p****a
发帖数: 4829 | 1 my trading account: +36%
my 401k account: +7% |
T*******t
发帖数: 9274 | 2 niu...
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: my trading account: +36%
: my 401k account: +7%
|
s*****e
发帖数: 21415 | 3 关键是account size，啥return离开了size都是扯淡
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: my trading account: +36%
: my 401k account: +7%
|
S*******b
发帖数: 854 | 4 bso...
mine is -20%...
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: my trading account: +36%
: my 401k account: +7%
|
p****a
发帖数: 4829 | 5 OK. Both my trading account and 401k account are between 100-200K.
【在 s*****e 的大作中提到】
: 关键是account size，啥return离开了size都是扯淡
|
l****y
发帖数: 8847 | 6 good
my retirement account is just OK, most are cash
trading account died already....
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: my trading account: +36%
: my 401k account: +7%
|
s*****e
发帖数: 21415 | 7 看着你这个上窜下跳的样子，不像啊。呵呵
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: OK. Both my trading account and 401k account are between 100-200K.
|
w****n
发帖数: 1737 | 8 also,关键是3yr, 5yr, 10yr,
一年的投资， 只要a little bit aggressive, high return is possible.
还记得年初有人在401k里全部投资small cap , 1 yr/2yr return都是+20～30%的人吗
，
现在应该不会跳出来BSO YTD了罢， 所以， 投资策略好不好，千万不要只看小于3年的
。
【在 s*****e 的大作中提到】
: 关键是account size，啥return离开了size都是扯淡
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 9 to get higher return in longer time frame
one has to try to time the market,
otherwise, just stay with index for an average return
get in small caps of commodity stocks when inflation is running its course
and get out when deflation comes back.
have locked in most of my profit back in April and May by switching those
stocks positions to gold and cash.
I have a few posts at that time on the board warning of a deflation wave
coming. Guess not many people cared. lol
【在 w****n 的大作中提到】
: also,关键是3yr, 5yr, 10yr,
: 一年的投资， 只要a little bit aggressive, high return is possible.
: 还记得年初有人在401k里全部投资small cap , 1 yr/2yr return都是+20～30%的人吗
: ，
: 现在应该不会跳出来BSO YTD了罢， 所以， 投资策略好不好，千万不要只看小于3年的
: 。
|
s*****e
发帖数: 21415 | 10 今年这点算啥deflation，in for the long term根本不用care
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: to get higher return in longer time frame
: one has to try to time the market,
: otherwise, just stay with index for an average return
: get in small caps of commodity stocks when inflation is running its course
: and get out when deflation comes back.
: have locked in most of my profit back in April and May by switching those
: stocks positions to gold and cash.
: I have a few posts at that time on the board warning of a deflation wave
: coming. Guess not many people cared. lol
|
|
|
p****a
发帖数: 4829 | 11 Why do I want to lie to you?
【在 s*****e 的大作中提到】
: 看着你这个上窜下跳的样子，不像啊。呵呵
|
w****n
发帖数: 1737 | 12 hahah, I did not recall that was you. It is a good way to dig out.
Deflation.. You are really KIDDING me. Inflation might not be the immediate
concern but it is FAR FAR away from deflation.
It is really nothing to be proud of by getting 20% or 30% in a shot time in
3m or 6m. It really depends on how much RISK you take to get that return. I
have better return than that but I don't think it is risk justified (
remember sharp ratio?). I could had done better with the risk I took. In
that sense, I did poorly on my investment.
However, if you really want to show us your "master skill" of timing the
market, we will certainly welcome and let's have a paper trading account
and you setup your portfolio now for 3-6m. Let's see how well you can time
the market.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: to get higher return in longer time frame
: one has to try to time the market,
: otherwise, just stay with index for an average return
: get in small caps of commodity stocks when inflation is running its course
: and get out when deflation comes back.
: have locked in most of my profit back in April and May by switching those
: stocks positions to gold and cash.
: I have a few posts at that time on the board warning of a deflation wave
: coming. Guess not many people cared. lol
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 13 I am not here showing off anything or trying to compete with anybody
just try to share what I learned
if deflation was not the dominant force in the market during the summer
I don't know what to say about it.
inflation will come, eventually, maybe hyperinflation. But that does not
rule out some periods when deflation runs its course in the market.
immediate
in
I
【在 w****n 的大作中提到】
: hahah, I did not recall that was you. It is a good way to dig out.
: Deflation.. You are really KIDDING me. Inflation might not be the immediate
: concern but it is FAR FAR away from deflation.
: It is really nothing to be proud of by getting 20% or 30% in a shot time in
: 3m or 6m. It really depends on how much RISK you take to get that return. I
: have better return than that but I don't think it is risk justified (
: remember sharp ratio?). I could had done better with the risk I took. In
: that sense, I did poorly on my investment.
: However, if you really want to show us your "master skill" of timing the
: market, we will certainly welcome and let's have a paper trading account
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 14 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckEoUxAjgls
posted this before. a very good talk sorting out the deflation/inflation
issue on the market. |
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 15 Can we get less confrontational here? Why should anyone care others' methods
, timing, asset-allocation, returns, yadayada? People have different
opinions on different assets, and that makes a market.
immediate
in
I
【在 w****n 的大作中提到】
: hahah, I did not recall that was you. It is a good way to dig out.
: Deflation.. You are really KIDDING me. Inflation might not be the immediate
: concern but it is FAR FAR away from deflation.
: It is really nothing to be proud of by getting 20% or 30% in a shot time in
: 3m or 6m. It really depends on how much RISK you take to get that return. I
: have better return than that but I don't think it is risk justified (
: remember sharp ratio?). I could had done better with the risk I took. In
: that sense, I did poorly on my investment.
: However, if you really want to show us your "master skill" of timing the
: market, we will certainly welcome and let's have a paper trading account
|
s*****e
发帖数: 21415 | 16 didn't say you were lying ...
but normally people with sizable accounts are much more 淡定……
呵呵
【在 p****a 的大作中提到】
: Why do I want to lie to you?
|
s*****e
发帖数: 21415 | 17 real useful investment adivce costs money
what do you expect on a free forum ? hehe
methods
【在 S**C 的大作中提到】
: Can we get less confrontational here? Why should anyone care others' methods
: , timing, asset-allocation, returns, yadayada? People have different
: opinions on different assets, and that makes a market.
:
: immediate
: in
: I
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 18 For short-term trading ideas, yes. But for medium- to long-term investment
advices, there are quite a few good sources are free. Medium-term here is ~7
years.
【在 s*****e 的大作中提到】
: real useful investment adivce costs money
: what do you expect on a free forum ? hehe
:
: methods
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 19 less than 1M is not really sizable....
【在 s*****e 的大作中提到】
: didn't say you were lying ...
: but normally people with sizable accounts are much more 淡定……
: 呵呵
|
