v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Chinook 俱乐部 】
发信人: vanmark (controlled aggression), 信区: Chinook
标 题: My personal view of mid/long term holdings for the next year
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 14 21:00:55 2012, 美东)
This is not a trading strategy and everything is based on no QE3. Welcome
for critics but I don't want to argue anything about AAPL. Of course if the
market crashes you would better hold some TZA/FAZ. Lol
1. defensive
- Prefer staples
2. domestic
- No Europe and emerging markets.
3. Consumer-related
- No enterprise spending and Government spending related (UTX, LMT, MMM).
Sector-wise, NO materials/high-end retails/financials/industries/
discretionary services(casinos/travel agencies) because of the slow down in
China and Europe. The only exception may be fertilizers and agriculture
goods coz the weather is out of control.
No cloud computing/semi stocks for Tech (Amazon is an exception) and IBM/
ORCL/RHT/MSFT won't perform well.
Energy is a mixed one and I don't know too much. Maybe refineries will be
good. Definitely a no-go for coals. Anyone has some comments?
Totally have no ideas on health care/transportation/utilities. Anyone has
some comments?
Some possible sectors:
AAPL (maybe amzn? I own both)
low-end retails (I own dltr)
domestic restaurants
payday loans
e-payments (maybe too expensive. I own MA)
home builders (maybe too expensive. I own tol)
mREITs (you need to know the risk. I own agnc)
Other high dividend stocks (CVS/MO/PM?) |
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