p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 1 This is about balancing, a really good one, IMO.
I really really like this statement!
" So, in any situation, my first thought is what I'm trying to
accomplish with a play (a bet, ck, raise)"
"
I don't crunch numbers as often as people probably think I do.
I think I am good at doing some rough math in my head on the fly, as far as
hand combos and ranges go. Lemme think about my thought process...
So, in any situation, my first thought is what I'm trying to accomplish with
a pla... 阅读全帖 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 2 About BR.
"
BR reqs are a function of what you're comfortable with. I think most people
underestimate variance. Most people don't understand how bad it can get.
Looking back at the way I started, I might not be playing still had I not
run good for the beginning of my career.
Most pros probably started out running good. Most 'would be' pros who run
bad at the start of their career probably lost interest and/or confidence
and many give up.
Since a lot of us ran good to start our career, we have ... 阅读全帖 |
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O***o
发帖数: 2124 | 3 Thanks for sharing , 发现自己现在越来越懒的去找东西读啦。 |
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l*****g
发帖数: 1128 | 4 Haha... They are cute.
in
won
owned
girl |
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l*****g
发帖数: 1128 | 5 Taking a couple days off after a downswing really helps.
are
poker
subject, |
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l*****g
发帖数: 1128 | 6 Thanks for sharing. Very good posts from Phil Galfond. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 7 have you tried Garden city casino? Read some hand posted on 2p2 , it
seems a lot of actioin there. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 8 changed name to Bovada now. Open to U.S players.
pretty good bonus. cashing out only takes 2 weeks by check to U.S players ,
according to 2p2. And they have western union cash out option(not sure fee)
which allows you to cash outand get money within 24 hours. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 9 把牌谱发在那，有点对牛弹琴把。还不如发在2p2。
这里苍蝇们看了，起码可以嗡嗡叫一下阿。。。 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 10 俺还以为最有钱的郡都在加州。 好像当年俺去polto alto 玩的时候， 被告知那里房
价是全国最高的。 事过境迁啊， 还是政府钱好赚。。。看2p2上的post 分析，现在
vegas 的live cash game 已经退化很多， 特别是4。15 之后，不少online pro 过来
打全职。节假日除外， 现在vegas 5-10 以上的game的确没什么大头,reg 太多了。
action
mills |
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l*****g
发帖数: 1128 | 11 可能也有一些有钱人，但也有一些年轻人来take a shot的，不过输个一两千真的是太
常见了。看过2P2上一个贴上说:1-2NL are suckers, and 2-5NL are suckers who
have money. 呵呵。。。有时觉得有点道理。至少3－5NL上我是没看到几个玩得好的，
所以我现在玩起来都很镇定，很稳，没有压力，所以效率都很好。 |
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T********n
发帖数: 528 | 12 Because I no longer work/live in the LA area I don't get to go to Commerce
much anymore - maybe once a month on average. But most of the people I grew
up in my "poker career" have gone pro and the majority of them choose
Commerce as their stomping ground for day-to-day and follow the circuit
around.
Sad to hear about Kenny and a "xiao mi", although that's somewhat to be
expected for poker players with a lot of cash. When I played actively, his
wife (Jayde) was one of the most frequent regulars... 阅读全帖 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 13 bobo V5.
btw, still use Hm1 now?
accouding to 2p2, Hm1>pt4>pt3>>> hm2. lol.
hm just still do not support zoom now. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 14 好像还不行。 我也不懂hm2, 这是2p2 上zoom thread 的一些讨论。 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 15 bobo is the most improved player on this board. hehe.
btw, NL200 is the hightest stake on Merge running regularly,right?
according to 2p2, Merge is doing well in cashout, usually 4-6 weeks. Not too
bad.
have you tried Pt4 beta? heard some good things about it. HM2 does not
get many positive feedback.
|
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 16 can sell your merge money on twoplustwo if you need the money right way.
usually there is at least 10% VIG. or trade for amazon GC etc on 2p2 market
place. |
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s*******o
发帖数: 4896 | 17 我总觉得不安全，2p2上骗子可不少
market |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 18 certain skin of Merge is decent. You can get money within 2-3 weeks now
according to 2p2. |
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T********n
发帖数: 528 | 19 iGaming just had a post that PS's press release will be coming out soon.
2p2's got another giant thread on NVG hah. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 21 I almost forget it too. hehe but playing about 20 regular speed HUSNG as
we discussed before takes lot of time and engergy. it takes around 15-20
minutes for each game. I have been really busy recently.
maybe we can play 3 or 5 games in our MPT time, but I do not want to bet
real money on it with so much luck factor in 3 or 5 games since I offer the
3:1 odds. in 2p2 husng, there were a few such side bets, but they play
100 games.
maybe we can bet some baozi for fun. my 300weibi a... 阅读全帖 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 22 +1
indeed geat post! I have similar reason like you toward this board. some
sort of connection of being a chinese poker player and some sense of
community.
I am a HUSNG player and the major forum I visited before was 2p2 husng
board. I know some ppl there ,but never get a sense of connection or
community like I get here. It is also great to meet so many smart people who
have the same hobby as we do.
. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 23 so have you tried to play the HU LH slot machine in Bellagio? there was a
huge thread in 2p2 about that machine. It was designed by IGT and based on
AI/neural network etc. some ppl said a top notch LH player can beat that
machine. I played a few times , but won a little bit each time. The machine
seems super aggro,but seems follow certain pattern.
me |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 24 我觉得在比较低得level 上，打sng BR 会增长得比较快，对BR 要求小。风险也小得
多。好多online pro, 向 durrrr , Phil Galfond, 都是打sng 把BR 打起来后，在打
cash game的。好像现在cash game 的环境也大不如前。
st husng 在husng.com 有几个免费的video, 在2p2 husng 版，有一个非常大的
thread. 关于st husng的。 有个德国的牛人，在ps 不到一年，只打st husng, 已经赢
了 700k. 以前在FTP时，我同他打过。 不过，st husng 如果rake 超过2%, 最好不要
打了。不太好beat. |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 25 哥们你这么说多少有点断章取义吧？ 我不得不拿出点证据来了。 这个是我在
mm 老师同版花某次抄架时提出来的，这要是活跃版上气氛，毕竟当时两个人在炒。当
时goes 也说just for fun. 而且我说的非常清楚，至少十个game, 并且上限是100$
real money(my 300$). 同goes的match, 我们说的轻轻楚楚，是约定好的21 个game,
而且是我们都有时间时在打。mm 老师一口咬叮是七场，并说我丢品。 我同他赌1000$
real money, 他马上变卦了。
这件事到此为止吧，我同goes 有时间会同goes 约定打的，我现在每天打好多
online 很stressful,有时过来灌灌水放松一下，不想为了100/300$ 华那末多时间和精
力。wsop 之后吧。
＂ http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t1/TexasHoldem/31213161_0_2.html
agree. I will lay 1:3 odds for anybody playing against me on this board, ... 阅读全帖 |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 27 来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - Merge for below EV issue, I think it is very normal, I would not choose to leave
a poker room just coz my result is below EV. :)
back to pre BF time, I once only use HM for cashgame. But once I checked
my HUSNG hand history(only a small part of it since I lost some HH), I found
that my real ROI of ST HUSNG for that part is only 2% and my EV adjusted
ROI is 6%. And this is over 5k ST HUSNG game, should be at least 50k hands.
I saw lot of similiar curve on 2p2 as well. It is just variance and you
h... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******o
发帖数: 4896 | 28 来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - Merge 我记得以前有那种买gift card相当于充值
也可以WU
不过我确实不知道Lock今天之后的桌子情况，2p2上很多人说不喜欢cake要转
其他的merge skin
他们的ronin基本上是给上50%的extra RB，所以下个月我应该会打0.5/1的cash game
多一些。希望能够有足够多的action吧 |
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s*******o
发帖数: 4896 | 29 昨天第一天转过去，6max 100NL里面5x/1x的人还不少。。
后来上2p2一看，原来是很多Lock上的人因为转network，钱没弄好没开始打
估计今天要悲剧了 |
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s*******o
发帖数: 4896 | 30 自动的，还有ronin这个活动额外给RB非常爽的。
不过据说Cake是用dealt based 的point system跟contribution based不一样
我记得以前PS也是dealt based的，我看了2p2上的讨论，没看清楚倒地哪个好
200% |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 31 ronin 也是自动有的？额外给多少Rb啊？
ps 现在也是contribution based. 在2p2争论了好久了。contribution based对
nit肯定不好。lee jones 前两天post 一个ps 对rake的调查，说80% 的人rake 减少了，
可能他们考虑了ps 的rb 结构。
对了，新的revolution network的网址在那？没有google到。 今天是第一天吧。
以后 新的poker room 的cash out 是由lock 统一处理的把？ |
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p****r
发帖数: 9164 | 32 By " SGT RJ".
She is finishing her Ph.d in counseling psych and a mod in 2p2 NVG.
Q:
The one thing that I've been working on the past week (and slightly
improving at day by day) is my mental endurance. I struggle with sitting and
playing a session after I play for about an hour to an hour and a half. I
usually get distracted or feel very slight fatigue and use that as a
scapegoat to not play. To combat this I am putting in longer sessions to
increase endurance and trying to schedule my sessio... 阅读全帖 |
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p**********1
发帖数: 1458 | 33 Thanks. now that I think about it, we probably don't need the "a player turn
his cards face up" assumption, but the "same stack size" is still needed to
avoid side pot. I don't quite remember the exact example, it's from an old
2p2 post. yet the idea is the same as in morton's example, you got a made
hand (a pair or better pair) against two drawing hands and you are ahead,
with the difference being preflop or on the flop. (a made hand is not always
ahead though, i.e., 33阅读全帖 |
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T********n
发帖数: 528 | 34 这几个月来以业余的来说打了很多牌.
本来是想仔细的recap从四月到六月的highlights.可是we live in the present! 所以
就简单的bullet point 吧~
1) LP成功的把一个小bankroll成长到可以take shots at 20/40 LHE. Take shot的结
果不错,目前大概+$3000. 她又自己开始看2p2,问的问题也比较有意义. 乐观的我认为
她应该已经是small winner at weekend LA 20/40 games.
2) 虽然六月让我想吐with a 250 big bet downwing. 整体来说还是非常满意的. Q2打
了175小时的20/40赢~1.2big bet per hour (BB/hr). 145小时的40/80赢~1.75BB/hr.
9小时的60/120输了~6BB/hr 哭(technically this was in July, but oh well I
didn't export my data right on July 1st)). 零零星星打了30-40小时... 阅读全帖 |
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T********n
发帖数: 528 | 35 Don't know much about NL but a sustained $32/hr at 1/2 sounds phenomenal
even when you take into account like what LaoDa says and you're just playing
nights and weekends.
Regarding statistics though ~200 hours is more like 5-6k hands, depending on
the tables you're at. The only thing you can say is with 5000 hands, if
you are winning 1 big bet an hour, you are probably within 95% CI of saying
you're not a -1 big bet an hour loser (do your own translation for bb/100 or
whatever NL likes to use).... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********k
发帖数: 1621 | 36 先 make sure 你能拿到钱钱再说亏不亏。
多交点分子钱，能定时拿到 cash 就上上大吉了。
不要像我一样几千快钱烂在lock 里拿不出来就傻叉了 。 这是我自 ftp 之后第二次
烂钱在这些骗子手里了 。听说 2p2 上一块钱只能算 3 毛了 。 唉，一点 rake 算啥
？人家不吃肉的话你能喝上汤吗？ |
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a**o
发帖数: 730 | 37 来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - 昨天一手牌 hehe, This hand happened when I just started to learn poker. As I played a
little more, read books and videos, and read posts on 2p2, now if I play
this hand again, I will not reraise on the flop. I will just call and see
the turn. I wouldn't all in on the flop for flash and straight draw. I have
13 outs, so 13x4=52. I have rough 1:1 odds. If I go allin with HU, pot odds
is 1:1. It is very close, but still a coin flip. So now if I play this again
, I will just call the $1 bet and see the turn.
... 阅读全帖 |
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r********m
发帖数: 593 | 38 这楼接着EL, 另外包括Elizabeth Arden
===Estee Lauder===
彩妆类
眼影
Pure Color Eye Shadow 8 in 1 (flower外盒)
AB2
Size 0.57g
Price 4.00
Pure Color Eye Shadow quad 粉色外盒
DC2, EC2
Qty 4
Price 2.00 each
----------------------------------------------------------------------
睫毛膏
Mascara
Sumptuous Bold Volume™ Lifting X11
Sumptuous Extreme lash multiflying Volume X6
AC2, C52, AA2, E91, A22, AA1
Qty 17
Size 2.8mL
Price 1.00 each
Sumptuous Bold Volume Lifting Mascara
+
Pure c... 阅读全帖 |
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g***i
发帖数: 4272 | 39 系统自带：OpenSSH_6.2p2, OSSLShim 0.9.8r 8 Dec 2011
最新版openssh是：
OpenSSH_6.6p1, OpenSSL 1.0.1i 6 Aug 2014
用brew更新后，客户端就是最新的了。（把/usr/local/bin放到$PATH最前边）
更新的目的是为了sshd的安全。但通过telnet localhost 22会发现，sshd依然是老版
本。
修改一下/System/Library/LaunchDaemon/ssh.plist:
把里边的/usr/libexec/sshd-keygen-wrapper以及/usr/sbin/sshd 都更改为 /usr/
sbin/sshd就可以了。（/usr/local/sbin/sshd可能需要自己link）
然后重启sshd服务。（launchctl或者系统分享设置）
最后更改一下/usr/local/etc/ssh/sshd_config
把UsePrivilegeSeparation的值从sandbox改为yes |
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发帖数: 1 | 40 Canonical今天正式发布了新版的Ubuntu系统，针对PC、笔记本、上网本、平板和智能
手机各类设备。这次的Ubuntu 16.04代号为Xenial Xerus——这个代号是由Canonical
创始人Mark Shuttleworth取的。此外，Ubuntu 16.04还是LTS版，即长期支持版，后续
会获得5年时间的更新和安全补丁支持。
Ubuntu 16.04 LTS采用长期支持的Linux内核，版本号是4.4，相比一般的内核，这个
内核也将在很长一段时间内得到安全更新和BUG修复。而且在Linux Kernel 4.4 LTS生
命周期完结后，Canonical也将继续提供支持，直至Ubuntu 16.04 LTS至2021年寿终正
寝。
在刚才的报道中，我们已经提供了这个新系统的不少系统截图。从系统外观来说，
变得的确是不多，仅有图标和Unity界面的微小调整——可与文件管理器和设备融合，
提供对使用headerbar的GTK应用的支持等。
switcher和spread后端也获得了一些提升，用户可使用Super+Ctrl+W热键的方式来
激活应用spread，Uni... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********g
发帖数: 646 | 41 另外第二题，我的答案 p(M>=N)=0.26
类似第一题方法，只不过A的结果和B的结果是独立事件。
下面求的是P（M>=N）的概率
note, pij 表示 P( desired |A有i个H in a row,B有j个H in a row)
列出来如下方程：
3/4p00=1/4p10+1/4p11+1/4p01
p10=1/4p00+1/4p01+1/2p_A
p11=1/2p2+1/4p02+1/4p00
p01=1/4p10+1/4p02+1/4p12+1/4p00
p02=1/2p_B+1/4p10+1/4p00
p12=1/2p_B+1/4p00+1/4p2
boundary 是p_A=0; p_B=1
6个方程有点多，解系统方程AX=B,得 0.26
还是等大牛们来指正吧。或者有更简便的方法。 |
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s******h
发帖数: 539 | 42 I assume that your subjects are randomly assigned to the two designs (i.e.,
[A B] and [B A]). If the sample size of the two groups are the same, say n,
then 1) and 2) are essentially equivalent, imo.
To see this, assume that X1, ..., Xn are the Bernoulli responses of choosing
A in design [A B], and Y1, ..., Yn are the response of choosing A in design
[B A]. Assume that E(X1) = P1 and E(Y1) = P2. You want to test if P1 = P2.
So I think 2) makes more sense.
Method 1) is then {(X1 + ... + Xn) + (n... 阅读全帖 |
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k*******a
发帖数: 772 | 43 第一题是不是这么做的：
假设概率为 p0, p1, p2, p3, p4
那么这个女孩只能来自家庭size 1， 2， 3， 4
如果1， 姐妹的概率为 0
2， 有姐妹的概率1/2
3， 有姐妹的概率 3/4
4. 有姐妹的概率 7/8
所以概率为 (1/2p2+3/4p3+7/8p4)/(p1+p2+p3+p4) |
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k*******a
发帖数: 772 | 44 第一题是不是这么做的：
假设概率为 p0, p1, p2, p3, p4
那么这个女孩只能来自家庭size 1， 2， 3， 4
如果1， 姐妹的概率为 0
2， 有姐妹的概率1/2
3， 有姐妹的概率 3/4
4. 有姐妹的概率 7/8
所以概率为 (1/2p2+3/4p3+7/8p4)/(p1+p2+p3+p4) |
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