的了解这种情况不？ agent将
没啥担心的但是我想问下second opinion.. 多谢！ |
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c**e
发帖数: 3760 | 34 【 以下文字转载自 MusicPlayer 讨论区 】
发信人: cure (musikaholic), 信区: MusicPlayer
标 题: Landslide - Smashing Pumpkins' version (cover)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Aug 8 22:51:16 2009, 美东)
老早就学了一点，一直没学完。
这几个礼拜又拣回来把它搞定
windows movie maker不太会用。两段video对齐费了我老鼻子劲 |
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A**H
发帖数: 4797 | 35 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: baysky (走快两步财神到), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: 佛州早期投票显示Trump Landslide （Updated 10/19)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 19 15:29:07 2016, 美东)
You son of the bitch! What do you still have after cutting your mom-fucking
mouth? |
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l****r
发帖数: 21884 | 36 不懂。。。
不过如果能买到同样的非landsliding zone的，肯定还是选后者吧。 |
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wh
发帖数: 141625 | 37 没有哎，诗歌不需要顺。我读诗很差劲，不用听我的，等shot他们来说。
给你看一个网友写的landslide:
发信人: joj (寄生于世上，原是那么好), 信区: Zhejiang
标 题: Landslide-让虚幻的憧憬轰然崩溃
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 6 17:58:44 2008)
受wh那篇“梦中人，陈百强"的歌曲赏析文章的启示，刚才听Stevie Nicks的Landslide
的时候，心血来潮，也写写自己的感受。
Stevie的Landslide是收音机里放得很多的一首歌，想没听到过都难。最初听到的时候，
说实在不是很喜欢，Stevie的声音明显有些老了，显得coarse。
不过，老太太在经历岁月创伤后强烈而又自然的感悟，显然不是年轻人的为赋新诗强作
愁可以比拟；那情绪把我攫住，一时挥之不去，当时真觉得有点depressing。没想到后
来再听几遍之后，慢慢地开始喜欢上这首歌。
后来再听Dixie Chicks唱的版本，就觉得很轻浮很很肤浅，象一幅厚重的油画被轻描淡
写地临摹成了速写。甚至听了Stevie Nicks本人年轻时所演唱的这首歌，... 阅读全帖 |
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d*b
发帖数: 4453 | 38 廊坊五毛懂个鸡巴毛美国！ 难为你们不懂洋文，google不出来。 那我帮你一下好了。
美国这地方，不象你们廊坊，女的要给领导日，男的要把他妈给党委书记日才能上位。
在美国，只要你有本事，有能力，别说黑人当总统，就是亚裔小黄人照样凭当电视主
播。
Lia Chang: Fox 5 News NY (WNYW-TV) reporter Ti-Hua Chang Receives AAJA
National Journalism Award for story which explores Asian American Poverty in
New York
Lia Chang: Fox 5 News NY (WNYW-TV) reporter Ti-Hua Chang Receives AAJA
National Journalism Award for story which explores Asian American Poverty in
New York
Ti-Hua Chang
Kudos to Fox 5 News NY (WNYW-TV) reporter Ti-Hua C... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 39 September 9, 2016
The Battleground Poll and Trump's Path to Victory
By Bruce Walker
The GWU Battleground Poll published on September 9 shows Donald Trump a
clear path to victory: win the conservative vote. The data in this poll has
been consistent over the last two decades, and the data in the latest poll
is no different. The overwhelming majority of Americans are self-identified
conservatives.
The September 2016 Battleground Poll shows that 54% of all Americans are
self-identified conservativ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 40 ACTUARIAL REVIEW: Analysis of Recent Polls Shows Trump Win and Possible
Landslide
Jim Hoft Oct 18th, 2016 10:02 am Leave a Comment
Guest post by Joe Hoft
trump clinton speeches
Ann Coulter warned in her book Slander in 2003 that the far left main stream
media always uses polls to push their agenda. Polls can be skewed by
selecting an unreasonable sample size, by asking lead up questions or by
selecting more of a sample population of one side of an issue to achieve a
desired result.
Main stream m... 阅读全帖 |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 41 Commentary: Why Hillary will probably win
70 Comments 80 Shares Tweet Stumble Email
During the Republican convention in Cleveland, I found myself talking with a
GOP operative involved with the Trump campaign. Unprompted, he laid out two
scenarios for how this election could work out. In scenario one, Trump gets
a rather surprising, Brexit-esque surge that propels him to victory. In the
second, Trump gets wiped out, winning only the deep-red states.
That less-than-bullish assessment was h... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 42 Flooding and landslides leave at least 85 dead
Dozens of people have been killed and 2 million forced to flee their homes
after record rains, triggering widespread flooding and deadly landslides.
Authorities said that 85 people are dead, 6 are in critical condition and at
least 58 are missing, according to Japanese broadcaster NHK.
"The record rainfalls in various parts of the country have caused rivers to
burst their banks, and triggered large scale floods and landslides in
several areas," Cabi... 阅读全帖 |
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Q***N
发帖数: 2972 | 43 另外忘了说, BERKELEY HILLS/EL CERRITO HILLS是HAYWARD FAULT经过的地方.
BERKELEY的FOOTBALL体育馆好象是在FAULT的正上方, OAKLAND一带是沿着HIGHWAY 13 (
LAKE TEMESCAL)一直向南延伸到FREMONT.
BERKELEY HILL的VIEW大多数都被树挡住了, EL CERRITO HILLS/KENSINGTON的树少些,
有BAY BRIDGE VIEW的房子多很多.
另外,在BERKELY HILL/EL CERRITO HILLS和一小块的OAKLAND HILL买房需要留心
LANDSLIDE ZONE(泥石流区),不少房子都在LANDSLIDE ZONE里. SOIL ENGINEER的MAP基
本能精确到每个房子. 我问过他们,据说MAP的误差在半个房子左右,基本MAP上
LANDSLIDE ZONE相邻的房子也不能买.MAP是无数打点采样后绘制的. |
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wh
发帖数: 141625 | 44 找到才子那个帖子了：
发信人: joj (寄生于世上，原是那么好), 信区: Zhejiang
标 题: Landslide-让虚幻的憧憬轰然崩溃
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 6 17:58:44 2008)
受wh那篇“梦中人，陈百强"的歌曲赏析文章的启示，刚才听Stevie Nicks的Landslide
的时候，心血来潮，也写写自己的感受。
Stevie的Landslide是收音机里放得很多的一首歌，想没听到过都难。最初听到的时候，
说实在不是很喜欢，Stevie的声音明显有些老了，显得coarse。
不过，老太太在经历岁月创伤后强烈而又自然的感悟，显然不是年轻人的为赋新诗强作
愁可以比拟；那情绪把我攫住，一时挥之不去，当时真觉得有点depressing。没想到后
来再听几遍之后，慢慢地开始喜欢上这首歌。
后来再听Dixie Chicks唱的版本，就觉得很轻浮很很肤浅，象一幅厚重的油画被轻描淡
写地临摹成了速写。甚至听了Stevie Nicks本人年轻时所演唱的这首歌，觉得相比之下，
还是她年老之后所唱的版本更有味道，充满着那更具渲染力的情绪。她30年前写的这 |
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s**********t
发帖数: 2401 | 45 A landslide has caused the derailment of a passenger train in south-east Chi
na, with at least 19 people killed and 71 injured.
The train crashed into dirt and debris blocking the tracks in a mountainous
area of Jiangxi province at 0210 (1810 GMT), the railway ministry said.
It had been making its way from Shanghai to the tourist area of Guilin.
Jiangxi has been hit by heavy rains in recent days, causing landslides and f
looding low-lying farms.
An investigation has been opened into the crash an |
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w***n
发帖数: 1084 | 46 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/36782187/ns/weather/
TAIPEI, Taiwan — An official says rescuers are searching for travelers in
three cars buried by a massive landslide when a hillside collapsed in
northern Taiwan.
Firefighter Tang Cheng-yu says the Sunday landslide buried a portion of a
three-lane highway in rubble about the size of two soccer stadiums.
A motorist first reported the accident in Keelung. He said he made a sharp
turn to narrowly escape the massive mud cascading down in front of his ca |
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p****a
发帖数: 631 | 47 李老师 landslide 胡core
四年后李老师再轻松landslide近平 |
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S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: StephenKing (金博士), 信区: USANews
标 题: 为什么亚裔远离了共和党？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 5 23:44:40 2016, 美东)
1992年，只有36%的亚裔投票给民主党
2008年，64%的亚裔投票给民主党
2012年，73%的亚裔投票给民主党
是亚裔吃福利的，比其他族群多吗？
不是。
2009年统计表明，亚裔的收入远高于其他族群。
亚裔的中位家庭收入是65500美元，白人是51900美元，西班牙裔38000美元，黑人32600
美元。
那么，是亚裔无知吗？
在美国，教育程度最高的族裔，是亚裔。
那么，是亚裔犯贱吗？
美国新闻版的极右会大声说，是！然后用各种各样的恶心的污言秽语招呼任何跟他们政
见不同的华人。
我想说，你们赢了。
你们2008年就赢了。
你们2012又赢了。
你们帮助民主党赢了。
2016年，你们还会赢！
下面这篇文章，详尽分析了为什么亚裔越来越远离共和党的原因。不一定全面，但是，
文章提到了金博士永远不会投任何共和党人任何一票的原因！
During... 阅读全帖 |
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M******a
发帖数: 6723 | 49 Trump win by a landslide
这是个虚拟语气，或者说，表达一种愿望。
如果是陈述事实或者结论，应该是Trump wins by a landslide。 |
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d****d
发帖数: 92 | 50 所以这次要landslide击败trump，迫使GOP抛弃幻想回到他们2012年的共识上，即GOP需
要与时俱进跟上美国人口变化的趋势。如果GOP能剥离alt right这类极右，我看好他们
重新划分政治版图，4-8年间就能landslide DEM回来。而种族主义无法hijack 温和GOP
，会被再次边缘化。 |
|
