D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 1 Recent trend is very volatile. My prediction for this earning season is up
and down, Dow swinging between 9500 - 11000.
FAS:
1. Inbetween $18-20 would be a good buy.
2. Before year end, whenever hit $25, sell half or write cover calls( at $27
strike maybe)
3. Before year end, whenever hit $30 dump all.
4. If double resession occurs, what I said won't work.
5. Make buy/sell decision every Friday only, unless extreme circumstances. |
r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 2 sell short FAS on any big rebound and hold forever.
note: use less than 10% of your account to do that. use the rest 90% buy dip
and long. |
m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 3 everyone could give something like that
and blame something like double recession if it does not work.
up
$27
circumstances.
【在 D*********h 的大作中提到】
: Recent trend is very volatile. My prediction for this earning season is up
: and down, Dow swinging between 9500 - 11000.
: FAS:
: 1. Inbetween $18-20 would be a good buy.
: 2. Before year end, whenever hit $25, sell half or write cover calls( at $27
: strike maybe)
: 3. Before year end, whenever hit $30 dump all.
: 4. If double resession occurs, what I said won't work.
: 5. Make buy/sell decision every Friday only, unless extreme circumstances.
|
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 4 好心好意， 上来跟大家探讨。 能不能不要动不动就“封杀”。 你以为你是央视啊。
我发的帖又没犯规。 |
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 5 你就没讲出来， 切
【在 m********0 的大作中提到】
: everyone could give something like that
: and blame something like double recession if it does not work.
:
: up
: $27
: circumstances.
|
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 6 I currently hold FAS at about $19.55. I'll let you people know my next move. |
m********0
发帖数: 2717 | 7 OK。
你继续。
我觉得参考意义不大。
这跟说，短期dow如果跌到9500就抄底有什么大区别。
不过是buy low，sell high，然后猜了一个low和high么。
讲一下你说
My prediction for this earning season is
up and down, Dow swinging between 9500 - 11000.
的依据才是正经。
不然算什么探讨啊。
。
【在 D*********h 的大作中提到】
: 好心好意， 上来跟大家探讨。 能不能不要动不动就“封杀”。 你以为你是央视啊。
: 我发的帖又没犯规。
|
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 8 Let me correct my prediction to Dow swinging between 9500 - 10500 for the
rest of summer. It is based a roughly 10% up and down swing. I have adjusted
my analysis as follow. And all of you are welcome to criticize.
1. Let's look at recently pattern. From May 3rd to May 7th, Dow dropped
roughly 7%, in 4 days(11,151-10,380). From May 7th to May 12, Dow recovered
5%(10,380-10,897). From 5/12 to 6/7, Dow dropped another %10. In the next
couple, Dow recovered another 6%. In the next couple weeks, Do
【在 m********0 的大作中提到】
: OK。
: 你继续。
: 我觉得参考意义不大。
: 这跟说，短期dow如果跌到9500就抄底有什么大区别。
: 不过是buy low，sell high，然后猜了一个low和high么。
: 讲一下你说
: My prediction for this earning season is
: up and down, Dow swinging between 9500 - 11000.
: 的依据才是正经。
: 不然算什么探讨啊。
|
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 9 if you look at my past posts. Back in late june, FAS was around $23, a lot
of people on this board were saying FAS will make another push upward to $30
. I predicted FAS will be back down around $20 in couple of week, and it did
. |
c*****t
发帖数: 10738 | 10 陈意涵 is my favorite.
【在 m********0 的大作中提到】
: OK。
: 你继续。
: 我觉得参考意义不大。
: 这跟说，短期dow如果跌到9500就抄底有什么大区别。
: 不过是buy low，sell high，然后猜了一个low和high么。
: 讲一下你说
: My prediction for this earning season is
: up and down, Dow swinging between 9500 - 11000.
: 的依据才是正经。
: 不然算什么探讨啊。
|
r***k
发帖数: 13586 | 11 LZ的strategy显然方向就错了，FAS/FAZ这种东西绝对不能中期hold，sell covered
call更是搞笑。这两个东西只需要告诉人家在多高short就行了，short完了hold
forever。 |
D*********h
发帖数: 209 | 12 OK, let me clearify. What I really mean is that when FAS hit $25, dump half,
if holders don't really want to sell at $25, then he/she may consider
writing a short term cover to forced a sell at $26, 27 or 28. I think FAS
going above $30 is slim for the rest of the year, that's why I support the
idea of dumping half at $25. My main idea is exist half at $25, and all at $
30 for the rest of the year.
Your comment is a bit vague on the contrary. You said short, but what kind
of short do you mean??
【在 r***k 的大作中提到】
: LZ的strategy显然方向就错了，FAS/FAZ这种东西绝对不能中期hold，sell covered
: call更是搞笑。这两个东西只需要告诉人家在多高short就行了，short完了hold
: forever。
|
