k******t
发帖数: 257 | 1 There is a easy way to estimate odds on next card.
odds=outs x2, so 1 outer is 2% roughly. | s**h
发帖数: 262 | 2 not really, depends on whether it's on the flop or turn
简单的四二法则,on the flop,你的winning probability大约是number of outs乘以4,
on the turn, 则是number of outs乘以2,这样可以粗略计算获胜的概率
例如on the flop, 如果有flush draw and str8 draw, 15个outs,粗略算你有60%
chance of winning with two cards coming (精确的是54%), 知道是favorite to win
the hand 就可以了
【在 k******t 的大作中提到】
: There is a easy way to estimate odds on next card.
: odds=outs x2, so 1 outer is 2% roughly.
| k******t
发帖数: 257 | 3 Rule of 4 have huge deviations. Last week my 44 floped Q74, a retard calling
station called all the way with A7 hit running Qs. On flop he got 0 odds
with rule of 4, but he picked up ~10% on turn.
Anyway, agreed 2-4 rule is more than enough for the battle. Was sitting with
Andy
Bloch once, a very nice pro who talks with xiamis like me. He is also a
member from MIT blackjack team who brought down the house. If poker is game
of math, I doubt chefs like Johny chan, Scotty Nyguan would have any chan
【在 s**h 的大作中提到】
: not really, depends on whether it's on the flop or turn
: 简单的四二法则,on the flop,你的winning probability大约是number of outs乘以4,
: on the turn, 则是number of outs乘以2,这样可以粗略计算获胜的概率
: 例如on the flop, 如果有flush draw and str8 draw, 15个outs,粗略算你有60%
: chance of winning with two cards coming (精确的是54%), 知道是favorite to win
: the hand 就可以了
| f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 4 totally agree, especially the math part. poker involves some basic math,
that's it.
in real play, it's more about experience and skills (math being one).
however, if we're talking at research/theory level, that's another story.
calling
with
game
chance.
【在 k******t 的大作中提到】
: Rule of 4 have huge deviations. Last week my 44 floped Q74, a retard calling
: station called all the way with A7 hit running Qs. On flop he got 0 odds
: with rule of 4, but he picked up ~10% on turn.
: Anyway, agreed 2-4 rule is more than enough for the battle. Was sitting with
: Andy
: Bloch once, a very nice pro who talks with xiamis like me. He is also a
: member from MIT blackjack team who brought down the house. If poker is game
: of math, I doubt chefs like Johny chan, Scotty Nyguan would have any chan
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