g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 2 谁统计过NVDA一天最大range多少，close-to-close的跌幅最大多少？
ema10: 11.4268
ema20: 11.1277
ema50: 10.7761
ema200: 12.4109 |
P*B
发帖数: 2876 | 3 touched ema50
ma50: 10.17
macd 死x
【在 g*****u 的大作中提到】
: 谁统计过NVDA一天最大range多少，close-to-close的跌幅最大多少？
: ema10: 11.4268
: ema20: 11.1277
: ema50: 10.7761
: ema200: 12.4109
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 4 最大涨跌幅没有多少参考价值。
sigma = 5%
78% of all the observed daily returns fall in (-5%,5%)
PDB alreayd said. there was a bounce off EMA50. Let's keep watching how
powerful the bounce is. |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 5 Given NVDA is falling at least 1% on a day, the conditional mean and sigma
turn out to be:
cond. mean = -2.4%
cond. sigma= 3.3%
87% chance the daily return will be in interval (-6%, 0.1%).
For day trade, taking profit at EMA50 just now seems a plausible approach, because at only one out of five odds one would do any better than that. |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 6 On the other hand, if one bets on NVDA crossing below EMA50 and if that
turns out to be the case, then the average return is -8%.
Again, assuming the foregoing, there is a 34% chance that one would get a
return of better than -8%. |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 7 12.33 could very well be the peak of recent rally off its 52-week low at $8.
62. And, that peak happens to be the 38.2% retracement between the 52-week
high and the 52-week low.
Another aspect to watch is whether the stock will break below the trend line
support of this rally, which is about where the EMA50 is. |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 8 There we go again. Need to material break 10.7 |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 9 还在resistance墨迹。
单从跌幅>5%看，明天没啥edge，还略偏牛。
俺先覆盖了。 |
o****e
发帖数: 4946 | 10 我脚着NVDA还有得跌呢
【在 g*****u 的大作中提到】
: 还在resistance墨迹。
: 单从跌幅>5%看，明天没啥edge，还略偏牛。
: 俺先覆盖了。
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 11 俺听系统的。俺尽量不根据butt feeling.
【在 o****e 的大作中提到】
: 我脚着NVDA还有得跌呢
|
o****e
发帖数: 4946 | 12 啥系统？KE么？
【在 g*****u 的大作中提到】
: 俺听系统的。俺尽量不根据butt feeling.
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 13 赚的点零碎钱也不像要了。全投到call吧。December 12. |
B********e
发帖数: 397 | |
