a**d
发帖数: 55 | 1 In order to survive in the trading world, the key is:
Pnl(when you are right) > Pnl(when you are wrong)
=> Pnl*Prob(when you are right) > Pnl*Prob(when you are wrong)
There are two components in the above formula. Nothing wrong if you try to
focus on improving the probability of "when you are right". But how much
further can you push it? 51%? 60%? 70%? or 90% ... The key is really combine
the two and capitalize it to maximum when you have a higher probability.
Therefore, please do NOT bash hobo for not being right at every single time.
No one can do that. Plus you really need to judge by all the factors, which
don't need to be a lot but just two. If you do so, you will start to
realize why he is better than 95% (I account for a lot scubas here) of
people on this board. |
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