l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 1 Smart Diplomacy! Support for U.S. in Mideast Lower Than Under Bush
by Jammie
Barack Obama sure has brought the world together. Now everyone hates us.
Heckuva job, Bammy!
Despite downgrading the trip, many see Obama’s arrival as the sequel to
his 2009 visit to Cairo, where he announced a “new beginning” with the
Muslim world. Four years later, that doesn’t auger well for renewed efforts
in Israel and the West Bank. According to the latest survey by the Pew
Research Center’s Global Attitudes P... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 2 Governments across the eurozone have again been left counting the human cost
of the financial crisis after news that unemployment in the currency bloc
reached a record high, driven by soaring youth joblessness.
Eurozone unemployment rose to 12.1% for March, an all-time high, according
to Eurostat, the statistics office of the European Union. In the wider EU
area of 27 countries, unemployment stood at 10.9%, as the rate increased in
all but eight countries compared with a year earlier.
Economists... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 3 (见上图，印度安人是从东亚起源，和中国，日本，韩国同种）
When studying human mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) haplogroups, the results
indicated until recently that Indigenous Amerindian haplogroups, including
haplogroup X, are part of a single founding east Asian population. It also
indicates that the distribution of mtDNA haplogroups and the levels of
sequence divergence among linguistically similar groups were the result of
multiple preceding migrations from Bering Straits populations.
（墨西哥人的形成，虽然难堪，但要承认历史：）
The European conqu... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 4 Somebody Better Start Speaking Up For Straight Pride
By Mark Rogers 06/03/2014 ·
Somebody with some clout better start some kind of national “Straight Pride
” event for people who don’t swoon over people of the same sex.
Just saw on Good Morning America a new ultra popular video produced with
athletes “honoring LGBT athletes for Gay Pride”.
Just so how huge this is doesn’t get lost, this is a project of YouTube and
its parent company Google. Not just something some athletes came up with.
YouTube... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 5 最近看两个片子《Divergent》和《The giver》深深地感觉到健康社会需要的是独立思
考，而不是非理性的100% |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 6 Sick Man of Europe is Europe; Blame the Socialists, Progressives, Greens,
and the Euro Itself
Joel Kotkin writing for New Geography hits the nail smack on the head with
his assessment Sick Man of Europe is Europe.
Throughout the continent, public support for a united Europe fell
sharply last year. Opposition to greater integration has emerged, with anti-
EU parties gaining support in countries as diverse as the United Kingdom,
Greece, Germany and France.
The new reality is epitomized by ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 7 Establishment Survey +233K Jobs, Household Employment Survey -56K, Part-
Time Employment +372K, Labor Force -432K
Initial Reaction
Today's job report (for June) once again showed a huge divergence between
the household survey and the establishment survey.
Household survey employment fell by 56,000 while the establishment survey
shows a gain of 233,000 jobs. The labor force declined by 432,000 and that
explains the drop in the unemployment rate to 5.3% from 5.5%.
The report was weaker than it loo... 阅读全帖 |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 8 Ted Cruz Has a Real Birther Problem
13 Jan 13, 2016 3:32 PM EST
By Francis Wilkinson
When Senator John McCain was running for president in 2008, his campaign
experienced turbulence over an issue currently vexing the campaign of
Senator Ted Cruz: the phrase in the Constitution stipulating that the
president must be a "natural born citizen."
There are conflicting legal views (naturally) about what that means. Law
professor Gabriel Chin of the University of California at Davis wrote a
paper arguing... 阅读全帖 |
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B*****a
发帖数: 32 | 9 来到加州生活了这么多年，第一次见到政治家到我们这里拉选票。 因为加州是民主党
的铁定地盘，无论多烂的民主党候选人最后也能躺着赢。 所以过去候选人都不屑来做
竞选活动。今年不一样的是民主党内双雄并起(actually是雌雄争锋),所以这个礼拜一
下子热闹起来，Hillary 和Sanders都到圣地亚哥了。
Sanders竞选经理的女朋友是我们女儿高中的老师，年轻人是Sanders的争取主要对象，
因此最后就选定了这个高中。 本来名不见经传的Rancho Buena Vista High School也
一下子成为全国各大媒体的报道对象。
今天礼拜天，早上我们家附近就开始交通管制。 等待安检入场的人们排了半英里长的
队。 女儿乐队要现场演奏国歌和进行曲，乐器在7:30就要经特工们的搜查。
我们是午饭后溜达着走到RBV高中，外面CNN,FOX,NBC的转播车布满了街道。 安检队列
旁的Bernie支持志愿者帮助做选民登记，卖Bernie的纪念品，大头偶像合影拍照，热闹
的像集市一样。 还有数不清的制服胸口上写着Secret Service两个大字的特工，唯恐
别人不知道他们是secret的... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 10 "On the first count, it’s hard to imagine Gingrich’s suggestion passing
anything resembling constitutional muster. Presumptive Republican nominee
Donald Trump has advocated for a ban on Muslims entering the United States,
and legal opinions diverge on that; some scholars believe that such a
prohibition might be upheld in courts, based on immigration laws. What
Gingrich is suggesting is radically different. He would not only change who
the United States allows in; he would apparently seek to depo... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 11 "On the first count, it’s hard to imagine Gingrich’s suggestion passing
anything resembling constitutional muster. Presumptive Republican nominee
Donald Trump has advocated for a ban on Muslims entering the United States,
and legal opinions diverge on that; some scholars believe that such a
prohibition might be upheld in courts, based on immigration laws. What
Gingrich is suggesting is radically different. He would not only change who
the United States allows in; he would apparently seek to depo... 阅读全帖 |
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b********t
发帖数: 1776 | 13 我从不造谣，他没投票权千真万确。
According to David Tian Wang, founder and president of the “Chinese
Americans for Trump,” the group now has over 6,000 registered members.
Wang, a 32-year-old green card holder living in Los Angeles, has been known
in the Chinese community for taking a politically active role, joined by
Chinese Americans, despite being ineligible to vote. Wang believes that
Trump’s values resonate with many Chinese Americans.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/chinese-americans-diverge-politica... 阅读全帖 |
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l*******Q
发帖数: 1995 | 14 颇有看 divergent series 和 the hunter games 的感觉 |
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t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 15 警告不要错误解读内华达数据，
目前的数据只能说明民主党籍已
投票比共和党多，这很正常。
The Washington Post reports that Democrats are dominating early voting in
Nevada. Business Insider notes that Latino early voting in Florida is up 99
percent over 2012’s figures, suggesting a strong showing for Hillary
Clinton there. But Fox News warns that the early voting numbers indicate a
very close race. These divergent views serve as an important reminder that
as popular as early voting is, it doesn’t actually tell us very much about
who’s going ... 阅读全帖 |
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b***n
发帖数: 13455 | 16 Florida Data, Ballots, and Ground Reports: Latino Vote Supports Patrone’
Impact…
Posted on November 7, 2016 by sundance
In any analysis of Florida voting the Latino cultural impact is most often
mis-identified by the media, 2016 is no exception. While the MSM is
correctly identifying an up-swing in Latino Florida early voting, the MSM is
also mistakenly inferring this to be a pro-Clinton narrative.
trump-sarasota-2
Those who live and work within Florida will quickly note there is a wide
cult... 阅读全帖 |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 17 如果左逼觉得自己群体里行为不捡值得反思，也不用从垃圾堆里找这么一件行头套上。
左逼对回回感觉是玩SM，越抽越高潮
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/9877692
Muslims Are the True Feminists
AdChoices
THE BLOG
Muslims Are the True Feminists
May 10, 2016 | Updated May 10, 2016
Gabby Aossey Writer, Blogger
MASKOT VIA GETTY IMAGES
As American women, many of us have an idea of what feminists are;
freelancing women with all the sexual freedom in the world. But this is
exactly the problem with American feminism; it is all about sex and the
liberation of our bo... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******i
发帖数: 2018 | 18 尼玛这个太监说了一大篇，啥实际的东西都没有
http://www.wsj.com/articles/what-we-know-about-the-trump-campaigns-collusion-with-russia-1513642489
What We Know About the Trump Campaign’s Collusion With Russia
By Adam B. Schiff
Updated Dec. 18, 2017 7:22 p.m. ET
342 COMMENTS
Congressional probes into Russia’s attack on the 2016 election have
unearthed numerous undisclosed meetings between the Trump team and Russians
with ties to Vladimir Putin, repeated Russian offers of assistance, the
willingness by the campaign to acc... 阅读全帖 |
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f*****d
发帖数: 771 | 19 Sorry that I cannot type in Chinese now. The study also included a
comparison controlled for curb weight, if you want to check the full results.
One thing I've learned from these researches is that in a collision, the
threat to the people in the other car does not necessarily mean a good
protection to yourself.
You will need a way to diverge the impact. I saw a patent online today that
somebody in Ford redesigned the frame to make part of it absorb the energy
in case of collision, instead of usi... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****p
发帖数: 790 | 20 最近来自美国旧金山的Divergent Microfactories(DM)公司推出了世界上首款3D打印超级跑车“刀锋(Blade)”。该公司表示此款车由一系列铝制“节点”和碳纤维管材拼插相连，轻松组装成汽车底盘，因此更加环保。
“刀锋”不愧为“刀锋”，百公里加速仅两秒。
看来以后人类的生活方方面面就是打印啦…… |
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M******c
发帖数: 1836 | 21 不要抢反弹，目前我们要等待的是Positive divergence. 如果看不到，是不能进的。
这段时间刚好老千我顺便去了趟DC,以前从来没有去过，感觉这个城市的气势不是用
宏大来形容的。回来的晚上车马劳顿一番后就直接睡觉咯，因为我没有什么舱位，也
就没有什么牵挂。甚至我还希望顺利的看到大盘跌下去，不跌下去，后面怎么抬呢？
DC之行我感受最深的为人做事要不拘小节，比如看到George Washington把 President
for
lifetime的 letter递回去的时后，确实对伟人的这种举动无比的感慨。 比如看到的
capital 顶部的画，就知道冰冻三次非一日之寒。 这次大盘的下跌也一样，之前让大
家都休息也
是这样，没有行情你也去强做，就知道事倍功半了。 这种下跌，死的不仅有散户，还
包括不少的基金。这些从基金重仓股的下跌就可见一斑。有同学给老千发信和消息，说
多亏听了我的提醒，最近一直没做，否则肯定被套了。 我也很高兴兄弟姐妹们能够安静
的休养。
今天的快速下跌，在某种程度上来讲缩短的下跌的时间，大幅的下跌之后对于A股都会有
一个反弹。问题是你要去抢这个反弹吗？ 如果 |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 22 我发贴那会美股跌-1%，CAF涨+1.6%,
Divergence比较明显，不过后来又跌回去了。
说明一下，这个是很野鸡的经验，在特定时期才有用的，
无论蒙不蒙得对，仅供参考。 |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 23 你说的是我吧，如果是，那真是
"如果你觉得听懂了我说的话，那你一定是误解了我的意思."呵呵
我说的是特指CAF/FXI对于第二天A股/港股走势的预示作用
而不是推广开来的整个A股/美股谁领先谁的问题。
看一下我昨天贴在Stock版的图，再看看同时期A股和美股
就知道我的意思了,A股/CAF在8，9月的时候大跌，美股大涨.
当然，你可能说这不是废话吗，CAF的净值(NAV)就是按照A股来算的,
但实际上，如果你用心留意，CAF什么时候有Discount,什么时候有
Premium,往往能提前一点察觉到Smart money对后市的判断，
当然，这不可能100%准(There is no silver bullet,remember)，
但是假如在一段趋势维持一段时间后，出现CAF/A股Divergence，
往往是变盘的一个预兆。
不知道说清楚没有，连我的小武器都拿出来分享了，hoho. |
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w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 24 算，但很勉强，而且量太弱(Price-volume divergence)
所以我没上，继续观察看看 |
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g****t
发帖数: 31659 | 25 你的意思是：
今日低开，没有延续周五末尾的走势。macd divergence等等都不灵了。
所以很可怕，对不对？
我发现你和我的理解一模一样。
不过我的解释是，这种情况很可能周末
有什么消息触发了。 |
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s*****j
发帖数: 4530 | 26 有啥可以买的吗？
Fire TV Stick, fastest selling Amazon device of all time, $15 off (making it
just $24!)
Kindle, $30 off
Fire HD 7, $60 off
Fire HD 7 Kids Edition, $60 off
32-inch LED TV, $75
40-inch 1080p LED TV, $115
Brand-name 32-inch Smart HDTV, under $200
50-inch 4K TV bundle, under $1000
Bose headphones at the lowest price ever on Amazon
Chromebook laptop, only $199
Over 50% off two Nikon COOLPIX cameras
Highly rated binoculars, under $120
Two security camera-kits, $279.99
K’NEX 2-in-1 Ferris Whee... 阅读全帖 |
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q*****n
发帖数: 331 | 27 You can say something like:"yes, I do have other opportunities."
If you have, say University of houston as your next interview. If they keep
on asking, you can say "it is a school in the South region." You should
quickly diverge the conversion and ask them about something else. If they
still don't give up, you can say" it is a school in Texas, and you can make
a guess." you can be honest, but not revealing any additional informations. |
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M*P
发帖数: 6456 | 28 A postdoctoral position is available in the research group of Dr. Ivan
Ovcharenko at the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Our current research
projects include computational studies of epigenetic and sequence-based
mechanisms of gene regulation. We are developing computational approaches to
decipher the regulatory landscape of the human genome. By combining next
generation sequencing data with a large body of experimental enhancer
characterization, our computational approaches target transcr... 阅读全帖 |
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m***e
发帖数: 428 | 29 四 困难之方法论方面的根源
有些西方社会科学家在概念建构方面的独特思维方法、逻辑和技巧为华人学生所不熟悉
和不习惯，从而使他们很难把握那些概念的实质，这一点在上文讨论韦伯的ideal type
时已涉及。为了更详细地剖析华人学生在这方面的认知困难，我们有必要在此简略回顾
一下西方社会学近代以来在概念建构上历经的几个主要阶段。
我们知道，西方社会学诞生于对西方工业化所引发的诸种社会问题的反思。经典社会学
理论对工业化过程及后果的考 察所遵循的方法最早是历史哲学(historico-philosophy
)式的，其代表人物除上文提及的教条主义化的马克思主义者，还有Auguste Comte和
Herbert Spencer。他们坚信全人类注定要沿着单一轨线发展，这条轨线由诸个前后相
续、性质严格区别的阶段构成，所有的民族都必然依次经过这些阶段，就象夹在 火车
轨道上列车一样没有选择，被动而行。现代社会代表着这条轨线上的最后一站，只是在
不同的理论体系里，这个“现代社会”的名称不同而已。
历史哲学的方法给人类发展施加了太多命定论的规定，其实是把局部历史普遍化，亦即
把至多只适合于西欧社会发展... 阅读全帖 |
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t***u
发帖数: 20182 | 30 石墨烯得奖就是joke啊，c60得奖，碳纳米管没得奖。这个人运气不错，有千千万万的
辛勤工作而且聪明的科研工作者就没那么走运了。
TO COLLEAGUES AND FRIENDS
Our Science report was a collective effort, and I would again – on behalf
of
Kostya and myself – like to thank all the other contributors. Serge Morozov
was and remains our ‘multitasking measurement machine’ working 24x7
when in Manchester. His electrical measurement skills are unmatched, and
I know that any curve he brings in is completely reliable and no questions
are ever asked whether this and that was... 阅读全帖 |
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H****y
发帖数: 2992 | 31 Interview with Dr. Yiran Chen
I think I could say that whoever knows Dr. Chen, personally or
professionally, would agree that his career, while still in a young and
aspiring stage, is purely legendary. I’m excited to find out what I’m
going to learn from him today.
Fiona: After you have graduated from Purdue with a Ph.D., you worked in
industry for five years. Why did you decide to go back to academia?
Dr. Chen: I was asked this question by many of my colleagues and student... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 32 2. General Principles
A. Conflict of Commitment
Stanford faculty members owe their primary professional allegiance to the
University, and their primary commitment of time and intellectual energies
should be to the education, research and scholarship programs of the
institution. The specific responsibilities and professional activities that
constitute an appropriate and primary commitment will differ across schools
and departments, but they should be based on a general understanding between
the f... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 11249 | 33 其实理解某老师
就跟俺第一次海归去了国企一样
里面的人坏吗？ 确实不坏，他们都很自豪，对单位很有感情
从农村县城一路考到985博士，转行(大概就跟宣传的博士当电工那样，在外人看来浪费
了专业，很可惜而且中期职业生涯会遇到很大的瓶颈） 进了国家大单位基层技术部门
被提拔为处长副处, 可能到退休前还能混个副局级
面对手下（都是老实巴交外地应届生, 资深的一个都留不住）和老乡，很有指点江山的
感觉
然后觉得这是人生最好的路，唯一的路，思维定势已经形成了
谁敢说单位不好，自动自发出自真情的批判你；因为这些人精神上已经完全融入体制，
生死荣辱都寄希望与体制，离开体制基本是个死，比90年代下岗工人还惨
（更高级的是二代，他们不敢比，只能仰望和唯唯诺诺）
偶尔进来一个搅局者
那时候已经在硅谷待过了，不说拉个管理者都是台湾香港裔家学渊源美国名校的博士
就下面打工的，有些都是国内生物系教授访学后修个硕士转行做的second career的资
深工程师
不是对某人不满，而是对整个体系不满
搅局者思想过于divergent，尝试改造几次，发现思想完全不相容；这怎么办，闹到最
后只能一拍两散
这就叫隔行如隔山... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 34 Alexandra Berzon, Red Carpet for the Chinese; Hotels Add Menu Items,
Translators, Other Services for Growing Travel Segment. Wall Street Journal,
July 11, 2011.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405
2702304584404576438230384628772.html
Note:
(a) porridge (n; alteration of pottage)
* pottage (n; Middle English potage, from Anglo-French, from pot "pot"):
"a thick soup of vegetables and often meat"
(b) congee (n; Tamil kañci water from cooked rice; First Known Use:
1930):
"porridge made... 阅读全帖 |
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R****r
发帖数: 609 | 35 农业部长说： 60％ 的小农赔钱。是用来抵税的好办法。
"1.3 million of those 2.2 million are what would often be referred to as
hobby farmers."
These are the folks who do not make money from farming. They likely lose
money but they have off-farm income, probably pretty good off-farm income,
and so its obviously a tax write-off opportunity.
全文看这里：
http://www.npr.org/2011/01/02/132583023/-Rural-Americas-2010-De
Secretary Vilsack, you paint a pretty rosy picture but a number of farmers
are still struggling. I mean, it's been... 阅读全帖 |
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p********a
发帖数: 6437 | 36 China exports products, a lot
and gets a lot of US$ in return
based on these US$, china prints a lot of RMB.
this "a lot of RMB" can mostly stay in China ONLY.
so u keep having more "a lot of RMB", but relatively same domestic real
production volume.
at last, for each product, there will be more RMB. RMB devalued
domestically.
as to RMB vs USD exchange rates at international level, it is decided by CCP
. not by economical factors. CCP raises it, so it is raised as we've seen
these yrs.
this cr... 阅读全帖 |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 37 SP500 is rising and TNX is falling, the market is giving two opposite
signals, watch out.
I am going with the bond market signal. |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 38 I have to say the performance of commodity and equity market
is very impressive in the past few weeks. I won't bet on either
direction right now. |
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 39 what does that TNX falling mean? |
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 40 I am more of sitting on my hand, a little itching to sell something, but on
the other hand, I find I have a lot cash already. |
|
l******n
发帖数: 507 | 41 Then what are you going to invest if the situation will not worsen? if you
don't mind
on |
|
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 43 If EU can get together which is highly doubtful, I will buy Europe.
Currently I am avoiding Europe although it is relatively cheap. I doubt the
EU crisis has been fully priced in, the best case scenario will be a V-
shaped recovery, but even so it will go through a deep trough, especially EU
are moving toward continent wide austerity direction and they are on the
verge of recession. I suspect the austerity plan will not work, just as we
already find out in Greece and Spain.
EM and Asia are undue... 阅读全帖 |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 44 I do not track much commodities, but if that is the case, it adds another
layer of worries. USD is surging yet commodities, US equity and bond market
are all rallying. What a world! |
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 45 all rally because confidence is re-established.
market |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 46 If confidence is re-established, then TNX should be rising rather than
falling, USD should be falling too. |
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 47 在confidence重建初期， 就是所有的都涨， 因为投资者不再nervous,
冒进的投股市， 保守的投债市。 当市场进一步趋好， 大家都没有恐惧了，
就开始考虑股市更加有机可图， 就从债市撤出去股市。
当股市开始下跌时， 投资者转向债市求稳， 但是当margin call来到，
连债市的投资都要撤回以应对margin call. 就像在去年八月， 股市债市comoddity
一起跌。 |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 48 Yeah sure, with TNX fall below 2% and US treasury is able to sell $21B 10-
year notes yielding 1.9% this month, show how confident the market is.
Last August, TNX fall from about 3% to less than 2% in a little more than a
month, bond market fall with stock? |
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w****k
发帖数: 6244 | 49 现在形势下，这两者的联系和以往不同
债券涨是因为欧洲的钱往美国跑 |
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c******7
发帖数: 439 | 50 depending on your ability to time the market,
if you are average Joe, which means pretty bad at timing the market,
then you are better off with the second one.
the second one systematically lower the risk (divergence)
if the market is more or less random. |
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