l*******y
发帖数: 222 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 SanDiego 讨论区 】
发信人: lightgrey (greylight), 信区: SanDiego
标 题: Re: 回答某网友关于SB４８的两个问题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 30 22:39:44 2011, 美东)
没学过统计就不要出来现了。假设伯努利实验，82个sample, 10%的95%正态分布置信区
间是1.96*sqrt(0.1*0.9/82)=6.5%. 也就是说这个真正的概率在3.5%到16.5%之间都有
可能。
学术界对同性恋比例的估计是3%到6%，所以这个论文的结论没有任何问题。你还是歇歇
吧，不懂学术偏要装懂，找来了原始文献不懂装懂。
http://psychology.ucdavis.edu/rainbow/html/facts_mental_health.
All surveys are likely to underestimate the actual prevalence of
homosexuality because, fearing discrimination and stigma, many gay
respondents are reluctant to tell a stranger (even anonymously) that they
are homosexual (e.g., Villarroel et al., 2006). Recognizing this limitation,
most research with probability samples suggests that at least 3-6% of the
US adult male population is homosexual, with somewhat fewer females (Fay,
Turner, Klassen, & Gagnon, 1989; Hatfield, 1989; Laumann, Gagnon, Michael, &
Michaels, 1994; Lever & Kanouse, 1996; Rogers & Turner, 1991).
A Study conducted by Bailey, Bobroe, Wolfe, and
Mikach (1995) examined 55 gay or bisecual fathers'
reports of their 82 sons' sexual orientations.
Results indicated that 90% of these sons were
heterosexual.
This study was reviewed in a gay-supporting "scientist",
with this data, she concluded that "...suggesting
that having a gay father does not substantially
increase the likelihood of sons becoming gay adults".
What about the normal precentage of gay mens among
whole population? 一般相信大约是3%。Isnt 10% much more than that? |
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