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全部话题 - 话题: exaggerate
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T**********r
发帖数: 1223
1
这女的是标准自恨啊。

---------

I definitely have personality from both side. American side: I am
adventurous
, brave, talk a lot, easy get shocked, loud, exaggerate, open minded,
emotional
. Chinese side: I am cheap, bias, sense of proudness, arrogant , bias
n*********3
发帖数: 534
2
来自主题: Military版 - 6.4. never happened
The number of death by the western world may be exaggerated. But never
happened??? THat is just
so appalling.
s*********a
发帖数: 3436
3
Of Course China, Like All Great Powers, Will Ignore an International Legal
Verdict
Image Credit: International Court of Justice 60th Anniversary Press Pack,
via Wikimedia Commons
Of Course China, Like All Great Powers, Will Ignore an International Legal
Verdict
In ignoring an upcoming verdict on the South China Sea, Beijing is following
well-established precedent by great powers.
By Graham Allison
July 11, 2016
4.9k 9 18
5.0k Shares
This week the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) will delive... 阅读全帖
f*****y
发帖数: 102
4
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: gemini2012 (双子AB), 信区: USANews
标 题: 猪党已死,有事烧纸
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 27 11:02:00 2016, 美东)
The Late, Great Democratic Party
By Stephen Moore
Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 07:20 AM
This week, the Democrats officially appoint the battered Hillary Clinton to
be torchbearer of the party. She has slouched to the finish line. She is
tired and the country is tired of her.
Sorry, Democrats, no do-overs. You're stuck with her.
But it isn't just Clinton who is out of touch and in t... 阅读全帖
d********1
发帖数: 8969
5
来自主题: Military版 - 日本定居如何?
同事说要exaggerate,我就每天眦牙咧嘴的练,进步微小
说要跟读,听起来正常语速的段子也不容易跟得上。
l****e
发帖数: 609
6
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: likeke (知音难觅,知己难寻), 信区: USANews
标 题: 给非川粉的网友:关于1975年Hillary辩护强奸案的一些真相
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 12 00:16:11 2016, 美东)
声明,这篇文章是写给非川粉的网友看的。对于不可理喻的川粉,可以继续去传颂
Trump教主的谎言就行了,比如像这样的谎言:
“Her client she represented got him off and she is seen laughing on two
occasions laughing at the girl who was raped.” — Donald Trump
1.Hillary 是不是自愿强奸犯辩护?
不是。是罪犯想法官要一个女的辩护律师,结果法官指定了Hillary为其辩护律师。
2.Hillary为什么不推掉这个案件?
Hillary曾要求退出案件,但是没被批准。按照法律,Hillary作为公共律师(public
defender),她是不可以推掉官司不为罪犯辩护,否... 阅读全帖
s*********r
发帖数: 9493
7
sober
[soh-ber]
adjective, soberer, soberest.
1.not intoxicated or drunk.
2.habitually temperate, especially in the use of liquor.
3.quiet or sedate in demeanor, as persons.
4.marked by seriousness, gravity, solemnity, etc., as of demeanor, speech,
etc.:
a sober occasion.
5.subdued in tone, as color; not colorful or showy, as clothes.
6.free from excess, extravagance, or exaggeration:
sober facts.
7.showing self-control:
l****p
发帖数: 27354
8
Exaggeration! It should be at least 75. There is a chance of being pulled
over for speeding above 80.
D**s
发帖数: 6361
9
世界各国领导人对卡斯特罗的反应
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/en ... 143e4b09b6056009a77
President Barack Obama said that “at this time of Fidel Castro’s passing,
we extend a hand of friendship to the Cuban people,” while President-elect
Donald Trump simply confirmed the news.
奥巴马说:值此卡斯特罗逝去之际,我代表美国政府向古巴人民伸出友谊之手
准总统特朗普只简单的回了一句twitter:
菲德尔卡斯特罗 死了!
Fidel Castro is dead!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 26, 2016
Pope Francis described Castro’s death as “sad news.” He said he was
grieving and praying fo... 阅读全帖
m******l
发帖数: 10
10
I also shop at Costco. I feel you exaggerated a little bit.
月吃就花了1500 (More like under $800)
加上每个月房贷4000 (Too much, you need to manage your finance more wisely)

发帖数: 1
11
来自主题: Military版 - What China claims to have invented
http://www.economist.com/news/china/21712173-golf-footballyou-name-it-what-china-claims-have-invented
Those who control the past...
What China claims to have invented
Golf, football—you name it
EIGHT is a lucky number in China. How fortunate it was, then, that a team of
more than 100 scientists was able, after three years of research, to
declare that ancient Chinese had achieved no fewer than 88 scientific
breakthroughs and engineering feats of global significance. Their catalogue
of more than 2... 阅读全帖
r***e
发帖数: 2000
12
From Wikipedia:
On the 28 soldiers:
==
Soviet newspapers later claimed that on the 16th, twenty-eight soldiers from
the division's 1075th Regiment destroyed eighteen German tanks while
fighting to the last man, though an investigation by a Soviet military judge
in 1948 revealed the tale was exaggerated.
Chris Bellamy. Absolute War. Knopf (2008). ISBN 978-0-375-41086-4. pp. 307-8.
==
On Panfilov's death:
==
On the 18th, a group of correspondents visited Panfilov's command post in
the village of G... 阅读全帖
T**********l
发帖数: 12149
13
This is not exaggerated, but it is not applicable to most of the 30-year old
Chinese person.
C*I
发帖数: 4736
14
一个韩寒一样的sb青年, 读了两次大学都读不下去退学滚蛋的社会混混,有什么资格
在Berkeley 演讲? 还要让Berkeley 关门?
free speech? free speech 可以去厕所 free speech 嘛,一个gay,别祸害人小孩
子了。
University of Manchester (withdrew)
Wolfson College, Cambridge (withdrew)
His own sexuality
While Yiannopoulos is gay, he has stated that gay rights are detrimental to
humanity, and that gay men should "get back in the closet".[98] He has
described being gay as "aberrant" and "a lifestyle choice guaranteed to
bring [gay people] pain and unhappiness".[99] He has said... 阅读全帖
a*****1
发帖数: 3817
15
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: USANews
标 题: 主党的烦恼:反trump反多了会出现疲劳现象
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 5 11:52:26 2017, 美东)
The Democrats face up to their Trump problem
The base is eager to protest the president, but elected leaders worry about
outrage fatigue.
Democrats don’t know how long they’ll be able to keep up the pace of
protests against President Donald Trump—and they’re worried Trump and his
team are counting on them to run out of energy before the White House does.
Two weeks into the Trump adminis... 阅读全帖
S******r
发帖数: 4421
16
来自主题: Military版 - 对Serpentza有偏见的朋友
Mind to what extent? Shut up? Or exaggerated flattering?
I personally find he is carful by avoiding political topics. As long as he
obeys the local laws, he has the freedom to express his opinions. What
confused me is that why you guys are so obsessed with the fascist style?
In fact, he does a better job than any of the government employees in China
in introducing China, objectively and comprehensively, in a convincing and
entertaining way.

right,
A*******l
发帖数: 1083
17
来自主题: Military版 - 中国人永远不懂得agree to disagree
Well sure and your opinion certainly sounds uneducated and obviously stupid.
The reason is: if you had taken any serious logic class in the US, you
would have known that the use of "Chinese" or any set without a qualifier
means ALL members of that set.
Therefore, your statement “Chinese never know how to agree to disagree”
logically means ALL Chinese Never know how to agree to disagree. And the
stupidity of this statement is self-evident.
I did not exaggerate your stupidity, that's how logic an... 阅读全帖
g*q
发帖数: 26623
18
The India-China military standoff at Doklam was apparently based on Indian
misperception of Chinese intentions.
An alternative narration of events leading to the military standoff suggests
that the skirmish might have been blown out of proportion and was
completely unnecessary. And even though eventually the standoff was resolved
through diplomatic negotiations, India was not a net gainer at the end of
it.
The Chinese army personnel are still present at a distance of 250 metres
from the site of ... 阅读全帖
S*******l
发帖数: 4637
19
后面一段有罗马将军的记录,进入阿基米德家发现的装置。
http://www.nature.com/news/archimedes-legendary-sphere-brought-to-life-1.18431
Archimedes’ legendary sphere brought to life
Recreation of a 2,000-year-old model of the Universe to appear in exhibition.
Several ancient writers and poets describe mechanical models of the heavens1
, and often attribute these to Archimedes. The earliest and clearest
description is in a dialogue2 by Roman author Marcus Tullius Cicero in the
first century bc. One of Cicero’s characters, Phil... 阅读全帖
k**********4
发帖数: 16092
20
that is probably an exaggeration, but many people died, indeed.

发帖数: 1
21
你不无知,你来讲讲德国人是不是认为他们是自卫的。 我帮你起个头,呵呵。
What are we fighting for?
We are fighting for our most valuable possession: our freedom. We are
fighting for our land and our skies. We are fighting so that our children
will not be slaves of foreign rulers. That is in no way an exaggeration or
empty phrase.
We know the English. We know about Versailles, about the colonies England
stole from us, about the Ruhr, about Golzheimer Heath, about the starvation
blockade. We know that we will be slaves if we do not w... 阅读全帖
R*****i
发帖数: 2126
22
所谓人类的核弹能够摧毁地球气候的说法, 根本就是一些科学知识极端欠缺的
人的信口开河. 有谁能找出一篇支持核弹毁灭世界气候的严肃的科学估算的文章? 这个
荒谬说法然后被一些更无知的FQ们东抄西传.
人类核弹的威力和地球已知的大灾难的对比微不足道. 今天全球的核弹当量的
总和, 不及1815年一次火山爆发(450亿吨TNT当量), 当时有三千亿吨的岩石融浆和四亿
吨的含硫毒气被送进大气层, 其对地球气候的影响不大. 至于残留放射性, 今天的一个
大型放射矿的放射性, 就远远超过任何核武器. 下面是一些地球历史上已知的更大灾难
的威力估计.
六千五百万年前的那次大灾难, 远远超过人类的任何可以想象的武器的总威力.
恐龙据说没有活下来, 但是脯乳动物和鸟类却活下来了很多.
在Yucatan半岛上的环形地貌, 是由于一次巨大的撞击形成的, 时间是6千5百
万年前, 其威力相
当于 100万 亿吨TNT, 是人类制造的所有核武器总威力的 2000倍, 人类核武
器的总威力不超
过450亿吨 TNT 当量.
在6500万年前撞击这段时间, 16 %的海洋科和 18%的陆地脊椎动物科 灭绝.
和这样... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
23
来自主题: Military版 - 好像有区别 但我说出来都像row
看起来我有芝加哥口音
https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-difference-in-pronunciation-between-role-
roll-and-row
In my dialect (Chicago, northside, educated), "role" and "roll" are
pronounced identically, and "row" is pronounced with no consonant on the end
(identical to "roe" as in fish eggs).
There are native speakers of English in Chicago who pronounce all three
identically except when exaggerating their differences, though, because in
some AAVE usages or Southern-inflected accents, final "L" consonants h... 阅读全帖
D**S
发帖数: 24887
24
On average, each of the ~300 Chinese Trumpsters had successfully driven 5
likely Saccone supporters to vote for Lamb. Instead. It is no exaggeration
that these good-for-nothing Trumpsters contributed at least 1000 votes for
Lamb camp, effectively ensuring his victory.
LOL
D**S
发帖数: 24887
25
来自主题: Military版 - 哥不是讲假,真的哥认识的阿三
They might have exaggerated somewhat but it should be close enough. Low
class population are rotting in India everyday. Nobody even bothers to raise
their eyelids for this.
t**x
发帖数: 20965
26
来自主题: Military版 - 这个罚款应该没有手段执行
In China, 'Free Trade' Means Steal What You Want
By Betsy McCaughey
June 20, 2018
What can Democrat Chuck Schumer, Republican Marco Rubio and President Donald
Trump agree on? Almost nothing, but they agree China is robbing America
blind and has to be stopped. When the president slapped a punishing 25
percent tariff on $50 billion worth of Chinese goods starting July 6, his
least likely GOP ally, Senator Marco Rubio, applauded the tariffs as a "
theft tax." Senator Schumer backed them, too, warni... 阅读全帖
W*****B
发帖数: 4796
27
来自主题: Military版 - 美华企图用微信干预政治
美华企图用微信干预政治,已经被洋大人盯上了
美华不要以为自己在下面做的小动作人家洋大人不知道,只是人家没惜的管你罢了。结
果你们蹬鼻子上脸,反AA,反细分,反高中取消考试什么的,越闹越凶。太不知好歹了!
叫你们美吧!回头川大大就把你们这个微信给取缔了。看你们还折腾!
What is WeChat? Chinese-language app could be fueling Chinese-American
conservatism
A report said issues like affirmative action, unauthorized immigration and
data disaggregation received a disproportionate focus on WeChat.
by Chris Fuchs / Jun.25.2018 / 7:39 AM ET
It’s been used to buy farm-fresh eggs and pay bills — and to quickly
mobilize tens of thousands acro... 阅读全帖
f**o
发帖数: 12685
28
来自主题: Military版 - 川普要退出WTO了
川普这是看反响不对,才说是exaggeration


: 辟谣了。

: 这个说法不准确。

x******g
发帖数: 33885
29
狼脯现在是拿习主席没办法,贸易战打来打去,已经几个回合都没能让中国屈服,反而
害得自己的农民和中小企业受罪。于是便就来个迂回包抄的下三滥动作。动用国内的老
将来发表谬论,攻击习主席的名声,说什么党内分歧很大,以达到助狼脯一臂之力的效
果。什么 A prominent and influential academic whose views have found favor
in some party quarters has also come under attack for his strident views on
Chinese power?这是谁啊?
一定要查出来严肃处理。将这种败类踢出高教届。
撤职查办,扭交公安机关处理。
A growing trade war with the United States is causing rifts within China's
Communist Party, with some critics saying that an overly nationalistic
Chinese stance may have hardened... 阅读全帖
s******r
发帖数: 5309
30
By Fred Hu
August 22 at 1:01 PM
Fred Hu is an economist and chairman of Primavera Capital Group, a China-
based global investment firm.
BEIJING -— After decades of deriding China as a lousy copycat, the United
States now fears China’s rapid rise as a technology powerhouse and sees it
as a major — even existential — threat to U.S. dominance. The Trump
administration has waged an escalating trade war against China under the
pretext of punishing Chinese transgressions such as forced technology
tran... 阅读全帖
Q********a
发帖数: 851
31
来自主题: Military版 - 拿到最新消息了
你说的:
"女方手里有证据,现在报案了,警察第一句话就是有没有证据,女方说没有,那是
obstruction of justice, 比性侵还重罪。女方如果说有, 那警察拿到证据,起不起
诉是检查官的事。女方只是个证人。 有证据的话根本没有必要让女方出庭的。很多性
侵案受害人不需要出庭作证。
要和解必须在女方报警之前。你下次想讹别人最好想清楚了。打了911后事情就不在你
手里了。"

你讲的对吧?
你现在还没太明白: 警察报告是hearsay没错, 但是正常是可以作为例外成为
admissible evidence, 但即便admitted into evidence,这个police report既不是充
分条件也不是必要条件。因此对定罪根本就不是决定性的。
So lol, "obstruction of justice" my ass. Now you must agree what you said
earlier about "Obstruction of Justice" is bullsh*t. You also exaggerated the
severity ... 阅读全帖
s******r
发帖数: 5309
32
Bob Woodward’s new book reveals a ‘nervous breakdown’ of Trump’s
presidency
Bob Woodward’s new book, “Fear: Trump in the White House,” is based on
hundreds of hours of in-depth interviews. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington
Post)
By Philip Rucker and
Robert Costa
September 4 at 11:08 AM
John Dowd was convinced that President Trump would commit perjury if he
talked to special counsel Robert S. Mueller III. So, on Jan. 27, the
president’s then-personal attorney staged a practice session to try to make... 阅读全帖
l*********l
发帖数: 469
33
来自主题: Military版 - 教材里西方的酒店都是这样的
【 以下文字转载自 Joke 讨论区 】
发信人: Huangchong (净坛使者), 信区: Joke
标 题: Re: 教材里西方的酒店都是这样的 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Sep 16 23:02:13 2018, 美东)
CLAIM: William Waldorf Astor rewarded a helpful hotel manager’s kindness
by making him the manager of the grand Waldorf hotel.
STATUS: TRUE, BUT EMBELLISHED.
ORIGINS: For over a century the Waldorf-Astoria hotel in New York has
reigned as a symbol of the grandeur of the American dream. It all began when
William Waldorf Astor razed his home at Fifth Avenue and Thi... 阅读全帖
b*****d
发帖数: 61690
34
来自主题: Military版 - Google被Metoo了
report that the company gave a lucrative exit package to a high-profile
executive accused of sexual harassment.
The tech giant is now facing pressure to take a tougher stand on harassment
and abuse in the workplace, in what could be a test of the #MeToo movement's
influence in male-dominated Silicon Valley.
The New York Times bombshell about Google's workplace culture also comes at
a difficult time for the internet search giant, which is already facing
controversy on a number of fronts.
The Time... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
35
最近,在美国的一些中文网站上,兴起了一阵“老留”针对“小留”的讨伐。老留,严
格意义上说,是指2000年大规模自费留学开始之前,到达美国,落地生根,如今事业有
成,子女正在陆续进入大学和婚恋年龄的一部分人。小留,特指在2010年前后,自费来
美国读高中和大学本科的一部分年轻人。老留和小留可以说不是一代人,甚至可以说,
小留和老留的孩子,即所谓ABC, “华二代” 是同一代人。
老留的心态,有几分倚老卖老,也有几分自亮伤疤的伪豪迈,因为他们最喜欢的就是说
自己当初如何怀揣几十美元到了美国,一下飞机就进餐馆打工,或者第二天就进了实验
室干到晚上十点,以此反衬小留如何依赖父母,靠父母养活,花天酒地,不爱读书,习
惯不良等等,同时吹嘘自己的孩子如何成功“爬藤”——进入美国的常春藤盟校,如何
学钢琴,如何获奖。这种沾沾自喜的心态,已经成为现在五十多岁左右的在美“老留”
中普遍流行的症状。
其实,“老留” 这一代人仔细分析起来,未必是完全经得起推敲的,虽然他们已经极
为习惯在一个封闭的小圈子里以“精英”自命。首先看一些数据:“90年代以来,尤其
是2000年后,随着留学不再受限以及人们收入增加,留... 阅读全帖
p********1
发帖数: 2785
36
JEFFREY D. SACHS
NEW YORK
CONTRIBUTED TO THE GLOBE AND MAIL
PUBLISHED 21 HOURS AGO
UPDATED DECEMBER 12, 2018
Jeffrey D. Sachs is an American economist and the director of Columbia
University’s Center for Sustainable Development.
If, as Mark Twain reputedly said, history often rhymes, our era increasingly
recalls the period preceding 1914. And as with Europe’s great powers back
then, the United States, led by an administration intent on asserting
America’s dominance over China, is pushing the wor... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
37
来自主题: Military版 - 反华为战争 zt
The War on Huawei
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-war-on-huawei-meng-wanzhou-arrest-by-jeffrey-d-sachs-2018-12
Dec 11, 2018 JEFFREY D. SACHS
The Trump administration's conflict with China has little to do with US
external imbalances, closed Chinese markets, or even China’s alleged theft
of intellectual property. It has everything to do with containing China by
limiting its access to foreign markets, advanced technologies, global
banking services, and perhaps even US universitie... 阅读全帖
n*****9
发帖数: 654
38
Nobody likes a bully. They’re mean, unpredictable and self-centred,
they’
re quick to take offence, and they make for lousy friends. Just ask Canada.
Ever since the 2016 election of U.S. President Donald Trump, our little
middle power of a country has had to deal with more than its fair share of
big, nasty kids on the block.
The latest browbeating is being delivered by China in its calculated
overreaction to the arrest in Vancouver of a member of its business elite.
The display of do... 阅读全帖
x******g
发帖数: 33885
39
他们警告说,将中国定位为敌人是错误的
BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Scores of Asia specialists, including former
U.S. diplomats and military officers, want President Donald Trump to rethink
policies that “treat China as an enemy,” warning the approach could hurt
U.S. interests and the global economy, according to a draft open letter
reviewed by Reuters on Saturday.
“Although we are very deeply troubled by Beijing’s recent behavior, we
also believe that many U.S. actions are contributing to the downward spiral
in ... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
40
来自主题: Military版 - From CNBC: Trump just blinked
Trump just blinked, giving China a possible edge in trade war, Jim Chanos
and others say
PUBLISHED 5 HOURS AGOUPDATED 2 HOURS AGO
Kate Rooney
@KR00NEY
KEY POINTS
Some influential voices on Wall Street are saying Trump blinked in the
latest exchange with China and showed just how much pain the U.S. could
tolerate. China may use that to its advantage.
“Tell me why Xi should not continue to wait out The World’s Greatest
Negotiator, who keeps ‘dealing’ with himself?” says Jim Chanos, founder
and man... 阅读全帖
b*********3
发帖数: 1709
41
President Trump has made 12,019 false or misleading claims over 928 days
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/08/12/president-trump-has-made-
false-or-misleading-claims-over-days/
President Trump’s proclivity for spouting exaggerated numbers, unwarranted
boasts and outright falsehoods has continued at a remarkable pace. As of Aug
. 5, his 928th day in office, he had made 12,019 false or misleading claims,
according to the Fact Checker’s database that analyzes, categorizes and
tracks ever... 阅读全帖
l**k
发帖数: 45267
42
no, homeland is where you were born and grew up, not where your parents were
born. at least that's common perception in US. there are some exceptions
like Jews, but ABC generally follow the norm
it's stupid to use absurd exaggeration as objection
L*********s
发帖数: 3063
43
来自主题: Military版 - 转一篇知乎上的文章[中英文版]
This is the article I wrote yesterday, first posted Chinese.
是啊,中国共产党是一个邪教。
在70多年前,中国处于长期半分裂状态,美英法德俄意日等在中国都有区域代理人。中
华民国中央政府受制于不与国家配合的地方军阀,国家连铁路在地方省份上的口径都无
法统一时,中国孱弱无力。我们作为一个延续了几千年的政治实体,却被西方看作是下
等人,愚昧的低级动物时,是中国共产党,通过内战结束中国的这个状态。
所以,在除台湾外的基本的国家统一下,中共有了它的第一个原罪:中央集权。
在60多年前,除了中国仅承认的西方殖民地香港和澳门,两个不属于中华人民共和国的
城市土地外,中共驱逐了所有的境外资本势力、特工与军队。在1956年。中国共产党迫
使自己的老师,苏联共产党,从中国辽宁省大连市的旅顺特别区撤军的时候,不惜与全
世界两大霸权国家美国和苏联同时交恶,被全世界进行经济封锁,中共才终于结束了作
为列强的傀儡而存在。无论是西方还是苏联。在苏联的长波电台和联合舰队倡议被中共
拒绝后,中苏彻底交恶,紧接着就是中共备受诟病的三年困难时期饿死成百上千万人。... 阅读全帖
c********e
发帖数: 4283
44
这个是overly exaggerated了
要不是怕大麻,美国人压根就不会警惕的,当然有了几次大麻糖以后,是有所警觉了,
但“讲究点的美国人没人让小孩吃要来的糖”? you must be kidding me!
我儿子冰球队今晚的practice都被教练取消了,就是为了让孩子们去trick or treat,
我们镇是old money富人镇, you think parents will just throw away the candies
collected by kids after the whole night? you have kids? or you must be
living in a parallel universe!

发帖数: 1
45
Yes I'm absolutely positive


: 这个是overly exaggerated了

: 要不是怕大麻,美国人压根就不会警惕的,当然有了几次大麻糖以后,是有所警
觉了,

: 但“讲究点的美国人没人让小孩吃要来的糖”? you must be kidding me!

: 我儿子冰球队今晚的practice都被教练取消了,就是为了让孩子们去trick or
treat,

: 我们镇是old money富人镇, you think parents will just throw away the
candies

: collected by kids after the whole night? you have kids? or you must be

: living in a parallel universe!


发帖数: 1
46
轉載王孟源先生對於此次「新型冠狀病毒」疫情的看法:希望作為一個中國人要相信自
己的生醫科學家,他們已經是世界一流的;遵從國家制定的規則,即使有諸多不便;謠
言止於智者,有一分證據說一分話。
王孟源dudu的微博視頻:http://t.cn/A6PMcBys
#問答時間# #武漢冠狀病毒#
@王孟源dudu 答:你的困惑,主要來自面對現實世界裡固有的不確定性時,政策因應的
選擇考慮。尤其是小機率、大後果的事件,一般人必然沒有親身經驗,即使是知識分子
也很容易理解錯誤。統計裡面,這種Poisson Events是最常被誤解和忽略的,即使在金
融界也往往不能正確處理。
的確,這次的武漢病毒,即使是低調處理,也有90%左右的機率只會造成1000-10000人
這種數量級的死亡,亦即和每年流感差不多。但是如果那個病毒突變,獲得流感級別的
傳染力,代表的可就是百萬或千萬人遇害,那麼雖然對應的機率只有百分之幾,一個負
責任的政府仍然應該全力以赴,儘量壓制病毒感染的範圍。正因為病毒每多傳一個人,
突變的機會就又多了一分,傳染的廣度對後果有非線性的影響,所以防治也就會有遠超
表面的潛在效益。這還沒有算入... 阅读全帖
F********r
发帖数: 878
47
来自主题: Military版 - 伊州这个手语翻译怎么这么夸张
with over exaggerated, to most people, body language and facial expression.
I guess that's part of sign language?
W*******n
发帖数: 4140
48
"The Cure Can Not Be Worse Than The Problem"
by Limin Wang
March 24, 2020
President Donut Tramp said that The Cure Can Not Be Worse Than The Problem,
since probably March 22, and then again and again. POTUS is not an M.D., but
it doesn't take an M.D. to have your own reasonable common sense. I think,
technically, what Donut means is the M.D.'s do not have a cure about the
coronavirus, but have so many unknowns about the COVID-19, then the whatever
diagnoses and treatments should not exaggerate o... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
49
Most likely, just a person seeking attention. There are many statements don
’t make much sense, with obvious exaggeration.

发帖数: 1
50
Most likely, just a person seeking attention. There are many statements don
’t make much sense, with obvious exaggeration.
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