d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 1 https://www.buzzfeed.com/adriancarrasquillo/as-florida-early-voting-begins-
99-more-latinos-have-already?utm_term=.mfyM7JgyA#.ksMyNzAk1
佛罗里达：Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting a substantial 99% increase
in Latino voting in Florida compared to this point in 2012, with 133,000
Hispanics already casting their ballot in the state, as part of its major
focus on getting its base to vote early in key swing states.
Arizona：With more than 300,000 votes already cast in Arizona, Democrats
lead Republicans by 1,000 votes but trailed Republicans by 20,000 votes at
the same point four years ago, the campaign said.
内华达：In Nevada’s Clark County, a major population center that include 75
% of the state’s residents and is 31% Hispanic, 51,000 people voted on the
first day of early voting, with 55% registered as Democrats, while 27% were
Republicans.
Poll: An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll last week showed Clinton leading
Trump 70% to 17% with Latinos nationally, while a Noticias Telemundo/NALEO
tracking poll released Monday put the figure at 74% to 15%.
2012年在拉美裔里面Obama拿了71%，Romney拿了27%，赢了44个点。这次不知道Hillary
能赢Trump几个点，如果超过50个点，GOP就是finish了。 | y**c
发帖数: 6307 | 2 激动起来也不参加妖婆拉力。
increase
75
【在 d*****s 的大作中提到】
: https://www.buzzfeed.com/adriancarrasquillo/as-florida-early-voting-begins-
: 99-more-latinos-have-already?utm_term=.mfyM7JgyA#.ksMyNzAk1
: 佛罗里达：Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting a substantial 99% increase
: in Latino voting in Florida compared to this point in 2012, with 133,000
: Hispanics already casting their ballot in the state, as part of its major
: focus on getting its base to vote early in key swing states.
: Arizona：With more than 300,000 votes already cast in Arizona, Democrats
: lead Republicans by 1,000 votes but trailed Republicans by 20,000 votes at
: the same point four years ago, the campaign said.
: 内华达：In Nevada’s Clark County, a major population center that include 75
| h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 3 主党脸皮真厚 希拉里本人AZ NV去过几次？这种几近于放弃的州 现在突然想起来临时
抱佛脚管用么 | d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 4 参加过rally的人数占总投票数的比例大概0.1%？重要吗？
Trump自己说的：
“I hear we’re leading Florida by a bit,” Trump said in that same speech
where he hit Clinton's crowds. “I don’t know why we’re not leading by a
lot. Maybe crowds don’t make the difference.”
【在 y**c 的大作中提到】
: 激动起来也不参加妖婆拉力。
:
: increase
: 75
| F*********s
发帖数: 537 | 5 你丫皮真厚，刚在一个帖子被打脸，你又开新贴找虐。
你们左逼拿左媒来证明，就像婊子拉老鸨说自己是处女一样。哈哈。
increase
75
【在 d*****s 的大作中提到】
: https://www.buzzfeed.com/adriancarrasquillo/as-florida-early-voting-begins-
: 99-more-latinos-have-already?utm_term=.mfyM7JgyA#.ksMyNzAk1
: 佛罗里达：Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting a substantial 99% increase
: in Latino voting in Florida compared to this point in 2012, with 133,000
: Hispanics already casting their ballot in the state, as part of its major
: focus on getting its base to vote early in key swing states.
: Arizona：With more than 300,000 votes already cast in Arizona, Democrats
: lead Republicans by 1,000 votes but trailed Republicans by 20,000 votes at
: the same point four years ago, the campaign said.
: 内华达：In Nevada’s Clark County, a major population center that include 75
| h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 6 不排除注册主党投和党的票 还有 不谈中间选民的结果都没有大参考价值 | j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 7 参加拉力的人占投票人数的0.1%，按这个算法大选投拉稀痢票的人大概只有投老川的1
～2%，有意思。
【在 F*********s 的大作中提到】
: 你丫皮真厚，刚在一个帖子被打脸，你又开新贴找虐。
: 你们左逼拿左媒来证明，就像婊子拉老鸨说自己是处女一样。哈哈。
:
: increase
: 75
| l********e
发帖数: 127 | 8 发信人: dodgers (Dodgers), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: 拉美裔被Trump激起来了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 24 22:23:11 2016, 美东)
"参加过rally的人数占总投票数的比例大概0.1%？重要吗？"
------------------------------------------------
这个和Quora上的论调一样啊。楼主原创，还是借鉴的？
这个论调基于以下假设：希拉里支持者们参加rally的意愿显著低于Trump的支持者。根
据二者rally现场的人数对比，以及楼主认定希拉里大选胜出的结果，这个意愿有成百
上千倍的差距。这样显著差别的两个人群的存在，真是让我长见识了。不过这个假设也
很好检验，看最终大选结果就可以了。当然，如果希拉里靠舞弊获胜的话另说。 | p**********8
发帖数: 490 | 9 希拉里团队在Craigslist上登广告雇人给希拉里投票！FL也有！ | c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 10 里根1980赢56%白人票，只输6个州;
螺母2012赢59%白人票，输24个州；
人口的变化让僵化的GOP doom了。
increase
75
【在 d*****s 的大作中提到】
: https://www.buzzfeed.com/adriancarrasquillo/as-florida-early-voting-begins-
: 99-more-latinos-have-already?utm_term=.mfyM7JgyA#.ksMyNzAk1
: 佛罗里达：Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting a substantial 99% increase
: in Latino voting in Florida compared to this point in 2012, with 133,000
: Hispanics already casting their ballot in the state, as part of its major
: focus on getting its base to vote early in key swing states.
: Arizona：With more than 300,000 votes already cast in Arizona, Democrats
: lead Republicans by 1,000 votes but trailed Republicans by 20,000 votes at
: the same point four years ago, the campaign said.
: 内华达：In Nevada’s Clark County, a major population center that include 75
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