m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 1 This is a true story 2 years' ago I was in Venitian.
An old guy wanted to place side bet agains any one in the table( each time
20$)
if flop either K or 10 ( of couse , if both), he won, other wise he lost.
What is the chance he won?
I put it too simple and gambled with him for 20-30 times.
After I went home I calculated the detail statistics
What will you do and what is the chance I can win? |
i********r
发帖数: 1153 | 2 i can't see why you aren't a slight favorite. i'll gamble but if there's a f
ish with big stack on the table i won't.
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This is a true story 2 years' ago I was in Venitian.
: An old guy wanted to place side bet agains any one in the table( each time
: 20$)
: if flop either K or 10 ( of couse , if both), he won, other wise he lost.
: What is the chance he won?
: I put it too simple and gambled with him for 20-30 times.
: After I went home I calculated the detail statistics
: What will you do and what is the chance I can win?
|
q**u
发帖数: 12289 | 3 他只有40%的可能性赢。
还是俺算得不对？
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This is a true story 2 years' ago I was in Venitian.
: An old guy wanted to place side bet agains any one in the table( each time
: 20$)
: if flop either K or 10 ( of couse , if both), he won, other wise he lost.
: What is the chance he won?
: I put it too simple and gambled with him for 20-30 times.
: After I went home I calculated the detail statistics
: What will you do and what is the chance I can win?
|
l******n
发帖数: 641 | 4 1/3 flop kT, same as AK
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This is a true story 2 years' ago I was in Venitian.
: An old guy wanted to place side bet agains any one in the table( each time
: 20$)
: if flop either K or 10 ( of couse , if both), he won, other wise he lost.
: What is the chance he won?
: I put it too simple and gambled with him for 20-30 times.
: After I went home I calculated the detail statistics
: What will you do and what is the chance I can win?
|
w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 5 32% to hit either 10 or K on flop. |
q**u
发帖数: 12289 | 6 还得算上两张和三张的都是k/10的概率
【在 w***w 的大作中提到】
: 32% to hit either 10 or K on flop.
|
w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 7 holding 2 unmatched cards, chance of pairing at least one of your cards
32.4% (2.1 to 1)
http://www.chainpoker.com/poker_odds.html |
w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 8 已经算上了.
"at least"
【在 q**u 的大作中提到】
: 还得算上两张和三张的都是k/10的概率
|
q**u
发帖数: 12289 | 9 为啥俺算出40%？难道不是1-p(一张都不是）？
【在 w***w 的大作中提到】
: 已经算上了.
: "at least"
|
q**u
发帖数: 12289 | 10 这个，原题里没说hole cards里一定要有10/k啊
【在 w***w 的大作中提到】
: 已经算上了.
: "at least"
|
|
|
c********e
发帖数: 267 | 11 难道不是1-(44/52)^3 = 40% 可能性他赢？
也就是你60%可能性赢？ |
q**u
发帖数: 12289 | 12 差点儿。1-44/52*43/51*42/50
【在 c********e 的大作中提到】
: 难道不是1-(44/52)^3 = 40% 可能性他赢？
: 也就是你60%可能性赢？
|
w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 13 我有点糊涂了.
【在 q**u 的大作中提到】
: 这个，原题里没说hole cards里一定要有10/k啊
|
c********e
发帖数: 267 | 14
你是正确的，我原帖也写反了
【在 q**u 的大作中提到】
: 差点儿。1-44/52*43/51*42/50
|
i********r
发帖数: 1153 | 15 nah, he doesn't have to have K or T in his hand.
【在 w***w 的大作中提到】
: holding 2 unmatched cards, chance of pairing at least one of your cards
: 32.4% (2.1 to 1)
: http://www.chainpoker.com/poker_odds.html
|
i********r
发帖数: 1153 | 16 8/52+8/51+8/50 ???
【在 q**u 的大作中提到】
: 他只有40%的可能性赢。
: 还是俺算得不对？
|
t***k
发帖数: 57 | |
k********g
发帖数: 2534 | 18 60%
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This is a true story 2 years' ago I was in Venitian.
: An old guy wanted to place side bet agains any one in the table( each time
: 20$)
: if flop either K or 10 ( of couse , if both), he won, other wise he lost.
: What is the chance he won?
: I put it too simple and gambled with him for 20-30 times.
: After I went home I calculated the detail statistics
: What will you do and what is the chance I can win?
|
k********g
发帖数: 2534 | 19 对的
你算得对的
【在 q**u 的大作中提到】
: 为啥俺算出40%？难道不是1-p(一张都不是）？
|
m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 20 ya, it is K 10 or 5.
then should be 42% (non of them come out on the flop) |
