j****r 发帖数: 192 | 1 Obama's record says the opposite. He's been proved the most divisive and
lack of leadership president. What kind of incumbent president can not run
on his record and can only use endless lies and attacks. This is really
pathetic. Not as many people will buy his cheap hope this time. Don't try to
sell this made up fear crap about Romney. The Bush story is getting really
old. The fear under Obama is real. |
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c*****n 发帖数: 14445 | 2 What kind of incumbent president can not run on his record and can only use
endless lies and attacks. This is really pathetic.
I will answer your question, that is, me!
--- Bush, 2004
to
really |
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j****r 发帖数: 192 | 3 Obama's record says the opposite. He's been proved the most divisive and
lack of leadership president. What kind of incumbent president can not run
on his record and can only use endless lies and attacks. This is really
pathetic. Not as many people will buy his cheap hope this time. Don't try to
sell this made up fear crap about Romney. The Bush story is getting really
old. The fear under Obama is real. |
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c*****n 发帖数: 14445 | 4 What kind of incumbent president can not run on his record and can only use
endless lies and attacks. This is really pathetic.
I will answer your question, that is, me!
--- Bush, 2004
to
really |
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c*****r 发帖数: 8227 | 5 Very good for RR!
One of the worst for an incumbent . |
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c*****r 发帖数: 8227 | 6 Very good for RR!
One of the worst for an incumbent . |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 7 October 26, 2012 Posted by Warner Todd Huston
In keeping with the “Mittmentum” that we are seeing in many states and
swing states across the country, New Hampshire is for the first time looking
more like a lovely purple color tinged heavily in red with polls showing
Mitt Romney topping President Obama there for the first time.
With less than two weeks to go, historically blue New Hampshire is showing a
50% Romney to 48% Obama result in Rasmussen’s latest polling. Rasmussen
has shown a steady mo... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 8 October 25, 2012 | Posted by Doug Johnson
Photo: WhiteHouse.gov
Well I’ve found my favorite paragraph of the week, in The New York Times of
all places (granted it’s on one of their blogs), penned by Ross Douthat.
Losing campaigns have a certain feel to them: They go negative hard, try
out new messaging very late in the game, hype issues that only their core
supporters are focused on, and try to turn non-gaffes and minor slip-ups by
their opponents into massive, election-turning scandals. Th... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e 发帖数: 29576 | 10 by Andrew Ferguson, campaign veteran
The news readers from NPR were mum-mum-mumbling in the background the other
morning as I was putt-putt-puttering around the house when . .&
#8201;. all of a sudden . . . running
counter to every fiber of my being . . . pulling
against my every natural inclination . . . I began
to pay attention! President Obama, one of the news readers said, was giving
a speech in the Mi... 阅读全帖 |
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d****i 发帖数: 4354 | 11 "Then I realized I wouldn’t know what to do with one if I had it—like an
incumbent with a second term." LOL
other
.&
began
giving
final |
|
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 13 In 2010, Republican Randy Altschuler lost by 692 votes to Democrat Tim
Bishop, the incumbent Congressman representing New York's first
congressional district that covers Suffolk County – the eastern end of Long
Island. Altschuler said then that Bishop was a part of the problem in
Washington and Bishop, the Democrat, proved him to be right.
In 2012, Bishop got caught soliciting campaign donations from a constituent
in what seems to be a classic pay-to-play scheme in which Bishop received $
10,000... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 14 Posted by Bryan Jacoutot Monday, October 29, 2012 at 1:01pm
A new Boston Globe poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey
Center shows Scott Brown is making a successful October push in
Massachusetts to keep his seat in the United States Senate. The Globe now
has Brown leading 47-45.
The poll is a reversal from a September Globe survey that showed Warren
ahead 43 percent to 38 percent, as well as several other recent polls that
have found Warren with a slight lead. The shift... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****n 发帖数: 14445 | 15 2004 election
Bush always leaded Kerry in the poll before the debate
Kerry did well in the first debate
and slight leaded the poll
but finally still lost the election
The incumbent president has a lot of advantages
do not underestimated this
This time
Romney is just Kerry in 2004
and Obama is Bush! |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 16 October 31, 2012 by Warner Todd Huston
Based on his economic election model, Yale University economist Ray Fair
predicts that GOP nominee Mitt Romney will pull out a sparse victory in
November.
Fair’s model successfully predicts the winners of every election but two
since 1916. The two, the 1960 election of John Kennedy and the 1992 election
of Bill Clinton, are the only ones his economics-based electoral prediction
model gets wrong.
Fair uses several economic indicators in his model to determ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 17 by Jammie
Eric Holder and Barack Obama were unavailable for comment. You suppose a
Republican incumbent would have gotten such a media free pass on this and
Benghazi?
A Mexican robber has admitted murdering a U.S. Border patrol agent whose
death revealed a failed federal gun smuggling operation.
Manuel Osorio-Arellanes pleaded guilty to killing agent Brian Terry in
2010 – the highest profiel conviction in the case which has embarrassed the
federal government and prompted a series of cong... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 18 by Jeff Graham
Four years ago the publisher of the Watertown Daily Times was among
those with the tingle over 'hope and change', but now that's changed.
Today the paper dumped President Obama and endorsed Governor Mitt
Romney for President.
The paper cites a need for change and Mr. Romney's ability to handle
the economy as reasons.
One poll shows 9% of 2008 Obama voters are flipping. That's about 6.
3 million people meaning Mr. Obama's 10 million vote popular margin ... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g 发帖数: 3975 | 19 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
Tweet this
inShare2
Email
Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
m****g 发帖数: 3975 | 20 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
Tweet this
inShare2
Email
Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
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m****g 发帖数: 3975 | 23 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
Tweet this
inShare2
Email
Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
m****g 发帖数: 3975 | 24 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
Tweet this
inShare2
Email
Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
m****g 发帖数: 3975 | 25 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
Share
Tweet this
inShare2
Email
Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American vo... 阅读全帖 |
|
w**d 发帖数: 956 | 26 版主大人英明,是没有狗屁的关系,只有直接的关系。
Richard Earl Mourdock (born October 8, 1951) is the 53rd treasurer of the
state of Indiana, serving since February 10, 2007. Running with the support
of the tea party movement, he defeated six-term incumbent U.S. Senator
Richard Lugar in the May 2012 Republican primary election. He will face
Democratic U. S. Representative Joe Donnelly and Libertarian Andrew Horning
in the November 6, 2012 general election to replace Lugar.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Mourdock |
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P*O 发帖数: 4324 | 27 Villanova political science professor, Lara Brown, has been telling me for
over a year that the race would be a dead heat, 47% to 47% on November 1st–
with victory going to the party that gets out the greatest numbers of its
base, and persuades the tiny number of people who are unaffiliated with
either party to vote for them. All the rest, polls, debates, headline issues
, acts of nature, have very little actual impact on voting decisions, Brown
insists. Tell that to the cable tv news programs.
... 阅读全帖 |
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g******s 发帖数: 3056 | 28 Great news! If the incumbent is not over 50% in the poll, he will lose! |
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P*O 发帖数: 4324 | 29 A GOP insider has leaked internal polls, indicating Republican Mitt Romney
ahead in Ohio by one point, and neck-and-neck with Barack Obama in two
liberal-leaning states.
GOP analyst Neil Newhouse also claims Romney owns a three-percentage point
advantage in New Hampshire, where the former CEO and governor owns a
vacation house. And, according to his data, Obama and Mitt are dead even in
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which might spell disaster for the Democratic
incumbent.
http://politics.gather.co... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********1 发帖数: 2980 | 30 Mitt Romney adviser Ed Gillespie expressed confidence Monday night that
Republican voters would turn up at the polls in greater numbers than
Democrats this election year, giving Romney a good chance to win several
swing states that Obama took in 2008.
"We have momentum and we're going to capitalize on that," he told Fox News'
Sean Hannity, predicting "a big, big win" for the GOP nominee in
Pennsylvania and Virginia, where Romney has been focusing much of his time
and money in the closing days of... 阅读全帖 |
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k**i 发帖数: 10191 | 31 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redskins_Rule
"On November 4, 2012, the Redskins lost against the Carolina Panthers. It
was the last home game for the Redskins before the 2012 Presidential
Election, which will take place on November 6. If the Redskins Rule holds
true in the upcoming election, it predicts a loss for incumbent Barack Obama
against challenger Mitt Romney.[3]" |
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l**1 发帖数: 1875 | 32 Bush is an incumbent president in 2004!
LOL |
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f*****e 发帖数: 5177 | 33 FL的那个席位本来就是民主党的。
现在GOP已经丢了马萨诸塞,缅因,印第安纳三个席位了。
前两个丢了在意料之中。indiana丢了太不应该了。
这只能怪共和党自己折腾。硬是把incumbent初选给选下去了。
初选上来的那个默多克就是个SB。靠着抱茶党的大腿赢了初选。
所以说不怕神一样的对手,就怕猪一样的队友。 |
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o****y 发帖数: 26355 | 34 GOP is fine la.
They just don't send a strong canidate out.
The pontential GOP hopefuls really put emphasise on 2016.
It is hard to defeat an incumbent. |
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g***y 发帖数: 1268 | 35 Incumbent还是有优势吧。极右在NJ恐怕Primary很困难。把Christie逼急了,鱼死网破
,脱党成independent,就成lose-lose了。 |
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y***r 发帖数: 16594 | 36 很多原因,反正GOP是没问题的,有问题的是天,是地,是DEM。
WASHINGTON -- Republicans across the country were shellshocked as President
Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney in Tuesday’s presidential election,
finishing the race with 332 electoral votes and winning every battleground
state except for North Carolina. The blame game began almost immediately, as
Republicans looked to determine how a vulnerable incumbent like Obama had
found a pathway to reelection.
The evidence behind the president’s victory points toward a stron... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 37 Nikki Haley Picks Tim Scott for U.S. Senate
By Jim Geraghty
December 17, 2012 9:41 A.M.
Comments
9
Print
Text
Multiple media sources are reporting that South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley
will indeed name Rep. Tim Scott to be the next senator from South Carolina.
Scott will serve for two years, and then presumably run in a special
election in 2014. If reelected, he would serve an additional two years (the
remaining two years of the six-year term Jim DeMint was elected to in 2010)
and then potential... 阅读全帖 |
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g***y 发帖数: 1268 | 38 这是应该的。现在尤其是senator,incumbent的在任优势太大。一干就几十年。 |
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g***y 发帖数: 1268 | 39 我根本不相信你引号里的说法,所以我不用放在我的签名档里。
因为首先司法体制本从来就不是民主的,就像supreme court judge 都是终身制,明显
是独裁的。
参议员的选举是民主的,但是和总统比,参议员竞选制度更独裁,为什么? 总统有任
期制,而参议员没有。
只有任期制才是所有独裁者的心头大患。从chavez,到putin,这些独裁者的从民主体制
走向独裁的障碍从不是人民,而是任期制。
为什么民主选举不足以保障民主,而需要任期制,就是因为incumbent advantage. |
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c*****g 发帖数: 21627 | 40 Rand Paul wins CPAC straw poll; Rubio close second
By NBC's Domenico Montanaro
CPAC stands with Rand.
“Torch of liberty” scion Rand Paul was the choice of the plurality of
conservatives at the Conservative Political Action Conference, as Paul won
the much-hyped straw poll with 25 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio was a
close second with 23 percent.
It shouldn’t be surprising that the Kentucky senator won the straw poll.
This was not a weekend of self-reflection for conservatives. It was one of
s... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****g 发帖数: 21627 | 41 By DAVID A. STOCKMAN
GREENWICH, Conn. -- The Dow Jones and Standard & Poor’s 500 indexes reached
record highs on Thursday, having completely erased the losses since the
stock market’s last peak, in 2007. But instead of cheering, we should be
very afraid.
David Stockman
Over the last 13 years, the stock market has twice crashed and touched off a
recession: American households lost $5 trillion in the 2000 dot-com bust
and more than $7 trillion in the 2007 housing crash. Sooner or later —
within a ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 42 by Jammie
It’s not just Southern Democrats, although the clear implication if those
racist rednecks down south hate the black guy. The way things are shaping up
for the Democrats and the scandal-drenched Obama, 2014 is shaping up to be
a bloodbath nationwide. Not just Benghazi, the IRS and DoJ scandals, but
just wait until the implosion of ObamaCare.
As Democrats try to keep their lock on the Senate next year, some of
their most vulnerable incumbents have a problem with President Barack Obam... 阅读全帖 |
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l******a 发帖数: 3803 | 43 The difference of gay receptionity is:
Africa has no Affirmative Action, At All!
Culture clash: Obama, Senegalese host at odds on gay rights as US president
opens Africa trip
Article by: JULIE PACE , AP White House Correspondent Updated: June 27, 2013
- 2:35 PM
44 commentsdecrease font size resize text increase font sizeprintbuy
reprints
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DAKAR, Senegal — Laying bare a clash of cultures, President Barack Obama on
Thursday urged African leaders to extend equal rights to gays and lesbians
but... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 44 DeMint to Newsmax: Defund Obamacare, No Matter the Risk to GOP
Thursday, August 8, 2013 04:35 PM
By: Jim Meyers and John Bachman
Heritage Foundation President and former U.S. Sen. Jim DeMint tells Newsmax
that the House should defund Obamacare no matter what the risk to the
Republican Party, even if it leads to a government shutdown.
The South Carolina Republican also says the Affordable Care Act will do more
damage to the nation "than anything I've seen pass in my lifetime."
Editor's Note: Shou... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 45 by Jammie
Have a Republican mention God in a campaign ad and the earth stops rotating
on its axis. But Democrats always find it convenient to invoke religion and
the angry left is strangely muted. This cat better do a lot of praying since
he voted for ObamaCare will likely be losing his job.
Mark Pryor, the incumbent Democratic senator from Arkansas up for
reelection next year, is releasing a new TV ad Wednesday in which he invokes
his belief in God. The ad first aired on the news broadcast ... 阅读全帖 |
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I******I 发帖数: 14241 | 46 民主党屁股上的屎太多了,而且像obamacare这样的屎已经深入到了美国人的日常生活
之中,这次真的是cover不住了。 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 47 ‘It’s a Scandal Much Worse Than New Jersey’
by Jammie
Pray tell, what could actually be worse than a couple of days of ramp
closures leading the George Washington Bridge? Psst, it embarrasses
Democrats, so move along, nothing to see here.
The story behind the massive failure of the Oregon health exchange
website continues to unravel as allegations of fraud and gross mismanagement
mount.
Local news agencies have obtainedemails and other reports suggesting
state officials lied about the pr... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******s 发帖数: 9926 | 48 再写一篇
Dear XXX,
I strongly urge you to oppose SCA-5. SCA-5 allows race to be considered in
public higher education. This bill fails to address human rights and
fairness. It offers no clear guidelines as to how it should be applied. It
provides no safeguards against misuse. When a subject as sensitive as race
is involved in a public policy decision, it is incumbent upon lawmakers to
take greater care and consideration. SCA-5 is vague, overly broad, and
subject to varying interpretations. It has th... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 49 Republican David Jolly wins Fla. congressional special election in test race
over health care
Republican David Jolly narrowly defeated Democrat Alex Sink on Tuesday in a
Tampa-area House race largely seen as a critical test for ObamaCare.
With nearly 100 percent of the vote counted, Jolly had 48.5 percent of the
vote to Sink's 46.7 percent. Libertarian Lucas Overby had 4.8 percent.
The race to replace the late Rep. Bill Young was considered a tossup, and
was cast as a political bellwether, and... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 50 http://www.igorbirman.com/about
Soviet-born congressional candidate looks to make history
By Lee Ross
Published April 10, 2014
Igor Birman, shown here, is running for Congress in California.
During the darkest days of the Cold War, some in Washington feared a
Communist infiltration inside the highest reaches of the government. It
would have been unimaginable then that a man born and raised in Soviet-era
Moscow would mount a strong challenge for a seat in Congress, with a
rallying cry of freedom ... 阅读全帖 |
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