D*r
发帖数: 1298 | 1 http://www.zerohedge.com/article/no-cheer-housing-bulls-goldman-which-goes-negative-house-
prices
We identify six house price determinants (Exhibit 5):
1. Persistence. Lagged house price appreciation is statistically significant
with a sizable coefficient,
confirming the existence of short-term momentum in house prices. All else
equal, a 1% price decrease over
four quarters is typically followed by another ½% fall one year later.
2. Price/rent valuation. We find a strongly negative effect f |
b******y
发帖数: 9224 | 2 想买房子的，最近就是好时机。别等了。除非有大环境的变化，比如说战争等，我的感
觉是西雅图的房价也就是这样了，不会太低。这里没有地皮，不像其他一些地方。 |
v***o
发帖数: 287 | 3 黑老大的话，最多相信一半。除非，ms boeing倒闭，现在经济开始转好，不过这次
euro暴跌，估
计会影响这些公司。
说到seattle RE, 跌20%，这只是average。去年，一朋友从其他州搬到南加，原因之一
，就是
媒体上说LA房子已经跌了50%，惨不忍睹。结果去了才发现，好学区的房子基本没有跌
，现在已经回
到历史最高点了，跌得猛的都是鸟不拉屎的新区。。。。肠子都悔青了。
goes-negative-house-
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/summ
ers/GS%20housing%204.jpg
significant
else
【在 D*r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.zerohedge.com/article/no-cheer-housing-bulls-goldman-which-goes-negative-house-
: prices
: We identify six house price determinants (Exhibit 5):
: 1. Persistence. Lagged house price appreciation is statistically significant
: with a sizable coefficient,
: confirming the existence of short-term momentum in house prices. All else
: equal, a 1% price decrease over
: four quarters is typically followed by another ½% fall one year later.
: 2. Price/rent valuation. We find a strongly negative effect f
|
m*****n
发帖数: 5611 | 4 ms不断裁员, boeing往东部转移生产 长期来看都不乐观
【在 v***o 的大作中提到】
: 黑老大的话，最多相信一半。除非，ms boeing倒闭，现在经济开始转好，不过这次
: euro暴跌，估
: 计会影响这些公司。
: 说到seattle RE, 跌20%，这只是average。去年，一朋友从其他州搬到南加，原因之一
: ，就是
: 媒体上说LA房子已经跌了50%，惨不忍睹。结果去了才发现，好学区的房子基本没有跌
: ，现在已经回
: 到历史最高点了，跌得猛的都是鸟不拉屎的新区。。。。肠子都悔青了。
:
: goes-negative-house-
|
s*****n
发帖数: 742 | 5 8Q???
are they trying to predict something in 2012? |
v***o
发帖数: 287 | 6 看看最新的May 数据。
http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2010/06/11/puget-sound-counties-
interactive-may-update-2/
【在 m*****n 的大作中提到】
: ms不断裁员, boeing往东部转移生产 长期来看都不乐观
|
D*r
发帖数: 1298 | 7 再看看foreclosure 5月的数据：
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2012073728_foreclosurerates10.html
The number of people facing foreclosure is nearly flat from a year ago,
according to the latest report from a
private foreclosure listing service. A third fewer people are receiving
legal warnings that they could lose their
homes. And foreclosures are receding in some of the hardest-hit cities.
But not in the Seattle area. It bucked the national trend, with foreclosure
filings in Kin
【在 v***o 的大作中提到】
: 看看最新的May 数据。
: http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2010/06/11/puget-sound-counties-
: interactive-may-update-2/
|
