a********h
发帖数: 819 | 1 You said you started shorting from 36, add 100s more with $1 increase in
silver.
so how much you are shorting now? |
r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 2 1. if you really care (I doubt), ready my post more carefully
2. If you just want to have some bragging power, sure enough, I am wiped out
because I shorted silver, happy now? |
a********h
发帖数: 819 | 3 come on, rim, I have been longing silver and talking about it here for a
long time, and I am a long-term investor, not a trader, no need to brag
right now. also, I really didn't make much in the past week since my miners
didn't move much. pretty furstrated about that.
silver will correct some day, but I just want to say again that shorting
silver is NOT a favorable trade. well, it's probably a better idea than
shorting bidu?
If you high-key talk about "shorting silver" and even with some "imo bogus"
analyses points, you shouldn't mind me ask about it, you probalby short less
than 100s with $1 increase? but that's not my point, is it? you are right I
don't care, I don't think you follow-through either.
out
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: 1. if you really care (I doubt), ready my post more carefully
: 2. If you just want to have some bragging power, sure enough, I am wiped out
: because I shorted silver, happy now?
|
r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 4 Good, I like to talk to "long term investors", since we would have similar
time frames.
It has been only about 1 month or so since I started to short silver. Don't
get to any conclusion too fast. I would like to bet with you that in 6 -12
months, SLV would be more close to $30 than to $50.
I am currently shorting 200 shares of SLV with average price of $40.88. |
l******g
发帖数: 743 | 5 why do you even care about others opinion on your trade?
why bother to bet with him anyway?
虽然我不同意你大多数做空的trade, 但timeframe, style不同， 操作方法千差万别，
你何必管
别人怎么说
similar
Don't
-12
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Good, I like to talk to "long term investors", since we would have similar
: time frames.
: It has been only about 1 month or so since I started to short silver. Don't
: get to any conclusion too fast. I would like to bet with you that in 6 -12
: months, SLV would be more close to $30 than to $50.
: I am currently shorting 200 shares of SLV with average price of $40.88.
|
A*********5
发帖数: 340 | 6 My miners are not doing well either...sigh...
Silver is so strong...AG is not.... |
j*****h
发帖数: 3292 | 7 autumnwish is betting on macro inflation expectation
leader 5, why are you betting on shorting slv? mean reversion only?
just so you know, mean itself can be drifting upwards. |
j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 8 也可以向下drift吧。巴菲特说炒金银，期货就是指望能找到下家。这些东西本身都没什么增值，不像股票。
如果真的赌通货膨胀，应该买tip吧。风险小得多，而且通胀的实惠一点不丢。金银这东西我觉得就是投机。不管长还是短，长期还是短期。谁也别觉得比谁更合理。
【在 j*****h 的大作中提到】
: autumnwish is betting on macro inflation expectation
: leader 5, why are you betting on shorting slv? mean reversion only?
: just so you know, mean itself can be drifting upwards.
|
j*****h
发帖数: 3292 | 9 金银没有income, 只有靠appreciation
金还有可以理解。 因为以前有金本位
银就是钱的概念是很遥远的事了
本质是fools' game, 但这个fools 人口基数太大了,帮主的horizon也不是三年五年
TIPS 被操纵了,你买了TIPS还是贬值
没什么增值，不像股票。
这东西我觉得就是投机。不管长还是短，长期还是短期。谁也别觉得比谁更合理。
【在 j***b 的大作中提到】
: 也可以向下drift吧。巴菲特说炒金银，期货就是指望能找到下家。这些东西本身都没什么增值，不像股票。
: 如果真的赌通货膨胀，应该买tip吧。风险小得多，而且通胀的实惠一点不丢。金银这东西我觉得就是投机。不管长还是短，长期还是短期。谁也别觉得比谁更合理。
|
j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 10 tips怎么个被操纵法？
fools就是下家。凡是指望下家的play都在冒自己就是下家的风险。其实自己本来也就是下家。
【在 j*****h 的大作中提到】
: 金银没有income, 只有靠appreciation
: 金还有可以理解。 因为以前有金本位
: 银就是钱的概念是很遥远的事了
: 本质是fools' game, 但这个fools 人口基数太大了,帮主的horizon也不是三年五年
: TIPS 被操纵了,你买了TIPS还是贬值
:
: 没什么增值，不像股票。
: 这东西我觉得就是投机。不管长还是短，长期还是短期。谁也别觉得比谁更合理。
|
|
|
j*****h
发帖数: 3292 | 11 问几个问题吧
CPI 和PPI 的区别是什么？为什么现在会有divergence?
Index basket 如何确定的？ 谁统计CPI？ 感觉到了low CPI了吗？
就是下家。
【在 j***b 的大作中提到】
: tips怎么个被操纵法？
: fools就是下家。凡是指望下家的play都在冒自己就是下家的风险。其实自己本来也就是下家。
|
j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 12 你这个扯的有点远了。
简单的讲就是如果有严重的通涨，那tips肯定会涨。
【在 j*****h 的大作中提到】
: 问几个问题吧
: CPI 和PPI 的区别是什么？为什么现在会有divergence?
: Index basket 如何确定的？ 谁统计CPI？ 感觉到了low CPI了吗？
:
: 就是下家。
|
a********h
发帖数: 819 | 13 会涨
但比inflation rate 差不少
还要交税
税后差一半都不止
【在 j***b 的大作中提到】
: 你这个扯的有点远了。
: 简单的讲就是如果有严重的通涨，那tips肯定会涨。
|
j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 14 不比inflation rate差吧。tips的本金就是根据cpi调节的。
至于税，应该可以用在tax shelter之下的帐号买吧。
金银去了投机的成分也不就是跟inflation持平么？金银投资的收入就不用交税？所以都是一样的。但是投机金银的风险就大多了。
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: 会涨
: 但比inflation rate 差不少
: 还要交税
: 税后差一半都不止
|
a********h
发帖数: 819 | 15 Rim 人很好 我也希望你发财
我是很serious希望三年inflation trade (currency debase) 挣到3-5m
I can bet with you silver over 40 or not in a year from today
t
12
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: Good, I like to talk to "long term investors", since we would have similar
: time frames.
: It has been only about 1 month or so since I started to short silver. Don't
: get to any conclusion too fast. I would like to bet with you that in 6 -12
: months, SLV would be more close to $30 than to $50.
: I am currently shorting 200 shares of SLV with average price of $40.88.
|
a********h
发帖数: 819 | 16 CPI doesn't reflect true inflation
I guess this is news to many people?
Risk adjusted return is hard to say, it's up to each people their risk
tolerance level how good they think they are and
the result is how good they really are
以都是一样的。但是投机金银
的风险就大多了。
【在 j***b 的大作中提到】
: 不比inflation rate差吧。tips的本金就是根据cpi调节的。
: 至于税，应该可以用在tax shelter之下的帐号买吧。
: 金银去了投机的成分也不就是跟inflation持平么？金银投资的收入就不用交税？所以都是一样的。但是投机金银的风险就大多了。
|
j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 17 为什么银子在通胀的情况下就比cpi涨的多？多多少？
【在 a********h 的大作中提到】
: CPI doesn't reflect true inflation
: I guess this is news to many people?
: Risk adjusted return is hard to say, it's up to each people their risk
: tolerance level how good they think they are and
: the result is how good they really are
:
: 以都是一样的。但是投机金银
: 的风险就大多了。
|
