f*****x
发帖数: 675 | 1 By Matt Phillips
Interesting note out this afternoon from the folks over at Bespoke
Investment Group. It offers a by-the- numbers look at corrections, which
MarketBeaters of course know is typically defined as a 10% decline from a
market peak, which stops short of becoming a full-blown bear market. (The
threshold for a bear market is a 20% drop.) Here are some of the key digits,
using the S&P 500 stock index.
Number of declines of 10% or more: 58, since 1927.
Number that remained as merely corrections: 33 (57%)
Number that turned into a new bear market: 25 (43%)
Average length of correction within bull market: 104 days.
Average decline during corrections: 13.3%.
Length of current correction: 45 days.
Decline of current correction: 14.4%, based on some of Tuesday’s
intraday lows.
Bespoke suggests that the relatively sharp and deep nature of the current
correction, makes it a good candidate for turning into a bear market. “Only
7 of the 32 declines of 14.4% or more from a bull market high haven’t
turned into a decline of 20% or more. Once you hit the –20% threshold, the
average bear market decline is 35.49%,” Bespoke analysts write. (Of course,
we’ve rallied off of Tuesday’s lows. But you get the point.) | d****7
发帖数: 2241 | 2 forfunx: thanks for the post. Looks like we still have some space to drop
before it turns into a real bearish market.
BTW: 45 days dropped 14.4%, a little bit too steep.
digits,
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】
: By Matt Phillips
: Interesting note out this afternoon from the folks over at Bespoke
: Investment Group. It offers a by-the- numbers look at corrections, which
: MarketBeaters of course know is typically defined as a 10% decline from a
: market peak, which stops short of becoming a full-blown bear market. (The
: threshold for a bear market is a 20% drop.) Here are some of the key digits,
: using the S&P 500 stock index.
: Number of declines of 10% or more: 58, since 1927.
: Number that remained as merely corrections: 33 (57%)
: Number that turned into a new bear market: 25 (43%)
| K********g
发帖数: 9389 | 3 这个人怎么这么熊。
digits,
【在 f*****x 的大作中提到】
: By Matt Phillips
: Interesting note out this afternoon from the folks over at Bespoke
: Investment Group. It offers a by-the- numbers look at corrections, which
: MarketBeaters of course know is typically defined as a 10% decline from a
: market peak, which stops short of becoming a full-blown bear market. (The
: threshold for a bear market is a 20% drop.) Here are some of the key digits,
: using the S&P 500 stock index.
: Number of declines of 10% or more: 58, since 1927.
: Number that remained as merely corrections: 33 (57%)
: Number that turned into a new bear market: 25 (43%)
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