l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 1 http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/01/bernanke-nomination-by-the-numbers-and-what-saves-him/
Unless Friday was enough to scare the Senate to approve Bernanke, and we do
not believe it was, it seems like
the Bernanke situation is near-term bearish. |
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | |
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 3 After doubts about the nomination spread on Friday, the Intrade online
wagering market put Mr. Bernanke's chance of being confirmed at 80%, down
from 95% earlier in the week. By late Monday, though, the likelihood of
confirmation was put at 93%. |
S*******b
发帖数: 854 | 4 好奇这个概率是咋算的。。
【在 b********y 的大作中提到】
: After doubts about the nomination spread on Friday, the Intrade online
: wagering market put Mr. Bernanke's chance of being confirmed at 80%, down
: from 95% earlier in the week. By late Monday, though, the likelihood of
: confirmation was put at 93%.
|
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 5 市场决定的
【在 S*******b 的大作中提到】
: 好奇这个概率是咋算的。。
|
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 6 利伯曼也支持他了，内布拉斯加的参议员听巴肥的话也投他的票，现在至少40个支持，
17个反对 |
r***e
发帖数: 653 | 7 95% 可能性。
今天不是因为房市消息不大好，今天应该涨不少的
do
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/01/bernanke-nomination-by-the-numbers-and-what-saves-him/
: Unless Friday was enough to scare the Senate to approve Bernanke, and we do
: not believe it was, it seems like
: the Bernanke situation is near-term bearish.
|
