s******r 发帖数: 5309 | 1 估计一到北韩冬季,也就是10月以后,又要试射了。
U.S. spy agencies: North Korea is working on new missiles
This commercial satellite image shows North Korea’s Sanumdong missile
assembly facility south of Pyongyang on July 7. The red vehicle in the inner
courtyard is similar to those used by North Korea to transport missiles. (
Planet/James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury
Institute of International Studies)
By Ellen Nakashima and Joby Warrick
July 30 at 6:55 PM
Email the author
U.S. spy agencies are seeing signs that North Korea is constructing new
missiles at a factory that produced the country’s first intercontinental
ballistic missiles capable of reaching the United States, according to
officials familiar with the intelligence.
Newly obtained evidence, including satellite photos taken in recent weeks,
indicates that work is underway on at least one and possibly two liquid-
fueled ICBMs at a large research facility in Sanumdong, on the outskirts of
Pyongyang, according to the officials, who spoke on the condition of
anonymity to describe classified intelligence.
The findings are the latest to show ongoing activity inside North Korea’s
nuclear and missile facilities at a time when the country’s leaders are
engaged in arms talks with the United States. The new intelligence does not
suggest an expansion of North Korea’s capabilities but shows that work on
advanced weapons is continuing weeks after President Trump declared in a
Twitter posting that Pyongyang was “no longer a Nuclear Threat.”
The reports about new missile construction come after recent revelations
about a suspected uranium enrichment facility, called Kangson, that North
Korea is operating in secret. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo acknowledged
during Senate testimony last week that North Korean factories “continue to
produce fissile material” used in making nuclear weapons. He declined to
say whether Pyongyang is building new missiles.
[Pompeo pushes back against North Korea’s ‘gangster-like’ critique]
During a summit with Trump in June, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un agreed
to a vaguely worded pledge to “work toward” the “denuclearization” of
the Korean Peninsula. But since then, North Korea has made few tangible
moves signaling an intention to disarm.
1:06
Fact-checking President Trump's claims about the success of the North Korea
deal
President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un signed an agreement on
June 12. But Trump's claims about what has happened since then lack evidence
. (Meg kelly/The Washington Post)
Instead, senior North Korean officials have discussed their intention to
deceive Washington about the number of nuclear warheads and missiles they
have, as well as the types and numbers of facilities, and to rebuff
international inspectors, according to intelligence gathered by U.S.
agencies. Their strategy includes potentially asserting that they have fully
denuclearized by declaring and disposing of 20 warheads while retaining
dozens more.
The Sanumdong factory has produced two of North Korea’s ICBMs, including
the powerful Hwasong-15, the first with a proven range that could allow it
to strike the U.S. East Coast. The newly obtained evidence points to ongoing
work on at least one Hwasong-15 at the Sanumdong plant, according to
imagery collected by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency in recent
weeks.
“We see them going to work, just as before,” said one U.S. official, who,
like the others, spoke on the condition of anonymity in discussing sensitive
intelligence. The exception, the officials said, is the Sohae Satellite
Launching Station on North Korea’s west coast, where workers can be
observed dismantling an engine test stand, honoring a promise made to Trump
at the summit.
[North Korea seeking to conceal parts of its weapons stockpile, officials
say]
Many analysts and independent experts, however, see that dismantling as
largely symbolic, since North Korea has now successfully launched ICBMs that
use the kind of liquid-fueled engines tested at Sohae. Moreover, the test
stand could easily be rebuilt within months.
A May 28 satellite image of a building that U.S. analysts believe is a
secret uranium enrichment facility near North Korea’s capital. (Planet/
James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute
of International Studies)
Buttressing the intelligence findings, independent missile experts this week
also reported observing activity consistent with missile construction at
the Sanumdong plant. The daily movement of supply trucks and other vehicles,
as captured by commercial satellite photos, shows that the missile facility
“is not dead, by any stretch of the imagination,” said Jeffrey Lewis,
director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin
Center for Nonproliferation Studies. The Monterey, Calif., nonprofit group
analyzed commercial photos obtained from the satellite imagery firm Planet.
“It’s active. We see shipping containers and vehicles coming and going,”
Lewis said of the Sanumdong plant. “This is a facility where they build
ICBMs and space-launch vehicles.”
Intriguingly, one image, taken July 7, depicts a bright-red covered trailer
in a loading area. The trailer appears identical to those used by North
Korea in the past to transport ICBMs. How the trailer was being used at the
time of the photograph is unclear.
Lewis’s group also published images of a large industrial facility that
some U.S. intelligence analysts believe to be the Kangson uranium enrichment
plant. The images, first reported by the online publication the Diplomat,
depict a football-field-size building surrounded by a high wall, in North
Korea’s Chollima-guyok district, southwest of the capital. The complex has
a single, guarded entrance and features high-rise residential towers
apparently used by workers.
Historical satellite photos show that the facility was externally complete
by 2003. U.S. intelligence agencies believe that it has been operational for
at least a decade. If so, North Korea’s stockpile of enriched uranium
could be substantially higher than is commonly believed. U.S. intelligence
agencies in recent months increased their estimates of the size of North
Korea’s nuclear arsenal, taking into account enriched uranium from at least
one secret enrichment site.
[Secret facilities complicate task of dismantling North Korea’s weapons
sites]
The Kangson facility was first publicly identified in May in a Washington
Post article that cited research by nuclear weapons expert David Albright.
Some European intelligence officials are not convinced that the Kangson site
is used for uranium enrichment. But there is a broad consensus among U.S.
intelligence agencies that Kangson is one of at least two secret enrichment
plants.
Several U.S. officials and private analysts said the continued activity
inside North Korea’s weapons complex is not surprising, given that Kim made
no public promise at the summit to halt work at the scores of nuclear and
missiles facilities scattered around the country.
The North Koreans “never agreed to give up their nuclear program,” said
Ken Gause, a North Korea expert at the Center for Naval Analysis. And it is
foolish to expect that they would do so — at the outset of talks, he said.
“Regime survival and perpetuation of Kim family rule” are Kim’s guiding
principles, he said. “The nuclear program provides them with a deterrent in
their mind against regime change by the United States. Giving up the
nuclear capability will violate the two fundamental centers of gravity in
the North Korean regime.”
Pompeo, at the Senate hearing last week, sought to assure lawmakers that the
disarmament talks with North Korea remained on track and that the effort to
dismantle the country’s nuclear arsenal was just getting underway. He
brushed aside suggestions that the administration had been deceived by Kim.
“We have not been taken for a ride,” he said.
But some independent analysts think the Trump administration has misread Kim
’s intentions, interpreting his commitment to eventual denuclearization as
a promise to immediately surrender the country’s nuclear arsenal and
dismantle its weapons factories.
“We have this backward. North Korea is not negotiating to give up their
nuclear weapons,” Lewis said. “They are negotiating for recognition of
their nuclear weapons. They’re willing to put up with certain limits, like
no nuclear testing and no ICBM testing. What they’re offering is: They keep
the bomb, but they stop talking about it.” | w*********r 发帖数: 42116 | 2 金三的导弹是针对TG的。
【在 s******r 的大作中提到】 : 估计一到北韩冬季,也就是10月以后,又要试射了。 : U.S. spy agencies: North Korea is working on new missiles : This commercial satellite image shows North Korea’s Sanumdong missile : assembly facility south of Pyongyang on July 7. The red vehicle in the inner : courtyard is similar to those used by North Korea to transport missiles. ( : Planet/James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury : Institute of International Studies) : By Ellen Nakashima and Joby Warrick : July 30 at 6:55 PM : Email the author
| m*******n 发帖数: 4186 | 3 Fix TG就可以了
inner
【在 s******r 的大作中提到】 : 估计一到北韩冬季,也就是10月以后,又要试射了。 : U.S. spy agencies: North Korea is working on new missiles : This commercial satellite image shows North Korea’s Sanumdong missile : assembly facility south of Pyongyang on July 7. The red vehicle in the inner : courtyard is similar to those used by North Korea to transport missiles. ( : Planet/James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury : Institute of International Studies) : By Ellen Nakashima and Joby Warrick : July 30 at 6:55 PM : Email the author
| s******r 发帖数: 5309 | 4 The Sanumdong factory has produced two of North Korea’s ICBMs, including
the powerful Hwasong-15, the first with a proven range that could allow it
to strike the U.S. East Coast.
打土共需要射程可以到达美国东岸的火箭?
【在 w*********r 的大作中提到】 : 金三的导弹是针对TG的。
| l******t 发帖数: 55733 | 5 打tg要绕地球一周呢,到东海岸还不够
【在 s******r 的大作中提到】 : The Sanumdong factory has produced two of North Korea’s ICBMs, including : the powerful Hwasong-15, the first with a proven range that could allow it : to strike the U.S. East Coast. : 打土共需要射程可以到达美国东岸的火箭?
| w*********r 发帖数: 42116 | 6 覆盖整个TG。
【在 s******r 的大作中提到】 : The Sanumdong factory has produced two of North Korea’s ICBMs, including : the powerful Hwasong-15, the first with a proven range that could allow it : to strike the U.S. East Coast. : 打土共需要射程可以到达美国东岸的火箭?
| c****o 发帖数: 32446 | | g******t 发帖数: 18158 | 8 Just landed - a long trip, but everybody can now feel much safer than the
day I took office. There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea.
Meeting with Kim Jong Un was an interesting and very positive experience.
North Korea has great potential for the future!
真能吹牛 | g********0 发帖数: 6201 | 9 看好三胖的前途一片光明。
【在 g******t 的大作中提到】 : Just landed - a long trip, but everybody can now feel much safer than the : day I took office. There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea. : Meeting with Kim Jong Un was an interesting and very positive experience. : North Korea has great potential for the future! : 真能吹牛
| o****p 发帖数: 9785 | 10 深得我太祖真传,整一个游击战啊。
inner
【在 s******r 的大作中提到】 : 估计一到北韩冬季,也就是10月以后,又要试射了。 : U.S. spy agencies: North Korea is working on new missiles : This commercial satellite image shows North Korea’s Sanumdong missile : assembly facility south of Pyongyang on July 7. The red vehicle in the inner : courtyard is similar to those used by North Korea to transport missiles. ( : Planet/James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury : Institute of International Studies) : By Ellen Nakashima and Joby Warrick : July 30 at 6:55 PM : Email the author
| J*****3 发帖数: 25 | 11 游离基,游离反应,看看有没有上钩的。
【在 o****p 的大作中提到】 : 深得我太祖真传,整一个游击战啊。 : : inner
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