a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 1 Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
month later.
This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
and Yellen will not lose credibility.
Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
emerging market and commodity. |
a**u
发帖数: 8107 | 2 我也希望如此
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
: month later.
: This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
: and Yellen will not lose credibility.
: Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
: emerging market and commodity.
|
p*****s
发帖数: 4393 | 3 你说那个promise我觉得不太可能。 虽然加不加息我不知道
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
: month later.
: This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
: and Yellen will not lose credibility.
: Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
: emerging market and commodity.
|
c****t
发帖数: 5452 | |
P********y
发帖数: 4195 | 5 民主投票决定的。 当然也可以投票PROMISE。
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
: month later.
: This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
: and Yellen will not lose credibility.
: Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
: emerging market and commodity.
|
L*****d
发帖数: 5093 | |
z**********3
发帖数: 11979 | 7 哪有promise
只有16年底的target rate 还是estimate |
w**********u
发帖数: 913 | 8 椰奶自己都不知道还能坐几年这个位置
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
: month later.
: This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
: and Yellen will not lose credibility.
: Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
: emerging market and commodity.
|
c****t
发帖数: 5452 | 9 叶大妈只要愿意，是有独裁权的
【在 P********y 的大作中提到】
: 民主投票决定的。 当然也可以投票PROMISE。
|
a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 10 In Sept 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) declared its intent
to hold the federal funds rate – the interest rate that the Fed directly
controls – near zero "at least through mid-2015".
Now that was a strong promise. The similar wording can happen today.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/sep/13/ben-bernan
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Will increase interest rate of 0.25% and promise not to raise until 18-24
: month later.
: This will ease the market uncertainty, banks will have the breathing room
: and Yellen will not lose credibility.
: Market will have a broad welcome today and tomorrow. This will include the
: emerging market and commodity.
|
|
|
p*****s
发帖数: 4393 | 11 不是说不可能promise, 但是我觉得你说的这种可能性不太大。 加个.25, 然后告诉大
家2年不加？ 那对市场的破坏力很大。
intent
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: In Sept 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) declared its intent
: to hold the federal funds rate – the interest rate that the Fed directly
: controls – near zero "at least through mid-2015".
: Now that was a strong promise. The similar wording can happen today.
: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/sep/13/ben-bernan
|
z**********3
发帖数: 11979 | 12 "intent" to hold 是Fed的词
promise是卫报的媒体解读
分析清楚 不然容易亏费
Fed 需要忠实履行职责就是盯住就业和CPI 以及一些辅助数据制定rate政策
实际数据变了它也得跟着变
它不是政府 对选民对市场承诺的概念
intent
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: In Sept 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) declared its intent
: to hold the federal funds rate – the interest rate that the Fed directly
: controls – near zero "at least through mid-2015".
: Now that was a strong promise. The similar wording can happen today.
: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/sep/13/ben-bernan
|
p*****s
发帖数: 4393 | 13 不知道今天会不会改变Reinvestment policy, let's see see |
a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 14 如果叶轮说intend to keep interest rate at 0.25% for 18-24 years, that is as
good a promise as it can be.
【在 z**********3 的大作中提到】
: "intent" to hold 是Fed的词
: promise是卫报的媒体解读
: 分析清楚 不然容易亏费
: Fed 需要忠实履行职责就是盯住就业和CPI 以及一些辅助数据制定rate政策
: 实际数据变了它也得跟着变
: 它不是政府 对选民对市场承诺的概念
:
: intent
|
z**********3
发帖数: 11979 | 15 如果决定加息了
再cease reinvestment 下手有点过狠
15年也就加一次息 这个可以留着当后手
【在 p*****s 的大作中提到】
: 不知道今天会不会改变Reinvestment policy, let's see see
|
s***d
发帖数: 15421 | 16
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.8
【在 z**********3 的大作中提到】
: 如果决定加息了
: 再cease reinvestment 下手有点过狠
: 15年也就加一次息 这个可以留着当后手
|
s***d
发帖数: 15421 | 17 reinvestment应该不会变 这个是个大变化 要cease 应该会吹风很久的
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.8
【在 z**********3 的大作中提到】
: 如果决定加息了
: 再cease reinvestment 下手有点过狠
: 15年也就加一次息 这个可以留着当后手
|
p*****s
发帖数: 4393 | 18 可不可能倒过来？
【在 z**********3 的大作中提到】
: 如果决定加息了
: 再cease reinvestment 下手有点过狠
: 15年也就加一次息 这个可以留着当后手
|
s***d
发帖数: 15421 | 19 耶伦最近一次对于reinvestment 的表态还是7月中 表示目前还没有开始考虑。倒过来
的话 对市场是一个大大的surprise
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.8
【在 p*****s 的大作中提到】
: 可不可能倒过来？
|
z**********3
发帖数: 11979 | 20 也许
不过市场估计不买账不信
就像约炮一见面男的就对女的说我爱你一辈子
一辈子太久 24months， i suppose you mean 对变化的美国经济又何尝不是 叶轮没
法控制
万一两年内CPI大涨 比如到4% 她就不能keep promise不继续加息
所以男的应该说 希望和你渡过难忘的一晚 女的就得你靠谱 就从了
as
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: 如果叶轮说intend to keep interest rate at 0.25% for 18-24 years, that is as
: good a promise as it can be.
|
a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 21 还是你这个靠谱。
【在 z**********3 的大作中提到】
: 也许
: 不过市场估计不买账不信
: 就像约炮一见面男的就对女的说我爱你一辈子
: 一辈子太久 24months， i suppose you mean 对变化的美国经济又何尝不是 叶轮没
: 法控制
: 万一两年内CPI大涨 比如到4% 她就不能keep promise不继续加息
: 所以男的应该说 希望和你渡过难忘的一晚 女的就得你靠谱 就从了
:
: as
|
