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Quant版 - 一个关于covariance matrix estimation的问题
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: covariance话题: matrix话题: apt话题: estimation话题: factor
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1 (共1页)
k*******d
发帖数: 1340
1
如果你有1000个stock,要估计一个covariance matrix.要看多久的历史数据来估计是
合理的?如
何保证估计出来的covariance matrix是positive semidefinite的?在实际中如果出现
估算出
来的cov matrix 不是p.d.的怎么办呢? Jull的书上有简单提了一下,但是太简略了。
A********a
发帖数: 133
2
U need reduce the dimension of the problems, first because stock returns are
likely driven by a few factors, second because there are missing obs for
such data sets. For the first, u need a factor model (Barra, Northfield, APT
, etc), for the latter, u need some robust methods to accommodate missing
observations, e.g., Em algo, Stambaugh's method and others.
To make the covariance matrix spf is easy, do the eigen-decomp, and ...
k*******d
发帖数: 1340
3
En... Got some idea.
请问有什么教材或者是资料详细介绍这些的吗?

are
for
APT
missing

【在 A********a 的大作中提到】
: U need reduce the dimension of the problems, first because stock returns are
: likely driven by a few factors, second because there are missing obs for
: such data sets. For the first, u need a factor model (Barra, Northfield, APT
: , etc), for the latter, u need some robust methods to accommodate missing
: observations, e.g., Em algo, Stambaugh's method and others.
: To make the covariance matrix spf is easy, do the eigen-decomp, and ...

q**j
发帖数: 10612
4
sample covariance 就是正定的。如果要fancy,看newey west的经典paper。

【在 k*******d 的大作中提到】
: 如果你有1000个stock,要估计一个covariance matrix.要看多久的历史数据来估计是
: 合理的?如
: 何保证估计出来的covariance matrix是positive semidefinite的?在实际中如果出现
: 估算出
: 来的cov matrix 不是p.d.的怎么办呢? Jull的书上有简单提了一下,但是太简略了。

l****o
发帖数: 2909
5
try shrinkage estimation.
A********a
发帖数: 133
6
sample covariance is too noisy.
Among 1000 stocks, u may have some with less than 1000 obs, better use
factor based method, check out BARRA document, if u want fancy, go RMT.
X*****r
发帖数: 2521
7
cov matrix可能不是PSD吗?

【在 k*******d 的大作中提到】
: 如果你有1000个stock,要估计一个covariance matrix.要看多久的历史数据来估计是
: 合理的?如
: 何保证估计出来的covariance matrix是positive semidefinite的?在实际中如果出现
: 估算出
: 来的cov matrix 不是p.d.的怎么办呢? Jull的书上有简单提了一下,但是太简略了。

w****i
发帖数: 143
8
PCA or factor model to reduce dimension.
Should covariance matrix always be positive semidefinite?

【在 k*******d 的大作中提到】
: 如果你有1000个stock,要估计一个covariance matrix.要看多久的历史数据来估计是
: 合理的?如
: 何保证估计出来的covariance matrix是positive semidefinite的?在实际中如果出现
: 估算出
: 来的cov matrix 不是p.d.的怎么办呢? Jull的书上有简单提了一下,但是太简略了。

z****g
发帖数: 1978
9
shrinkage method: linear combination of PCA/Factor based cov and sample
based cov
k*******d
发帖数: 1340
10
恩,我查到几篇paper讲这个的了

【在 z****g 的大作中提到】
: shrinkage method: linear combination of PCA/Factor based cov and sample
: based cov

l****o
发帖数: 2909
11
The best paper series are respectively by a Deutsche Man called T G Anderson@Duke
regarding realized covariance, a british man called neil sherpard@oxford,
and two swithland man called Olivier Ledoit and Michael Wolf@Zurich.
b***k
发帖数: 2673
12
hey, AlphaNBeta,
May I ask what is APT stand for here?
thanks.

are
APT

【在 A********a 的大作中提到】
: U need reduce the dimension of the problems, first because stock returns are
: likely driven by a few factors, second because there are missing obs for
: such data sets. For the first, u need a factor model (Barra, Northfield, APT
: , etc), for the latter, u need some robust methods to accommodate missing
: observations, e.g., Em algo, Stambaugh's method and others.
: To make the covariance matrix spf is easy, do the eigen-decomp, and ...

A********a
发帖数: 133
13
1. APT is a risk/optimization system bu Sunguard http://www.sungard.com/apt/learnmore, people use APT/Northfield/Axioma/Barra to measure and control their factor/risk exposure. All these systems provide risk/covariance estimation.
2. There have been different approaches to estimate covariance/correlation
matrices, factor-models (above), Bayesian shrinkage estimations (Ledoit &
Wolf), high-frequency (realized vol, realized covariance matrix), dynamic
measures (DCC-GARCH, Exponential weighting, etc), implied vol and
correlations from options, robust estimates, etc.
3. Since asset returns (return/risk) may not captured by mean-covariance
paradigm, all these measures need to be taken with a pitch of salt, how much
. It is better taking a holistic approach to return/risk measure depending
on ur situation, e.g., leverage, liquidity, crowdness, tail risk.
1 (共1页)
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