f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 1 A just released USA Today/Gallup Poll finds swing state voters are now split
48-48. comparing last poll, Obama up 4.
The battle between 538 Nate and Gallup: Nate scores 1. | f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 2 If Battle Two, 11/6 election result comes out a win for Nate, the whole poll
industry will be reconfigured, reorganized. Gallup will disappears in rear
mirror. | g******s
发帖数: 3056 | 3 Great news! If the incumbent is not over 50% in the poll, he will lose! | P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 4 还有就是很多poll用2008年的民主党共和党投票率建的poll model,完全忽视了今年共
和党民的热情比民主党民的热情高很多，再加上中间派支持romney的多，romney没理由
不赢今年的大选。 | m****n
发帖数: 2415 | 5 我觉得这个GALLUP是想在最后时候收敛一点吧.
很多POLL 要么说是CLOSE要么是O领先一点.
要是OBAMA明天赢了, 误差那么大, 下一届选举还有人相信GALLUP POLL吗? | f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 6 That is true, an obvious outlier for so long, last minute "self correction"
is called for. | t***5
发帖数: 1057 | 7 全文在这里：
A just-released USA Today/Gallup Poll finds swing state voters are now split
48-48 between President Barack Obama and Republican candidate former
Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney — and that Obama has a four point “bounce”
since the last poll in October:
Voters in swing states are evenly split between President Obama and GOP
nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new poll from USA Today/Gallup.
The poll released late Sunday finds 48 percent of likely voters in the
nation’s key battlegrounds backing Obama and 48 preferring Romney.
The numbers show a 4-point bounce for Obama from the last USA Today/Gallup
Poll of Swing States in early October, taken days after a disappointing
first debate for the president.
Obama also leads by 4-points among registered voters at 50 to 46, which the
poll notes is the largest margin and the first time either candidate has hit
50 percent since Romney clinched the GOP nomination in the spring.
The poll shows Obama regaining a strong edge with female voters who had
drifted towards Romney after the first debate, boosting the GOP challenger
in national polls.
Obama now leads among women by 16 points, while Romney holds a 10-point
advantage among men.
And good news for Romney:
But Romney leads among independent voters by 1-point and holds an edge on
the economy, which voters say is the most important issue this election.
Voters pick Romney over Obama on who is best prepared to manage the economy
by 3-percentage points and hand Romney a 10-point edge on dealing with the
federal deficit.
But it’s clear that Team Obama’s early advertising defining him as someone
out of touch and/or too wealthy to understand most American’s problems has
worked:
But Romney has trouble convincing voters he understands their problems. Six
in 10 voters say Obama understand the problems they face in their lives,
with 45 percent saying the same of Romney. | f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 8 Yes, that was for swing states poll. They haven't released new statement
regarding this national poll.
By the way, GOP strategist Rove reported a few of days ago that he
predicted 279 for R. Now he just released his new map, O:R = 231:206 so
far, he kept total silent for 279 number. For swing states, with 5 leads, 2
Tied, 1 behind for O, is Rove one of left "media"? | g******s
发帖数: 3056 | 9 That is right. More independents support Romney this year, who are not
covered in the poll.
http://video.foxnews.com/v/1944869174001/will-independent-voter |
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